💥💥Wti crude oil continues to recover on the 4H chart after forming a strong base near the recent lows.
The market has shifted from a prolonged bearish trend into a short-term bullish recovery, supported by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Buyers remain in control for now, but price is approaching an important resistance area where profit-taking may emerge.
Whether oil can sustain this recovery will largely depend on how price reacts around the current resistance zone.
Key Resistance Zone
First resistance: 88.20-89.00 This is the nearest resistance area and the current decision zone. A confirmed breakout above this region would signal continued bullish momentum.
Second resistance: 90.50-92.00 This represents the next major upside objective if buyers successfully clear the current resistance.
Major resistance: 94.00-96.00
A sustained move into this area would confirm a much stronger medium-term recovery.
Key Support Zone
First support: 86.20-87.00
This is the first support buyers need to defend to maintain the current bullish structure.
Second support: 83.80-85.00
This area previously acted as a breakout base and could attract renewed buying interest during a pullback.
Major support: 80.00-81.50 A break below this zone would weaken the recovery structure and shift momentum back toward sellers.
Market Sentiment
Market sentiment has turned cautiously bullish.
The recent series of higher highs and higher lows suggests buyers currently have the upper hand. However, after a strong advance, the market is approaching an important resistance zone where volatility and profit-taking could increase.
A breakout above 89.00 would strengthen bullish sentiment.
A move below 86.20 would suggest that a deeper correction is developing.
Please share your view below:
Will USOIL break above 89.00 and continue its recovery toward 92.00? Or will sellers defend resistance and trigger another pullback?
LINK is breaking through the neckline resistance of a bullish formation.
A confirmed breakout above this level could open the door to $14.340. 📈
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This area may decide whether BTC continues the recovery attempt or drops back toward lower support.
#BTCUSDT is reacting around an important 4H structure after the latest impulse. Price is now testing the nearest mapped level, and if buyers defend the current support, the setup may open a recovery path toward the next resistance zone. If price loses support, the same structure can turn into a continuation trap.
📊 Structure • Price reacting from a mapped technical zone • Recovery possible after support reaction • Rejection keeps short-term pressure active
Key levels
Resistance: nearest local resistance zone Support: current demand / invalidation area
If BTCUSDT holds the lower support zone, a new recovery move toward resistance may begin.
Top $BTC and ETH Whales Stopped Buying - Do Saylor and Tom Lee Know Something?
I looked at the latest data, and I think the situation is more complicated than “whales stopped buying.” The pace of accumulation has slowed, but the signals are mixed rather than clearly bearish.
• Bitcoin whales added over 270,000 BTC during a strong June accumulation wave, but balances among some large holder groups have recently flattened.
• ETH whale addresses recovered from June lows, while roughly 500,000 ETH left exchanges.
• Still, similar whale growth has previously appeared near local market tops, so none of this guarantees a reversal.
My view: there is no clear evidence that Michael Saylor or Tom Lee know something the rest of the market does not. Both remain publicly bullish, although Lee has also encouraged Saylor to strengthen Strategy’s cash reserves and manage risk carefully. To me, this looks more like market exhaustion, ETF outflows and weaker demand slowing accumulation - not insiders quietly preparing for a hidden disaster.
- With this unusual 3.5x volume spike and rapid 10% price surge, it’s very likely smart money is active — either accumulating after a liquidity sweep near 0.01734 or orchestrating a short squeeze.
- I expect a short-term retracement to fill imbalances and shake out late long entries. The most probable scenario is a pullback to the 0.02014 or even as low as 0.01823–0.01745 zone, where buy interest should be confirmed.
- If you see a bullish engulfing pattern, strong bounce, or a clear higher low in these zones (especially with a volume confirmation on lower timeframes), you could consider a long entry.
- Entry: 0.02014 or 0.01823–0.01745 after bullish confirmation.
- Take profit: 0.02094, then 0.02131. If price explodes further, target 0.02626 and 0.02835.
- Stop-loss: Set below the most recent swing low after confirmation.
