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U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending August 22 came in at 203K, below expectations of 208K. The previous reading was revised from 206K to 207K.
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending August 22 came in at 203K, below expectations of 208K. The previous reading was revised from 206K to 207K.
CoinGecko: Crypto Industry Lost $3.63 Billion From January 2025 to July 2026CoinGecko’s 2026 Crypto Security Report found that the crypto industry suffered $3.63 billion in losses across 245 recorded security incidents from January 2025 to July 2026, with the top 10 attacks accounting for more than 72.5% of the total stolen funds. Among the platforms attacked, about 60% (147) had undergone independent security audits before the incidents, accounting for 88.44% of total losses. However, most attacks occurred outside the audit scope, with only about 11% involving vulnerabilities within the scope of routine smart contract audits. Meanwhile, the active coverage capacity of onchain insurance protocols fell 20.2% from $163.2 million to $130.2 million, while limited coverage and other constraints led 5 of the 9 onchain insurance protocols to shut down or pivot. CEXs are increasingly relying on self-funded investor protection funds to address security risks.

CoinGecko: Crypto Industry Lost $3.63 Billion From January 2025 to July 2026

CoinGecko’s 2026 Crypto Security Report found that the crypto industry suffered $3.63 billion in losses across 245 recorded security incidents from January 2025 to July 2026, with the top 10 attacks accounting for more than 72.5% of the total stolen funds. Among the platforms attacked, about 60% (147) had undergone independent security audits before the incidents, accounting for 88.44% of total losses.
However, most attacks occurred outside the audit scope, with only about 11% involving vulnerabilities within the scope of routine smart contract audits. Meanwhile, the active coverage capacity of onchain insurance protocols fell 20.2% from $163.2 million to $130.2 million, while limited coverage and other constraints led 5 of the 9 onchain insurance protocols to shut down or pivot. CEXs are increasingly relying on self-funded investor protection funds to address security risks.
A Conversation with NDV Founder Jason: Strategy May Have Overplayed Its Hand, and I'll Wait for a...Complied by | WuBlockchain Original Link: https://www.wublock123.com/articles/interview-ndv-founder-jason-microstrategy-overleveraged-wait-panic-sell-for-dip-59136 In this episode of the WuBlockchain Podcast, NDV founder Jason Huang discusses the recent decline in Bitcoin, Strategy’s Bitcoin sales, macroeconomic risks, and opportunities in the crypto industry. Jason believes that the first half of the current crypto downturn was driven primarily by residual selling pressure from Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, while the recent decline has also been compounded by a pullback in U.S. equities, tightening liquidity, and debt pressure at Strategy. In his view, the market has not yet reached a true bottom. Bear market bottoms often require a defining event on the scale of the FTX collapse, pushing the market into a state of widespread despair in which almost no one is still discussing crypto. Regarding investment strategy, Jason says NDV’s second fund has returned more than 20% this year and has traded commodities including oil, gold, and silver in addition to crypto assets. He remains cautious about AI stocks, noting that although he is a heavy user of AI, he does not believe he has an edge in trading the sector. He is also concerned about crowded positioning and bubble risks in U.S. equities, semiconductors, and the enthusiasm surrounding a potential SpaceX IPO. Despite his bearish short-term outlook, he remains optimistic about the long-term value of stablecoins, which he considers one of the clearest crypto innovations with genuine real-world utility and significant room for further adoption. Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale Triggers Preemptive Selling as BTC Enters a Liquidity Squeeze Mao Di: In the previous episode, you predicted that the crypto market could undergo a significant correction in 2026. Bitcoin has continued to fall recently. Is this decline consistent with what you expected at the time? And how do you view the market at its current level? I saw that you mentioned around $48,000 on X. Jason: Even $48,000 may not be the bottom. I did not go into much detail at the time because every downturn has a different underlying logic. It was only recently, especially over the past two days, that I began to feel this decline was truly unfolding in line with what I expected last September. The first half looked more like concentrated selling driven by Bitcoin’s four-year cycle. Many long-term traders tend to exit around these cyclical turning points, which can trigger a rush for the exits. At the same time, U.S. stocks remained resilient for much longer than I expected, but I think their correction is only now beginning. Against that backdrop, investors who also hold BTC or IBIT will often choose to raise liquidity first. I also did not expect MSTR to hold up for this long. Its flywheel mechanism only really began to break down recently. That is why I think this decline could be larger than the market expects. Mao Di: Bitcoin’s sharp decline over the past two days was, to some extent, triggered by Strategy itself. It actually sold only 32 BTC, but the market reaction was significant. Some analysts believe this was more like a test of market resilience and that the situation remains under Strategy’s control. What do you think? Jason: I disagree. People often assume founders are more powerful than they really are, as though they can control everything. But that is not the case. When facing an uncertain future, entrepreneurs often have no choice but to make judgments under uncertainty. Strategy’s original model was to borrow money, issue preferred stock, and then raise additional equity to buy Bitcoin. During an upcycle, this model works because rising Bitcoin prices can cover interest and dividend payments, while the company’s shares trade at a premium, creating a positive flywheel. But when Bitcoin falls rapidly, the stock moves from a premium to a discount, and the company still has to make real interest and dividend payments, that mechanism turns into a negative feedback loop. I think Strategy has overplayed its hand to some extent. It originally held around $2 billion in cash to cover preferred-stock dividends for the next two years. But it later dealt early with a convertible bond due in 2029, consuming about $1.2 billion in one go. As a result, what had been a two-year buffer was reduced to just four months. Under those circumstances, it has three options: default on its bonds, default on its preferred stock, or sell Bitcoin. The sale of those 32 BTC already shows which option it chose. It will protect creditors first, shareholders second, and Bitcoin holders last. What the market is really worried about is not those 32 BTC, but the more than 800,000 BTC Strategy holds in total. The concern is the much greater potential selling pressure that could follow. And Strategy is not the only seller. Some other large holders have also been selling recently because everyone knows that MSTR represents the largest source of potential selling pressure. Rather than wait for it to sell, they would rather exit first. In essence, this downturn is being driven by the market selling in anticipation of MSTR. The key question over the next four months is how Strategy will deal with its debt obligations and preferred-stock dividends. It has to address them, although the method remains uncertain. If someone is later willing to acquire a large block of Bitcoin at a discount, preventing Strategy from continuing to sell into the market, I think that level would most likely be close to a short-term bottom because the company would have regained its ability to meet its payment obligations. Mao Di: But if it had already decided to sell Bitcoin to cover preferred-stock dividends, why did it not sell a larger amount at once? Why sell such a small amount and send a signal to the market, only to let everyone else sell ahead of it? Jason: That comes down to a founder’s judgment at a critical moment. He may have believed that selling too much at once would cause even greater panic, so it would be better to sell a small amount first. That would send a signal to the market while also reassuring preferred-stock investors. But ultimately, that judgment spiraled out of control. This was never something he could have discussed widely beforehand. He could only anticipate how the market might interpret the move and then make what he believed was the best decision at the time. Even today, we cannot prove whether the market would have reacted better if he had sold more at once. The market’s interpretation of information changes dynamically. He could make only one choice, not run the same experiment repeatedly. Fund Returns, Commodity Positions, and the Inflation Trade Mao Di: When we first started talking, you mentioned that you had recently been taking short positions. Bitcoin’s decline must have generated fairly strong returns for you. How is your second fund performing overall? Jason: Our returns this year certainly cannot compare with those made by trading semiconductor or AI stocks. We are up a little over 20%, which is still respectable. Bitcoin has fallen by more than 30% overall this year, while we have generated a positive return of around 20%, so we have outperformed Bitcoin by roughly 50 to 60 percentage points. Our first fund also outperformed Bitcoin by around 60 to 70 percentage points. At this point, we have a chance of surpassing that figure. Mao Di: So the strategy for this fund is broadly similar to that of the first fund. You are still focused on Bitcoin and crypto-related assets without investing in AI-related products or stocks, correct? Jason: We did not invest in AI at all. To be honest, I regret that a little. I am a heavy AI user and pay for nearly every good product that offers a paid subscription, but I ultimately did not buy any related assets. To some extent, my actions did not align with my convictions. However, we have traded some other assets this year, including oil, gold, and silver. For example, part of yesterday’s return came from shorting silver. I think precious metals and crypto assets follow similar trading dynamics. Both are driven by supply and demand as well as major events, and both involve high leverage. The difference is that precious metals move more slowly and are easier to analyze. We have therefore allocated some of our attention to commodities this year. Overall, I think commodities are entering a particularly interesting phase. In addition to precious metals, inflation has been another major theme this year. Oil may represent the first wave, with the effects gradually spreading to other categories. Mao Di: I have also been discussing inflation with others recently. One view is that the productivity gains created by AI could exert a deflationary effect to some extent. What do you think? Jason: At least for now, prices are not showing any clear signs of deflation. I agree that AI has offset some inflationary pressure, but many forms of real-world consumption will not disappear simply because of AI. For example, rising oil prices directly increase logistics and production costs. Fuel surcharges on airline tickets are a straightforward example, and that pressure will continue to spread into more areas. I also think the “deflation” created by AI is more evident in employment. In other words, it may create unemployment. The reality may not be that AI makes life easier for everyone. Instead, wealthy people may earn more through AI-related assets, while ordinary people continue to bear the pressure of inflation and rising living costs. The U.S. political system will most likely eventually respond to this problem, perhaps by using redistribution to ease the tensions. But if it reaches that point, inflation could become even more pronounced. That is the contradiction the market is essentially trading right now: whether inflation arrives first, or AI first