CRYPTO MECHANIC
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CRYPTO MECHANIC
Binance චතුරශ්ර සත්යාපිත+Trading Crypto Since 2016 | X: @cryptomechanicX
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පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
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මේ පොම්පය මඟහැරලා, ඒක දිගටම කෙටි කරන්න මට.
ඔයා මේ මානසිකත්වයෙන් එළියට එන්න ඕනේ…!
ඔයා මේ මානසිකත්වයෙන් එළියට එන්න ඕනේ…!
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
For Solana the beneficiary is pumpfun because the platform is used to launch memecoins and they also put a portion of revenue back into its token $PUMP
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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When people are rushing into trading memecoins but you don’t want to do it, yet you still want to take advantage of the trend, you start asking different questions.
Okay, everyone is going to chase memes.
Who are going to be the beneficiaries?
If it’s happening on Solana, $SOL is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on BNB Chain, $BNB is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on Ethereum, $ETH is going to be a beneficiary.
And then you go one step deeper.
What is being used underneath these chains?
Which launchpad is being used?
Which DEX are people trading on?
Which wallets are people using?
Where is the liquidity coming from?
Which infrastructure is benefiting from all this activity?
And most importantly:
Where are the fees going?
If a platform is generating huge volume because everyone is trading memes, is that activity actually translating into revenue?
And what happens to that revenue?
Are they buying back the token?
Burning tokens?
Distributing it?
Or is the token not capturing any of the value at all?
This is how I look at narratives.
You don’t always have to buy the thing everyone is chasing.
Sometimes you just need to ask:
“If everyone is going there, who is making money from everyone going there?”
Follow the activity.
Follow the users.
Follow the fees.
And then look at where the value is actually accruing.
Okay, everyone is going to chase memes.
Who are going to be the beneficiaries?
If it’s happening on Solana, $SOL is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on BNB Chain, $BNB is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on Ethereum, $ETH is going to be a beneficiary.
And then you go one step deeper.
What is being used underneath these chains?
Which launchpad is being used?
Which DEX are people trading on?
Which wallets are people using?
Where is the liquidity coming from?
Which infrastructure is benefiting from all this activity?
And most importantly:
Where are the fees going?
If a platform is generating huge volume because everyone is trading memes, is that activity actually translating into revenue?
And what happens to that revenue?
Are they buying back the token?
Burning tokens?
Distributing it?
Or is the token not capturing any of the value at all?
This is how I look at narratives.
You don’t always have to buy the thing everyone is chasing.
Sometimes you just need to ask:
“If everyone is going there, who is making money from everyone going there?”
Follow the activity.
Follow the users.
Follow the fees.
And then look at where the value is actually accruing.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
$ASTER
Every recent rejection from this zone has led to continuation to the downside, but this time price is holding around it.
This time could be different.?
If price manages to hold above $0.82, I think this could move higher.
The ideal scenario would be a strong volume push through the zone.
Every recent rejection from this zone has led to continuation to the downside, but this time price is holding around it.
This time could be different.?
If price manages to hold above $0.82, I think this could move higher.
The ideal scenario would be a strong volume push through the zone.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
$ETH
Weekly market structure break.
This is where things get even clearer.
This is where buying the dips becomes more rewarding.
Crypto follows high timeframe structure so well, and I’ve said this countless times.
As long as the high timeframe structure remains bullish, I think dips will continue to be an opportunity to load ETH.
Personally i will keep building a position slowly as the market gives me discount, i already have some in my bag.
I wouldn’t be surprised if ETH eventually reaches $4,000.
It could take a lot of time, but as long as the high timeframe structure remains bullish, this seems likely.
I already have some ETH and i will keep building a position slowly as the market give me discounts, Not in a rush.
Weekly market structure break.
This is where things get even clearer.
This is where buying the dips becomes more rewarding.
Crypto follows high timeframe structure so well, and I’ve said this countless times.
As long as the high timeframe structure remains bullish, I think dips will continue to be an opportunity to load ETH.
