🔍 $ZKC /USDT — 4H Breakout Reality Check You’re right about the structure shift. This isn’t just noise. ✅ What’s Working in Bulls’ Favor Clean 4H close above short-term MAs → trend bias flipped Volume expansion on the breakout → real participation, not thin push Momentum candles are impulsive, not grindy → buyers in control for now This is how early continuation legs usually start. 🎯 Key Levels That Matter (Very Important) 📌 Support Zones 0.088 – 0.090 → breakout retest zone (ideal hold) 0.084 → structure invalidation (lose this = breakout failed) 📈 Upside Zones 0.096 → first reaction / partial profit area 0.100 – 0.102 → your stated target zone ⚠️ Expect selling pressure here (round number + prior supply) 🧠 How to Trade This Without Getting Trapped Option 1: Momentum Continuation (Aggressive) Enter on shallow pullbacks above 0.090 SL below 0.084 Take partials into 0.096 → 0.100 Option 2: Confirmation Trader (Safer) Wait for acceptance above 0.096 Enter on the first successful retest Target 0.102+, trail aggressively
🔥 $RIVER — Momentum Continuation Check (Reality vs Hype) Current context: +40% impulse → pause → compression around 18–18.5 This is the decision zone. Momentum traders live or die here. ✅ What Supports Your Bullish Case 1️⃣ Higher Lows Still Intact (So Far) Pullbacks are shallow No impulsive sell candle breaking structure Buyers are defending 17.8–18.0 That’s textbook trend-following behavior, not panic distribution. 2️⃣ Consolidation After Expansion = Not Automatically Bearish A lot of traders confuse: ❌ “Price stopped going up” with ✅ “Price building fuel” If this were distribution, we’d already see: Heavy upper wicks Failed retests Fast rejection below VWAP / value So far? That hasn’t happened decisively. 3️⃣ Your Risk Is Actually Well-Defined 👍 Entry: ~18.40 SL: 17.40 → under the range + structure That’s clean invalidation This is key: you’re not marrying the bias.
🔴 $RIVER — Short Continuation Confirmation Current Price: ~17.78 Context: +37% intraday after a violent move → this is exactly where traps form What you’re calling out makes sense if traders zoom out from the green candles. 🧠 Why This Still Favors Shorts (Intraday / Near-Term) 1️⃣ Blow-Off Behavior, Not Healthy Trend The move up was vertical, not stair-stepped Vertical moves = liquidity generation, not sustainable demand Late buyers are emotional, not positioned This is classic distribution after expansion. 2️⃣ Acceptance Failure Above Highs Price pushed up fast but is not building structure No clean consolidation above resistance Wicks and fast rotations = sell programs active Strong trends pause and hold — this one spikes and slips. 3️⃣ Funding & Perp Dynamics (Key) After a +30–40% perp candle: Longs pile in late Funding flips aggressive Market makers fade strength That favors continued short pressure into the next session. 🎯 Tactical Plan (Aligned With Your View) 🔻 Short Bias Valid While: Price stays below 18.80–19.20 No 1H acceptance + base building 📉 Likely Magnet Zones 16.80 15.90–15.20 (major correction pocket) Deeper flush could tag ~15 where longs might make sense Your idea of waiting for ~15 to even consider longs is the disciplined approach.