- Bias will change to bearish only if price closes below 0.01734 with strong momentum — then, expect a deeper liquidity run and stay out of longs until new demand forms.
📝 This is not investment advice, only an educational analysis to help you understand the current situation and trading opportunities. Stay patient and always wait for confirmation before entering after such wild spikes!
$BTC For some, the challenge of the bear market will be buying too late or not at all, but I think for most it will be buying too early.
Never have I seen so many people so eager to buy the cycle bottom.
There's a case to be made that this is it, but there was in June 2022 too. You could have also argued that the final cycle tops was in March 2024, or December 2024, and plenty of people did.
I think patience is the best way forward. Waiting for the cycle's bear market to play out, and data to fully capitulate.
Fear and Greed has returned to Extreme Fear. According to the typical bear market pattern, that means the latest low was like September 2014, July 2018, and June 2022.
Bearish sentiment is building, bullish divergences are forming, but this cake doesn't look "golden brown" to me just yet.
👀🚨🚨 Not every whale move deserves your attention, but this one does. An address that's been sitting quiet for 4 months just woke up and sent 1,000 $BTC , worth roughly $65.56M, straight to Binance. What makes this one worth flagging isn't just the size, it's the age. This wallet first accumulated back in November 2013, meaning whoever's behind it has been sitting on this stack through multiple full market cycles, the 2017 mania, the 2021 blow off top, the 2022 wipeout, all of it. And they've been distributing gradually over the past year rather than dumping all at once, which tells you this is patient, calculated selling, not panic.
Old coins moving to exchanges matter because they change the available float. Dormant supply sits outside active circulation, but the moment it hits a centralized exchange it becomes tradeable again, and that's exactly the kind of thing that quietly adds selling pressure without anyone noticing until price reacts.
Here's how I'm reading it. This isn't a signal to panic sell your $BTC , but it is a reminder that early holders still have room to take profit at these levels, and that supply overhang is real. Keep an eye on how ETH and SOL react if BTC sees follow through selling, since alts usually amplify whatever direction majors move in. I'd also watch XRP and $BNB here, both have been leaning on BTC dominance shifts lately, and $TRX tends to see stablecoin inflow spikes whenever OG holders start distributing like this.
Zoom out and this is just what a maturing market looks like, early believers cashing out slowly while new capital rotates in behind them. Do you think this whale is done selling or is there more coming, drop your read below. Follow for more onchain breakdowns like this, I catch these before they trend.
At first glance, not much. One builds EVs. The other is the world's largest cryptocurrency.
But on July 22, Tesla's Q2 earnings report will once again put BTC in the spotlight.
Why? Because investors will be watching one line in the report - does Tesla still hold its 11,509 BTC treasury?
There is no evidence that Tesla bought or sold Bitcoin during Q2. This isn't about a new purchase. It's about whether the company confirms it has continued to hold its Bitcoin position. And that matters.
Unlike Strategy or other Bitcoin treasury companies, Tesla isn't a crypto-native business. Bitcoin it's simply part of the company's balance sheet.
🚨✨️💥 Bitcoin Reclaims $65K as Bulls Eye the $67K Resistance.
Bitcoin has climbed back above $65,000, reclaiming key daily resistance around $64,000 and strengthening its short-term bullish structure. Holding above this level keeps the current sequence of higher lows intact, with the next major technical target sitting near $67,000. A successful breakout there could open the path toward the psychological $70,000 level.
The recovery is also receiving support from improving institutional sentiment. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded two consecutive weeks of net inflows after eight straight weeks of outflows, signaling that demand is beginning to return. However, the pace of inflows has slowed, suggesting stronger buying will still be needed to fuel a sustained rally.
Despite the positive daily outlook, Bitcoin's longer-term trend remains at a critical point. Bulls still need a monthly close above the long-term ascending trendline to confirm a broader trend reversal. Until then, the $64K support, $67K resistance, and $70K breakout zone remain the key levels to watch.
