CryptoLordX

$BTC 7-дневное скользящее среднее соотношения реализованной прибыли/убытка резко упало ниже 1, подчеркивая, что реализованные убытки теперь доминируют в цепных потоках. Исторически устойчивые прерывания ниже этого порога совпадали с периодами эмоциональной капитуляции, а не с вершинами структурного цикла. Сжатие цен рядом с местной поддержкой в сочетании с ускоряющимися реализованными убытками сигнализирует о том, что давление продаж является поведенческим, а не структурным. В предыдущих циклах — 2019, 2020 и 2022 годы — эти паттерны отмечали события паники на поздних стадиях, когда слабые руки были вынуждены продавать, в то время как долгосрочные держатели накапливали запасы, создавая условия для будущего восстановления.

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