delivers on its promise of improving efficiency and lowering costs. For now, the AI trade remains stronger, but events such as a SpaceX IPO could also drain further liquidity from the market. Many of these themes may ultimately play out, but in trading, the hardest part is never identifying the direction. It is deciding when to enter, which instrument to use, and how to structure the position. World Cup Trading Cards: Turning “Investing in a Person” Into a Standardized Trade Mao Di: In addition to the fund, I saw that you are working on a project involving sports trading cards. I previously listened to a podcast in which you discussed the subject, but I did not fully understand it. I do not really follow football or basketball, and I do not collect cards, so could you briefly explain what this market is and how it works? Jason: Put simply, sports trading cards offer a highly standardized way to “invest in a person” or “invest in an IP.” They follow a fixed issuance mechanism and cannot be issued without limit, because excessive supply would destroy their value. At its core, this is a market built around limited supply and long-term operation. I have always believed that sports and anime IP are consumer products for this generation. Young people grow up admiring particular athletes or anime characters, and once they have spending power, they are willing to spend money on those idols. Sports trading cards emerged from that dynamic. They have both collectible and investment value, which is tied to an athlete’s performance, development, and personal appeal. Mao Di: So the athletes authorize companies to issue these cards? Jason: Yes. Today, sports card companies generally obtain licenses from the relevant leagues and then handle issuance. The industry has experienced overproduction in the past, which made cards from certain years nearly worthless. As a result, everyone now understands that supply has to be controlled. Mao Di: Do the issuing companies mainly earn money from the initial sales, with little involvement in subsequent trading? Jason: The secondary market is already highly developed. There are trading platforms, auction houses, and grading companies. Grading is crucial because a card’s condition directly affects its price. The market has therefore developed a complete division of labor, with issuance, circulation, and grading handled independently. Mao Di: So your project is mainly focused on the trading layer? Jason: Yes, but our approach differs from that of a typical platform. Because I come from a financial background, I view sports cards primarily as investment assets. We focus on the rarest cards, such as “1-of-1” cards, of which only one exists in the world. Their value ultimately depends on how the athlete develops, including their performance, achievements, and market popularity. Mao Di: You have mentioned the card’s “year” several times. Does that mean that once the cards for a particular year have been issued, no more can ever be added? Jason: Correct. A card’s value is closely tied to its year. Once that year has passed, the edition is fixed and its supply cannot increase. In that sense, the logic is somewhat similar to that of baijiu or other aged spirits. Mao Di: But from an outsider’s perspective, this still sounds somewhat similar to NFTs, particularly in terms of IP and fractional trading. What is the biggest difference between sports cards and NFTs? Jason: The difference is substantial. Many NFT projects handled both issuance and trading. They made money too quickly and consequently had little incentive to continue developing the IP. Sports trading cards are different because they are backed by established IP and real sports leagues that operate over the long term. Those leagues continuously generate attention, so the market rests on a completely different foundation. Stablecoins, the AI Bubble, and Assessing Crypto’s Bear Market Bottom Mao Di: Why do you think so many exchanges are now entering prediction markets? Many people also believe prediction markets could become one of the most important areas in crypto over the coming period. What is your view? Jason: On the surface, it is because prediction markets offer a trading model that people are willing to participate in. But the deeper reason is that the widespread adoption of stablecoins and wallets has significantly lowered the barriers to launching new types of exchanges. Operating a centralized exchange requires handling KYC, user management, asset custody, hacking risks, regulation, and a whole range of other costly issues. On a platform such as Polymarket, however, funds remain in users’ own wallets, while the platform only matches trades. This represents more than the rise of prediction markets. It signals the emergence of an entirely new category of exchanges. Following that logic, centralized exchanges could face considerable disruption in the future. Mao Di: You are a heavy AI user, but neither you personally nor your fund has invested in AI-related stocks. Why? Jason: For one thing, many of the products I actually use regularly are not yet publicly listed. For another, I generally avoid areas in which I do not have a trading edge. I understand software better, but the most heavily traded part of the market has been the hardware supply chain, including optical modules and semiconductors. I have not researched those areas enough or made a dedicated effort to catch up, so I did not participate. Mao Di: AI hardware stocks have fallen sharply recently. Do you think this is just a normal correction, or is the bubble still in its early stages? Jason: I do not want to make a judgment because I have not researched it enough. But after such a large rise over a short period, a correction is perfectly normal. How deep it will be is difficult to say. Generally, the faster something rises, the faster it falls, because a lot of speculative capital is inevitably involved. Mao Di: You previously mentioned several highly crowded trades in the market. How do you view them now? Jason: Semiconductors are what I have been watching most closely recently. The trade has become extremely crowded, and I think this phase of the rally is almost over. It is difficult to say whether the correction will be 20% or 30%, but crowded trades like this often shift from unanimous bullishness to a rush for the exits. Mao Di: Between crypto and AI, which currently offers the better risk-reward profile? Jason: I do not think the crypto market has completed its shakeout, and it will be difficult for it to stage a genuine recovery in the short term. Many people look for optimistic explanations whenever prices fall, but based on supply, demand, and the level of panic, I still do not see a true bottom. We may not be far from the bottom in terms of time, but I do not think prices have fallen far enough. At the very least, $60,000 may not hold. Mao Di: So we have not yet reached a stage comparable to the FTX collapse? Jason: Not at all. A true bear market bottom usually requires a defining event that creates a sense that “crypto is finished.” It does not necessarily have to be an exchange collapsing, but a player of comparable significance probably needs to run into serious trouble. Right now, people have simply become numb to the losses. They have not reached genuine despair. A true bottom usually arrives when you and everyone around you are in extreme pain and no longer want to look at the market. Mao Di: Many people are also deeply pessimistic about the crypto industry itself. They feel that after all these years, it has failed to produce anything genuinely new. Jason: I disagree. Stablecoins are a very clear achievement. They have genuinely made something “faster and better,” which, in my view, makes them the clearest area of innovation in crypto. I am also very optimistic about the sector because its penetration remains low. As long as the market remains far from its full potential, it would not be surprising to see several new players emerge. Mao Di: You also mentioned that you are bearish on U.S. stocks. Is that because you are generally pessimistic about the macroeconomic environment? Jason: I simply think it is unreasonable for a market to rise continuously without falling. Sentiment has become somewhat overheated. When even ordinary people start thinking they might as well speculate in stocks, that is usually a dangerous stage. It is not limited to U.S. equities. Hong Kong stocks have also become extremely speculative under the AI narrative. Some time ago, I heard an investor say that after carefully reviewing SpaceX’s listing materials, he thought it looked like a company on the verge of bankruptcy. The more I thought about it, the more I felt the argument was not entirely unreasonable. Musk has told an enormous story around SpaceX, even suggesting that much of its future revenue will come from AI. If that is the case, investors might as well buy OpenAI directly. So I think the bubble component is fairly obvious. An IPO is often the last major opportunity for founders and their teams to raise the largest possible amount of money from the market within a short period. Naturally, they will try to list when the market is at its hottest. Musk is also one of the people who understands capital markets best, and he never enters a deal in which he expects to lose money. So I do not really believe that an IPO would leave substantial profits in the secondary market for ordinary investors. Mao Di: People have indeed become somewhat dependent on the assumption that the same strategy will keep working. Jason: Exactly. It is as though all you have to do is buy and hold, and you will make money. I simply think that this inertia has itself become dangerous. Market Outlook: Wait for a True Panic Washout Before Buying the Dip Mao Di: Finally, could you share your outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum over the next year? After all, your prediction last year was fairly accurate. Jason: I am extremely bearish on Ethereum. I cannot even see where its bottom might be. As for Bitcoin, over a one-year horizon, I think the price may ultimately end up close to where it is now, but it will most likely fall sharply first and then rebound significantly. In other words, we may not be far from the bear market bottom in terms of time, but prices may not have fallen far enough. Even $48,000 may not hold. Mao Di: So you are more inclined to wait for a bottom triggered by a major event? Jason: Yes. A true bottom is usually accompanied by a defining event. When it happens, you will not need to check the charts or read the news. You will know that something has gone wrong because your social feeds will be flooded with posts and angry reactions. The FTX collapse was an event of that magnitude. We are not there yet. Prices are falling, but people are more numb than genuinely panicked. A true bear market bottom usually appears only after the panic has been fully released and nobody wants to look at the market anymore. In hindsight, that kind of bottom is obvious, but at the time, you usually have no desire to buy. Mao Di: When nobody wants to buy, how do you convince yourself to take action? Jason: I still focus on penetration and the spread of consensus. As long as something has network effects, remains accepted by only a small group of core users, and is still far from reaching its adoption ceiling, the story is not over. That applies to Bitcoin, and it also applies to sports trading cards. So I first establish a fundamental anchor in my mind: Is this still at an early stage, and does it still have long-term room to grow? The specific questions of how to buy and how much of a drawdown I can tolerate belong to the trading side. When pessimism truly reaches its peak, it is better not to keep staring at the market. I think one effective approach is to step away, perhaps by going on a trip. Set your target price in advance, buy when the market reaches it, and then stop looking again. Watching the market every day will inevitably affect your emotions and interfere with your judgment. For long-term holders, staying away from the noise is often more important. Follow us Twitter: https://twitter.com/WuBlockchain Telegram: https://t.me/wublockchainenglish

A Conversation with NDV Founder Jason: Strategy May Have Overplayed Its Hand, and I'll Wait for a...

