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Michael Saylor confirms Strategy will keep buying BTC every quarter, showing strong faith in Bitcoin’s long-term value.

Technical signals like MACD and four-year SMA suggest Bitcoin may be nearing the end of its bear market phase.

Strategy’s stock jumps 9% after BTC purchase, highlighting investor confidence despite $5B unrealized losses.

Bitcoin investors are watching closely as Strategy continues to bet big on BTC despite mounting unrealized losses. Chairman Michael Saylor confirmed the firm’s commitment to expanding its Bitcoin treasury, signaling confidence in the long-term value of the digital asset. 

Recently, Strategy purchased 1,142 BTC for $90 million, paying an average of $78,815 per coin. This raised the company’s total holdings to 714,644 BTC, now worth roughly $49.36 billion at current market prices near $69,126.

Saylor teased the latest purchase on his usual Sunday X post, linking to the company’s Bitcoin portfolio tracker with the cryptic message, “99>98.” The remark hinted at continued accumulation of BTC. Despite the total position remaining approximately $5.1 billion below the cumulative purchase cost, Saylor stressed the company has no plans to sell. “We expect to keep buying BTC every quarter indefinitely,” he stated, highlighting unwavering confidence even amid volatility.

Technical Indicators Signal Potential Strength

Analysts are watching Bitcoin’s long-term trends closely. CrypFlow noted that the 1-month MACD for BTC is above multi-year downtrend support. The post emphasized, “After more than 2000 days, the monthly MACD crossed again.” 

Historically, such MACD crosses have coincided with periods of relative strength in altcoins compared to Bitcoin. The analyst added, “What matters next: Trend support holding and monthly MACD follow-through.”

Meanwhile, analyst Darkfost pointed to a four-year SMA-based metric indicating bear market levels. BTC has moved back into the green zone, approaching its four-year SMA around $57,500. Darkfost explained, “Historically, this level has often marked the final stage of each bear market.” He noted that Bitcoin tends to trade around these levels for several months, providing a potential buying opportunity.

Other than the aggressive accumulation of Strategy, these technical trends show bullish potential in the long term. In addition, investor sentiment is positive, as Strategy’s stock increased by almost 9% in after-hours trading. In addition, the continued MACD and SMA trends may motivate more institutional investors to enter the market. However, there are still some volatility issues to watch out for.

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ZEC gained nearly 10% after bouncing from a confirmed bull demand zone near 184.

Momentum indicators show strength as the price approaches the first resistance at 293.

Analysts maintain targets of 293 and 350 while the price holds above the 250 support level.

ZEC Price Prediction remains steady after Zcash recorded a sharp 10% rally from recent consolidation levels. The move followed a confirmed reaction from a defined demand zone. Analysts continue to monitor resistance at 293 and 350.

Demand Zone Reaction Fuels Recovery

Zcash rebounded strongly after testing the 184–220 demand zone. Price printed a decisive reaction candle near the lower boundary. Buyers quickly absorbed selling pressure at that level.

The rebound created a higher low structure on the daily chart. That shift marked a pause in the broader downtrend. As a result, short-term momentum began improving.

Volume expanded as the price moved higher from the zone. This expansion suggested participation beyond retail positioning. As the price stabilized above 220, consolidation formed above the base.

The ZEC price prediction framework now centers on the strength of that zone. As long as the price remains above 250, the bullish structure remains intact. Analysts view this level as a short-term pivot.

Breakout Structure and Momentum Signals

Following consolidation, Zcash broke above range resistance near 255. The breakout candle showed a strong body and rising volume. That move marked the beginning of the recent 10% rally.

Momentum indicators support the upward movement. The Relative Strength Index climbed toward 65 without entering overbought territory. This reading reflects constructive buying pressure.

https://twitter.com/0xWhale/status/2022366346806526393?s=20

At the same time, the MACD indicator printed a bullish crossover. Histogram bars expanded into positive territory. This alignment often appears during early expansion phases.

A technical analyst on X shared a chart showing compression before expansion. The tweet described the structure as range contraction followed by breakout. The post also reaffirmed the unchanged 293 target.

Resistance Levels and Target Framework

The first resistance target stands at 293. This level aligns with previous support that turned into supply. Historical price action shows congestion around that zone.

If the price reaches 293, traders expect a reaction. A clean break above that level could open the path toward 350. That second target corresponds with a prior distribution area.

The 350 level also aligns with upper structural resistance. It represents a broader recovery objective within the existing trend. However, confirmation depends on a strength above 293.

Recent commentary on social platforms referenced these levels. A widely circulated chart labeled 293 as target one and 350 as target two. The post noted that targets remain unchanged after the rally.

Price currently trades near 255–260 after the breakout. That area now acts as immediate support. Holding this zone would maintain bullish continuation prospects.

ZEC price prediction remains centered on structure rather than speculation. The market continues to respect technical levels drawn from prior supply and demand. Traders now watch whether momentum carries price toward 293 in the coming sessions.

The post ZEC Price Prediction: Can Zcash Sustain Rally Toward $293? appears on Crypto Front News. Visit our website to read more interesting articles about cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and digital assets.

Congressman Davidson said the bill would let Americans pay taxes in Bitcoin and remove capital gains tax on those payments.

Davidson said the plan puts all seized Bitcoin under Treasury custody, after agencies reportedly lost private keys across departments.

Brazil introduced a RESbit bill proposing gradual acquisition of 1 million BTC over five years, expanding an earlier reserve draft.

A new strategic Bitcoin reserve bill has been introduced in Congress, proposing that taxes could be paid in Bitcoin without capital gains tax. Congressman Davidson discussed the proposal during an interview, describing it as legislation meant to support a government-held Bitcoin reserve. He said the bill would also codify an executive order tied to how the U.S. handles seized digital assets.

