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Markets Analyses on-chain Data Trading, AI, Macro Insights
Открытая сделка
Случайный трейдер
7.8 г
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Index a new high above the Distribution🟥 zone

CDD Exchange Inflow reached a new 2026 high — the highest level since October 2025 🔥

#BTC price could still slip below $80k🔻 as Exchange CDD Pressure Index🟠 remains above the red zone

A higher low may be on the horizon... #bitcoin

#Onchain #exchange #bullish $BTC
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#bitcoin Impulse in decline🔻 with an active bearish divergence ⚠️

The market always moves in waves — the expectation here, given bulls' weakening, is that #BTC price will extend its retreat📉 in order to reduce leverage, creating favorable conditions for a new impulse to develop

#technicalanalyst #bearish #bearishmomentum $BTC
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Most of time, Whales🐳 are absorbing the daily supply of #bitcoin This metric aims to capture periods when whales slow their accumulation rate below the monthly average relative to the new daily supply — 🔻negative 30-day SMA values. #BTC funds tend to form during these periods when whale accumulation does not exceed the daily supply — so we use an average to identify when they are distributing until a price floor is reached.   The current expectation is that indicator will reach negative values — which has not happened in ~90 days👀 — signaling expected period for formation of a new low in BTC price. #whale #Onchain #Whale.Alert $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Most of time, Whales🐳 are absorbing the daily supply of #bitcoin

This metric aims to capture periods when whales slow their accumulation rate below the monthly average relative to the new daily supply — 🔻negative 30-day SMA values.

#BTC funds tend to form during these periods when whale accumulation does not exceed the daily supply — so we use an average to identify when they are distributing until a price floor is reached.

The current expectation is that indicator will reach negative values — which has not happened in ~90 days👀 — signaling expected period for formation of a new low in BTC price.

#whale #Onchain #Whale.Alert $BTC
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#bitcoin Realized Volatility at year lows 🔥 Whenever the indicator reaches this level🟨a directional move follows. After spikes in volatility, the market stabilizes in regions where a balance between buying-selling is found and tends to test traders patience as emotional money takes on leverage and gets trapped, serving as fuel to break out of these ranges. Realized Volatility🟥 at low levels strongly indicates that a directional move breaking out of this range is coming soon. #BTC #technicalanalyst #volatility $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin Realized Volatility at year lows 🔥

Whenever the indicator reaches this level🟨a directional move follows.

After spikes in volatility, the market stabilizes in regions where a balance between buying-selling is found and tends to test traders patience as emotional money takes on leverage and gets trapped, serving as fuel to break out of these ranges.

Realized Volatility🟥 at low levels strongly indicates that a directional move breaking out of this range is coming soon.

#BTC #technicalanalyst #volatility $BTC
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Index a new high above the Distribution🟥 zone CDD Exchange Inflow reached a new 2026 high — the highest level since October 2025 🔥 #BTC price could still slip below $80k🔻 as Exchange CDD Pressure Index🟠 remains above the red zone A higher low may be on the horizon... #bitcoin #Onchain #exchange #bullish $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Index a new high above the Distribution🟥 zone

CDD Exchange Inflow reached a new 2026 high — the highest level since October 2025 🔥

#BTC price could still slip below $80k🔻 as Exchange CDD Pressure Index🟠 remains above the red zone

A higher low may be on the horizon... #bitcoin

#Onchain #exchange #bullish $BTC
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Exchange CDD Pressure Index #bitcoin rising🔺- above the neutral zone ⚠️

Panic is beginning to set in... a deeper price correction in short term is becoming increasingly likely in #BTC

The main target is subcycle support🟩 channel in the $76k-$68k range

#Onchain #sell #signal $BTC
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This was the mildest #bitcoin bear cycle, according to historical averages. In terms of time, we are still in a 20-day historical window that rivals the 2013 cycle in development #BTC bottom formations. In my opinion, this historical pattern of declines same magnitude — on average -75% — tends to diminish as the market matures — and that may be exactly what we’re seeing here in this cycle. #bearmarket #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
This was the mildest #bitcoin bear cycle, according to historical averages.

In terms of time, we are still in a 20-day historical window that rivals the 2013 cycle in development #BTC bottom formations.

In my opinion, this historical pattern of declines same magnitude — on average -75% — tends to diminish as the market matures — and that may be exactly what we’re seeing here in this cycle.