Complied by | WuBlockchain
Original Link:
https://www.wublock123.com/articles/interview-ndv-founder-jason-microstrategy-overleveraged-wait-panic-sell-for-dip-59136
In this episode of the WuBlockchain Podcast, NDV founder Jason Huang discusses the recent decline in Bitcoin, Strategy’s Bitcoin sales, macroeconomic risks, and opportunities in the crypto industry. Jason believes that the first half of the current crypto downturn was driven primarily by residual selling pressure from Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, while the recent decline has also been compounded by a pullback in U.S. equities, tightening liquidity, and debt pressure at Strategy. In his view, the market has not yet reached a true bottom. Bear market bottoms often require a defining event on the scale of the FTX collapse, pushing the market into a state of widespread despair in which almost no one is still discussing crypto.
Regarding investment strategy, Jason says NDV’s second fund has returned more than 20% this year and has traded commodities including oil, gold, and silver in addition to crypto assets. He remains cautious about AI stocks, noting that although he is a heavy user of AI, he does not believe he has an edge in trading the sector. He is also concerned about crowded positioning and bubble risks in U.S. equities, semiconductors, and the enthusiasm surrounding a potential SpaceX IPO. Despite his bearish short-term outlook, he remains optimistic about the long-term value of stablecoins, which he considers one of the clearest crypto innovations with genuine real-world utility and significant room for further adoption.
Strategy’s Bitcoin Sale Triggers Preemptive Selling as BTC Enters a Liquidity Squeeze
Mao Di: In the previous episode, you predicted that the crypto market could undergo a significant correction in 2026. Bitcoin has continued to fall recently. Is this decline consistent with what you expected at the time? And how do you view the market at its current level? I saw that you mentioned around $48,000 on X.
Jason: Even $48,000 may not be the bottom. I did not go into much detail at the time because every downturn has a different underlying logic. It was only recently, especially over the past two days, that I began to feel this decline was truly unfolding in line with what I expected last September.
The first half looked more like concentrated selling driven by Bitcoin’s four-year cycle. Many long-term traders tend to exit around these cyclical turning points, which can trigger a rush for the exits. At the same time, U.S. stocks remained resilient for much longer than I expected, but I think their correction is only now beginning. Against that backdrop, investors who also hold BTC or IBIT will often choose to raise liquidity first.
I also did not expect MSTR to hold up for this long. Its flywheel mechanism only really began to break down recently. That is why I think this decline could be larger than the market expects.
Mao Di: Bitcoin’s sharp decline over the past two days was, to some extent, triggered by Strategy itself. It actually sold only 32 BTC, but the market reaction was significant. Some analysts believe this was more like a test of market resilience and that the situation remains under Strategy’s control. What do you think?
Jason: I disagree. People often assume founders are more powerful than they really are, as though they can control everything. But that is not the case. When facing an uncertain future, entrepreneurs often have no choice but to make judgments under uncertainty.
Strategy’s original model was to borrow money, issue preferred stock, and then raise additional equity to buy Bitcoin. During an upcycle, this model works because rising Bitcoin prices can cover interest and dividend payments, while the company’s shares trade at a premium, creating a positive flywheel.
But when Bitcoin falls rapidly, the stock moves from a premium to a discount, and the company still has to make real interest and dividend payments, that mechanism turns into a negative feedback loop.
I think Strategy has overplayed its hand to some extent. It originally held around $2 billion in cash to cover preferred-stock dividends for the next two years. But it later dealt early with a convertible bond due in 2029, consuming about $1.2 billion in one go. As a result, what had been a two-year buffer was reduced to just four months.
Under those circumstances, it has three options: default on its bonds, default on its preferred stock, or sell Bitcoin. The sale of those 32 BTC already shows which option it chose. It will protect creditors first, shareholders second, and Bitcoin holders last.
What the market is really worried about is not those 32 BTC, but the more than 800,000 BTC Strategy holds in total. The concern is the much greater potential selling pressure that could follow.
And Strategy is not the only seller. Some other large holders have also been selling recently because everyone knows that MSTR represents the largest source of potential selling pressure. Rather than wait for it to sell, they would rather exit first. In essence, this downturn is being driven by the market selling in anticipation of MSTR.
The key question over the next four months is how Strategy will deal with its debt obligations and preferred-stock dividends. It has to address them, although the method remains uncertain. If someone is later willing to acquire a large block of Bitcoin at a discount, preventing Strategy from continuing to sell into the market, I think that level would most likely be close to a short-term bottom because the company would have regained its ability to meet its payment obligations.
Mao Di: But if it had already decided to sell Bitcoin to cover preferred-stock dividends, why did it not sell a larger amount at once? Why sell such a small amount and send a signal to the market, only to let everyone else sell ahead of it?
Jason: That comes down to a founder’s judgment at a critical moment. He may have believed that selling too much at once would cause even greater panic, so it would be better to sell a small amount first. That would send a signal to the market while also reassuring preferred-stock investors. But ultimately, that judgment spiraled out of control.
This was never something he could have discussed widely beforehand. He could only anticipate how the market might interpret the move and then make what he believed was the best decision at the time.
Even today, we cannot prove whether the market would have reacted better if he had sold more at once. The market’s interpretation of information changes dynamically. He could make only one choice, not run the same experiment repeatedly.
Fund Returns, Commodity Positions, and the Inflation Trade
Mao Di: When we first started talking, you mentioned that you had recently been taking short positions. Bitcoin’s decline must have generated fairly strong returns for you. How is your second fund performing overall?
Jason: Our returns this year certainly cannot compare with those made by trading semiconductor or AI stocks. We are up a little over 20%, which is still respectable. Bitcoin has fallen by more than 30% overall this year, while we have generated a positive return of around 20%, so we have outperformed Bitcoin by roughly 50 to 60 percentage points. Our first fund also outperformed Bitcoin by around 60 to 70 percentage points. At this point, we have a chance of surpassing that figure.
Mao Di: So the strategy for this fund is broadly similar to that of the first fund. You are still focused on Bitcoin and crypto-related assets without investing in AI-related products or stocks, correct?
Jason: We did not invest in AI at all. To be honest, I regret that a little. I am a heavy AI user and pay for nearly every good product that offers a paid subscription, but I ultimately did not buy any related assets. To some extent, my actions did not align with my convictions.
However, we have traded some other assets this year, including oil, gold, and silver. For example, part of yesterday’s return came from shorting silver. I think precious metals and crypto assets follow similar trading dynamics. Both are driven by supply and demand as well as major events, and both involve high leverage. The difference is that precious metals move more slowly and are easier to analyze.
We have therefore allocated some of our attention to commodities this year. Overall, I think commodities are entering a particularly interesting phase. In addition to precious metals, inflation has been another major theme this year. Oil may represent the first wave, with the effects gradually spreading to other categories.
Mao Di: I have also been discussing inflation with others recently. One view is that the productivity gains created by AI could exert a deflationary effect to some extent. What do you think?
Jason: At least for now, prices are not showing any clear signs of deflation. I agree that AI has offset some inflationary pressure, but many forms of real-world consumption will not disappear simply because of AI.
For example, rising oil prices directly increase logistics and production costs. Fuel surcharges on airline tickets are a straightforward example, and that pressure will continue to spread into more areas.
I also think the “deflation” created by AI is more evident in employment. In other words, it may create unemployment. The reality may not be that AI makes life easier for everyone. Instead, wealthy people may earn more through AI-related assets, while ordinary people continue to bear the pressure of inflation and rising living costs.
The U.S. political system will most likely eventually respond to this problem, perhaps by using redistribution to ease the tensions. But if it reaches that point, inflation could become even more pronounced.
That is the contradiction the market is essentially trading right now: whether inflation arrives first, or AI first delivers on its promise of improving efficiency and lowering costs. For now, the AI trade remains stronger, but events such as a SpaceX IPO could also drain further liquidity from the market.
Many of these themes may ultimately play out, but in trading, the hardest part is never identifying the direction. It is deciding when to enter, which instrument to use, and how to structure the position.
World Cup Trading Cards: Turning “Investing in a Person” Into a Standardized Trade
Mao Di: In addition to the fund, I saw that you are working on a project involving sports trading cards. I previously listened to a podcast in which you discussed the subject, but I did not fully understand it. I do not really follow football or basketball, and I do not collect cards, so could you briefly explain what this market is and how it works?
Jason: Put simply, sports trading cards offer a highly standardized way to “invest in a person” or “invest in an IP.” They follow a fixed issuance mechanism and cannot be issued without limit, because excessive supply would destroy their value. At its core, this is a market built around limited supply and long-term operation.
I have always believed that sports and anime IP are consumer products for this generation. Young people grow up admiring particular athletes or anime characters, and once they have spending power, they are willing to spend money on those idols. Sports trading cards emerged from that dynamic. They have both collectible and investment value, which is tied to an athlete’s performance, development, and personal appeal.
Mao Di: So the athletes authorize companies to issue these cards?
Jason: Yes. Today, sports card companies generally obtain licenses from the relevant leagues and then handle issuance. The industry has experienced overproduction in the past, which made cards from certain years nearly worthless. As a result, everyone now understands that supply has to be controlled.
Mao Di: Do the issuing companies mainly earn money from the initial sales, with little involvement in subsequent trading?
Jason: The secondary market is already highly developed. There are trading platforms, auction houses, and grading companies. Grading is crucial because a card’s condition directly affects its price. The market has therefore developed a complete division of labor, with issuance, circulation, and grading handled independently.
Mao Di: So your project is mainly focused on the trading layer?
Jason: Yes, but our approach differs from that of a typical platform. Because I come from a financial background, I view sports cards primarily as investment assets. We focus on the rarest cards, such as “1-of-1” cards, of which only one exists in the world. Their value ultimately depends on how the athlete develops, including their performance, achievements, and market popularity.
Mao Di: You have mentioned the card’s “year” several times. Does that mean that once the cards for a particular year have been issued, no more can ever be added?
Jason: Correct. A card’s value is closely tied to its year. Once that year has passed, the edition is fixed and its supply cannot increase. In that sense, the logic is somewhat similar to that of baijiu or other aged spirits.
Mao Di: But from an outsider’s perspective, this still sounds somewhat similar to NFTs, particularly in terms of IP and fractional trading. What is the biggest difference between sports cards and NFTs?
Jason: The difference is substantial. Many NFT projects handled both issuance and trading. They made money too quickly and consequently had little incentive to continue developing the IP. Sports trading cards are different because they are backed by established IP and real sports leagues that operate over the long term. Those leagues continuously generate attention, so the market rests on a completely different foundation.
Stablecoins, the AI Bubble, and Assessing Crypto’s Bear Market Bottom
Mao Di: Why do you think so many exchanges are now entering prediction markets? Many people also believe prediction markets could become one of the most important areas in crypto over the coming period. What is your view?
Jason: On the surface, it is because prediction markets offer a trading model that people are willing to participate in. But the deeper reason is that the widespread adoption of stablecoins and wallets has significantly lowered the barriers to launching new types of exchanges.
