$INIT forecast, part two: the 24-hour map, the 7-day map, the expected-move math, and what would change it.
Slide 1, 24 hours. Base is a hold of 0.130-0.151. Bull case needs a 1-hour close above 0.151. Bear case needs a 1-hour close below 0.1302.
Slide 2, 7 days. This path is event-driven because the L1 is still halted. Base is 0.117-0.180. The bull path needs a hold above 0.180 plus recovery headlines, toward 0.204-0.218. A break of 0.117 risks 0.113 and lower.
Slide 3, expected move. 15-minute ATR puts a typical 24-hour swing near ±40% (about 0.085-0.197). I am not using the raw 1-hour or daily ATR as a target because those readings are still inflated by yesterday's spike.
Slide 4, what would change the map. Funding is still negative, the perp is about 2% below the index, and open interest is still elevated at 70.0 million contracts. That is two-sided, not a one-way signal. A confirmed hold of 0.1302 and a close above 0.151 would support the upside path. A close under 0.1302, or a break of 0.117, would support the downside path.
$INIT 24-hour and 7-day scenarios on the INITUSDT perpetual, as of 02:23 IST, 12 Nov 2026.
These are probabilistic ranges from the tape, not a guarantee. Initia's L1 is still halted and there is no official restart date, so headlines can invalidate any of this quickly.
Volatility first. The 15-minute 14-period ATR, scaled to a day, points to a typical 24-hour swing near ±40%, or roughly 0.085-0.197 around the last price of 0.14112. The 1-hour ATR is still inflated by yesterday's spike (15.7% of price), so I am treating wider tails as possible, not as a base-case target.
24-hour scenarios: - Base: hold 0.130-0.151 and digest around 0.134-0.148 as volume cools. - Bull trigger: a 1-hour close above 0.151 opens 0.156, then 0.174-0.186. - Bear trigger: a 1-hour close below 0.1302 opens 0.121-0.117.
7-day scenarios, which are more event-driven: - Base: digest 0.117-0.180, with a pull toward the pre-spike 0.12-0.14 area if there is no restart catalyst. - Bull: recovery or restart headlines plus a hold above 0.180, with a path toward 0.204-0.218. - Bear: a break of 0.117 risks 0.113 and lower if confidence keeps slipping.
I will trust a level only after it breaks and holds. Not financial advice.
$INIT positioning on the INITUSDT perpetual, data as of 02:22 IST, 12 Nov 2026.
Funding has been settling about every hour and has stayed negative through the selloff. Prints ran from as low as -1.67% per settlement down to -0.12% at 01:30 IST. The rate shown at 02:22 IST was -0.186% heading into the 02:30 IST settlement. When funding is negative, shorts pay longs.
The basis agrees with that stress: mark 0.14113 versus index 0.14395, a discount of about 2.0%. The perpetual is still cheaper than the index.
Open interest is 70.0 million contracts, about $9.9 million notional. Versus 24 hours ago, contracts are roughly flat, but notional is down about 38% because price fell. OI peaked near 82.4 million contracts around 15:30 IST on 11 Nov, then some of that leverage came off. Versus two days ago, contract OI is still up about 29%.
The account long/short ratio flipped from 0.75 (short-heavy) yesterday to 1.18 at 01:30 IST, or about 54% long accounts and 46% short accounts.
My read: shorts paid up during the crash, funding is less extreme now but still negative, and open interest is still elevated. That is a crowded, two-sided tape, not a clean one-way tell. I would not fade or chase this on funding alone.
$INIT level map on the INITUSDT perpetual, 02:23 IST, 12 Nov 2026. This is a map, not a trade call.
Price last 0.14112, just above the session low at 0.1302. That puts it in the lower 6% of the 24-hour range and the lower 13% of the 7-day range (7-day high 0.3030, 7-day low 0.1171).