However, Davidson said the main issue began with custody problems inside the federal government. He explained that different agencies held seized digital assets without a single custodian. As a result, he said agencies sometimes lost track of private keys, which he compared to losing physical cash.

Davidson Describes Treasury Custody Plan for Seized Bitcoin

Davidson said the president created a strategic Bitcoin reserve partly because the government lacked an organized custody system. He explained that agencies holding digital assets did not have a unified way to store them. Notably, he said losing private keys meant losing access to the assets entirely.

He compared the reserve structure to “Fort Knox for crypto,” with Treasury acting as the main custodian. Davidson also said the plan would centralize custody for Bitcoin and other digital assets. He added that this structure aimed to stop agencies from losing track of holdings.

Bill Would Treat Bitcoin as Currency for Paying Taxes

Davidson said lawmakers want to expand how the reserve can be funded without increasing the deficit. He explained that the legislation would allow taxpayers to contribute by paying taxes in Bitcoin. As he put it, Bitcoin would function as currency in that setting.

Notably, Davidson said the proposal would remove capital gains tax when Bitcoin is used to pay taxes. He also said the legislation would formally codify the existing executive order. He described the plan as a “common sense way” to handle custody rules.

Brazil Draft Expands RESbit Plan to Acquire 1 Million BTC

Meanwhile, a separate Bitcoin reserve proposal has surfaced in Brazil’s Congress. The bill calls for a planned and gradual acquisition of Bitcoin over five years. It targets accumulating at least 1,000,000 BTC under a reserve program called RESbit.

The proposal replaces and expands an earlier draft focused on a national strategic Bitcoin reserve. However, the bill still requires approval before it can move forward. If approved, the plan would place Brazil among the countries holding the largest Bitcoin reserves.

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Key Insights:

Solana faces a critical support zone near $67–$70, with a breakdown below $67 potentially exposing $62.

Resistance between $95–$101 remains key for any potential recovery, while $138.7 serves as a major supply zone.

A sharp contraction in open interest suggests reduced liquidation risk, making the derivatives market more neutral.

Solana’s price is currently hovering just above $80 after experiencing months of sustained downward pressure. The token’s failure to reclaim its $253 high led to a significant downtrend, with the price continually printing lower highs and lower lows. This shift in market sentiment now heavily favors sellers, especially on higher time frames.

Solana now sits close to the $67–$70 range, which marks a critical support area in the ongoing cycle. This zone represents the Fib 0.0 level, which traders are watching closely. If bulls fail to defend this region, the next likely support level comes in at $62, with a potential macro support at $50 if the market capitulates.

On the other hand, the upside remains capped by resistance between $95 and $101. This range is crucial, as it aligns with a dense EMA cluster and previous breakdown levels. Should Solana break above this range, the next resistance levels to watch will be around $111.5, followed by the major supply zone near $138.7.

Market Structure and Moving Averages

The technical structure clearly shows a bearish trend, with Solana trading below major moving averages. This supports the notion that sellers remain in control, especially given that Bollinger Bands continue to expand, indicating that volatility is likely to continue to the downside.

Source: TradingView

Derivatives data reveal a significant reset in speculative positioning. Open interest surged dramatically during Solana’s previous rally, spiking from under $2 billion to above $15 billion as the price moved toward the $250 mark. However, after a series of failed attempts to sustain upward momentum, open interest has contracted back to $5 billion. This shift suggests that excessive leverage has been flushed from the system, reducing liquidation risk in the short term. The market now appears more neutral as traders await clearer directional signals.

Exchange Flow Data Shows Stabilization

Recent exchange flow data highlights a phase of heavy distribution between July and October. However, more recent data points to a shift in sentiment, with outflows becoming more frequent and moderate inflows signaling stabilization. For now, the market remains in a holding pattern, as traders look for signs of continued accumulation.

The post Solana Price Struggles Near $80 Amid Bearish Pressure and Key Support Levels appears on Crypto Front News. Visit our website to read more interesting articles about cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and digital assets.

On-chain transparency makes employee crypto salaries visible, slowing business adoption of crypto payments.

Lack of fungibility and privacy keeps ordinary users from using crypto for everyday purchases.

Strengthening privacy could boost trust, payroll use, and broader mainstream crypto adoption.

Crypto adoption faces a critical roadblock as privacy concerns continue to hinder mainstream use, industry leaders warn. Binance founder CZ and investor Chamath Palihapitiya recently highlighted how the lack of robust privacy features prevents cryptocurrencies from reaching widespread payroll integration. 

Currently, in blockchain technology, the transparency of blockchain means that employees’ salaries are revealed. Therefore, crypto payment is not as private as cash payment. This may deter more businesses from using crypto to pay their employees.

CZ argues, “Imagine a company pays employees in crypto on-chain. You can pretty much see how much everyone in the company is paid by clicking the from address.” CZ asserts that while cryptocurrencies have pseudo-anonymity, in actual fact, blockchain’s transparency coupled with the KYC requirements of exchanges means that users are traceable. Therefore, crypto payment loses its allure as a fast and cheap means of payment compared to traditional banking.

The Privacy Problem in Crypto

The issue does not end with salaries. Chamath and CZ believe that there is a lack of fungibility in most cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. This means that not all coins are the same, as the transaction history of every coin is being tracked. “I think my biggest issue with it is that there's a lack of fungibility, which I think is problematic to get to mega scale,” Chamath said. 

CZ further emphasized that this privacy issue prevents cryptocurrencies from being fully utilized in society. People cannot buy digital goods or services without leaving a trace. In addition, blockchain technology does not have the feature of cash, as every movement in the blockchain is being permanently recorded.

