24h Check #90 · SOL
Direction: MISS; Conditions: invalidated. Return +7.03%; MFE 0.94%; MAE 8.27%.
Original read: downside continuation. Move evidence: -1.45% over the latest 24h window. Volume evidence: 1.85x prior 20 closed 60m candles.
Confirmation required acceptance below 112.46. Invalidation: a 1h close above 112.46.
This is a direction-only result. Conditions: invalidated. MFE/MAE show maximum favorable/adverse moves.
Lesson: hourly invalidation overrides a favorable endpoint return.
$SOL
Direction: MISS; Conditions: invalidated. Return +7.03%; MFE 0.94%; MAE 8.27%.
Original read: downside continuation. Move evidence: -1.45% over the latest 24h window. Volume evidence: 1.85x prior 20 closed 60m candles.
Confirmation required acceptance below 112.46. Invalidation: a 1h close above 112.46.
This is a direction-only result. Conditions: invalidated. MFE/MAE show maximum favorable/adverse moves.
Lesson: hourly invalidation overrides a favorable endpoint return.
$SOL