Support: - 0.1302 session low - 0.121-0.117, the 7-9 Nov base and 8 Nov low
Resistance: - 0.1506-0.156 first supply - 0.174-0.186 - 0.204-0.218, where the 24-hour VWAP (0.2055) and the 10 Nov close sit. A lot of the week's volume traded up there.
The last 1-hour and 4-hour candles bounced off 0.1302. Volume is lighter than it was during the dump. I want to see a level actually break and hold before calling the next leg.
$INIT USDT perpetual snapshot, 02:23 IST, 12 Nov 2026.
Last 0.14112, down 33.8% on the day. The 24-hour range is 0.1302-0.2996, so this contract is sitting in the bottom 6% of that range after a spike toward 0.30 and a hard giveback.
Volume is still enormous: $881 million and 14.5 million trades in 24 hours. The last 1-hour and 4-hour bars bounced off the session low, and volume is cooling versus the dump hours.
1-hour RSI is 37.2, 4-hour RSI is 45.0. Momentum has cooled. That is not a clean extreme, and I am not treating it as a buy or sell signal on its own.
Context for the volatility: Initia confirmed a second security incident in three weeks. The team said a cloud-credential breach led to forged IBC withdrawals, about $3.27 million moved, and roughly $2.16 million remains frozen on the halted L1. The chain was stopped around 06:18 UTC on 10 Nov. Initia said no INIT tokens were withdrawn in this incident. There is no official restart date yet.
Mark 0.14113 versus index 0.14395, so the perp is still about 2% cheaper than the index.
The Blockchain 100 2026 List Is Out. Here's What It Means Before Bangkok
Binance published The Blockchain 100 for 2026 on 29 October. The official list is on Square. The in-person ceremony is still ahead: 29 November, at Binance Blockchain Week in Bangkok. This is a community-voted creator award, not a token-listing vote and not a signal to copy anyone's trades. I am writing this as a trader and market analyst, not as a judge of the list. The useful question is simple. What did the community actually vote for, and what should you not read into the result? ## What the award is Binance and its media and ecosystem partners launched The Blockchain 100 Award 2026 on 13 October. The exchange described it as an annual honour for financial content creators whose education, information sharing and inspiring work have had a real impact on the industry. This is the second edition. The first ran in 2025, with winners announced on 3 November 2025 and a ceremony during Binance Blockchain Week 2025. The 2026 rules explicitly cover creators who teach or comment on traditional finance as well as crypto, which is a wider net than a purely on-chain creator list. The official event page is still the source of truth: https://www.binance.com/en/square/blockchain-100-2026 ## The five tracks Unlike the seven categories used in 2025, the 2026 award had five tracks and exactly 100 winners: - Community Influencer of the Year: 10 winners. Aimed at established voices, judged on how widely their work is shared and discussed, and on how long they have contributed. The published rules also required at least 100,000 real followers on a major social platform. - Trader of the Year: 30 winners. Aimed at traders with a verifiable live record who share strategies, market views and process. Records could come from Binance or another venue, across spot, futures, on-chain or traditional finance, or from recognition on Binance leaderboards. - Content Creator of the Year — Best Live Streamer: 20 winners, for consistent livestream output. - Content Creator of the Year — Best Longform Creator: 20 winners, for consistent long-form articles or video. - Content Creator of the Year — Rising Star: 20 winners, for up-and-coming creators showing unusual promise. Anyone could nominate, including self-nominations. Each nomination could put a creator in only one category. Country of residence did not affect eligibility. Basic rules required a public identity without major disputes, finance-related educational or inspiring content, and a clean enough record on Binance Square and major platforms during the campaign window. I am not reprinting the winner names here. The official page is the list to use. ## How voting worked Public nominations ran from 09:00 UTC on 13 October to 15:59 UTC on 16 October, which is 14:30 IST on the 13th to 21:29 IST on the 16th. Community voting then ran from 09:00 UTC on 19 October to 15:59 UTC on 28 October, or 14:30 IST on the 19th to 