Implications for Mainstream Adoption

This means that without these privacy enhancements, the adoption of crypto in businesses as well as in consumer payment systems can be a challenge. For instance, businesses might not want to engage in payroll systems in case their employees’ salary information becomes public. In addition, people might not want to engage in crypto in their day-to-day lives in case they feel they are being monitored. CZ said, “There are those use cases [illicit], but the overwhelming majority is you buy a pack of gum, or maybe a movie or video game. It’s not for me to judge.”

Moving Forward: Privacy as a Priority

According to industry experts, filling this gap could speed up mainstream adoption. Cryptocurrency requires traceability prevention and regulatory compliance solutions. 

The addition of privacy layers would make cryptocurrencies fungible, allowing coins to be interchangeable while keeping users' data private from exposure. Besides fostering trust, this could pave the way for new opportunities for cryptocurrency payroll and other financial inclusions.

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Eric Trump predicted banks will embrace Bitcoin within a year citing banking system flaws.

American Bitcoin reserves climbed to 6049 BTC worth about 425M after recent buys.

Hut 8 mines 8 to 10 BTC daily highlighting Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply limit.

Eric Trump said every major bank will adopt Bitcoin and crypto, as Trump-backed American Bitcoin’s reserves climbed above 6,000 BTC. He made the remarks while criticizing the U.S. banking system as outdated, slow, and costly. The comments came as Bitcoin moved back above $70,000, even as some traders feared a deeper price dip.

However, Trump tied his crypto interest to what he described as being “debanked and deplatformed.” He said Capital One sent letters notifying him that 300 accounts were removed overnight. He added that without those closures, he would not have entered the crypto space. Trump also said he expects widespread adoption within a year.

Eric Trump Links Crypto Push to Account Closures

Trump described the banking system as “absolutely antiquated” and said it “doesn’t work.” He also said it costs too much and moves too slowly. Notably, he argued that crypto provides a better direction for the future.

He also said he believes every bank and consumer will join the industry soon. Trump added that he felt honored to be part of crypto’s growth. He also said he was glad his father was “leading the way,” saying otherwise another country would benefit.

American Bitcoin Reserves Rise After Fresh Buying

Meanwhile, Arkham Intelligence reported that American Bitcoin now holds 6,049 BTC. The company added 196 BTC over the past 18 days. As a result, its holdings reached an estimated value of $425.82 million.

The update placed American Bitcoin among the top 20 largest public Bitcoin holders globally. It now sits in the same group as Nakamoto Inc., Anthony Pompliano’s ProCap, and GameStop. However, the company built its holdings through both mining activity and direct purchases.

Hut 8 CEO Details Mining Output and Supply Limits

American Bitcoin also highlighted mining expansion through Hut 8 Corp. In a company update, Hut 8 CEO Asher Genoot said the operation mines around 8 to 10 Bitcoin daily. He also pointed to Bitcoin’s fixed supply structure.

Genoot noted that only 21 million Bitcoin will ever exist. This supply limit remains central to Bitcoin’s long-term design. Meanwhile, American Bitcoin’s recent accumulation followed Bitcoin’s move back above the $70,000 level.

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Bitcoin bounced near $64K and is stabilizing around $70K, with key resistance at $74.5K–$80.6K.

Total crypto market may have bottomed at $2T, signaling oversold conditions and possible stabilization.

Altcoins are gaining strength, and higher volume at support zones hints at potential buying opportunities.

Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market are showing early recovery signals after recent sharp declines, according to leading analysts. Michaël van de Poppe highlighted on X that Bitcoin found a “potential bounce area” near $64,000. The cryptocurrency has since stabilized, trading around $70,300. 

Currently, the key levels being monitored by analysts for a potential break are $74,500, $76,600, and $80,600. A break below these levels may decide the fate of a stronger rally for Bitcoin. On the downside, the levels for potential support are $60,750 and $59,600. In addition, deeper potential lows for Bitcoin can be found at $56,560 and $53,340.

Not just Bitcoin, the altcoins too are showing some strength in the market. Van de Poppe mentioned that the altcoins “are acting stronger.” The high trading volume in the recent drop is a positive indicator for the market. The moving average line is curving upwards in the chart, which is a sign of a potential short-term trend reversal.

Market-Wide Trends Signal Potential Stabilization

Crypto Seth provided further insight on X, observing that the total cryptocurrency market cap may have bottomed at $2 trillion. He noted, “Weekly RSI became oversold for the first time since 2022. Only once every 4 years will the RSI ever go under 30 on the total market cap and it just happened.” 

This suggests that the market is approaching oversold conditions. Support appears strong around $2.05–$2.15 trillion, while resistance sits near $3.01 trillion. Additionally, the $752 billion mark stands as historical support from previous cycles.

In addition, the long-term trend line in Seth’s chart shows that despite the short-term fluctuations, the overall trend in the long run is upward. However, the recent declines in Bitcoin’s price also underscore the significance of market fundamentals. Seth also warned of new lows in the event of unexpected events, which include the collapse of major exchanges or the failure of tokens.

Bitcoin’s short-term hurdles include the $74,500 and $76,600 price points, while market capitalization hurdles include the $3 trillion mark. Therefore, market participants should anticipate possible declines in the event these points are breached. Furthermore, increased volume in the vicinity of the support zones may indicate the start of accumulation phases.

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X said Smart Cashtags will display live market data but not enable native crypto trading.

Nikita Bier confirmed X will not execute trades custody assets or act as a broker.

Users must complete buy or sell actions through external exchanges or brokerage partners.

X corrected reports that the platform would launch direct crypto trading. The clarification is after posts suggested imminent Bitcoin trading for over one billion users. X head of product Nikita Bier said the platform will not execute trades or act as a broker.

Smart Cashtags Will Not Enable Native Trading

Earlier reports claimed X would let users trade stocks and cryptocurrencies directly from timelines. Those reports cited upcoming Smart Cashtags features. However, Bier publicly rejected that claim in a direct response on X.