#bearmarket #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC
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#bitcoin is approaching the True Market Mean🟠 again which currently stands at ~$77k This average calculates investor capitalization divided by active supply — if #BTC price is below🔻 this average it means that active investors, on average, are at loss. This region is main short-term support level🟩 — the initial expectation is that it will act as support if price continues to pull back. If this average is broken, it’s a sign that active investors are in red increasing the likelihood of panic selling, a rush for liquidity and forced liquidations of leveraged positions🩸 — technically, that’s what I want to see for a new higher low to form. #Onchain $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin is approaching the True Market Mean🟠 again which currently stands at ~$77k

This average calculates investor capitalization divided by active supply — if #BTC price is below🔻 this average it means that active investors, on average, are at loss.

This region is main short-term support level🟩 — the initial expectation is that it will act as support if price continues to pull back.

If this average is broken, it’s a sign that active investors are in red increasing the likelihood of panic selling, a rush for liquidity and forced liquidations of leveraged positions🩸 — technically, that’s what I want to see for a new higher low to form.

#Onchain $BTC
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Strategy has not made any new #bitcoin purchases after 5 consecutive weeks of increasing its exposure The company still holds 848,517 #BTC at a cost basis $76,083 with an unrealized profit currently🟩$2.88 billion It repurchased 2,068,459 STRC shares for $204.9 million financed 100% by USD cash. #strategy #Saylor #Onchain #BTC
Strategy has not made any new #bitcoin purchases after 5 consecutive weeks of increasing its exposure

The company still holds 848,517 #BTC at a cost basis $76,083 with an unrealized profit currently🟩$2.88 billion

It repurchased 2,068,459 STRC shares for $204.9 million financed 100% by USD cash.

#strategy #Saylor #Onchain #BTC
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#bitcoin has not yet tested the EMA 200-Weekly🟠 as support after August breakout 🔥 This move is on table and becoming increasingly likely — a deeper pullback to between $75k-$70k would come as no surprise — there are many confluence points in that region👀 #BTC #technicalanalyst #bullish $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin has not yet tested the EMA 200-Weekly🟠 as support after August breakout 🔥

This move is on table and becoming increasingly likely — a deeper pullback to between $75k-$70k would come as no surprise — there are many confluence points in that region👀

#BTC #technicalanalyst #bullish $BTC
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#bitcoin has broken above the EMA 200-Weekly and is currently trading +15% above that average.

In our last update — a post from about a month ago — we highlighted that periods of trading below this average have historically signaled excellent #BTC accumulation opportunities.

After breaking above the EMA during recent price rally, the market is expected to retest this average as support, forming a true breakout pattern similar to 2023.

If this retest occurs, the price is likely to confirm a bullish continuation pattern, marking a genuine reversal of bear market.

#technicalanalyst #bullish #Breakout $BTC
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Exchange CDD Pressure Index #bitcoin rising🔺- above the neutral zone ⚠️ Panic is beginning to set in... a deeper price correction in short term is becoming increasingly likely in #BTC The main target is subcycle support🟩 channel in the $76k-$68k range #Onchain #sell #signal $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Exchange CDD Pressure Index #bitcoin rising🔺- above the neutral zone ⚠️

Panic is beginning to set in... a deeper price correction in short term is becoming increasingly likely in #BTC

The main target is subcycle support🟩 channel in the $76k-$68k range

#Onchain #sell #signal $BTC
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Exchange CDD Pressure Index #bitcoin remains below the Neutral Zone (0.00) — which is positive for a price reversal

We emphasized in our last analysis in August 2026, that as this indicator remains below 0, it paves the way for recovery to evolve into reversal trend — which is exactly what we’re seeing now.

We continue to monitor this indicator because when new peaks above neutral zone occur, the risk of a correction in #BTC will increase exponentially.

#Onchain #exchange #inflows $BTC
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STH Realized Price has risen by about +6% since #bitcoin breakout two months ago. Currently sitting at ~$75k, this is the main short-term technical support level for #BTC — the expectation is that this region will initially be tested as a floor. Throughout the bear market, STH realized price acted as resistance — once broken and confirmed as support, this signals trend reversal. #Onchain #technicalanalyst $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
STH Realized Price has risen by about +6% since #bitcoin breakout two months ago.

Currently sitting at ~$75k, this is the main short-term technical support level for #BTC — the expectation is that this region will initially be tested as a floor.

Throughout the bear market, STH realized price acted as resistance — once broken and confirmed as support, this signals trend reversal.

#Onchain #technicalanalyst $BTC
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