Personally i will keep building a position slowly as the market gives me discount, i already have some in my bag.
I wouldn’t be surprised if ETH eventually reaches $4,000.
It could take a lot of time, but as long as the high timeframe structure remains bullish, this seems likely.
I already have some ETH and i will keep building a position slowly as the market give me discounts, Not in a rush.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$ETH
$2,000–$2,200 has had a significant impact on ETH’s price for years.
Every time price broke below this zone, it gave a clean move down.
Every time price reclaimed it, it gave a clean move up.
Now that price is above this zone once again, I think the invalidation is quite clean: as long as ETH holds $2,000–$2,200, the chart looks good, and for now, we can assume it’ll going up.
Below $2k we will be back to hating Ethereum.
$2,000–$2,200 has had a significant impact on ETH’s price for years.
Every time price broke below this zone, it gave a clean move down.
Every time price reclaimed it, it gave a clean move up.
Now that price is above this zone once again, I think the invalidation is quite clean: as long as ETH holds $2,000–$2,200, the chart looks good, and for now, we can assume it’ll going up.
Below $2k we will be back to hating Ethereum.
සත්යායනය කළ
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
$BTC
Price is still trading around the last swing high.
US CPI data is due this Friday, and this will be one of the key things to watch as it could heavily influence whether the FED hikes rates in September.
Last week's jobs data was strong enough to give the FED more room for a hike. If inflation data also favours the FED, we could likely see a rate hike in September.
The rest of September could be highly volatile in my opinion.
As we enter Q4, there is a lot of money sitting on the sidelines waiting to buy BTC because of the expectation that BTC usually bottoms around this period.
Any move down could get these buyers excited.
The more sell volume Bitcoin absorbs below $80K, the more likely it becomes that it eventually blasts through $80K.
The repeated selling without a meaningful breakdown is something to observe here.
Price is still trading around the last swing high.
US CPI data is due this Friday, and this will be one of the key things to watch as it could heavily influence whether the FED hikes rates in September.
Last week's jobs data was strong enough to give the FED more room for a hike. If inflation data also favours the FED, we could likely see a rate hike in September.
The rest of September could be highly volatile in my opinion.
As we enter Q4, there is a lot of money sitting on the sidelines waiting to buy BTC because of the expectation that BTC usually bottoms around this period.
Any move down could get these buyers excited.
The more sell volume Bitcoin absorbs below $80K, the more likely it becomes that it eventually blasts through $80K.
The repeated selling without a meaningful breakdown is something to observe here.
2016 ခုနှစ်မှာ $ZEC ကို စတင်လွှင့်တင်ခဲ့တဲ့အချိန်တုန်းက ကျွန်တော် အဲဒါကို ကြည့်နေခဲ့ပါတယ်။
ရောက်ရှိခဲ့တဲ့ အမြင့်ဆုံးက 3,000 BTC ဖြစ်ပါတယ်။
ဟုတ်တယ်၊ မှန်ဖတ်နေပါတယ်—3,000 BTC၊ ဒေါ်လာမဟုတ်ပါဘူး။ 😀
အဲဒီအချိန်က ကျွန်တော်တို့က USD နဲ့မဟုတ်ဘဲ BTC နဲ့ alt တွေကို အရောင်းအဝယ်လုပ်နေကြတာပါ။
ပြီးတော့ mining စတင်နှေးလို့ ZEC က ရောင်းဝယ်ဖို့ ရှိတာ အနည်းငယ်သာပါ။
ရောက်ရှိခဲ့တဲ့ အမြင့်ဆုံးက 3,000 BTC ဖြစ်ပါတယ်။
ဟုတ်တယ်၊ မှန်ဖတ်နေပါတယ်—3,000 BTC၊ ဒေါ်လာမဟုတ်ပါဘူး။ 😀
အဲဒီအချိန်က ကျွန်တော်တို့က USD နဲ့မဟုတ်ဘဲ BTC နဲ့ alt တွေကို အရောင်းအဝယ်လုပ်နေကြတာပါ။
ပြီးတော့ mining စတင်နှေးလို့ ZEC က ရောင်းဝယ်ဖို့ ရှိတာ အနည်းငယ်သာပါ။
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
And this is exactly how i got into $ARB trade early and caught over a 50% move.
