#CPIWatch Will Sept CPI Come Hotter? My Oil & Treasury Plan
Middle East tensions are back, oil is surging and US energy costs are climbing. Market is expecting September Headline CPI to rise.
My view: If CPI comes hotter than expected, we could see another Fed rate hike bet for year-end. That will push Treasury yields higher.
My plan:
- Watching Oil: BZUSDT is looking strong on upside breakout if CPI is hot.
- Watching Treasuries: TMFUSDT, TBT, RWUSD will be volatile. Rising yields = pressure on TMF, strength in TBT.
- I will keep my position size small before CPI data and add after confirmation.
How are you positioning for CPI? What is your take on oil?
Middle East tensions are back, oil is surging and US energy costs are climbing. Market is expecting September Headline CPI to rise.
My view: If CPI comes hotter than expected, we could see another Fed rate hike bet for year-end. That will push Treasury yields higher.
My plan:
- Watching Oil: BZUSDT is looking strong on upside breakout if CPI is hot.
- Watching Treasuries: TMFUSDT, TBT, RWUSD will be volatile. Rising yields = pressure on TMF, strength in TBT.
- I will keep my position size small before CPI data and add after confirmation.
How are you positioning for CPI? What is your take on oil?