Operating a centralized exchange requires handling KYC, user management, asset custody, hacking risks, regulation, and a whole range of other costly issues. On a platform such as Polymarket, however, funds remain in users’ own wallets, while the platform only matches trades. This represents more than the rise of prediction markets. It signals the emergence of an entirely new category of exchanges. Following that logic, centralized exchanges could face considerable disruption in the future.
Mao Di: You are a heavy AI user, but neither you personally nor your fund has invested in AI-related stocks. Why?
Jason: For one thing, many of the products I actually use regularly are not yet publicly listed. For another, I generally avoid areas in which I do not have a trading edge. I understand software better, but the most heavily traded part of the market has been the hardware supply chain, including optical modules and semiconductors. I have not researched those areas enough or made a dedicated effort to catch up, so I did not participate.
Mao Di: AI hardware stocks have fallen sharply recently. Do you think this is just a normal correction, or is the bubble still in its early stages?
Jason: I do not want to make a judgment because I have not researched it enough. But after such a large rise over a short period, a correction is perfectly normal. How deep it will be is difficult to say. Generally, the faster something rises, the faster it falls, because a lot of speculative capital is inevitably involved.
Mao Di: You previously mentioned several highly crowded trades in the market. How do you view them now?
Jason: Semiconductors are what I have been watching most closely recently. The trade has become extremely crowded, and I think this phase of the rally is almost over. It is difficult to say whether the correction will be 20% or 30%, but crowded trades like this often shift from unanimous bullishness to a rush for the exits.
Mao Di: Between crypto and AI, which currently offers the better risk-reward profile?
Jason: I do not think the crypto market has completed its shakeout, and it will be difficult for it to stage a genuine recovery in the short term. Many people look for optimistic explanations whenever prices fall, but based on supply, demand, and the level of panic, I still do not see a true bottom. We may not be far from the bottom in terms of time, but I do not think prices have fallen far enough. At the very least, $60,000 may not hold.
Mao Di: So we have not yet reached a stage comparable to the FTX collapse?
Jason: Not at all. A true bear market bottom usually requires a defining event that creates a sense that “crypto is finished.” It does not necessarily have to be an exchange collapsing, but a player of comparable significance probably needs to run into serious trouble. Right now, people have simply become numb to the losses. They have not reached genuine despair.
A true bottom usually arrives when you and everyone around you are in extreme pain and no longer want to look at the market.
Mao Di: Many people are also deeply pessimistic about the crypto industry itself. They feel that after all these years, it has failed to produce anything genuinely new.
Jason: I disagree. Stablecoins are a very clear achievement. They have genuinely made something “faster and better,” which, in my view, makes them the clearest area of innovation in crypto. I am also very optimistic about the sector because its penetration remains low. As long as the market remains far from its full potential, it would not be surprising to see several new players emerge.
Mao Di: You also mentioned that you are bearish on U.S. stocks. Is that because you are generally pessimistic about the macroeconomic environment?
Jason: I simply think it is unreasonable for a market to rise continuously without falling. Sentiment has become somewhat overheated. When even ordinary people start thinking they might as well speculate in stocks, that is usually a dangerous stage. It is not limited to U.S. equities. Hong Kong stocks have also become extremely speculative under the AI narrative.
Some time ago, I heard an investor say that after carefully reviewing SpaceX’s listing materials, he thought it looked like a company on the verge of bankruptcy. The more I thought about it, the more I felt the argument was not entirely unreasonable. Musk has told an enormous story around SpaceX, even suggesting that much of its future revenue will come from AI. If that is the case, investors might as well buy OpenAI directly. So I think the bubble component is fairly obvious.
An IPO is often the last major opportunity for founders and their teams to raise the largest possible amount of money from the market within a short period. Naturally, they will try to list when the market is at its hottest. Musk is also one of the people who understands capital markets best, and he never enters a deal in which he expects to lose money. So I do not really believe that an IPO would leave substantial profits in the secondary market for ordinary investors.
Mao Di: People have indeed become somewhat dependent on the assumption that the same strategy will keep working.
Jason: Exactly. It is as though all you have to do is buy and hold, and you will make money. I simply think that this inertia has itself become dangerous.
Market Outlook: Wait for a True Panic Washout Before Buying the Dip
Mao Di: Finally, could you share your outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum over the next year? After all, your prediction last year was fairly accurate.
Jason: I am extremely bearish on Ethereum. I cannot even see where its bottom might be. As for Bitcoin, over a one-year horizon, I think the price may ultimately end up close to where it is now, but it will most likely fall sharply first and then rebound significantly.
In other words, we may not be far from the bear market bottom in terms of time, but prices may not have fallen far enough. Even $48,000 may not hold.
Mao Di: So you are more inclined to wait for a bottom triggered by a major event?
Jason: Yes. A true bottom is usually accompanied by a defining event. When it happens, you will not need to check the charts or read the news. You will know that something has gone wrong because your social feeds will be flooded with posts and angry reactions. The FTX collapse was an event of that magnitude.
We are not there yet. Prices are falling, but people are more numb than genuinely panicked. A true bear market bottom usually appears only after the panic has been fully released and nobody wants to look at the market anymore. In hindsight, that kind of bottom is obvious, but at the time, you usually have no desire to buy.
Mao Di: When nobody wants to buy, how do you convince yourself to take action?
Jason: I still focus on penetration and the spread of consensus. As long as something has network effects, remains accepted by only a small group of core users, and is still far from reaching its adoption ceiling, the story is not over. That applies to Bitcoin, and it also applies to sports trading cards.
So I first establish a fundamental anchor in my mind: Is this still at an early stage, and does it still have long-term room to grow? The specific questions of how to buy and how much of a drawdown I can tolerate belong to the trading side.
When pessimism truly reaches its peak, it is better not to keep staring at the market. I think one effective approach is to step away, perhaps by going on a trip. Set your target price in advance, buy when the market reaches it, and then stop looking again. Watching the market every day will inevitably affect your emotions and interfere with your judgment. For long-term holders, staying away from the noise is often more important.
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HashKey’s 2026 Interim Revenue Jumps 20.6%, Adjusted Loss Narrows Notably by 21.0%HashKey Holdings Limited (“HashKey” or the “Company”, together with its subsidiaries, the “Group”, Stock Code: 3887.HK) today announced its unaudited consolidated interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 (the “Reporting Period”). In the first half of 2026, the global digital asset market entered a phase of cyclical consolidation amid a contraction in total crypto‑asset market capitalisation, as the industry entered a phase of market clearing. Against this backdrop, HashKey delivered resilient high‑quality growth underpinned by its forward-looking onshore compliance strategy. Both revenue and gross profit grew over the period, with profitability continuing to improve and adjusted loss narrowing, significantly underpinning the Group’s fundamental strength amidst macroeconomic headwinds. In terms of financial performance, HashKey maintained resilient overall operational performance during the Reporting Period. Revenue reached HK$342.5 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.6%; gross profit amounted to HK$207.5 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.5%; and gross profit margin improved sequentially to 60.6% from the second half of 2025. Meanwhile, by optimizing operational efficiency, adjusted loss (non-IFRS measure) was HK$314.8 million, representing a decrease of 21.0% as compared to HK$398.3 million for the same period last year, reflecting meaningful loss reduction and substantial improvement in underlying profitability. Three core business segments advance in tandem: transaction facilitation services enhanced profitability; on-chain services saw accelerated commercial roll‑out for its tokenisation business, while the asset management business continued to optimise its revenue structure. As the Group’s core growth engine, transaction facilitation services exhibited notable resilience amid market volatility. During the Reporting Period, revenue from transaction facilitation services reached HK$267.9 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.6%. Total platform trading volume stood at HK$282.2 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.8%. In particular, trading volume from institutional customers continued to increase, surging by 58.8% year-on-year to HK$231.5 billion, accounting for 82.0% of total platform volume, reflecting high confidence of institutional customers in the compliant platform. Beyond the trading segment, HashKey’s on‑chain and asset management businesses achieved meaningful progress. The commercialisation of tokenisation was accelerated. The total value locked (TVL) of on‑chain real‑world assets (RWA) reached HK$2,678.5 million, representing a substantial year‑on‑year increase of 167.8%. During the Reporting Period, the Group delivered Hong Kong’s first real estate RWA project as well as Hong Kong’s first regulated silver RWA token, further maintaining HashKey’s leading position in on‑chain financial innovation. For asset management, the Group recorded assets under management (AUM) of HK$5,941.2 million, with segment revenue amounting to HK$38.84 million. During the Reporting Period, the Group optimised its investment strategy. While adopting a “selective investment and disciplined risk management” approach for venture capital (VC) investments, it launched diversified and stable wealth management products, including Stablecoin and Bitcoin wealth management products, as well as the first Bitcoin Hashrate Fund in the industry. These launches further expand the Group’s product suite catering to institutional and high‑net‑worth clients. On the investment and global‑footprint front, the Group also secured breakthrough progress. In July 2026, a wholly‑owned subsidiary of HashKey entered into a framework agreement with Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) in Singapore and its major shareholders to acquire the entire equity interest in APEX. APEX holds both the Approved Exchange (AE) and Approved Clearing House (ACH) licences in Singapore. This proposed transaction is expected to significantly enhance HashKey’s trading and clearing infrastructure for the institutional market, further solidifying its regulated standing across key Asian financial markets. Separately, in April 2026, HashKey Capital, a subsidiary of the Group, made a strategic investment in Vietnam Prosperity Crypto Assets Exchange Joint Stock Company (CAEX). The Group also entered into a strategic technology partnership with CAEX to jointly build an institutional‑grade compliant digital‑asset trading platform in Vietnam. In May 2026, funds under HashKey Capital Investment led the Series B+ funding round for SignalPlus with a US$40.0 million investment, of which the Group contributed US$20.0 million. SignalPlus specialises in institutional‑grade digital‑asset options and derivatives technology services. This investment represents the Group’s key move to strengthen its derivatives trading capabilities. To solidify the foundation for long-term development, HashKey fully deepens its ecosystem partner network. On the traditional‑finance front, the Group deepened its cooperation with world-class banks such as J.P. Morgan and DBS, expanded fiat on‑ and off‑ramp channels. At the ecosystem level, the Group established partnerships with blockchain network and on-chain financial protocols such as Canton and Morpho to explore co‑building institutional‑grade on‑chain applications and deeply participated in the reshaping of the Ethereum ecosystem by initiating the Ethereum Applications Guild (EAG). Dr. Xiao Feng, Chairman of the Board and CEO of HashKey, commented: “HashKey will evolve along a welldefined path: from a digital asset trading platform to a digital asset financial marketplace; from a single markets to Asian market network; from crypto native assets to real world assets (RWA) and tokenised assets; and ultimately to build next generation digital financial infrastructure that connects pools of assets and pools of capital. Looking ahead, we will continue to pursue refined operations and business innovation, steadily improving profitability and capital efficiency to deliver long‑term, sustainable value for our shareholders, customers and partners.”