21:29 IST on the 28th. Verified Binance users could cast one vote per track each day, up to five votes a day, with counts refreshing at 00:00 UTC. Daily leaderboards on the event page were snapshots, not the final result. Binance said invalid or rule-breaking votes would be removed after the window closed. During the vote, Binance Square Official also warned that bots, sub-accounts and vote buying would be treated as violations, and that eligibility would be reviewed for the final winners. Results went live at 09:00 UTC on 29 October, which is 14:30 IST. Binance's own post put it simply: "The 100 are here. Creators. Traders. Educators." ## What the winners receive Every one of the 100 winners is due a physical trophy engraved with their name and category. That is the award itself. There is no official cash prize attached to the list. Twenty-nine of those winners were also invited to Bangkok on 29 November for Binance Blockchain Week 2026 and the offline ceremony: all 10 Community Influencers, the top 10 Traders, and the top three in each of the three content-creator tracks. A 29 October update from Binance's Chinese Square account said winners would receive a push from the Square assistant within seven business days. ## What this list is not A place on The Blockchain 100 is recognition for content and community support. It is not a verified edge, a copy-trade recommendation, or a forecast. The Trader of the Year track required a verifiable record and public teaching, which is a higher bar than a flashy screenshot. It still does not mean last quarter's winners will be next month's winners in the market. If you use the list at all, use it as a directory of voices to read with the same scepticism you would apply to any other feed. Check the record, the time frame, the fees, and the risk. Do not treat a trophy as a signal. The ceremony in Bangkok is the next public date. Until then, the official list is already up. If a name on it helped you learn this year, that is the point of the award. If you are looking for a trade, you still have to do the work yourself. #Blockchain100 #Binance #BinanceBlockchainWeek $BNB *Not financial advice. This article is for information and discussion only. Awards and community votes are not investment recommendations. Digital assets are volatile and you can lose money. Do your own research.*
In the last 24 hours, the price action on INITUSDT has shown significant volatility, reflecting broader market trends. My strategy focused on capitalizing on these swings while maintaining strict risk management.
Trading Insights: - Market Momentum: Observed high volume during the latest sessions, indicating strong interest around key support and resistance levels. - Entry Strategy: Executed positions based on the current hourly trend analysis, focusing on short-term scalp opportunities to hedge against sudden shifts. - Risk Management: Kept stop-loss levels tight to protect capital during the unexpected CPI market moves, ensuring that drawdowns remained within my target threshold. - Outlook: Monitoring the current consolidation phase closely before determining the next directional move; looking for a breakout confirmation before increasing position size.
Hot CPI just re-priced December. $BTC is still around $74,000. Will it hold $73,000 into the December FOMC? Vote below. #CPI #Bitcoin #FederalReserve — Opinion, not financial advice.
Hot CPI just re-priced December. $BTC is still around $74,000. The level that matters now is $73,000.
Swipe for the print, the odds, and the level.
October CPI came in at +0.4% month-on-month, against 0.3% expected. Core rose 0.3%, against 0.2% expected. Headline did slow from September's 0.6%, but it was not the cooling the market wanted. The Bureau of Labor Statistics did not publish an annual rate this time, because last year's government shutdown left no October 2025 comparison.
By this morning, 11 November, $BTC had stabilised near $74,000 after dipping to about $72,700 on Tuesday. CME FedWatch hike odds are around 90% for the 8–9 December meeting. Late Tuesday the split was 88.8% for 25 bps, 11.2% for 50 bps, and no chance of a hold.
I would rather see $BTC defend this zone than celebrate a bounce. From India, this is a rates story first.
Vote in the comments: Holds, Breaks or Rangebound? Comment your level.
$BTC
#CPI #Bitcoin #FederalReserve
Opinion, not financial advice. Not a trade recommendation. DYOR.