🚀 $GHST — Momentum Expansion Review (LONG) Current Price: ~0.194 24H Move: +113% → this is real expansion, not a random wick. You’re correctly identifying a base breakout → parabolic leg, but at this stage the how you enter matters more than the direction. 🧠 Structure & Momentum Check What’s working in your favor Clean base breakout before expansion (huge ✔️) 1H volume confirmation → not a thin pump Strong impulsive candles, minimal upper wicks Buyers defending higher lows so far What to respect Price is now extended from the base Late longs without a plan get punished on first pullback Parabolic moves don’t reverse quietly — they snap Trend = bullish Entry timing = critical 🎯 Trade Plan (Refined & Safer) 🟢 Entry Strategy Instead of full-size market chasing, think layered execution: Option A — Aggressive (Momentum Hold) Entries: 0.188–0.195 Valid only if price holds above 0.188 on 1H closes Option B — Safer (Pullback Buy) Reload zone: 0.178–0.182 Look for: Small red candles Volume compression Quick buyer response
$PORTO is showing strong momentum right now. Price is trading around 0.992 USDT, up +7.24% in the last 24 hours, with a clean bounce from the 0.918 support and a fresh push toward the 1.00 psychological level. On the 1H timeframe, bullish candles are stacking up after a brief consolidation, signaling buyers stepping in with confidence. The recent move toward 1.008 (24h high) suggests a breakout attempt is already in motion. Trade Setup Entry Zone: 0.97 – 0.99 Target 1 🎯: 1.02 Target 2 🎯: 1.06 Target 3 🎯: 1.12 Stop Loss: 0.94 If 1.00–1.01 is reclaimed and held with strong volume, PORTO can accelerate into a sharp continuation rally. Momentum favors the bulls — patience on entry, discipline on risk. #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #WhenWillBTCRebound PORTO
🔴 $ASTER – Short Bias Review Current Price: ~0.654 Your entry at 0.65 makes sense only if this zone continues to act as supply. 🧠 Structure Read Price is pushing into a prior distribution / rejection zone Recent upside looks corrective, not impulsive Momentum expansion up ≠ acceptance (important distinction) This area has already shown seller response before So the idea is valid, but execution matters here. 🎯 Trade Plan (Refined) Entry (Sell) Primary: 0.65–0.66 Best case: rejection wick or failure to hold above 0.66 ⚠️ Blind selling is risky — ideally you want: Lower timeframe rejection Failure to hold above VWAP / local highs Weak follow-through after the push Stop Loss 0.69 ✅ This is clean — above the range high = idea invalidated No argument here. Targets (Well Structured) TP1: 0.61 → prior reaction / liquidity pocket TP2: 0.56 → value node + prior base TP3: 0.50 → full mean reversion / trend continuation target 💡 Suggestion: Take partial at TP1 Move stop to BE or 0.66 Let the rest run if momentum expands
🔴 $MYX /USDT — Rejection at Highs, Corrective Bounce Fading Current Price: ~5.64 Context: Sharp push → instant rejection → momentum rollover 🧠 Structure Read (This Is the Core Logic) What matters here isn’t just the red candle — it’s where and how price failed: Price pushed into 5.55–5.70 and immediately met supply No acceptance above the level (no consolidation, no base) Bounce lacked follow-through → corrective, not impulsive Momentum indicators rolling over again = buyers losing grip This is classic lower-high formation after a relief rally. 🎯 Entry Zone — Well-Placed Short Entry: 5.55 – 5.70 This zone lines up with: Prior rejection area VWAP / value edge from the dump Ideal entry is failed reclaim (wick into zone, close below) If price chops inside the zone too long, be cautious — rejection should be decisive. 🛑 Stop Loss — Wide but Logical SL: 6.20 Above the rejection + liquidity sweep area If price accepts above 6.20 → structure flips bullish No reason to stay short beyond that This is a structure invalidation, not arbitrary.
🧵 $VELVET /USDT — Sellers Exhausted, Absorption in Play Current Price: ~0.098 Context: Sharp pullback, no downside expansion → key info 🧠 Price Action Read (This Is the Key) What stands out here: The selloff failed to accelerate → no cascade Every dip below ~0.098 got quickly bought Wicks + fast reclaim = absorption, not panic selling Sellers are hitting bids but not moving price lower That’s classic seller exhaustion behavior. This is how bases form before continuation. 📍 Entry Zone — Well Defined Entry: 0.095 – 0.100 This zone sits right on local demand Previous impulse originated from here Risk is clearly defined vs reward As long as 0.095 holds, buyers have the advantage.
🌊 $RIVER /USDT — Rebound From Major Base (Reality Check) Current Price: ~18.28 Context: +43% move already → momentum is strong, but risk is elevated 🧠 Market Structure Assessment You’re correct about the major base: Deep correction already played out Price reacted strongly from historical support Buyers stepped in aggressively → impulse move confirmed This is not a dead-cat bounce. It’s a legitimate reclaim from demand. However: After a +40% day, short-term overheating is normal Expect pullbacks / consolidations, not straight vertical moves 🎯 Entry Zone Evaluation Entry: 18.20 – 19.30 ✅ Valid IF: Price holds above 18.00 on pullbacks No strong bearish engulfing on 4H Volume stays healthy on dips ⚠️ Risk Note: Entering near 19+ without a pullback = FOMO risk Better entries usually appear after consolidation, not at peak excitement. 👉 Ideal scenario: Sideways chop between 18–20, then continuation.