According to Bier, X is only building financial data tools. These tools will show live prices, charts, and asset information. Any buy or sell action will redirect users to external brokers or exchange partners. X will not custody assets or process transactions.

Bier stated, “X is not handling trade execution or acting as a brokerage.” He added that reports suggesting otherwise were incorrect. X Community Notes later reinforced that clarification to curb misinformation.

What Smart Cashtags Will Actually Do

Smart Cashtags will still change how financial content appears on X. Users will be able to tap ticker symbols inside posts. Doing so will display real-time market data directly in the app.

The feature reduces friction for users following market news. However, trade execution will occur outside X. Users must complete transactions through third-party platforms linked within the interface.

This structure keeps X focused on information delivery. It also avoids regulatory requirements tied to brokerage operations. Bier emphasized that the tools focus on data access, not trading infrastructure.

Everything App Vision and Spam Concerns

The clarification fits into Elon Musk’s long-term vision for X. Musk has repeatedly said he wants X to evolve into an “everything app.” He has referenced China’s WeChat as a functional comparison.

However, Bier stressed moderation remains a priority. He said he wants crypto activity to grow on X without encouraging spam or harassment. According to Bier, features that incentivize raids or abuse undermine that goal.

As a result, X’s approach limits direct financial actions. The platform will instead serve as a gateway to verified market data and external services.

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Morgan Stanley seeks a blockchain engineer to connect Hyperledger, Polygon, Canton, and Ethereum across its projects.

Bitcoin miners TeraWulf and Cipher pivot to AI data centers, boosting value and landing long-term deals with Google and Amazon.

Morgan Stanley plans crypto ETFs for bitcoin and Solana, offering safer, easier access to digital assets for investors.

Morgan Stanley is expanding its blockchain strategy, seeking a software engineer to manage integrations across multiple chains. The role will oversee projects involving Hyperledger, Polygon, Canton, and Ethereum, with compensation up to $150,000 annually. 

As per the job post, it requires expertise to design interoperable systems that can effectively interconnect various blockchain chains. Apart from this, it is also an indication of the bank’s increased focus on further integrating blockchain technology into its financial system.

Frank Chaparro of X also discussed this opportunity, stating that Morgan Stanley plans to utilize this chain to simplify transactions, smart contracts, and data security. Moreover, it is an indication of the bank’s willingness to innovate within traditional finance and blockchain technology. Thus, it is an indication of the mainstream adoption of blockchain technology.

Bitcoin Miners Pivot to AI Data Centers

Meanwhile, two bitcoin mining firms with high upside potential, according to Morgan Stanley analysts, are TeraWulf and Cipher Mining. The run-up has little to do with cryptocurrency price forecasts. Instead, they are repurposing their mining assets into AI data centers. 

The price of TeraWulf and Cipher Mining stocks, or their equity value per watt, has increased from $7 to $18 between June and December 2025, owing to the increase in demand for AI computing power. Consequently, they have secured long-term contracts with hyperscalers, including Google and Amazon. 

Analyst Stephen C. Byrd, highlighted the repeated success of TeraWulf in repurposing power infrastructure into data centers, which has high growth potential. Cipher Mining, with an experienced construction team, has also secured several contracts with long tenures of over a decade. 

However, there are execution risks, including delays or cost overruns, which could result in higher capital requirements, thus diluting shareholder value. Moreover, hyperscalers could decrease their investment in AI, but recent news points to the contrary.

Crypto ETFs and Market Legitimacy

To this end, Morgan Stanley has filed an application with the SEC to launch ETFs that track the prices of bitcoin and Solana last month. The ETFs provide investors with an opportunity to invest in cryptocurrency markets securely and with ease.

 Bryan Armour of Morningstar said, “A bank entering the crypto ETF market adds legitimacy to it, and others could follow.” ETFs could also provide Morgan Stanley with an opportunity to acquire clients in the digital asset market even when it is late to market.

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Garrett Jin transferred 5000 BTC and 261K ETH to Binance following Bitcoin’s rebound above 70K.

Wallet activity suggests possible market sales after USDT withdrawals and renewed price weakness.

A dormant Satoshi era wallet reactivated with 7068 BTC amid heightened whale movements.

On-chain data shows Garrett Jin transferred billions in digital assets after Bitcoin rebounded above $70,000. The activity occurred over two days and involved Bitcoin and Ethereum deposits, following earlier liquidation losses tied to Jin-linked wallets.

BTC Transfers Follow Bitcoin’s $70,000 Rebound

On-chain records show Garrett Jin moved 5,000 Bitcoin, valued near $350 million, to Binance. The transfer occurred shortly after Bitcoin reclaimed the $70,000 price level. While exchanges cannot confirm execution, blockchain activity later provided additional context.

According to Lookonchain data, a wallet linked to Jin withdrew $53.12 million in USDT from Binance shortly after the Bitcoin deposit. That withdrawal coincided with Bitcoin falling below $70,000 again. The timing suggests the Bitcoin transfer likely resulted in a market sale. Despite the activity, Jin-linked wallets still hold roughly 30,000 Bitcoin worth about $2.09 billion.

Ethereum Deposit Adds to Exit Pattern

The following day, Jin deposited 261,000 Ethereum, valued near $545 million, into Binance. That transaction added to a broader pattern of asset exits. The deposits followed reports that Jin previously suffered liquidation losses totaling about $250 million.

Separately, Whale Alert reported another large Bitcoin movement. The service tracked 1,651 Bitcoin, worth roughly $114 million, transferred from an unknown wallet to Binance. That transaction occurred amid elevated whale activity across major exchanges.

