Bitcoin is holding near $74,600 ahead of US inflation data. Spot and futures buyers have become more active, but the recovery has stalled below Monday’s high. Another $201 million left US spot Bitcoin ETFs. The outlook for today’s close is neutral. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $74,623
📍 Key levels 🟢 Above $75,600: An hourly close above Monday’s high after CPI, followed by a successful retest on stronger spot volume, could open the way to $75,900–$76,900. 🔴 Below $73,700: An hourly close below this level and a failed reclaim would put $73,100 and then $72,500 in focus.
↔️ Possible trading range: $72,500–$76,900. An inflation surprise could push BTC outside it.
🔮 Next 2–6 weeks ➡️ Base scenario: Buyers absorb pullbacks and BTC trades between $71,000 and $77,000. 📈 Bullish: A daily close above $77,000, a successful retest and several days of stronger spot demand could support $78,000–$81,000. 📉 Bearish: A daily close below $73,700 followed by a break of $71,700 could bring $68,000–$71,000 into play.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 10 Nov – US consumer prices could shift rate expectations. • 13 Nov – US producer prices offer a read on business price pressures. • 4 Dec – US jobs data will shed light on growth. • 8–9 Dec – The Fed sets rates and updates its outlook.
⏸️ Futures: No trade — wait and see. Short watch for 10 Nov only: After CPI, BTCUSDT would need to test 75,550 and close the hour below it. Watch for a failed retest of 75,550–75,650 within the next four 15-minute candles. A 15-minute close above 75,650 invalidates the idea. No entry is confirmed.
⚠️ These targets depend on the stated conditions. Confidence is low.
Bitcoin starts the week below $75,000. It has bounced from Sunday’s low, but Friday’s former support near $74,950 is now the first hurdle. Sellers had the upper hand in both spot and futures trading during the pullback. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $74,511
📍 Key levels 🟢 Above $75,550: An hourly close above this level and a successful retest on stronger spot volume could support a recovery to $75,800–$76,400. 🔴 Below $73,700: An hourly close below followed by a failed reclaim would put $73,100 in focus, then $71,900 if selling continues.
↔️ Possible trading range today: $73,100–$75,550, with a bearish bias. Moves outside it remain possible.
🔮 Next 2–6 weeks ➡️ Base scenario: Buyers step in around $71,000–$72,000 and rallies stall below $77,000. 📈 Bullish: A daily close above $77,000, a successful retest and several days of stronger spot demand could open the way to $78,000–$81,000. 📉 Bearish: If BTC closes below $73,700 and selling continues through $71,900, the $68,000–$71,000 area comes into play.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 10 Nov – US consumer prices could shift rate expectations. • 13 Nov – US producer prices offer a read on business price pressures. • 4 Dec – US jobs data will shed light on growth. • 8–9 Dec – The Fed sets rates and updates its outlook.
⏸️ Futures: No trade — wait and see. Short watch for 9 Nov only: BTCUSDT would need to test 74,950 and close the hour below it. Watch for a failed retest of 74,950–75,050 within the next four 15-minute candles. A 15-minute close above 75,050 invalidates the idea. No entry is confirmed.
⚠️ These targets depend on the stated conditions. Confidence is low. #btc
Bitcoin has edged higher. Friday’s trading range narrowed, but another $412 million left US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Sideways trading looks more likely today. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $75,966
📍 Key levels 🟢 $76,400: An hourly close above Friday’s high, followed by a successful retest on stronger spot volume, could open the way towards $76,700–$77,500. 🔴 $74,900: An hourly close below this level and a failed attempt to reclaim it could bring $74,000 into play.
↔️ Today’s possible trading range is $74,900–$76,900. Moves outside it remain possible.
🔮 Next 2–6 weeks ➡️ Base scenario: BTC stabilizes between $72,000 and $78,000. 📈 Bullish: A daily close above $78,000, a successful retest and several days of stronger spot demand could support a move towards $82,000. 📉 Bearish: If BTC closes below $74,900 and selling persists through $72,000, the $68,000–$72,000 area comes into focus.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 10 Nov – US consumer prices could shift rate expectations. • 13 Nov – US producer prices offer a fresh read on price pressures. • 04 Dec – US jobs data will shed light on economic growth. • 08–09 Dec – The Fed sets rates and updates its projections.
⏸️ Futures: No trade — wait and see. Short watch for 7 Nov only: BTC would need to test 76,400 USDT and close the hour below it. A failed retest would make the short worth watching. No entry is confirmed.