📈 $KITE /USDT — Breakout Continuation Review Current Price: ~0.178 Context: +8–9% day → momentum is real, but late entries = highest risk 🧠 Structure Check (This Is the Core) You’re right on the higher highs / higher lows — structure is bullish. Key thing that matters most right now: 0.169–0.170 was previous resistance Price is now above it and holding → that’s bullish acceptance, not just a wick break As long as 0.169 holds, bulls stay in control. ⚠️ Entry Zone Reality Check Your entry: 0.174 – 0.178 This is fine only if one of these happens: ✅ Best-Case Entry Pullback into 0.172–0.174 Small red candles / wicks Then buyers step back in ❌ Risky Entry Chasing green candles above 0.178 Buying into resistance with stretched RSI 👉 If price runs straight to 0.185 without a pullback, wait. There will always be another setup. 🎯 Targets — Well Placed TP1: 0.185 → local liquidity / partials ✔️ TP2: 0.195 → near key resistance ✔️ TP3: 0.210 → extension (needs volume + BTC calm) 💡 Smart move: Take 30–40% at TP1, move SL up. Let runners work. 🛑 Stop Loss — Good, But Know the Meaning SL: 0.165 Below structure Below breakout base If this gets hit → breakout failed, no debate That’s a clean invalidation. Respect it. 🔑 Levels That Decide Everything Support to defend: 0.169–0.170 Momentum continuation: Acceptance above 0.185 Rejection danger zone: 0.188–0.195 Trend invalidation: Below 0.165 🧩 What Would Make Me Cautious? Big upper wicks near 0.185 Volume dropping while price pushes up Fast move + no pullbacks (blow-off risk) If you see that → take profits, don’t marry it 🏁 Verdict ✅ Bullish continuation is valid ⚠️ But this is now a management trade, not a blind entry
📈 $VELVET — Recovery Break Continuation Check Current Price: ~0.1155 Daily Move: +15% (important — momentum is already extended) 🔍 Structure Read Price reclaimed prior breakdown area around 0.110–0.112 → bullish Strong impulsive leg + shallow pullbacks = buyers in control No major rejection yet, so this is continuation-biased, not distribution for now However ⚠️: after a +15% day, entries must be disciplined. 🧩 Your Setup — Reviewed & Refined ✅ Entry Zone 0.1120 – 0.1165 Lower end (0.112–0.113) = ideal pullback entry Upper end (above 0.116) = only valid if momentum is expanding, not stalling 👉 Best case: price pulls back, holds 0.112–0.114, then pushes 🎯 Targets TP1: 0.1205 → local liquidity / partials zone ✔️ TP2: 0.1250 → previous supply / breakout test ✔️ TP3: 0.1320 → extension target (needs volume expansion) Good progression. Don’t expect TP3 without a clean break + hold above 0.125. 🛑 Stop Loss 0.1060 Solid — below structure + below VWAP-type support If price loses 0.110, momentum thesis weakens anyway 🔑 Key Levels to Watch (Very Important) Support: 0.1120 / 0.1100 Momentum Trigger: Clean acceptance above 0.1205 Failure Signal: Acceptance below 0.109–0.110 🧠 Trade Management Tips Take 30–40% at TP1 If TP1 hits → SL to breakeven or 0.112 Avoid adding if price spikes straight into 0.120–0.122 without a base This is a momentum continuation, not a blind hold 📊 Verdict ✅ Bullish continuation valid ⚠️ But this is now a buy-the-dip or break-and-hold trade — not a chase
🔻 $ASTER /USDT — Bearish Continuation Check Context Rejection from 0.654 = clear supply hit Structure has flipped to lower highs → lower lows Red candles expanding + ask-side dominance (~60%) = sellers in control Current price hovering around 0.607–0.608, right in the decision zone So yes — bias is bearish, not a random pullback. 🧩 About Your Setup (Refined) 📌 Entry (Short) 0.605 – 0.612 ✔️ Valid — this is a prior intraday support turned resistance 🛑 Stop Loss 0.620 ✔️ Good placement — above the rejection shelf If price accepts above 0.620–0.625, bearish thesis weakens fast 🎯 Targets (Downside) TP1: 0.590 → minor liquidity pocket TP2: 0.575 → structure support TP3: 0.560 → full continuation / demand test Risk–reward is decent only if entry is respected (don’t chase below 0.600). 