Dormant Satoshi-Era Wallet Reactivates

At the same time, older Bitcoin wallets resurfaced. According to Arkham Intelligence, a Satoshi-era wallet inactive for more than 14 years received 7,068 Bitcoin. The transfer carried an estimated value near $470 million.

The wallet, identified by Arkham as a “Satoshi Whale,” received the funds shortly after becoming active. Traders flagged the move due to its size and the wallet’s long dormancy.

Together, the large transfers from Garrett Jin and the reactivation of an early Bitcoin wallet marked a concentrated period of whale-driven blockchain activity.

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Roundhill’s ETFs let investors speculate on 2026 midterms and 2028 elections through yes/no contracts.

Presidential, Senate, and House ETFs roll over after elections, keeping funds active for future contests.

These ETFs bridge political betting and mainstream finance, attracting both retail and institutional traders.

Political betting is moving into mainstream finance as Roundhill Investments files for six exchange-traded funds that track U.S. election outcome bets. The move could significantly impact prediction markets.

As per a Feb. 13 filing with the SEC, the funds will invest in "yes/no"-style contracts tied to the presidential race, as well as the Senate and House elections. Roundhill is planning to launch six ETFs: Roundhill Democratic President ETF (BLUP), Roundhill Republican President ETF (REDP), Roundhill Democratic Senate ETF (BLUS), Roundhill Republican Senate ETF (REDS), Roundhill Democratic House ETF (BLUH), and Roundhill Republican House ETF (REDH).

The funds will track the elections and make their adjustments after the elections. For instance, BLUP and REDP ETFs will "acknowledge the gain or loss after the 2028 presidential election," and then "reinvest in a series of contracts tied to the 2032 elections."

BLUS and REDS will have contracts tied to the Senate outcome after the 2026 midterm elections, while BLUH and REDH will have contracts tied to the outcome in the House. Therefore, these ETFs have a rolling engagement in politics.

How These Political ETFs Operate

Roundhill plans to source contracts from Designated Contract Markets (DCMs), a regulatory requirement for exchange-listed derivatives. Consequently, these ETFs are designed to be transparent and compliant, offering a structured approach to political speculation.

Moreover, investors who are familiar with Roundhill’s Sports Betting & iGaming ETF (BETZ) may recognize the investment strategy. BETZ, which tracks the Morningstar Sports Betting & iGaming Select Index, holds popular sportsbook operators such as Flutter Entertainment (NYSE: FLUT) and DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG).

Likewise, these political ETFs could attract trading volume from retail and institutional investors who want to gain insight from the markets about the elections.

Implications for Prediction Markets

Political event contracts were traditionally the mainstay of the prediction markets prior to the emergence of sports derivatives. In addition, 2026 is a midterm election year, which is a major event. This could potentially lead to a high level of interest in the markets. However, it is not indicated exactly which markets will be used for the sourcing of the contracts.

It is apparent that these ETFs will help to fill a gap between the unofficial betting markets and the conventional financial markets.

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Tom Lee said crypto winter may have ended or could conclude by April based on sentiment trends.

Technical analysis projected Bitcoin near 60K and Ethereum near 1890 during correction.

Lee cited historical cycle patterns showing final undercuts often mark durable market bottoms.

Fundstrat Global Advisors managing partner Tom Lee said the crypto market downturn may be nearing its end. Lee said the crypto winter may have already ended or could conclude by April. He explained that deteriorating sentiment, recent price action, and technical levels support his assessment.

Sentiment and Technical Levels Shape the Call

Lee said market sentiment remains poor, which he described as typical near cycle lows. He noted that sustained negative positioning often appears before prices stabilize. According to Lee, technical indicators also suggest downside pressure may be nearly exhausted.

He referenced analysis from timing strategist Tom DeMark, who has advised Fundstrat since November. DeMark expected Bitcoin to decline toward the 60,000 level during the correction. He also projected Ethereum would bottom near 2,400, with 1,890 as a secondary downside target.

Lee said Ethereum later traded near 1,890, aligning with that projection. He added that markets may require one final undercut below support. That move, he said, would likely mark the low rather than extend the decline.

Cycle Patterns and Market Behavior

Lee said previous crypto downturns followed similar structures. In those cycles, prices fell sharply, stabilized, and briefly undercut support before recovering. He described this phase as a common reset rather than a breakdown.

He also said market participants often exit positions late in the cycle. That selling, he explained, tends to complete the bottoming process. According to Lee, the current structure matches that historical pattern.

Macro Conditions and Participation Trends

Lee said broader macro uncertainty continues to influence digital assets. He cited interest rate expectations and geopolitical risks as ongoing factors. However, he said those pressures have not altered the long-term participation trend.

Retail activity remains lower than last year, he said. At the same time, institutional and corporate involvement continues. Lee described that contrast as consistent with late-stage market corrections.

He reiterated that April represents the latest point for a potential bottom. He said the market appears close to completing the current cycle.

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Teng said US tariffs and China export controls sparked cross market liquidations not exchange failures.

Crypto saw about 19B in liquidations versus 150B in US equities during the Oct. 10 shock.

Binance paid 300M in compensation and cited stable user activity despite volatility.

Following the Oct. 10 crypto selloff, yet Binance leadership says the cause was global. On Feb. 12, 2026, in Hong Kong, Richard Teng addressed the episode at Consensus Hong Kong. He said macro policy shocks, not exchange failures, drove widespread liquidations across global markets.

Macro Shock Behind the Mass Liquidations

According to Teng, the selloff followed major policy announcements that rattled risk assets. He said the U.S. imposed 100% tariffs, while China introduced rare earth controls. As a result, U.S. equities lost about $1.5 trillion in value that day.

Notably, he said U.S. equity markets alone saw roughly $150 billion in liquidations. By comparison, crypto liquidations totaled about $19 billion. Teng stressed that crypto liquidations occurred across all exchanges, not on any single platform.