⚠️ These scenarios depend on the stated conditions. Confidence is low. #btc
Bitcoin has edged higher. Friday’s trading range narrowed, but another $412 million left US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Sideways trading looks more likely today. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $75,966
📍 Key levels 🟢 $76,400: An hourly close above Friday’s high, followed by a successful retest on stronger spot volume, could open the way towards $76,700–$77,500. 🔴 $74,900: An hourly close below this level and a failed attempt to reclaim it could bring $74,000 into play.
↔️ Today’s possible trading range is $74,900–$76,900. Moves outside it remain possible.
🔮 Next 2–6 weeks ➡️ Base scenario: BTC stabilizes between $72,000 and $78,000. 📈 Bullish: A daily close above $78,000, a successful retest and several days of stronger spot demand could support a move towards $82,000. 📉 Bearish: If BTC closes below $74,900 and selling persists through $72,000, the $68,000–$72,000 area comes into focus.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 10 Nov – US consumer prices could shift rate expectations. • 13 Nov – US producer prices offer a fresh read on price pressures. • 04 Dec – US jobs data will shed light on economic growth. • 08–09 Dec – The Fed sets rates and updates its projections.
⏸️ Futures: No trade — wait and see. Short watch for 7 Nov only: BTC would need to test 76,400 USDT and close the hour below it. A failed retest would make the short worth watching. No entry is confirmed.
⚠️ These scenarios depend on the stated conditions. Confidence is low. #btc
🔎 Closing price below the low of the 12 previous closed candles. Next executable minute start in the zone close to the course. Stop and goals take into account the fluctuation range of the higher time plane (Binance · completed 15m candles · ATR14 for 60-minute plan).
📊 Status: Active.
⚠️ High risk; losses are possible, no guarantee of profit.
BTC remains under pressure after a sharp sell-off and failed recovery. Today’s bias is bearish, but a rebound is possible. US jobs data could shift direction. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: ~$75,432
📍 Key levels 🟢 $76,600: An hourly close above + successful retest + stronger spot volume could support $77,500–$78,800. 🔴 $74,700: An hourly close below + failed reclaim could expose $74,000, then $72,400–$72,700. Key near-term zone: $75,200–$75,700.
🔮 Next 2–6 weeks ➡️ Base: Stabilization attempts within $72,000–$78,000. 📈 Bullish: Daily close above $77,700 + successful retest + sustained stronger demand could open $78,000–$82,000. 📉 Bearish: Daily close below $72,400 + persistent selling could expose $68,000–$72,000. Reclaiming $75,700 weakens this scenario.
📅 Key upcoming events • 06.11.: US jobs — growth and rate expectations. • 10.11.: US CPI — inflation surprises could move BTC. • 13.11.: US PPI — fresh price-pressure signals. • 08.–09.12.: Fed — rate guidance and projections.
⏸️ Futures: No trade — wait and see! Unconfirmed short watch, 06.11. only: After US jobs data, wait for an hourly close below $75,700. Within the next four 15-minute candles, a retest of $75,700–$75,850 must fail, followed by a close at $75,550–$75,650. An intervening 15-minute close above $75,850 invalidates the idea. Watch scenario only; no confirmed entry.
⚠️ Conditional scenarios, not guaranteed targets. Confidence is low.
Bitcoin is holding above $80,000 after yesterday’s rebound. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first net inflow after three days of outflows, although the five-session total is still deeply negative. Until BTC clears yesterday’s high, sideways trading looks more likely. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $80,379
📍 Key levels 🟢 Above $81,100: An hourly close above yesterday’s high, followed by a successful retest and stronger spot volume, would support a move towards $81,600–$82,700. 🔴 Below $79,700: An hourly close below this level and a failed attempt to reclaim it would bring $79,300 and $78,800 into focus first.
↔️ Today’s possible trading range is $78,800–$82,100. Moves outside it are possible, particularly around today’s US economic release.
🔮 Outlook for the next 2–6 weeks
➡️ Base scenario: Bitcoin builds a base between $77,500 and $83,000 if demand holds near the lower end. 📈 Bullish scenario: A daily close above $83,000, a successful retest and several days of stronger demand could open the way towards $84,000–$88,000. 📉 Bearish scenario: A daily close below $77,500 with sustained selling pressure would bring $72,000–$76,000 into play.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks
• 05 Nov – US productivity and costs: Higher labour costs could shift interest-rate expectations. • 06 Nov – US jobs data: Hiring will offer clues about economic growth. • 10 Nov – US consumer prices: An inflation surprise could move the dollar and BTC. • 13 Nov – US producer prices: Watch for changes in price pressure. • 08–09 Dec – Fed meeting: Updated rate projections could shift risk appetite.