Read it because there is a lot to learn "Only if you pay attention"
Read it because there is a lot to learn "Only if you pay attention"
CRYPTO MECHANIC
·
--
When people are rushing into trading memecoins but you don’t want to do it, yet you still want to take advantage of the trend, you start asking different questions.
Okay, everyone is going to chase memes.
Who are going to be the beneficiaries?
If it’s happening on Solana, $SOL is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on BNB Chain, $BNB is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on Ethereum, $ETH is going to be a beneficiary.
And then you go one step deeper.
What is being used underneath these chains?
Which launchpad is being used?
Which DEX are people trading on?
Which wallets are people using?
Where is the liquidity coming from?
Which infrastructure is benefiting from all this activity?
And most importantly:
Where are the fees going?
If a platform is generating huge volume because everyone is trading memes, is that activity actually translating into revenue?
And what happens to that revenue?
Are they buying back the token?
Burning tokens?
Distributing it?
Or is the token not capturing any of the value at all?
This is how I look at narratives.
You don’t always have to buy the thing everyone is chasing.
Sometimes you just need to ask:
“If everyone is going there, who is making money from everyone going there?”
Follow the activity.
Follow the users.
Follow the fees.
And then look at where the value is actually accruing.
Okay, everyone is going to chase memes.
Who are going to be the beneficiaries?
If it’s happening on Solana, $SOL is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on BNB Chain, $BNB is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on Ethereum, $ETH is going to be a beneficiary.
And then you go one step deeper.
What is being used underneath these chains?
Which launchpad is being used?
Which DEX are people trading on?
Which wallets are people using?
Where is the liquidity coming from?
Which infrastructure is benefiting from all this activity?
And most importantly:
Where are the fees going?
If a platform is generating huge volume because everyone is trading memes, is that activity actually translating into revenue?
And what happens to that revenue?
Are they buying back the token?
Burning tokens?
Distributing it?
Or is the token not capturing any of the value at all?
This is how I look at narratives.
You don’t always have to buy the thing everyone is chasing.
Sometimes you just need to ask:
“If everyone is going there, who is making money from everyone going there?”
Follow the activity.
Follow the users.
Follow the fees.
And then look at where the value is actually accruing.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
When people are rushing into trading memecoins but you don’t want to do it, yet you still want to take advantage of the trend, you start asking different questions.
Okay, everyone is going to chase memes.
Who are going to be the beneficiaries?
If it’s happening on Solana, $SOL is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on BNB Chain, $BNB is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on Ethereum, $ETH is going to be a beneficiary.
And then you go one step deeper.
What is being used underneath these chains?
Which launchpad is being used?
Which DEX are people trading on?
Which wallets are people using?
Where is the liquidity coming from?
Which infrastructure is benefiting from all this activity?
And most importantly:
Where are the fees going?
If a platform is generating huge volume because everyone is trading memes, is that activity actually translating into revenue?
And what happens to that revenue?
Are they buying back the token?
Burning tokens?
Distributing it?
Or is the token not capturing any of the value at all?
This is how I look at narratives.
You don’t always have to buy the thing everyone is chasing.
Sometimes you just need to ask:
“If everyone is going there, who is making money from everyone going there?”
Follow the activity.
Follow the users.
Follow the fees.
And then look at where the value is actually accruing.
Okay, everyone is going to chase memes.
Who are going to be the beneficiaries?
If it’s happening on Solana, $SOL is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on BNB Chain, $BNB is going to be a beneficiary.
If it’s happening on Ethereum, $ETH is going to be a beneficiary.
And then you go one step deeper.
What is being used underneath these chains?
Which launchpad is being used?
Which DEX are people trading on?
Which wallets are people using?
Where is the liquidity coming from?