He added that roughly 75% of crypto liquidations clustered around 9:00 p.m. ET. Therefore, the timing matched broader market stress rather than platform-specific issues. He described the event as a market-driven liquidation cycle rather than a disorderly crash.

USDe Depeg and Transfer Delays Addressed

Following the main liquidation wave, two separate issues emerged. Teng said one involved a temporary USDe price deviation. Another involved slower asset transfers for some users facing liquidation risk.

However, he said both issues happened after most liquidations concluded. Therefore, they did not trigger the broader selloff. Still, Binance accepted responsibility for those isolated problems.

Teng said Binance issued about $300 million in compensation. Additionally, the exchange allocated another $300 million through a shared-gain program. He clarified that some users expected full liquidation coverage, which the firm did not promise. He reiterated that traders must bear normal market risks.

Market Data and Broader Conditions

Teng also addressed concerns about platform stability. He said Binance serves about 300 million users and processed roughly $34 trillion in trading volume last year. Moreover, he said trading data showed no signs of mass withdrawals during the episode.

He added that crypto prices continue to reflect global uncertainty. These include interest rate expectations and geopolitical tensions. However, he noted that institutional and corporate participation remains strong, even as retail activity softens.

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Key Insights:

Cardano price tests critical multi-year support zone, marking a potential turning point for the market.

The convergence of historical support and value area low boosts Cardano's chances for a reversal.

Deeply oversold RSI on Cardano suggests exhaustion of selling momentum, raising the likelihood of a bullish turn.

Cardano's price is testing a crucial multi-year support zone amid extremely oversold conditions, marking a pivotal moment for its potential market reversal. This level, which has acted as a strong support since 2022, is once again under scrutiny as broader market weakness continues.

Cardano’s price is revisiting a critical support zone that has remained intact for over four years. This support has historically acted as a demand zone, especially during previous market cycles. Despite the ongoing market downturn, ADA has bounced back towards this long-term support level, prompting speculation about whether buyers will step in to defend it once again.

Value Area Low Adds Additional Support

Compounding the significance of this support level is the value area low, which is in close alignment with the current price. The value area low typically signifies the lower boundary of fair value within a trading range and often attracts price action after periods of downward movement. This confluence of historical support and value area low strengthens the possibility of a reversal.

Source: TradingView

Another key indicator suggesting a potential reversal is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has dropped into deeply oversold territory on the weekly chart. Such extreme readings are often followed by sharp counter-trend moves, particularly when combined with strong support levels. While oversold conditions do not guarantee an immediate reversal, they suggest that selling momentum may be losing steam.

Market Structure Remains Intact Amid Oversold Conditions

The larger technical picture suggests that Cardano is currently positioned at a key inflection point. As long as the price holds above this four-year support, the broader market structure remains intact, indicating that a potential rally could unfold. If the price successfully defends this level, a move towards higher targets, including a return to the range high, could be on the horizon.

The current market structure hinges on whether the four-year support level holds. If ADA continues to close above this zone, a bullish rotation is more likely, particularly with the oversold momentum conditions. However, a decisive breakdown could lead to further downside risk, invalidating the long-term range structure.

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Key Insights:

XRP price sees a 1.68% rise, signaling a potential recovery after recent bearish trends.

Ripple’s XRP Community Day aims to drive adoption and showcase innovative XRP products like ETFs.

XRP-based ETFs have received $1.23 billion in net inflows, indicating growing investor interest.

XRP price has experienced a modest 1.68% increase over the past 24 hours, reaching $1.38. This marks a potential recovery after a week of bearish trends. The cryptocurrency had previously dropped 20% from its four-week peak of $2. However, the uptick comes after Ripple’s highly anticipated "XRP Community Day," held on February 11 and 12.

Ripple, the company behind XRP, aims to boost the adoption of its cryptocurrency by showcasing real-world use cases and the future potential of the XRP Ledger. The event brings together XRP holders, developers, financial institutions, and Ripple’s leadership, including CEO Brad Garlinghouse, President Monica Long, and CTO David Schwartz. During the event, Ripple continues its focus on global partnerships and the ongoing effort to integrate XRP into various financial ecosystems.

Ripple’s Strategy to Drive XRP Adoption

Ripple’s XRP Community Day is not just about discussions but also addresses the increasing importance of XRP in cross-chain liquidity and financial integration. The company unveiled its roadmap for 2026, detailing advancements like regulated XRP products, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), wrapped XRP, and other innovations designed to expand its utility. Ripple’s efforts are aimed at reaching a broader audience, from financial institutions to individual investors.

Source: TradingView

Another positive development for XRP comes from the rise in investor interest in XRP-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Since their launch, net inflows into XRP ETFs have reached $1.23 billion, a strong indicator of positive sentiment among investors. Weekly inflows have averaged $9.57 million, highlighting the growing demand for exposure to XRP and suggesting increasing confidence in its future potential.

XRP Price Outlook: Key Levels to Watch

Despite the recent recovery, XRP’s price remains in a narrow band between $1.36 and $1.40, with a slight increase observed in the last 24 hours. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 43, indicating a neutral market. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signals a potential decline unless the market momentum shifts. XRP faces key support at $1.30, and resistance at $1.50, with the possibility of hitting $1.60 should the price break through resistance.

Looking ahead, the future of XRP will depend on its ability to break past resistance at $1.50. If it continues its upward momentum, the price could rise toward $1.60. Conversely, if it falls below the support level at $1.30, a further decline to $1.20 could follow. As Ripple continues to build on its global partnerships and innovations, the outlook for XRP remains cautiously optimistic.

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Key Insights

HYPE's price continues to struggle below the 50-day EMA, signaling a weakening market outlook.

Futures Open Interest drops 2% as long liquidations dominate over shorts, indicating a bearish shift.