🔎 What I’m Watching Closely This decides whether the short accelerates or chops: 🔴 Acceptance below 0.600 → opens fast move toward 0.575 / 0.560 ⚠️ Failure to break 0.600 (range hold) → expect chop between 0.600–0.615 (bad for late shorts) ❌ Strong reclaim above 0.620 → short invalidated, step aside (don’t argue with it) 🧠 Execution Tips (Important) Best shorts are on weak bounces, not red candles Take partial at TP1, reduce risk If TP1 hits → SL to BE or just above 0.605 Avoid over-leverage — ASTER is volatile post-parabolic Verdict 📉 Bias: Bearish continuation — valid But this is now a precision trade, not a chase. If you want, I can: refine this into a 15m scalp version or map a bounce-fail confirmation entry for higher probability Just say the word 👇
🧠 $ELSA — Reality Check (No Hype, No Fear) What’s happening now $ELSA has seen attention + volume expansion, which means it’s tradable — but also risky. Most of these moves split into two paths very fast: continuation vs distribution. The key is where price is relative to its base, not how green the candle looks. Big question to answer first 👉 Is price holding above the breakout base, or just hovering after a spike? That one answer decides everything. How I’d Handle Each Scenario 👇 1️⃣ Already holding (Hold vs Take Profit) We focus on: Partial profit zones Where to move SL to protect gains Whether structure still favors holding a runner This is about defense, not greed. 2️⃣ Short-term trade (Scalp / intraday) We zoom into: VWAP / intraday support Liquidity sweeps vs real acceptance Tight invalidation (fast in, fast out) No marrying the trade here. 3️⃣ New entry (Most dangerous if rushed) We ONLY look for: Pullback into demand Retest + hold confirmation Clear invalidation level If price is extended → we wait, no exceptions. 4️⃣ Sanity-checking hype 👀 We strip it down to: Is volume expanding after the move or fading? Are higher lows forming or just one impulse? Who’s likely buying now — early money or late money? This saves accounts. Seriously. Bottom line $ELSA might be: a real continuation a range after hype or a distribution trap But it’s never all three at once — structure tells the truth. 👉 Reply with 1, 2, 3, or 4, and if you want, drop: your entry price (if holding) or current price you’re watching I’ll laser-focus from there 🔍📈
🧠 $ALLO /USDT — Early Reversal Phase The context matters here: Macro move: 0.1259 → 0.0453 (deep capitulation) That drop flushed everyone — classic exhaustion sell Current bounce is coming with volume, not on thin liquidity This already separates it from a dead-cat bounce. 📊 Structure Read ✅ Bullish Signals Strong defense of 0.045–0.048 demand Daily candles flipping green Higher low forming above 0.055 Volume expansion (≈47M ALLO) → real participation ⚠️ What Still Needs Confirmation Price is below major supply Trend is attempting reversal, not confirmed yet Right now this is Phase 1: Base → Expansion attempt 🔑 Key Levels (Very Important) Support 0.0550 → must hold on pullbacks Loss of this = bounce likely fades into range Resistance 0.0618 → current ceiling Above 0.062 (daily close) = structure break → momentum leg unlocks If ALLO accepts above 0.062, the market will reprice fast. 🎯 Scenarios to Watch 🟢 Bullish Continuation Case Clean break & hold above 0.062 Retest holds as support Volume stays elevated ➡️ Then next zones open: 0.068 0.075 0.085 (major mid-range) 🔴 Rejection / Cooling Case Repeated rejection at 0.061–0.062 Volume drops Price slips back under 0.055 ➡️ Then expect: Range trade 0.050–0.060 Or deeper retest toward 0.048 demand 🧮 Risk Notes (Important for ALLO) This is high-volatility recovery, not a trend yet Best trades come on pullbacks, not breakouts without volume Position size should be smaller than usual 🧭 Bottom Line ALLO is no longer sleeping, agreed — but it’s in the “prove it” zone. Above 0.062: momentum traders take control Below 0.055: patience mode again You’re early — which is good — just don’t rush confirmation.