⏸️ Futures: No trade — wait and see. Long watch for 05 Nov only: After an hourly close at or above 80,000 USDT, look for a retest of 79,900–80,050 USDT and a close at 80,050–80,150 USDT within the next four 15-minute candles. There is no confirmed entry. The idea expires before today’s US data release.
⚠️ These price ranges depend on the stated conditions. Confidence is low.
Bitcoin has rebounded strongly and is trading above $80,000 again. Short-term momentum has improved, but a broader trend reversal remains unconfirmed. Pullbacks are still possible after such a sharp move. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $80,535
📍 Key levels: 🟢 Above $81,100: An hourly close above this level, a successful retest and stronger spot volume would support a move towards $82,000–$83,500. 🔴 Below $79,300: An hourly close below this level followed by a failed retest would increase the risk of a pullback towards $78,100–$78,800. $80,000 remains the key retest level.
↔️ A possible trading range for the rest of today is $79,300–$82,000. Moves outside this range remain possible.
🔮 Outlook for the next 2–6 weeks: ➡️ Base scenario: Bitcoin builds a base between $78,000 and $82,000, provided demand stabilizes. 📈 Bullish scenario: A daily close above $82,000, a successful retest and stronger demand could open the way towards $84,000–$87,500. 📉 Bearish scenario: A daily close below $78,000 with persistent selling pressure could bring $74,000–$77,000 into focus. Below $75,700, the risk of an extension towards $70,000–$74,000 increases.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 06.11.: US jobs data — could shift growth expectations and the interest-rate outlook. • 10.11.: US CPI — inflation surprises could move BTC. • 13.11.: US PPI — a fresh indication of producer price pressures. • 08.–09.12.: Fed meeting — interest-rate guidance and updated projections.
⏸️ Futures: No trade — wait and see! Unconfirmed long watch scenario for 04.11. only: First, an hourly close at or above $80,000. Then, within the following four 15-minute candles, a retest of $79,950–$80,100 with a close at $80,100–$80,200. This is currently a watch scenario, not a confirmed entry signal.
⚠️ These are conditional scenarios, not guaranteed price targets. Confidence is low.
Bitcoin is recovering, but a sustained trend reversal has yet to be confirmed. Today’s outlook favours volatile sideways trading with a recovery bias. The broader weekly structure remains fragile. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $77,789
📍 Key levels: 🟢 Above $78,050: A confirmed hourly close followed by a successful retest and stronger spot volume would improve the prospects for $79,200–$80,000. 🔴 Below $76,300: A confirmed breakdown followed by a failed retest would increase the risk of a move towards $75,400–$75,700.
↔️ Possible trading range today: $76,300–$79,200. Moves outside this range remain possible.
🔮 Outlook for the next 2–6 weeks: ➡️ Base scenario: A fragile base develops between $74,000 and $80,000, provided selling pressure eases. 📈 Bullish scenario: Daily closes reclaiming $80,000 and $81,800, supported by spot demand and ETF inflows, would bring $80,000–$85,000 into consideration. 📉 Bearish scenario: A daily close below $75,700 with persistent selling pressure could bring $70,000–$74,000 into focus.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 06.11.: US jobs report – could shift interest-rate and growth expectations. • 10.11.: US CPI – inflation surprises could move BTC. • 13.11.: US PPI – fresh evidence of price pressures. • 08.–09.12.: Fed meeting – a key event for the interest-rate outlook.
⏸️ Futures: No trade – wait and see. An unconfirmed watch scenario for 04.11. only: A failed recovery into $78,600–$78,900 could create a potential short setup. It would require an hourly close below $78,600 followed by a failed 15-minute retest. This is not an entry signal; current direct exchange prices and volume confirmation are still missing.
⚠️ These are conditional scenarios, not guaranteed price targets. Confidence is low.
Bitcoin is under pressure again. The tentative stabilization has not held, leaving a downside bias for today. Temporary rebounds remain possible. 👀
💰 Bitcoin price: around $76,544
📍 These are the key levels: 🟢 Above $77,900: A sustained breakout and successful retest would improve the recovery outlook. Reclaiming $79,000 would require a reassessment of the bearish daily view. 🔴 Below $75,800: Persistent selling could bring $74,700 and $73,900 into focus.
↔️ Possible trading range today: $75,000–$78,200. Moves outside this range remain possible.