The MACD and RSI show growing bearish momentum, suggesting further downside potential for Hyperliquid.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has dropped to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $28.85, continuing a downward trend that marks a 10% decline so far this week. As the token faces rising selling pressure, bearish sentiment is taking hold, with more short positions building in the market. The 50-day EMA now serves as a critical short-term resistance level, marking a crucial turning point in HYPE’s price action.

Data from CoinGlass reveals a sharp decrease in futures Open Interest (OI), dropping by 2% over the past 24 hours to $1.34 billion. This decline reflects a drop in retail demand as traders either close out their positions or reduce leverage. This is supported by the fact that long liquidations have outpaced short liquidations by a significant margin, with long positions losing $3.07 million compared to just $228,950 in short liquidations. The shift in liquidation dynamics has brought the long-to-short ratio down to 0.9037, indicating more short positions are being opened.

Bearish Outlook Grows as HYPE Breaks Below 50-Day EMA

As of Wednesday, HYPE’s price has slipped below its 50-day EMA, signaling a worsening technical outlook. A daily close beneath this level would signal further downside potential, with the next support levels at $23.58 and $20.82, which align with previous lows. The decline also places the 50-day EMA well below the 200-day EMA at $32.75, strengthening the bearish outlook in the short term.

Source: TradingView

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has displayed a bearish crossover, and its negative histogram is widening, suggesting increased selling pressure. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 48, below the midline, showing that HYPE is in a declining phase after recently being overbought. This signals that the token may have further room to fall before reaching an oversold condition.

Potential for Rebound Above 50-Day EMA

Despite the negative technical indicators, HYPE could see a reversal if it manages to secure a daily close above the 50-day EMA at $28.85. Such a move would relieve some of the immediate selling pressure and could set the stage for a rebound toward the 200-day EMA at $32.75.

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Vitalik Buterin says prediction markets chase clicks and quick bets, losing their power to deliver useful, long-term insights.

He argues markets now depend on uninformed bettors, pushing platforms to value engagement and profit over accurate forecasting.

Buterin sees a future where prediction markets help people hedge everyday costs, acting more like insurance than gambling tools.

Ethereum co‑founder Vitalik Buterin has issued a stark warning about the current state of prediction markets. He says these markets risk losing meaningful value by focusing on short‑term bets like crypto prices and sports. 

Buterin argues this trend weakens long‑term social value and steers teams toward what he calls “corposlop.” He proposes a new role for prediction markets in finance that could replace traditional currency hedging with personalized future expense markets.

Buterin emphasizes that while trading volumes have grown enough to support full‑time market participants, this growth comes at a cost. “Market volume is high enough to make meaningful bets,” he notes, “but also they seem to be over‑converging to an unhealthy product market fit.” Instead of socially useful information, these platforms attract bets driven by dopamine and revenue needs.

Current Problems With Prediction Markets

Buterin identifies two fundamental roles in prediction markets: smart traders and money‑losing counterparts. Smart traders inject useful information into pricing. However, one side must lose money. Currently, markets rely on naive bettors who make uninformed bets. Buterin warns this encourages platforms to actively seek out less experienced traders.

Moreover, he says that relying on uninformed actors encourages brands and communities to cultivate unrealistic or “dumb” opinions just to increase participation. This, he explains, fuels a cycle where platforms prioritize engagement over genuine forecasting value. Consequently, the quality of information and societal benefit stagnates.

Hedging as a New Use Case

Buterin suggests shifting markets toward generalized hedging use cases. He explores scenarios where hedgers enter markets not to gamble, but to reduce risk. For example, owning shares in a biotech firm ties political outcomes to financial risk. 

Betting on the underdog can stabilize returns by smoothing volatility, he explains. This framing positions markets as insurance tools rather than pure speculation venues.

“Suppose that you have shares in a biotech company,” Buterin writes, illustrating how prediction markets could lower risk. “Taking a logarithmic model of utility, this risk reduction is worth $0.58.”

Beyond Stablecoins to Expense Index Markets

Buterin then links prediction markets to the future of money itself. Stablecoins aim for price stability, but they still depend on fiat systems. He proposes prediction markets built on price indices across major goods and services. Each user could hold a basket of market shares tailored to expected future expenses.

This vision eliminates traditional currency altogether. People might hold assets for growth and market shares for stability. “We do not need fiat currency at all!” he declares.

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Bitcoin whales are repositioning gradually, not panic selling, signaling steady market caution.

Price bounced from $65K to over $70K, showing buyers see dips as strong entry points.

Technicals hint mixed momentum; RSI near overbought, MACD positive, pullbacks are likely profit-taking.

Bitcoin’s price action turned heads as new on‑chain data showed key whale investors shifting their stance. According to CryptoQuant analyst _onchain, Bitcoin’s New Whales’ UPR dropped to –0.30. This decline matches a similar level last seen after the 2022 all‑time high. However, the pace and context differ meaningfully. 

As per the data, the current move took over three months to reach –0.30, whereas in 2022 it happened in less than six weeks. Hence, the latest drop reflects a slower, more drawn‑out market response rather than a sudden crash. The prolonged slide signals that major holders may cautiously reduce risk or reassess exposure as prices fluctuate. 

Gradual UPR Drop vs 2022 Crash

The UPR for Bitcoin’s New Whales turned negative before dropping to –0.30. In 2022, large entities reacted quickly after turmoil like the collapse of Luna and 3AC. Consequently, markets fell sharply then. However, now the downturn unfolded over three months. 

Moreover, this suggests larger holders adjust slowly. Besides, gradual weakening can point to broader market hesitation. The indicator did not show frantic selling. Instead, it hinted at steady repositioning. Therefore, traders should weigh not just the level, but the context and speed of change.