HashKey’s 2026 Interim Revenue Jumps 20.6%, Adjusted Loss Narrows Notably by 21.0%

HashKey Holdings Limited (“HashKey” or the “Company”, together with its subsidiaries, the “Group”, Stock Code: 3887.HK) today announced its unaudited consolidated interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 (the “Reporting Period”). In the first half of 2026, the global digital asset market entered a phase of cyclical consolidation amid a contraction in total crypto‑asset market capitalisation, as the industry entered a phase of market clearing. Against this backdrop, HashKey delivered resilient high‑quality growth underpinned by its forward-looking onshore compliance strategy. Both revenue and gross profit grew over the period, with profitability continuing to improve and adjusted loss narrowing, significantly underpinning the Group’s fundamental strength amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
In terms of financial performance, HashKey maintained resilient overall operational performance during the Reporting Period. Revenue reached HK$342.5 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.6%; gross profit amounted to HK$207.5 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.5%; and gross profit margin improved sequentially to 60.6% from the second half of 2025. Meanwhile, by optimizing operational efficiency, adjusted loss (non-IFRS measure) was HK$314.8 million, representing a decrease of 21.0% as compared to HK$398.3 million for the same period last year, reflecting meaningful loss reduction and substantial improvement in underlying profitability. Three core business segments advance in tandem: transaction facilitation services enhanced profitability; on-chain services saw accelerated commercial roll‑out for its tokenisation business, while the asset management business continued to optimise its revenue structure.
As the Group’s core growth engine, transaction facilitation services exhibited notable resilience amid market volatility. During the Reporting Period, revenue from transaction facilitation services reached HK$267.9 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.6%. Total platform trading volume stood at HK$282.2 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.8%. In particular, trading volume from institutional customers continued to increase, surging by 58.8% year-on-year to HK$231.5 billion, accounting for 82.0% of total platform volume, reflecting high confidence of institutional customers in the compliant platform.
Beyond the trading segment, HashKey’s on‑chain and asset management businesses achieved meaningful progress. The commercialisation of tokenisation was accelerated. The total value locked (TVL) of on‑chain real‑world assets (RWA) reached HK$2,678.5 million, representing a substantial year‑on‑year increase of 167.8%. During the Reporting Period, the Group delivered Hong Kong’s first real estate RWA project as well as Hong Kong’s first regulated silver RWA token, further maintaining HashKey’s leading position in on‑chain financial innovation.
For asset management, the Group recorded assets under management (AUM) of HK$5,941.2 million, with segment revenue amounting to HK$38.84 million. During the Reporting Period, the Group optimised its investment strategy. While adopting a “selective investment and disciplined risk management” approach for venture capital (VC) investments, it launched diversified and stable wealth management products, including Stablecoin and Bitcoin wealth management products, as well as the first Bitcoin Hashrate Fund in the industry. These launches further expand the Group’s product suite catering to institutional and high‑net‑worth clients.
On the investment and global‑footprint front, the Group also secured breakthrough progress. In July 2026, a wholly‑owned subsidiary of HashKey entered into a framework agreement with Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) in Singapore and its major shareholders to acquire the entire equity interest in APEX. APEX holds both the Approved Exchange (AE) and Approved Clearing House (ACH) licences in Singapore. This proposed transaction is expected to significantly enhance HashKey’s trading and clearing infrastructure for the institutional market, further solidifying its regulated standing across key Asian financial markets. Separately, in April 2026, HashKey Capital, a subsidiary of the Group, made a strategic investment in Vietnam Prosperity Crypto Assets Exchange Joint Stock Company (CAEX). The Group also entered into a strategic technology partnership with CAEX to jointly build an institutional‑grade compliant digital‑asset trading platform in Vietnam. In May 2026, funds under HashKey Capital Investment led the Series B+ funding round for SignalPlus with a US$40.0 million investment, of which the Group contributed US$20.0 million. SignalPlus specialises in institutional‑grade digital‑asset options and derivatives technology services. This investment represents the Group’s key move to strengthen its derivatives trading capabilities.
To solidify the foundation for long-term development, HashKey fully deepens its ecosystem partner network. On the traditional‑finance front, the Group deepened its cooperation with world-class banks such as J.P. Morgan and DBS, expanded fiat on‑ and off‑ramp channels. At the ecosystem level, the Group established partnerships with blockchain network and on-chain financial protocols such as Canton and Morpho to explore co‑building institutional‑grade on‑chain applications and deeply participated in the reshaping of the Ethereum ecosystem by initiating the Ethereum Applications Guild (EAG).
Dr. Xiao Feng, Chairman of the Board and CEO of HashKey, commented: “HashKey will evolve along a welldefined path: from a digital asset trading platform to a digital asset financial marketplace; from a single markets to Asian market network; from crypto native assets to real world assets (RWA) and tokenised assets; and ultimately to build next generation digital financial infrastructure that connects pools of assets and pools of capital. Looking ahead, we will continue to pursue refined operations and business innovation, steadily improving profitability and capital efficiency to deliver long‑term, sustainable value for our shareholders, customers and partners.”
HSK Chain Launches "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge" — Join Now to Share 100,000 USDT E...HSK Chain, an on-chain financial infrastructure, has launched the "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge". The 84-day event features a total of HSK ecosystem grants equivalent to 100,000 USDT (Note: The availability and trading restrictions of HSK tokens vary by jurisdiction; please verify local regulations before participating), utilizing real value to incentivize eligible public-chain users to participate in on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks. After free registration and completion of social tasks, each user's dedicated sub-account will receive a 100 HSK airdrop trial quota. Additional quotas can be earned through daily check-ins and friend referrals. The airdrop quota is exclusively designated for on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks. Completed or early-terminated tasks will have their corresponding amounts converted into points, and the top 500 users on the final leaderboard will share the ecosystem grants. The event also integrates a built-in AI-assisted data analysis feature, allowing users to spend HSK to unlock AI analysis reports to further enhance their engagement and interactive experience. (Note: The built-in AI data analysis feature of this event is fundamentally an automated data organization and visualization technical tool based solely on historical public on-chain data and objective statistical indicators; it does not possess any subjective analytical, future predictive, or investment advisory functions. AI-generated content and reports do not make any explicit or implied predictions, estimates, recommendations, offers, or invitations to offer regarding the future prices, market trends, or investment values of any virtual assets, securities, or financial instruments, nor do they constitute any investment advice or trading basis. The provision of this tool shall not be construed as providing or promoting Type 4 (Advising on Securities) regulated activities or any other regulated activities under the Securities and Futures Ordinance (SFO) in Hong Kong or any other jurisdiction. Users should make independent decisions based on their own judgment and consult qualified professional financial or legal advisors when necessary.) The challenge takes the "HSK Peak Ecosystem Interaction Contribution" involved in on-chain interactions during the activity period as its core metric, combined with on-chain activity data and retention rates to comprehensively evaluate ecosystem activity. Rigorous anti-Sybil and anti-fraud mechanisms are in place to ensure that the HSK grants are accurately delivered to genuine users. With the launch of this challenge, HSK Chain will leverage its engaging and professional on-chain interactive experience to attract more users to deeply explore the ecosystem, jointly building a more vibrant decentralized finance experience.