🔮 Outlook for the next 2–6 weeks: ➡️ Base scenario: Fragile base-building between $74,000 and $79,500, provided selling pressure eases and exchange-related risks do not escalate. 📈 Bullish scenario: Sustained recoveries above $79,000 and $80,000, supported by spot demand and ETF inflows, could open the way toward $80,000–$85,000. 📉 Bearish scenario: A daily close below $75,800 with continued selling could put $70,000–$74,000 in focus. Reclaiming $79,000 would challenge that outlook.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 03.11.: US midterms – political uncertainty could amplify volatility. • 03.11.: US JOLTS – job openings may shift interest-rate expectations. • 06.11.: US employment report – jobs and wages could provide fresh catalysts. • 10.11.: US CPI – inflation surprises could move BTC. • 08.–09.12.: Fed meeting – the rate decision and projections may influence risk appetite.
⏸️ Futures: The primary recommendation remains “No trade — wait and see.”
One unconfirmed short idea would be a rebound toward 77,700–77,900, followed by a clear rejection and failed retest. This is a watch scenario only, not a currently actionable trade. Avoid blindly chasing the decline.
⚠️ These are conditional scenarios, not guaranteed price targets. Confidence is low.
Bitcoin is showing tentative signs of stabilization. A sideways session with a modest recovery bias remains the preferred scenario today. A genuine trend reversal has not been confirmed. 👀
💰 Price in the morning report: around $78,131
📍 These are the key levels: 🟢 Above $79,600: A confirmed breakout followed by a successful retest and supportive spot volume would strengthen the recovery. 🔴 Below $77,000: Downside risk increases, putting the $75,800–$76,300 area back in focus.
↔️ Possible trading range today: $77,000–$79,600. Moves outside this range remain possible.
🔮 Outlook for the next 2–6 weeks: ➡️ Base scenario: Bitcoin attempts to build a base between $75,000 and $82,000, provided exchange conditions stabilize and outflows ease. 📈 Bullish scenario: Sustained moves back above $82,000 and then $85,000, supported by spot demand and ETF inflows, could open the way toward $84,000–$90,000. A drop below $80,000 would weaken this scenario. 📉 Bearish scenario: A daily close below $75,800 with persistent selling pressure could bring $70,000–$74,000 into focus. Reclaiming $79,600 would challenge that outlook.
📅 Key events in the coming weeks • 03.11.: US JOLTS – job openings could influence interest-rate expectations. • 06.11.: US employment report – jobs and wages may provide a fresh catalyst. • 10.11.: US CPI – inflation surprises could trigger significant BTC moves. • 13.11.: US PPI – an update on upstream price pressures. • 08.–09.12.: Fed meeting – the rate decision and projections could shift risk appetite.
⏸️ Futures: Wait and see — no trade! There is no verified entry setup, so no specific entry, stop-loss or profit targets are proposed. Reassess after a confirmed breakout above $79,600, a successful retest and spot confirmation.
⚠️ These are conditional scenarios, not guaranteed price targets. Confidence is low.
🚨 $14.6 billion from the Fed – is the Bitcoin pump coming now?
The number is right. But the message is sometimes clearly exaggerated. Simply explained here 👇
💵 What is actually happening?
The New York Fed is planning around $14.6 billion in reinvestment purchases of US government bonds. The official monthly period runs from 15. October to 13. November 2026.
Money from repayments of existing investments is reinvested. Additional purchases to build up bank reserves are not planned for this period.
🔄 A simple example:
You get 1,000 dollars back from an expiring investment and invest it again. You continued to invest 1,000 dollars with it - your assets did not increase by another 1,000 dollars.
That is precisely why reinvestments are not automatically a big new money injection or a new QE program.
📉 What is often missing in the hype:
In the previous month period, even $15.6 billion in reinvestments were planned. Now it's a billion less.
The other signals are also mixed:
▪️ US producer prices rose sharply in September.
▪️ A weaker dollar and waning interest rate hike expectations could support crypto.
▪️ From US Bitcoin ETFs flowed from the 12th to the 16th October bottom line around 228 million dollars.
🔍 What does this mean for Bitcoin?
These Fed purchases alone are not a reliable buy signal. For example, sustained ETF inflows, decreasing inflationary pressure and more favorable interest rate expectations would be helpful for a sustainable recovery.
An important date: the Fed meeting on 27-28. October. The decision and the outlook could move more than these routine reinvestments.
My assessment: A rally is possible. But the statement "14.6 billion are coming, that's why Bitcoin is rising" is too simple. I would not derive a long entry from this alone.
Status: 17.10.2026
Sources: New York Fed, BLS, Farside Investors, Reuters.