technicalanalyse

📉 Доминирование Биткойна снижается — Приходит ли альтсезон?

Еженедельный график доминирования BTC (BTC.D) показывает классическую модель распределения. Исторически, когда доминирование отказывает близко к максимумам и пробивает ключевую поддержку, капитал часто переходит в альткойны, сигнализируя о начале альтсезона.

📊 Ключевые факты

Доминирование BTC отклонилось близко к сопротивлению 66%
Текущий уровень: ~58.6%, показывающий ослабление структуры
Прошлые циклы: 55% → 50% падения вызвали альтсезон

🧠 Рыночная информация

Если BTC.D упадет ниже 55%, ликвидность, вероятно, будет направлена в основные и среднеколеблющие альткойны, отмечая переход от Пред-Альтсезона → Полный Альтсезон.

🪙 Монеты для наблюдения

ETH, SOL, BNB → первый ротация
AI, RWA, DePIN сектора → потенциальное высокобета следование

#BTC #Altseason #bitcoindominance #TradingView #TechnicalAnalyse

@TopTrader 01 💥
#TechnicalAnalyse
Why the 10–20 SMA Strategy Still Works After 100 Years

Market Wisdom That Still Works
This visual highlights a time-tested trend-following strategy built on a 100-year backtest, using the 10 SMA and 20 SMA (Simple Moving Averages — not EMA) as dynamic trend guides and stop-loss levels. Its strength lies in simplicity, discipline, and alignment with long-term market behavior.

🔍 Core Concept

10 SMA (Fast Line): Best for strong, impulsive trends where price “surfs” above the average

20 SMA (Slow Line): Suitable for steady trends, allowing deeper pullbacks without exiting early

Both act as dynamic stop-losses, not just indicators

📐 Key Trading Rules

✅ Trend Following: Stay invested as long as price closes above the SMA
✅ 2–3 Touch Rule: After 2–3 clean bounces on the SMA, a decisive break = strong exit signal
✅ 7-Week Rule:
If price respects the 10 SMA for more than 7 weeks, exit immediately on the first close below it (no hesitation)
✅ Market Condition Filter:

Works best in trending markets

In choppy markets, whipsaws dominate → cash is king 💰

⚠️ Warning & Exit Signals

Failed breakouts

Outside reversal candles

First confirmed close below the SMA after prolonged trend strength

🚫 Critical Reminder: Never rely only on moving averages — price action confirmation is essential

📌 Strategic Takeaway

This strategy proves that trend discipline beats prediction. By cutting losses early and letting winners run, traders align with long-term market structure rather than emotions. It’s especially powerful for positional trading in equities, indices, and crypto during strong trends.

LINK , INIT

📊 Simple Guide to Moving Averages (EMA)

If you’re confused about which EMA does what, save this 👇

🔹 5 EMA – Short-term trend
🔹 10 EMA – Strong momentum
🔹 20 EMA – Dynamic support & resistance
🔹 50 EMA – Long-term support & resistance
🔹 100 EMA – First hurdle between 50 & 200 EMA
🔹 200 EMA – Last line of defence 💪

📌 Pro Tip:
When price stays above key EMAs, trend is strong.
When price breaks below, be cautious.

Trade smart, not emotional 📈 DeGO, FET .
#Tips #TechnicalAnalyse