HSK Chain Launches "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge" — Join Now to Share 100,000 USDT E...

HSK Chain, an on-chain financial infrastructure, has launched the "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge". The 84-day event features a total of HSK ecosystem grants equivalent to 100,000 USDT (Note: The availability and trading restrictions of HSK tokens vary by jurisdiction; please verify local regulations before participating), utilizing real value to incentivize eligible public-chain users to participate in on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks.
After free registration and completion of social tasks, each user's dedicated sub-account will receive a 100 HSK airdrop trial quota. Additional quotas can be earned through daily check-ins and friend referrals. The airdrop quota is exclusively designated for on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks. Completed or early-terminated tasks will have their corresponding amounts converted into points, and the top 500 users on the final leaderboard will share the ecosystem grants. The event also integrates a built-in AI-assisted data analysis feature, allowing users to spend HSK to unlock AI analysis reports to further enhance their engagement and interactive experience. (Note: The built-in AI data analysis feature of this event is fundamentally an automated data organization and visualization technical tool based solely on historical public on-chain data and objective statistical indicators; it does not possess any subjective analytical, future predictive, or investment advisory functions. AI-generated content and reports do not make any explicit or implied predictions, estimates, recommendations, offers, or invitations to offer regarding the future prices, market trends, or investment values of any virtual assets, securities, or financial instruments, nor do they constitute any investment advice or trading basis. The provision of this tool shall not be construed as providing or promoting Type 4 (Advising on Securities) regulated activities or any other regulated activities under the Securities and Futures Ordinance (SFO) in Hong Kong or any other jurisdiction. Users should make independent decisions based on their own judgment and consult qualified professional financial or legal advisors when necessary.)
The challenge takes the "HSK Peak Ecosystem Interaction Contribution" involved in on-chain interactions during the activity period as its core metric, combined with on-chain activity data and retention rates to comprehensively evaluate ecosystem activity. Rigorous anti-Sybil and anti-fraud mechanisms are in place to ensure that the HSK grants are accurately delivered to genuine users. With the launch of this challenge, HSK Chain will leverage its engaging and professional on-chain interactive experience to attract more users to deeply explore the ecosystem, jointly building a more vibrant decentralized finance experience.
HSK Chain Launches "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge" — Join Now to Share 100,000 USDT E...HSK Chain, an on-chain financial infrastructure, has launched the "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge". The 84-day event features a total of HSK ecosystem grants equivalent to 100,000 USDT (Note: The availability and trading restrictions of HSK tokens vary by jurisdiction; please verify local regulations before participating), utilizing real value to incentivize eligible public-chain users to participate in on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks. After free registration and completion of social tasks, each user's dedicated sub-account will receive a 100 HSK airdrop trial quota. Additional quotas can be earned through daily check-ins and friend referrals. The airdrop quota is exclusively designated for on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks. Completed or early-terminated tasks will have their corresponding amounts converted into points, and the top 500 users on the final leaderboard will share the ecosystem grants. The event also integrates a built-in AI-assisted data analysis feature, allowing users to spend HSK to unlock AI analysis reports to further enhance their engagement and interactive experience. (Note: The built-in AI data analysis feature of this event is fundamentally an automated data organization and visualization technical tool based solely on historical public on-chain data and objective statistical indicators; it does not possess any subjective analytical, future predictive, or investment advisory functions. AI-generated content and reports do not make any explicit or implied predictions, estimates, recommendations, offers, or invitations to offer regarding the future prices, market trends, or investment values of any virtual assets, securities, or financial instruments, nor do they constitute any investment advice or trading basis. The provision of this tool shall not be construed as providing or promoting Type 4 (Advising on Securities) regulated activities or any other regulated activities under the Securities and Futures Ordinance (SFO) in Hong Kong or any other jurisdiction. Users should make independent decisions based on their own judgment and consult qualified professional financial or legal advisors when necessary.) The challenge takes the "HSK Peak Ecosystem Interaction Contribution" involved in on-chain interactions during the activity period as its core metric, combined with on-chain activity data and retention rates to comprehensively evaluate ecosystem activity. Rigorous anti-Sybil and anti-fraud mechanisms are in place to ensure that the HSK grants are accurately delivered to genuine users. With the launch of this challenge, HSK Chain will leverage its engaging and professional on-chain interactive experience to attract more users to deeply explore the ecosystem, jointly building a more vibrant decentralized finance experience. About HSK Chain HSK Chain is an institutional-grade blockchain dedicated to reshaping global financial markets on-chain. With security and innovation at its core, HSK Chain provides the infrastructure for next-generation on-chain finance, enabling stablecoins, RWAs (Real-World Assets), and institutional-grade DeFi to operate with efficient synergy and seamless integration within a unified framework. Disclaimer This event and its related services are not open to residents of Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, and other restricted jurisdictions, nor are they directed at or promoted to them in any form. This announcement is solely for the purpose of introducing HSK Chain's "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge" event details and business directions. It does not constitute any investment advice, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or guarantee. The value of HSK token grants may fluctuate, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should carefully read the event rules, fully assess their own risk tolerance, and comply with local laws and regulations before participating. HSK Chain reserves the right of final interpretation of the event and may disqualify any grants obtained through cheating, Sybil attacks, or other violations.

HSK Chain Launches "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge" — Join Now to Share 100,000 USDT E...

