Current flow and on-chain metrics suggest Bitcoin is losing momentum, as new capital inflows slow rather than capital exiting the market.
Realized Cap shows that capital remains within the system. However, both the rate of change and Z-Trend are in negative territory, reflecting a loss of acceleration in new capital inflows. This setup is typical of consolidation or late-cycle conditions, not the early stages of a fresh bull move.
At the same time, Bitcoin spot reserves on exchanges have been rising since Jun 2025, increasing available on-exchange supply. Historically, this behavior aligns with either gradual distribution or capital positioning ahead of higher volatility - but not with aggressive accumulation.
Spot demand remains weak. A persistently negative Coinbase Premium suggests that U.S.-based spot buyers, institutions included, are largely absent. As a result, recent upside attempts appear increasingly derivatives-driven, making price moves more fragile and less durable.
Taken together, these signals point to a clear conclusion:
Bitcoin is not attracting strong spot demand. The market is in a phase of redistribution and waiting.
A constructive shift would require:
• stabilization and recovery in Coinbase Premium,
• a turn in Realized Cap momentum,
• clear evidence of spot-led absorption.
Until then, upside remains vulnerable, with the risk skewed toward continued range trading or a deeper corrective move 🧸 DYOR
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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Reclaims $88,000, Precious Metals Surge, Is The “Digital Gold” Narrat...
Bitcoin (BTC) registered a marginal increase over the past 24 hours, reaching $88,000. However, price action remains muted as investors favored gold and silver instead of risk assets ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision and Big Tech earnings, which could act as a major catalyst for the market, particularly BTC.
BTC’s underperformance compared to equities and precious metals suggests investors are treating crypto as a high-risk asset rather than a safe-haven asset. The flagship cryptocurrency fell to a low of $87,135 on Monday before reclaiming $88,000. BTC has dipped back below $88,000 and is currently trading around $87,843.
Crypto Rebound Will Happen Once Gold Rally Cools: Tom Lee
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee believes the cryptocurrency market will recover once the gold and silver rallies cool. According to Lee, record gold and silver prices have overshadowed Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies; however, the latter should rebound with a weaker dollar and an easing Fed. Lee explained that crypto lacks the leverage tailwind since the industry “de-levered.”
As long as gold and silver are rising, then there’s a FOMO into buying that instead of crypto. Because when gold and silver take a break, then and in the past, that would lead to a Bitcoin and Ethereum surge afterwards.
Gold prices surged past $5,000 on Monday, reaching a record high of $5,100, rising over 17% since the beginning of the year. Not to be left behind, Silver hit $110, gaining over 55% so far this year. Market experts believe geopolitical tensions, tariff threats, and a weak US dollar are driving investors towards assets like gold and silver. Lee added that the markets are still reeling from the October 10 crash, which wiped out billions from the crypto market. Lee added,
I think the precious metal move has sucked a lot of the oxygen out of the room. So, I think crypto prices aren’t quite keeping up with fundamentals, but as you know, when fundamentals go up and to the right, prices eventually follow.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Break Outflow Streak
US spot Bitcoin ETFs broke a five-day outflow streak on Monday, recording total net inflows of $6.84 million on January 26. Crypto ETFs and investment products bled last week, shedding over $1.7 billions, the largest weekly decline since November 2025. Investors dumped Bitcoin and Ethereum products as the prospect of a rate cut faded, and crypto failed to act as an inflation hedge this cycle. CoinShares head of research James Butterfill stated,
Dwindling expectations for interest rate cuts, negative price momentum, and disappointment that digital assets have not participated in the debasement trade yet have likely fuelled these outflows.
The Bitcoin network hashrate plunged to a seven-month low over the weekend as a major winter storm pummeled the US with snow and ice, forcing miners to pause mining operations to support the energy grid. Weather agencies reported that the winter storm impacted over three dozen states over the weekend, causing widespread rain, snow, ice, and power outages, impacting millions. According to CoinWarz data, the Bitcoin Network’s hashrate began dropping on Friday and hit 663 exahashes per second (EH/s) by Sunday, a 40% decline in two days. However, the hashrate has recovered and reached 854 EH/s by Monday. Abundant Mines, a Bitcoin miner, said that over 40% of the global Bitcoin mining capacity went offline over the weekend.