Which infrastructure is benefiting from all this activity?
And most importantly:
Where are the fees going?
If a platform is generating huge volume because everyone is trading memes, is that activity actually translating into revenue?
And what happens to that revenue?
Are they buying back the token?
Burning tokens?
Distributing it?
Or is the token not capturing any of the value at all?
This is how I look at narratives.
You don’t always have to buy the thing everyone is chasing.
Sometimes you just need to ask:
“If everyone is going there, who is making money from everyone going there?”
Follow the activity.
Follow the users.
Follow the fees.
And then look at where the value is actually accruing.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
$ZEC is now over $1100 and i am not surprised.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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New high on $ZEC and i am not surprised.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
$ASTER didnt hold the break means no setup for me so i will pass it for now.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$ASTER Breaking out of the long consolidation.
Could get interesting if price holds this breakout.
I don't have a position on it yet would wait to see if the breakout holds.
consolidation above the highs would be a sign.
Could get interesting if price holds this breakout.
I don't have a position on it yet would wait to see if the breakout holds.
consolidation above the highs would be a sign.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
$ARB +30%
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$ARB
Clean chart. Broke above the highs and holding the breakout. Hold this breakout and i think this could go higher.
The Robinhood Chain narrative behind it makes this even more interesting.
Robinhood Chain generated $1.92M in revenue over the last 24 hours, up from $963K in gas fees the day before.
Why does that matter for ARB?
Robinhood Chain owes 10% of its net revenue under Arbitrum’s licensing model, and that revenue will go into the ARB ecosystem.
So you have a clean technical setup + a pretty interesting fundamental narrative behind it.
Clean chart. Broke above the highs and holding the breakout. Hold this breakout and i think this could go higher.
The Robinhood Chain narrative behind it makes this even more interesting.
Robinhood Chain generated $1.92M in revenue over the last 24 hours, up from $963K in gas fees the day before.
Why does that matter for ARB?
Robinhood Chain owes 10% of its net revenue under Arbitrum’s licensing model, and that revenue will go into the ARB ecosystem.
So you have a clean technical setup + a pretty interesting fundamental narrative behind it.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
-8% in just 1 minute candle.
This is why i like to wait when it comes to trading Altcoins, these things are always unreliable.
Anyways same plans as shared, will wait for it to hold above the breakout.
This is why i like to wait when it comes to trading Altcoins, these things are always unreliable.
Anyways same plans as shared, will wait for it to hold above the breakout.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
·
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$ASTER Breaking out of the long consolidation.
Could get interesting if price holds this breakout.
I don't have a position on it yet would wait to see if the breakout holds.
consolidation above the highs would be a sign.
Could get interesting if price holds this breakout.
I don't have a position on it yet would wait to see if the breakout holds.
consolidation above the highs would be a sign.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
$ASTER Breaking out of the long consolidation.
Could get interesting if price holds this breakout.
I don't have a position on it yet would wait to see if the breakout holds.
consolidation above the highs would be a sign.
Could get interesting if price holds this breakout.
I don't have a position on it yet would wait to see if the breakout holds.
consolidation above the highs would be a sign.
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
The life of 99.9% memecoins
පරිවර්තනය බලන්න
The data came out bad for the market and people who chased around the highs getting squeezed.
Hope you didn't chase the highs
Data impacts are usually short term and market usually continues its trend later.
We will get the answer in a few hours.
Hope you didn't chase the highs
Data impacts are usually short term and market usually continues its trend later.
We will get the answer in a few hours.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
·
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$BTC
If you missed to catch the move, it is okay just don’t be an excited bull and chase it now. This is still a supply zone technically.
Better plan for now is let it go, let the price starts accepting above it and then you plan a new trade setup.
If you missed to catch the move, it is okay just don’t be an excited bull and chase it now. This is still a supply zone technically.
Better plan for now is let it go, let the price starts accepting above it and then you plan a new trade setup.
තවත් අන්තර්ගතයන් ගවේෂණය කිරීමට ඇතුල් වන්න