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Markets are walking into the most dangerous setup of the year, and almost nobody is positioned for it.
If you hold any assets right now, read this before Monday.
Because what's building isn't an ordinary correction.
Here's what's stacked up:
→ Japan and China both cutting U.S. Treasury exposure at the same time
→ Yields near 2002 levels, the 30-year above 5.5%
→ Renewed U.S. military strikes against Iran potentially just days away
→ Strait of Hormuz risk threatening global energy routes
→ Oil above $100 feeding straight into inflation
→ Asian markets sitting exposed to a sharp selloff
And now there's another major threat.
The U.S. could resume military operations against Iran within days. If new strikes begin, the consequences for oil prices and global markets could be enormous.
None of this is isolated. It's one feedback loop, and it's tightening.
When two major foreign holders of U.S. debt step back together, that supply has to find new buyers. And new buyers may demand higher yields.
That's where the danger begins!
The chain writes itself:
Japan and China trim holdings → market struggles to absorb the supply → yields rise to attract demand → borrowing costs climb → stocks, real estate and crypto all reprice lower → new strikes against Iran threaten oil supplies → inflation surges → yields face even more upward pressure.
And then it feeds itself. Treasury selling accelerates. Higher yields trigger liquidations. Those liquidations spread into every major asset class.
Oil, bonds, stocks, crypto, geopolitics - these aren't separate stories anymore. They're links in the same chain.
And if military operations against Iran resume before Monday, global markets could open into a completely different level of uncertainty.
Most investors are staring at stock prices, waiting for the crash to announce itself.
The first warning often shows up in the bond market. And it's already flashing.
This is not a normal risk environment.
Monday could be the turning point. And by the time the panic is obvious, the biggest moves may already be behind you.
I've spent years studying market cycles, liquidity, and major turning points. This setup deserves your full attention.
Follow and turn on notifications if you want to navigate the 2026-2027 cycle.
Save this post. Come back Monday.
A lot of people are going to wish they'd read the warning signs sooner!!
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