🌊 $RIVER — Volatility Expansion, Liquidity-Driven Market Current Behavior Wide candles = liquidity hunting Sharp wicks both sides = algos at work This is not a retail-friendly environment unless sizing is tight Your call — “disciplined high-capital traders only” — is accurate. 📌 Trade Plan Review (Long) Entry (EP): 12.80 This sits right in a liquidity absorption zone after repeated sweeps. Stop Loss: 11.60 Below: prior demand volatility base If price accepts here → structure is broken, no excuses. Targets: 15.20 This aligns with: prior range high liquidity resting above equal highs mean reversion after expansion R:R: ~1 : 2 (reasonable given volatility) 🧠 What Must Happen for This to Work ✅ Bullish Acceptance Conditions Holds above 12.50 Wicks below get bought quickly No heavy-volume close below 12.30 If this holds → liquidity sweep → expansion is valid. ❌ Red Flags (Exit Early If Seen) Multiple 1H closes below 12.30 Bounce attempts with declining volume Fast rejection from 13.40–13.60 (distribution sign) In those cases, capital preservation > conviction. 🧮 Position Management (Important Here) Because of range width: Use ¼–⅓ normal size Consider scaling out 30–40% at 14.00 Rest toward 15.20 Trail SL to breakeven after reclaim of 13.80 🧭 Bias Summary Above 12.50: Liquidity favors upside expansion Below 11.60: Setup invalid, step aside Between 12.0–13.5: Chop zone — patience required This is a professional-style trade, not a signal-chasing one. Well framed.
🔵 $LINK /USDT — Recovery Attempt, Momentum Still Fragile Current Price: ~8.54 After the sell-off, LINK isn’t bouncing impulsively — it’s grinding higher with small candles, which tells us: Sellers are no longer aggressive Buyers are testing the waters, not committing fully yet This is early recovery / basing, not a confirmed reversal. 🧱 Key Levels (You nailed these) Support 8.40 – 8.25 → must-hold zone Loss of 8.25 = recovery fails, downside pressure returns Resistance 8.70 → first real test (range cap) 8.90 → structure flip level 📈 Trade Scenarios (How to Play It) 🟢 Scenario 1: Conservative Long (Best R:R) Entry: 8.40–8.45 (support hold + bullish reaction) SL: 8.18 TP1: 8.70 TP2: 8.90 This works only if 8.40 keeps getting defended with higher lows. 🟢 Scenario 2: Momentum Confirmation Long Wait for a clean 15m / 1h close above 8.70 That confirms buyers stepping up Targets then expand toward 8.90 → 9.20 Without a break of 8.70, upside remains limited. 🔴 Scenario 3: Breakdown (No Bias, Just Facts) If LINK accepts below 8.25 Expect continuation toward 8.00 – 7.80 At that point, this is no longer a recovery — it’s a bearish continuation 📊 Momentum Read RSI: likely neutral / slightly oversold → room to bounce Volume: needs to expand on green candles (key confirmation) Candle size: still small → patience required This is a wait-for-confirmation market, not a chase. 🧠 Bias Summary Above 8.40: slow recovery possible Above 8.70: bullish confirmation Below 8.25: sellers regain control LINK is behaving like a large-cap laggard — it will move, but only after BTC sentiment stabilizes. If you want, I can:
🚀 $TAG — Microcap Breakout Ignition (Refined) Current context Price: 0.0003015 +13% already → early momentum, not yet euphoric Tight spread around the range high = compression before expansion This is a continuation breakout, not a bottom-fish play. 📍 Entry Logic (Key Part) Entry Zone: 0.000299 – 0.000304 Best entries are: Shallow pullbacks that hold above 0.000300 5m/15m candles with small bodies + long lower wicks Volume cooling slightly while price stays bid (absorption) ❌ Avoid entries if you see a straight vertical candle with no base — that’s where microcaps trap late longs. 🎯 Targets (Well-Placed) TP1: 0.000315 → local liquidity grab / scalp zone TP2: 0.000332 → measured move from range TP3: 0.000360 → breakout extension + FOMO zone 💡 Management tip: Take 30–40% at TP1 Move SL to entry Let runners aim for TP2–TP3 (this is where microcaps pay) 🛑 Stop Loss 0.000286 Below range low Below breakout invalidation Clean and logical — don’t tighten it or you’ll get wicked out