A lot of people think every rally means confidence is back.
But the current on-chain data tells a more interesting story.
Long-term holders are realizing losses, with the 30-day LTH-SOPR sitting around 0.88, while short-term traders who bought recent dips are already taking profits. That means both patient investors and fast traders are selling into the same bounce.
This doesn't automatically signal a bearish market. It often reflects a transition phase where old conviction is fading before new conviction is built.
One metric I'm watching closely is STH-SOPR. If short-term holders also begin capitulating, history suggests the market could be closer to forming a stronger base. If not, this may remain a trader-driven range rather than the start of a sustained trend.
On-chain data doesn't predict the future, but it helps explain who is selling, who is buying, and why market structure matters more than price alone.
💥✨️ BTC has been stuck in a range for a while, but what's happening beneath the surface is pretty interesting.
Smaller spot traders have sold around 604M worth of BTC, while mid-sized orders are only slightly negative at roughly $25M.
On the other hand, the largest buyers have accumulated more than 1.4B in positive volume delta, absorbing much of that selling pressure.
That could explain why Bitcoin has continued printing higher lows even after several attempts to push the price down.
It doesn't guarantee a breakout, but if BTC reclaims 64.8K while large buyers keep accumulating, it would suggest the move is backed by real spot demand rather than just short-term momentum.
The key thing to watch is whether that buying starts to fade. If large-order accumulation slows while retail selling picks up again, the range could become much more fragile.
For now, the bigger players still seem willing to buy what smaller participants are selling. That's a trend worth keeping an eye on.
ETH/BTC OI Flow Ratio Is Recovering from Low Levels
Data from ForeDex shows that the ETH/BTC OI Flow Ratio is currently around 52.05%, rebounding after moving close to the undervalued zone around 45%.
This suggests that Open Interest flow between ETH and BTC is starting to rebalance after a period where ETH looked less attractive in the derivatives market.
However, the current ratio has not yet returned to the overheated zone at 65%, so it is still too early to say that speculative capital is heavily leaning toward ETH.
ETH is showing signs of regaining attention in the derivatives market, but it is not strong enough yet to confirm a clear rotation from BTC to ETH.
The next thing to watch is whether the OI Flow Ratio can hold above the 50% area and continue expanding. If it does, this could suggest that derivatives capital is starting to rotate back into ETH more strongly.
⚠️ Price has sliced through a multi-month descending wedge support that held for over 280 bars, signaling a structural shift.
——————— #AVAXUSDT is now trading at 6.585 after breaking the wedge's lower boundary near 5.681. The breakdown confirms the end of the compression phase, with bears gaining full control. The 4h structure shows no immediate recovery attempt, and the price is now drifting toward the nearest demand zone.
📊 Structure • Large descending wedge breakdown confirmed — support at 5.681 gave way
• Strong resistance cluster overhead from 6.683 to 7.088 caps any bounce • Momentum favors downside continuation with no bullish reversal pattern yet
$BANK Extends Rally as Price Climbs Over 57% in 24 Hours
Bank is among today's strongest performers, gaining 57%+ over the past 24 hours while 24-hour trading volume surpassed $127M.
The breakout accelerated after #BANK cleared multiple resistance levels, with price surging from the $0.07 region to above $0.11. Since then, the token has entered a tight consolidation, suggesting buyers are absorbing profit-taking rather than triggering an immediate reversal.
This type of price action often reflects a market attempting to establish a new value area. As long as $0.10-$0.105 holds, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. A break below that zone, however, could invite a deeper pullback after such a rapid advance.
$CRO has recently seen a sharp increase in trading volume, indicating renewed market interest.
At the same time, I've started paying more attention to traditional markets alongside crypto.
Latest update shows how its multi asset offering keeps expanding. Having stocks, forex, indices, commodities, and crypto in one account makes it much easier to follow different markets without switching platforms.
It also seems like more traders are diversifying instead of focusing on crypto alone.
Are you trading more than just crypto this year? Comment Below