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G a a h
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G a a h

Markets Analyses on-chain Data Trading, AI, Macro Insights
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Владелец BTC
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7.6 г
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As bearish momentum was weakening — as we showed using the #bitcoin Price Momentum indicator a few weeks ago — the probability of a reversal increases.   Since the start of bear market, sellers had been gaining momentum. That changed completely after the $60k low in February 2026, forming a divergence as low renewed four months later.   What we want to see here now is bullish momentum reaching 25+ — similar to 2022, when there was a true reversal of the downtrend.   We are very close to this, to confirm it for sure based on this technical indicator. #BTC #technicalanalyst #momentum #Bull $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
As bearish momentum was weakening — as we showed using the #bitcoin Price Momentum indicator a few weeks ago — the probability of a reversal increases.

Since the start of bear market, sellers had been gaining momentum.
That changed completely after the $60k low in February 2026, forming a divergence as low renewed four months later.

What we want to see here now is bullish momentum reaching 25+ — similar to 2022, when there was a true reversal of the downtrend.

We are very close to this, to confirm it for sure based on this technical indicator.

#BTC #technicalanalyst #momentum #Bull $BTC
G a a h
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Weak Bearish Momentum — failed to gain traction and #BTC price absorbed the selling pressure in region again.

The bullish divergence remains in play as bearish momentum continues its decline.

Based on this setup, the most likely scenario is a recovery trend infiltrating #bitcoin price and gaining bullish momentum

#technicalanalyst #momentum #bullish $BTC
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Рост
#bitcoin Impulse hits a 15-month high — it’s the biggest rally since all-time high The bullish divergence is now confirmed and the recovery is truly gaining momentum The current rally overshadows all previous recovery moves throughout the bear market, dramatically increasing the likelihood of a reversal. #BTC #technicalanalyst #IMPULSE #bullish $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin Impulse hits a 15-month high — it’s the biggest rally since all-time high

The bullish divergence is now confirmed and the recovery is truly gaining momentum

The current rally overshadows all previous recovery moves throughout the bear market, dramatically increasing the likelihood of a reversal.

#BTC #technicalanalyst #IMPULSE #bullish $BTC
G a a h
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#bitcoin Impulse with a slight bullish divergence in play

The indicator signals a weakening of selling pressure during the most recent low #BTC price

This signal suggests a possible reversal from the most recent bottom.

If the price manages to break through significant resistance level with positive momentum above 30, it will likely confirm the bullish divergence — we’re keeping an eye on this potential setup.

#technicalanalyst #bullish $BTC
G a a h
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Fibonacci Retracement Cycle Zone #bitcoin above 78

Historically this region has marked the formation bottom #BTC

#Onchain #CYCLE $BTC #BitcoinFailsToHold$64.4K
G a a h
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#bitcoin is trading below the Cost of Production — currently around $74k  —since February 2026.
 
Only during the 2018 bear market did #BTC price approach the lower band (Average Operating Cost) — this period was marked by most severe mining stress event in history, the BCH hash war.
 
It is extremely rare for price to approach the Operating Cost, currently around ~$49k.
 
- An interesting point: During the previous bear market (2022), Operating Cost band was in $12k–$10k range and was never reached.

#Mining #CYCLE #technicalanalyst $BTC
#bitcoin Fear & Greed Index hits new high in 2026 — above January’s peak ⚠️ After months of Extreme Fear, market sentiment returns to Neutral>Greed levels, approaching Extreme region. Sentiment shifted rapidly as the #BTC price rebounded significantly — about +26% in 5 days. This short-term euphoria is normal, given that the market had been in a contracting phase for months. We will continue to monitor investor sentiment as greed increases and the risk of a local top forming approaches. #Sentiments #technicalanalyst #GreedIndex $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin Fear & Greed Index hits new high in 2026 — above January’s peak ⚠️

After months of Extreme Fear, market sentiment returns to Neutral>Greed levels, approaching Extreme region.

Sentiment shifted rapidly as the #BTC price rebounded significantly — about +26% in 5 days.

This short-term euphoria is normal, given that the market had been in a contracting phase for months.
We will continue to monitor investor sentiment as greed increases and the risk of a local top forming approaches.