#opg $OPG Building autonomous AI agents requires massive, verifiable compute. @OpenGradient solves this using a Hybrid AI Compute Architecture (HACA) to bring cryptographic accountability to on-chain AI inference. Testing OpenGradient Chat proves they deliver high-performance model access without sacrificing privacy. Having developed AI software and automated trading bots, I see $OPG securing TEEs and zkML as the exact infrastructure decentralized AI needs to scale. #OPG #opg
🚨 BTC Liquidity Sweep Completed: Is the Next Leg Up Starting Now? 📈🔥
Market mechanics are playing out exactly as mapped! Over the last 24 hours, we’ve seen Bitcoin ($BTC ) execute a textbook liquidity sweep into our high-demand zone before printing a strong rejection wick on the 4H chart. Here is why you need to pay attention right now: 📊 The Technical Breakdown: • Support Held: The crucial local support level was tested and defended by heavy spot buying volume. • Bullish Divergence: We are spotting a hidden bullish divergence on the RSI (4H timeframe), indicating that selling pressure is exhausting. • Order Flow: Heatmaps show massive limit orders stacked just below the current price, acting as a trampoline for the next impulsive move. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: • Immediate Resistance: Look for a clean 4H candle close above the short-term moving averages to confirm the breakout. • Invalidation Point: A daily close below the recent swing low invalidates this setup—always manage your risk! 🧠 Pro Tip: In ranging markets, patience pays off. Don't front-run the breakout; wait for confirmation and volume to step in. The big money moves when retail gets chopped up. Are you currently long or short on $BTC ? Let me know your targets in the comments below! 👇 If you found this analysis helpful, drop a tip to support more daily deep-dives and premium chart setups! ☕️📈 #CryptoTradingInsights #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #BinanceSquare #BTC $BTC
It's important to understand that the relationship between political figures like Donald Trump and Jerome Powell, and the cryptocurrency market, is complex and often driven by market sentiment. Here's a breakdown of the dynamic, especially in the context of the #trumpvspowell hashtag: Key Points: Trump's Criticism of Powell: * Donald Trump has frequently criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, particularly regarding interest rate policies. * His calls for lower interest rates stem from a desire to stimulate economic growth. * This pressure creates uncertainty in traditional financial markets. Impact on Crypto: * Uncertainty in traditional markets can drive investors towards alternative assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. * The idea is that crypto, with its decentralized nature, is seen by some as a hedge against traditional financial instability. * Therefore, when Trump puts pressure on Powell, and it creates instability, that can drive money into crypto. Market Sentiment: * Much of the crypto market's reaction to political events is based on sentiment. * Social media, including hashtags like #trumpvspowell, plays a significant role in shaping this sentiment. * News of potential changes in Fed policy or leadership can cause rapid price fluctuations in the crypto market. Fed Independence: * One of the key things that is brought up in this discussion, is the independence of the Federal reserve. Many economists believe that the fed needs to be independent from political pressure, to maintain stability in the U.S. financial system. Potential Market Reactions: * Increased volatility: Political tensions can lead to sharp swings in crypto prices. * Shift to alternative assets: Investors might move funds from traditional assets to cryptocurrencies. * Regulatory uncertainty: Changes in Fed leadership could impact future cryptocurrency regulations. In essence, the #TrumpVsPowell narrative highlights how political and economic tensions can ripple through the financial world, with potential consequences for the cryptocurrency market.
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3/ Token
Point System
4/ Project and Raised
getgrass_io raised $4,5 million from polychain and others.
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5/ Social score
TweetScout_io = 883 Twiter_score = 50
This is a good score, and it tells us that this project is interesting to the crypto community.
We see that the project is followed by people from tier-1 funds (a16z, Delphi_Digital, Polychain, Binance), large crypto influencers(@milesdeutscher), founders of top crypto projects(aeyakovenko, iamjosephyoung, loomdart), as well as popular ecosystem projects(Solana).
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Disclaimer: This content is not a paid advertisement and is not intended to persuade or encourage investment. Please conduct thorough research and make informed decisions based on your own analysis before considering any investment opportunities. #Write2Earn #BTC #cpi
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