Price Action Shows Mixed but Improving Tone

Although the price of Bitcoin moved erratically, it continued to rise on the 30-minute Bitstamp chart that was displayed on TradingView. At first, the price of Bitcoin dropped from the high $69,000 range to the mid-$66,000 range. The momentum showed that this phase was dominated by sellers.

Source: TradingView

Buyers quickly appeared, though, and prices dropped back to between $67,000 and $68,000. Later, when the price of Bitcoin dropped to around $65,000, there was a spike in price volatility. Buyers began to arrive at this point, and prices began to rise once more. A sequence of higher lows followed, signifying an increase in momentum. The price of Bitcoin later surpassed $69,000 and even crossed the $70,000 threshold.

Technical Indicators Reflect Tension

Technical indicators' strength varied during the rally. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) approached the overbought zone during the strong up moves. Hence, traders might have sensed the stretch in the markets for the short term. 

Also, the MACD indicator turned positive during the up move. However, it flattened out as Bitcoin corrected slightly. The recent correction towards $69,400 looks more like profit-taking than a trend change. Moreover, corrections are normal after strong up moves.

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CFTC named 35 members including crypto exchange CEOs to guide emerging market regulation.

Panel shifts focus from tech advisory to commercial impacts on integrity protection and competition.

Members span Coinbase Kraken Gemini plus Nasdaq CME and DTCC under Project Crypto coordination.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced a 35-member Innovation Advisory Committee, adding senior leaders from major crypto firms. The panel launch took place in Washington as digital asset oversight gains urgency. CFTC Chair Michael Selig said the group will guide future market rules shaped by emerging technology.

Committee Structure and Regulatory Focus

According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the committee includes 20 members directly tied to crypto companies. Notably, the panel replaces the former Technology Advisory Committee, which focused broadly on derivatives innovation.

However, the new body concentrates on commercial and economic impacts of specific business models. It will advise how novel platforms affect market integrity, customer protection, and competition. The committee first launched in January with 12 charter members, then expanded to its final size.

Selig stated the goal is ensuring regulatory decisions reflect real market conditions. Therefore, the agency seeks direct industry input while developing rules for new products and platforms.

Crypto, Blockchain, and Prediction Market Leaders

Executives from leading exchanges now hold prominent seats. Appointees include Brian Armstrong, Tyler Winklevoss, and representatives from Kraken. Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek also joined the panel. Meanwhile, blockchain firms gained strong representation. 

Members include Brad Garlinghouse, Anatoly Yakovenko, and Hayden Adams. Prediction markets also secured influence. Appointees include Shayne Coplan and Tarek Mansour. At least five members have direct ties to that sector.

Traditional Finance and Project Crypto Link

Beyond crypto-native firms, traditional finance leaders joined the committee. Members include Vladimir Tenev, Peter Mintzberg, and Nathan McCauley. Additionally, major market operators gained seats. 
These include Nasdaq, CME Group, Cboe Global Markets, and Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation. The committee aligns with the CFTC and Securities and Exchange Commission joint “Project Crypto” initiative. That effort aims to coordinate digital asset oversight as regulation advances.

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MON price analysis shows a rounded base forming between $0.017 and $0.022 after an 11-week correction phase.

A break above $0.022 with volume could open upside toward $0.026 and $0.030 supply levels.

Failure to hold $0.017 may shift focus to $0.015 as downside risk re-emerges.

MON price analysis points to a developing structural shift after weeks of controlled decline. Price compression above $0.017 now defines the chart, while momentum indicators begin to stabilize near range highs.

Compression Phase Signals Structural Shift

MON price analysis shows the asset transitioning from impulsive downside to tight consolidation. After peaking near $0.038–$0.040, the price entered a prolonged correction lasting 11 weeks. 

However, recent candles reflect reduced follow-through on each sell attempt. The 23-day consolidation range between $0.017 and $0.022 has narrowed volatility. 

Volume has contracted materially compared to earlier distribution waves. As a result, breakdown attempts lack expansion and fail to attract aggressive sellers.

Repeated defenses of the $0.017–$0.018 zone indicate steady absorption. Long lower wicks form consistently after dips into that region. 

https://twitter.com/AltcoinSherpa/status/2022124359733936338?s=20

This behavior contrasts with earlier sessions when declines extended without meaningful recovery.

Trendline Break and Momentum Stabilization

MON price analysis identifies a decisive technical development on the daily timeframe. Price pierced the descending resistance trendline that defined the post-spike downtrend. 

That trendline previously capped every lower high during the decline. The break occurred directly above the established horizontal demand area. 

Multiple tests of $0.017 held without a conviction breakdown. Each retest met responsive buying, preventing continuation toward lower levels.

Momentum indicators now reflect a gradual improvement. The MACD histogram flipped positive while the price remains within the range of highs. 

https://twitter.com/aromatgq/status/2022171366271647969?s=20

This setup suggests momentum expansion could precede a broader price move if resistance yields.

Short-Term Levels and Market Commentary

MON price analysis now focuses on the $0.021–$0.022 area as a key pivot. A daily close with acceptance above $0.022–$0.023 could shift focus toward $0.026. 

Beyond that, $0.030–$0.033 marks the next visible supply cluster. Market commentator Aromat noted that MON closed Thursday down 5% at $0.019.

Despite weakness, the token recovered more than 13% from the $0.016 low. At the time of writing, the price traded near $0.0215 during the Asian session.

The same commentary identified $0.021 as a crucial intraday threshold. Holding above it could allow attempts toward the $0.024 trendline resistance. 

Conversely, failure to defend the level may expose $0.015 as a downside target. Risk parameters remain clearly defined within this structure. 

The base between $0.017 and $0.022 frames both opportunity and invalidation. As long as higher lows continue inside the range, downside momentum appears contained.

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