HSK Chain, an on-chain financial infrastructure, has launched the "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge". The 84-day event features a total of HSK ecosystem grants equivalent to 100,000 USDT (Note: The availability and trading restrictions of HSK tokens vary by jurisdiction; please verify local regulations before participating), utilizing real value to incentivize eligible public-chain users to participate in on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks.
After free registration and completion of social tasks, each user's dedicated sub-account will receive a 100 HSK airdrop trial quota. Additional quotas can be earned through daily check-ins and friend referrals. The airdrop quota is exclusively designated for on-chain ecosystem interaction tasks. Completed or early-terminated tasks will have their corresponding amounts converted into points, and the top 500 users on the final leaderboard will share the ecosystem grants. The event also integrates a built-in AI-assisted data analysis feature, allowing users to spend HSK to unlock AI analysis reports to further enhance their engagement and interactive experience. (Note: The built-in AI data analysis feature of this event is fundamentally an automated data organization and visualization technical tool based solely on historical public on-chain data and objective statistical indicators; it does not possess any subjective analytical, future predictive, or investment advisory functions. AI-generated content and reports do not make any explicit or implied predictions, estimates, recommendations, offers, or invitations to offer regarding the future prices, market trends, or investment values of any virtual assets, securities, or financial instruments, nor do they constitute any investment advice or trading basis. The provision of this tool shall not be construed as providing or promoting Type 4 (Advising on Securities) regulated activities or any other regulated activities under the Securities and Futures Ordinance (SFO) in Hong Kong or any other jurisdiction. Users should make independent decisions based on their own judgment and consult qualified professional financial or legal advisors when necessary.)
The challenge takes the "HSK Peak Ecosystem Interaction Contribution" involved in on-chain interactions during the activity period as its core metric, combined with on-chain activity data and retention rates to comprehensively evaluate ecosystem activity. Rigorous anti-Sybil and anti-fraud mechanisms are in place to ensure that the HSK grants are accurately delivered to genuine users. With the launch of this challenge, HSK Chain will leverage its engaging and professional on-chain interactive experience to attract more users to deeply explore the ecosystem, jointly building a more vibrant decentralized finance experience.
About HSK Chain
HSK Chain is an institutional-grade blockchain dedicated to reshaping global financial markets on-chain. With security and innovation at its core, HSK Chain provides the infrastructure for next-generation on-chain finance, enabling stablecoins, RWAs (Real-World Assets), and institutional-grade DeFi to operate with efficient synergy and seamless integration within a unified framework.
Disclaimer
This event and its related services are not open to residents of Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, and other restricted jurisdictions, nor are they directed at or promoted to them in any form.
This announcement is solely for the purpose of introducing HSK Chain's "AI Market Ecosystem Forecasting Challenge" event details and business directions. It does not constitute any investment advice, offer, solicitation, recommendation, or guarantee. The value of HSK token grants may fluctuate, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should carefully read the event rules, fully assess their own risk tolerance, and comply with local laws and regulations before participating. HSK Chain reserves the right of final interpretation of the event and may disqualify any grants obtained through cheating, Sybil attacks, or other violations.
Pumpfun said its app now fully supports HyperEVM, allowing users to trade any HyperEVM token with USDC. The dominant Solana memecoin launchpad charges 0% trading fees on Solana and 0.1% on HyperEVM, Robinhood, BNB, Base and other supported markets.
Pumpfun said its app now fully supports HyperEVM, allowing users to trade any HyperEVM token with USDC. The dominant Solana memecoin launchpad charges 0% trading fees on Solana and 0.1% on HyperEVM, Robinhood, BNB, Base and other supported markets.
BlackRock Leads $232 Million Bitcoin ETF Inflow as Ether Funds Add $192 MillionU.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $232 million in net inflows on Aug. 26, led by BlackRock’s IBIT with about $201 million, while spot Ether ETFs drew $192 million, with BlackRock’s ETHA accounting for roughly $116 million. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, led inflows across both major U.S. spot crypto ETF categories.

BlackRock Leads $232 Million Bitcoin ETF Inflow as Ether Funds Add $192 Million

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $232 million in net inflows on Aug. 26, led by BlackRock’s IBIT with about $201 million, while spot Ether ETFs drew $192 million, with BlackRock’s ETHA accounting for roughly $116 million. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, led inflows across both major U.S. spot crypto ETF categories.
HashKey Capital CEO Says Crypto Is Entering Its Capital Markets EraHashKey Capital CEO Deng Chao said at Bitcoin Asia 2026 in Hong Kong that the digital asset industry is moving from its crypto-native and institutional phases into a “capital markets era,” characterized by tokenized securities, 24/7 settlement and global distribution. He said the success of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shows that integrating digital assets into familiar traditional-finance products and infrastructure is key to attracting capital from RIAs, private banks and other institutions, while the next generation of financial infrastructure will be built around round-the-clock markets, programmable on-chain settlement and global liquidity networks.

HashKey Capital CEO Says Crypto Is Entering Its Capital Markets Era

HashKey Capital CEO Deng Chao said at Bitcoin Asia 2026 in Hong Kong that the digital asset industry is moving from its crypto-native and institutional phases into a “capital markets era,” characterized by tokenized securities, 24/7 settlement and global distribution. He said the success of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shows that integrating digital assets into familiar traditional-finance products and infrastructure is key to attracting capital from RIAs, private banks and other institutions, while the next generation of financial infrastructure will be built around round-the-clock markets, programmable on-chain settlement and global liquidity networks.
Bitcoin Options Price $69K-$89.7K One-Month Range, Signaling Cautious OutlookBitcoin has rebounded about 26% from its mid-August low, but options markets are not pricing a further one-way surge, according to Glassnode, a leading crypto on-chain analytics firm. By the Sept. 25 expiry, the middle 70% of implied outcomes spans roughly $69,000 to $89,700, with the median close to spot. Glassnode said $81,000-$86,000 forms a major resistance zone where long-term holder supply, sell orders, negative dealer gamma and remaining short-liquidation levels converge.

Bitcoin Options Price $69K-$89.7K One-Month Range, Signaling Cautious Outlook

Bitcoin has rebounded about 26% from its mid-August low, but options markets are not pricing a further one-way surge, according to Glassnode, a leading crypto on-chain analytics firm. By the Sept. 25 expiry, the middle 70% of implied outcomes spans roughly $69,000 to $89,700, with the median close to spot. Glassnode said $81,000-$86,000 forms a major resistance zone where long-term holder supply, sell orders, negative dealer gamma and remaining short-liquidation levels converge.
Hong Kong’s Largest Licensed Crypto Exchange Adds Tokenized U.S. Stock FundHashKey Exchange, Hong Kong’s largest licensed digital-asset exchange, has added WisdomTree 500 Digital Fund (SPXUX) to its Earn platform for eligible professional investors, allowing subscriptions and redemptions in USDC. SPXUX seeks to track the WisdomTree 500 Index before fees, providing exposure to 500 large- and mid-cap U.S. companies including Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon, with fund-share records maintained using blockchain technology. HashKey said the launch expands its RWA lineup from tokenized money-market funds, precious metals and fixed income into U.S. equities; SPXUX is currently non-transferable on HashKey and does not support deposits or withdrawals to external wallets.

Hong Kong’s Largest Licensed Crypto Exchange Adds Tokenized U.S. Stock Fund

HashKey Exchange, Hong Kong’s largest licensed digital-asset exchange, has added WisdomTree 500 Digital Fund (SPXUX) to its Earn platform for eligible professional investors, allowing subscriptions and redemptions in USDC. SPXUX seeks to track the WisdomTree 500 Index before fees, providing exposure to 500 large- and mid-cap U.S. companies including Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon, with fund-share records maintained using blockchain technology. HashKey said the launch expands its RWA lineup from tokenized money-market funds, precious metals and fixed income into U.S. equities; SPXUX is currently non-transferable on HashKey and does not support deposits or withdrawals to external wallets.
HashKey Capital to Launch Crypto Derivatives and Structured Products for Professional InvestorsHashKey Capital, one of Asia’s largest crypto asset managers with more than $1 billion in client assets, will launch a digital-asset derivatives and structured-solutions business for professional investors, including dual-currency products. The offerings will use instruments such as options and futures to help clients enhance portfolio yield, scale into or out of positions, manage cash flows and hedge market risk. CEO Deng Chao said institutional demand is shifting from whether to hold digital assets toward how to manage them, prompting the firm to expand its derivatives pricing, structuring and risk-management capabilities.