#Sentiments #technicalanalyst #GreedIndex $BTC
Price Z-Score 200d #bitcoin breaks above the Neutral Zone confirming the bullish divergence This move suggests that the recent recovery trend is likely to continue in a bullish pattern, initially targeting the key resistance level at $81k-$90k changing the current downtrend structure. Based on this technical indicator, the likelihood of a reversal in the primary trend it's practically confirmed. #BTC #Onchain #technicalanalyst #Bull $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Price Z-Score 200d #bitcoin breaks above the Neutral Zone confirming the bullish divergence

This move suggests that the recent recovery trend is likely to continue in a bullish pattern, initially targeting the key resistance level at $81k-$90k changing the current downtrend structure.

Based on this technical indicator, the likelihood of a reversal in the primary trend it's practically confirmed.

#BTC #Onchain #technicalanalyst #Bull $BTC
G a a h
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Price Z-Score 200d #bitcoin continues to show a bullish divergence

We continue to monitor the neutral zone (0) as a break above it will confirm divergence, indicating a high probability of reversal.

#BTC #technicalanalyst $BTC
#bitcoin breaking above the 200-day EMA ⚠️ The last test of this moving average occurred 100 days ago, acting as resistance since November 2025 If this area flips to support, it increases the likelihood that current recovery will develop into an initial reversal impulse #BTC #bearmarket #technicalanalyst $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin breaking above the 200-day EMA ⚠️

The last test of this moving average occurred 100 days ago, acting as resistance since November 2025

If this area flips to support, it increases the likelihood that current recovery will develop into an initial reversal impulse

#BTC #bearmarket #technicalanalyst $BTC
Tactical Bull-Bear Sentiment Index (TBBI) #bitcoin remains in the historical accumulation zone after a bullish divergence formed. The indicator is rapidly approaching the top of this zone as #BTC price attempts a recovery. This region is considered as Extreme Bearish🟩(0–20): Historically, these levels have correlated with high-probability cycle bottoms, when there is an excess of panic selling at a significant loss, and “smart money” absorbs this capitulation-driven selling. #Onchain #CYCLE #accumulating $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Tactical Bull-Bear Sentiment Index (TBBI) #bitcoin remains in the historical accumulation zone after a bullish divergence formed.

The indicator is rapidly approaching the top of this zone as #BTC price attempts a recovery.

This region is considered as Extreme Bearish🟩(0–20):
Historically, these levels have correlated with high-probability cycle bottoms, when there is an excess of panic selling at a significant loss, and “smart money” absorbs this capitulation-driven selling.

#Onchain #CYCLE #accumulating $BTC
Realized Profit per Address #bitcoin near confirming a bullish divergence The indicator is approaching the Neutral zone after 9 months in Capitulation territory This metric uses a 365-day rolling Z-score based on Net Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL) normalized by active addresses, capturing if are realizing excessive profits/losses relative to the annual historical average. #BTC #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Realized Profit per Address #bitcoin near confirming a bullish divergence

The indicator is approaching the Neutral zone after 9 months in Capitulation territory

This metric uses a 365-day rolling Z-score based on Net Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL) normalized by active addresses, capturing if are realizing excessive profits/losses relative to the annual historical average.

#BTC #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC
G a a h
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Exchange CDD Pressure Index #bitcoin approaches neutral territory again 👀forming yet another lower high

#BTC #Onchain #exchange $BTC
G a a h
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#bitcoin is approaching the PowerLaw support band🔥

Historically, these movements are rare and have occurred only 4x in the history of #BTC — in 2015, 2022, 2020 (covid crash) and now in 2026.

During the 2018 bear market, it came very close to support level, but the price reversed before reaching it.

PowerLaw fair value is around $172k, which is approximately +160% above the current price, indicating an extreme discount based on this model’s historical comparison.

#PowerLaw #VALUATION #CYCLE $BTC
IBCI Weekly drops to 4.76 points — still in Accumulation Zone 🟢 3 months fluctuating between 4-10 points As long as the indicator remains below 25 — it's time to accumulate #BTC #bitcoin price ~$64k 🔻🔺 #Onchain #CYCLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
IBCI Weekly drops to 4.76 points — still in Accumulation Zone 🟢

3 months fluctuating between 4-10 points

As long as the indicator remains below 25 — it's time to accumulate #BTC

#bitcoin price ~$64k 🔻🔺

#Onchain #CYCLE $BTC
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