CryptoLevels

$BTC isn't trading crypto news right now. It's trading the Fed.

Why this week hurt:
• Oct CPI beat: 0.4% m/m
• PPI 6.5% y/y: highest since Nov 2022
• 10Y yield ~5.13%: biggest weekly jump since Apr 2025
• Dollar Index ~103: highest since Apr 2025
• Dec 8–9 Fed: 25bp hike ~90% priced, 50bp ~10%

Higher yields + a stronger dollar = pressure on risk assets. So far BTC is trading like a macro risk asset, not a hedge.

🎯 What changes the picture
• Softer data → hike odds fall, relief bounce
• Hotter data → 50bp talk, more pressure
• DXY and the 10Y rolling over → first real green light

My BTC line stays $68K. But I'm watching the 10Y and the dollar before I watch the candles.

Cheat sheet in the image 👇
What matters more for $BTC right now: the Fed or ETF flows?

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$BTC #Bitcoin #Macro

$SOL is sitting on the zone that decides everything: $77–82.

$SOL ~$80 after a wick to $77.9. It's about a third below its late-Sept rejection near $120–125.

📊 The data
• RSI ~22: deepest oversold since early June
• June uptrend line broken, death-cross pressure building
• Futures open interest falling: traders cutting risk
• Spot SOL ETFs: small inflow while BTC and ETH ETFs bleed

🎯 Levels
• $90–93: broken trendline, resistance
• $85.8–87.5: first hurdle on a bounce
• $77–82: the zone to hold
• Daily close below $77 → $70, then ~$65

Oversold isn't a reversal. SOL is trading in step with BTC, so $68K matters here too.

Levels in the chart 👇
Where's your line: $77 or $90?

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$SOL #solana

$ETH just lost $2,000. Now what?

$ETH ~$1,940 (-5% in 24h), down ~31% from the late-Sept high near $2,800.

📊 The data
• ~90% of $287M liquidations were longs
• US spot ETH ETFs: $524M out in 5 straight sessions
• RSI under 30: oversold, but oversold ≠ bottom
• Channel broken after holding since mid-September

🎯 Levels
• $2,115: old channel floor, now resistance
• $2,000: the line to reclaim
• $1,893: 24h low, must hold
• $1,800–1,830: July–Aug buyer zone
• Daily close below $1,800 → $1,500 comes into play

Bounces are normal in oversold markets. Bounces that hold above $2,115 are what change the trend.

Levels in the chart 👇
Where's your line: $1,800 or $2,000?

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$ETH H #Ethereum

$BTC $Funding rates just turned negative.

Translation: traders are crowding into shorts right after $1.3B+ of longs got wiped out.

That cuts both ways:
• Squeeze fuel if $68K holds and $70K is reclaimed
• Trend confirmation if $68K breaks on volume

What I'm tracking:
• 6 straight days of US spot ETF outflows
• Fear & Greed: 20 (Extreme Fear)
• Low so far: $67.9K

Levels in the chart 👇
Where's your line: $68K or $65K?

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$BTC #Bitcoin

🚨$BTC LOSES $70K: DATA, NOT NOISE

$BTC #~$69.2K (-5% in 24h) after a $67.9K low, its weakest since mid-August.

📊 What's driving it#
• $1.3B+ liquidated, ~90% longs
• 6 straight days of US spot ETF outflows
• Hot CPI + DXY above 103 + 10Y yield above 5%
• Thin order books (~33% below normal) amplify every move
• Fear & Greed: 20 (Extreme Fear)

🎯 Levels I'm watching
• $68K: already tested, still the line
• Hold it + reclaim $70K → relief bounce
• Lose $68K on volume → $65–66K, then the ~$63K August lows

Extreme fear shows mood, not direction. I'm tracking ETF flows, liquidations and volume.

The market doesn't reward confidence. It rewards preparation.

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$BTC

👋 Welcome. I post short, data-first $BTC analysis: levels, ETF flows, liquidations. No hype, no signals. Not financial advice. DYOR. $BTC