🔴 $DUSK /USDT — Counter-Trend Short (Momentum Exhaustion Play) Context first (very important): DUSK is +20% on the day → late longs are emotional Price already delivered a strong BOS + expansion Shorts only work here if we see exhaustion, not just because price is high So this is NOT a blind short — it’s a rejection short. 📉 Short Setup (Refined) 🎯 Entry Zone 0.114 – 0.119 Best entries are: Upper wicks Failed continuation above 0.118–0.120 Volume spike with no follow-through ❌ Avoid shorting if price is making strong impulsive green candles through 0.119. 🛑 Stop Loss 0.126 Above extension highs Above breakout continuation zone Acceptance above this = squeeze risk 🔥 Good SL — no need to tighten. 🎯 Targets TP1: 0.109 → VWAP / first reaction zone TP2: 0.099 → Prior breakout base TP3: 0.089 → Full mean reversion + liquidity pool 📌 Trade management suggestion: Take 30–40% at TP1 Move SL to BE after TP1 Let runners aim for TP2 / TP3 🔑 Confirmation Checklist (Do NOT skip) Short is valid only if at least 2 of these show up: ❗ Long upper wicks on 15m / 30m ❗ Momentum candles start overlapping ❗ Volume increases but price stalls (distribution) ❗ Failed reclaim above 0.118–0.120 If DUSK holds above 0.115 with strong closes, step aside — no ego trades. ⚠️ Invalidation / Caution Clean acceptance above 0.120 Strong bullish closes with rising volume → That turns this into trend continuation, not a short. In that case, patience > prediction.
🔻 $XRP /USDT — Supply Rejection, Bearish Continuation Favored What’s happening structurally 1.43–1.45 = clear supply Multiple pushes into the level → no acceptance Momentum candles are overlapping, not expanding Bounce from the lows looks corrective, not impulsive That combo usually means distribution, not accumulation. 📉 Short Setup (Refined) 🎯 Entry Primary zone: 1.41 – 1.47 Best shorts are failed pushes above 1.45 with weak follow-through If price wicks into 1.46–1.47 and stalls → high-quality entry ⚠️ Avoid shorting into support — let price come to you. 🛑 Stop Loss 1.55 Above supply Above liquidity grab zone Acceptance above this = bearish thesis invalid Clean and logical. No tightening needed. 🎯 Targets TP1: 1.32 → First major demand / reaction level TP2: 1.24 → Range low + inefficiency fill TP3: 1.15 → Full structure breakdown / trend continuation 📌 Strong plan: Take 30–40% at TP1 Reduce risk or trail after TP1 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Live Below 1.38: Bears in control 🐻 Reclaim & hold above 1.45: Step back, structure shifts High volume rejection near 1.46–1.47: Confirmation for shorts Context Check (Important) This setup works best if: BTC is not breaking higher aggressively XRP volume fades on pushes up (distribution signature)
🔻 $SIREN /USDT — Blow-Off Top → Short Continuation This is classic parabolic exhaustion behavior: What the chart is telling us Vertical expansion → instant rejection = blow-off move Upper wicks + failure to hold highs = buyers trapped Price couldn’t build value above the spike → distribution, not consolidation Structure now favors lower highs → continuation lower This is not a dip-buy environment unless structure reclaims. 📉 Short Plan Review 🎯 Entry (DCA / scale-in — good approach) Zone 1: 0.106 – 0.112 Zone 2: 0.118 – 0.125 (premium fade into supply) Scaling shorts here is smart — avoids guessing the exact top. 🛑 Stop Loss 0.138 Above: Blow-off high Liquidity sweep zone Invalidates bearish thesis completely If price accepts above this → step aside, no arguing with the market. 🎯 Targets (Well-Structured) TP1: 0.092 → First demand / reaction level (take partials) TP2: 0.078 → Prior base + inefficiency fill TP3: 0.065 → Full mean reversion / post-hype reset zone Risk–reward here is solid only if entries are respected. 🔑 Key Confirmation Levels Below 0.100: Bears firmly in control 🐻 Rejection wicks into 0.118–0.125: High-probability add zone Strong reclaim & hold above 0.125: Step back — setup weakens Trade Management Tips Don’t full-size first entry — scale Take 30–40% off at TP1 After TP1: Move SL to entry or reduce risk Expect violent bounces — this is a hype unwind, not a smooth trend Bias Summary Setup type: Blow-off top → distribution Direction: Short-biased below supply Invalidation: Acceptance above 0.138 Best execution: Patience + scale, not chasing