HashKey Capital to Launch Crypto Derivatives and Structured Products for Professional Investors

HashKey Capital, one of Asia’s largest crypto asset managers with more than $1 billion in client assets, will launch a digital-asset derivatives and structured-solutions business for professional investors, including dual-currency products. The offerings will use instruments such as options and futures to help clients enhance portfolio yield, scale into or out of positions, manage cash flows and hedge market risk. CEO Deng Chao said institutional demand is shifting from whether to hold digital assets toward how to manage them, prompting the firm to expand its derivatives pricing, structuring and risk-management capabilities.
Webot to Host Webinar on How AI Is Reshaping Automated TradingAI-driven crypto trading platform Webot will host an online webinar, Beyond the Bot: How AI Is Rewiring Automated Trading, at 9:00 p.m. ET on Aug. 27, focusing on the practical use of AI in market research, signal generation, strategy optimization and automated execution. Webot U.S. CEO and former Goldman Sachs Vice President Jay Hua will join guests from BeInCrypto, VComms and the trading community to discuss how AI is changing quantitative and automated trading, and how retail traders can optimize bot strategies in volatile markets.

Webot to Host Webinar on How AI Is Reshaping Automated Trading

AI-driven crypto trading platform Webot will host an online webinar, Beyond the Bot: How AI Is Rewiring Automated Trading, at 9:00 p.m. ET on Aug. 27, focusing on the practical use of AI in market research, signal generation, strategy optimization and automated execution. Webot U.S. CEO and former Goldman Sachs Vice President Jay Hua will join guests from BeInCrypto, VComms and the trading community to discuss how AI is changing quantitative and automated trading, and how retail traders can optimize bot strategies in volatile markets.
Core Lightning Tells Node Operators to Upgrade or Go Offline Over AI-Reported BugsCore Lightning maintainers have warned node operators to install an upcoming security release or otherwise run their nodes offline, as the team works through multiple AI-generated vulnerability reports received in recent weeks. Details of the fixes remain under a roughly two-week disclosure embargo, with no public CVE or full security advisory released yet.

Core Lightning Tells Node Operators to Upgrade or Go Offline Over AI-Reported Bugs

Core Lightning maintainers have warned node operators to install an upcoming security release or otherwise run their nodes offline, as the team works through multiple AI-generated vulnerability reports received in recent weeks. Details of the fixes remain under a roughly two-week disclosure embargo, with no public CVE or full security advisory released yet.
BlackRock’s Mitchnick Says $40 Trillion U.S. Debt Strengthens Bitcoin’s Long-Term CaseBlackRock digital-assets head Robbie Mitchnick said rising U.S. debt and persistent fiscal deficits are returning as a core market risk, pushing some investors toward alternative stores of value such as Bitcoin and gold as federal debt reached about $40.05 trillion on Aug. 18. Mitchnick said fiscal sustainability matters more to Bitcoin’s long-term valuation than the pending CLARITY Act, whose impact would be greater across areas such as DeFi.

BlackRock’s Mitchnick Says $40 Trillion U.S. Debt Strengthens Bitcoin’s Long-Term Case

BlackRock digital-assets head Robbie Mitchnick said rising U.S. debt and persistent fiscal deficits are returning as a core market risk, pushing some investors toward alternative stores of value such as Bitcoin and gold as federal debt reached about $40.05 trillion on Aug. 18. Mitchnick said fiscal sustainability matters more to Bitcoin’s long-term valuation than the pending CLARITY Act, whose impact would be greater across areas such as DeFi.
StarkWare Researcher Executes First Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Transaction on MainnetStarkWare researcher Avihu Levy’s Quantum-Safe Bitcoin (QSB) scheme has completed its first confirmed transaction on the Bitcoin mainnet, demonstrating a way to protect transactions from Shor-algorithm attacks without a soft fork or changes to Bitcoin’s consensus rules. QSB shifts transaction security away from elliptic-curve cryptography toward hash-based assumptions, though it remains experimental, requires roughly $75–$150 in off-chain GPU computation per transaction.

StarkWare Researcher Executes First Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Transaction on Mainnet

StarkWare researcher Avihu Levy’s Quantum-Safe Bitcoin (QSB) scheme has completed its first confirmed transaction on the Bitcoin mainnet, demonstrating a way to protect transactions from Shor-algorithm attacks without a soft fork or changes to Bitcoin’s consensus rules. QSB shifts transaction security away from elliptic-curve cryptography toward hash-based assumptions, though it remains experimental, requires roughly $75–$150 in off-chain GPU computation per transaction.
Web3 Domain Giant Unstoppable Drops ICANN Plans for .Crypto, .WalletUnstoppable Domains founder Matthew Gould said the company did not apply to bring Web3-native domains including .crypto, .wallet, .NFT, .Bitcoin, .DAO and .ZIL into ICANN’s 2026 gTLD round and will refund eligible customers. Gould said compliance, application and potential bidding costs would exceed expected sales, describing the Web3 domain market as “small” and “niche.” The domains will continue functioning as on-chain assets for crypto payments but will not enter the traditional DNS system for now.

Web3 Domain Giant Unstoppable Drops ICANN Plans for .Crypto, .Wallet

Unstoppable Domains founder Matthew Gould said the company did not apply to bring Web3-native domains including .crypto, .wallet, .NFT, .Bitcoin, .DAO and .ZIL into ICANN’s 2026 gTLD round and will refund eligible customers. Gould said compliance, application and potential bidding costs would exceed expected sales, describing the Web3 domain market as “small” and “niche.” The domains will continue functioning as on-chain assets for crypto payments but will not enter the traditional DNS system for now.
Highlight Clip: CME CEO: Hyperliquid Is Driving U.S. Markets Toward 24/7 TradingCME CEO: Hyperliquid Is Driving U.S. Markets Toward 24/7 Trading On August 20, CME CEO Terry Duffy said at a CFTC meeting that CME wants to launch a 24/7 oil trading market in the U.S., because similar markets on decentralized finance platforms are already beginning to influence traditional finance. He noted that even if these markets are not legal for U.S. participants, users can still access them through VPNs, and their impact on traditional financial markets is already being felt.Duffy believes 24/7 trading will eventually become the norm across financial markets.

Highlight Clip: CME CEO: Hyperliquid Is Driving U.S. Markets Toward 24/7 Trading

CME CEO: Hyperliquid Is Driving U.S. Markets Toward 24/7 Trading
On August 20, CME CEO Terry Duffy said at a CFTC meeting that CME wants to launch a 24/7 oil trading market in the U.S., because similar markets on decentralized finance platforms are already beginning to influence traditional finance.
He noted that even if these markets are not legal for U.S. participants, users can still access them through VPNs, and their impact on traditional financial markets is already being felt.Duffy believes 24/7 trading will eventually become the norm across financial markets.
NVIDIA Q2 Revenue Reaches $96.2 Billion, Q3 Guidance Set at $108.0 BillionNVIDIA reported fiscal Q2 2027 revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year and above the $92.2 billion consensus estimate. Data Center revenue reached $89.0 billion, up 117% and above the $85.8 billion estimate, while non-GAAP diluted EPS came in at $2.22, beating expectations of $2.10. Non-GAAP gross margin was 75.0%, in line with estimates. NVIDIA guided fiscal Q3 revenue to $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, above the $104.2 billion consensus estimate, with the outlook assuming no Data Center compute revenue from China. The company said its Vera Rubin platform has entered full production and returned about $26.0 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and cash dividends during the quarter.

NVIDIA Q2 Revenue Reaches $96.2 Billion, Q3 Guidance Set at $108.0 Billion

NVIDIA reported fiscal Q2 2027 revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year and above the $92.2 billion consensus estimate. Data Center revenue reached $89.0 billion, up 117% and above the $85.8 billion estimate, while non-GAAP diluted EPS came in at $2.22, beating expectations of $2.10. Non-GAAP gross margin was 75.0%, in line with estimates. NVIDIA guided fiscal Q3 revenue to $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, above the $104.2 billion consensus estimate, with the outlook assuming no Data Center compute revenue from China. The company said its Vera Rubin platform has entered full production and returned about $26.0 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and cash dividends during the quarter.
Chainalysis: Global On-Chain Taxable Crypto Activity Reached at Least $457 Billion in 2025Chainalysis estimates that global on-chain potentially taxable crypto activity reached at least $457 billion in 2025, led by the United States at $112.6 billion. The total includes realized gains on CEXs and DEXs, income from mining, staking and lending, and crypto payments. Chainalysis said the figure is a conservative lower bound because off-chain activity within centralized exchanges is not visible on-chain. It also estimates that only about 14% of global on-chain taxable activity falls within the practical scope of the OECD’s Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework, leaving most DEX, P2P, self-custody, on-chain income and payment activity outside its coverage.

Chainalysis: Global On-Chain Taxable Crypto Activity Reached at Least $457 Billion in 2025

Chainalysis estimates that global on-chain potentially taxable crypto activity reached at least $457 billion in 2025, led by the United States at $112.6 billion. The total includes realized gains on CEXs and DEXs, income from mining, staking and lending, and crypto payments. Chainalysis said the figure is a conservative lower bound because off-chain activity within centralized exchanges is not visible on-chain. It also estimates that only about 14% of global on-chain taxable activity falls within the practical scope of the OECD’s Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework, leaving most DEX, P2P, self-custody, on-chain income and payment activity outside its coverage.
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