Approximately 40% of global Bitcoin mining capacity has gone offline in the past 24 hours due to extreme winter weather.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis
Bitcoin (BTC) briefly reclaimed $88,000 before being forced back towards $87,000 as it struggles to build momentum while gold and silver surge to record levels. BTC fell to a low of $86,000 on Sunday before rebounding on Monday and settling at $88,250. The flagship cryptocurrency is down 0.59% during the ongoing session, trading around $87,726.
However, overall market sentiment remains cautious, with investors flocking to gold and silver. The precious metals have rallied to record levels ahead of the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate decision of the year, and expected earnings from a host of mega tech companies. Meanwhile, President Trump found a new tariff target, South Korea. Trump said he was increasing tariffs on imports from South Korea, accusing the country of not living up to its trade deal with Washington.
NEW: TRUMP ANNOUNCES “BECAUSE THE KOREAN LEGISLATURE HASN’T ENACTED OUR HISTORIC TRADE AGREEMENT, WHICH IS THEIR PREROGATIVE, I AM HEREBY INCREASING SOUTH KOREAN TARIFFS ON AUTOS, LUMBER, PHARMA, AND ALL OTHER RECIPROCAL TARIFFS, FROM 15% TO 25%.”</span></i></p></blockquote> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Meanwhile, traditional markets held steady as tech companies prepared to announce their earnings. Nasdaq rose 0.2% as investors readied themselves for earnings from the Magnificent Seven, including Microsoft, Apple, and Tesla, due on Wednesday. Meanwhile, MSCI’s broad index of Asia Pacific shares rose 0.4%, and Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.1%. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Gold settled around $5,066 per ounce, hovering around a record high, while silver rallied over 6% to $110. Meanwhile, </span><a href="https://financepolice.com/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-posts-marginal-recovery-as-trump-walks-back-tariff-threats/"><b>Bitcoin</b></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and other cryptocurrencies struggled, with the flagship cryptocurrency well below its October peak. Investors have ignored Bitcoin, instead pivoting to gold as falling yields, a weak dollar, and geopolitical uncertainties fuel a rally in equities and precious metals. The divergence has prompted many to question Bitcoin’s “digital gold
narrative and reinforced the view that crypto is trading more like a high-beta asset, sensitive to positioning and liquidity, and less like a hedge. Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro chief market analyst, stated,
Cryptocurrencies remain a lagging class of risk-sensitive assets, falling short of metals and the strongest global currencies. The technical bearish picture remains relevant, despite the gains in recent hours. BTC remains below its key moving average lines and has not attempted to break through the support of the last two months.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at its meeting on Wednesday.
BTC ended the previous weekend in the red, dropping 1.55% to $93,633. Sellers retained control on Monday as the price fell 1.15% to $92,559. Selling pressure intensified on Tuesday as BTC fell nearly 5%, slipping below $90,000 to $88,310. Despite the overwhelming bearish sentiment, the price recovered on Wednesday, rising 1.19% to $89,363. BTC registered a marginal increase on Thursday, moving to $89,463.
Source: TradingView
BTC experienced considerable volatility on Friday as buyers and sellers struggled to establish control. Buyers ultimately gained the upper hand as the price registered a marginal increase to $89,474. Selling pressure returned over the weekend, and BTC fell 0.44% to $89,092. Selling pressure intensified on Sunday as the price fell nearly 3% to $86,561. Despite the overwhelming selling pressure, BTC recovered on Monday, rising almost 2% to $88,250. BTC is back in the red during the ongoing session, trading around $87,928.
Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
The majority of RWA chains are oriented towards issuance as opposed to Dusk, which is concerned with what will rupture markets in the future. It is aimed at regulated assets in which the control of disclosure and settlement discipline are more significant than speed. Combination with controlled destinations including NPEX, selective auditability, and modest validator incentives show a chain designed to survive regulation instead of pursue liquidity
The Crypto Radio Live quickfire newsround on 26th January:
• Thailand prepares crypto ETF rules and ramps up anti-scam enforcement • Binance applies for a MiCA license in Greece ahead of the EU deadline • Former Olympic snowboarder Ryan Wedding arrested over cartel-linked crypto laundering • Indonesia’s crypto user numbers rise even as trading volumes fall • Spacecoin launches SPACE token days after Trump-linked DeFi partnership • Brazil tightens crypto entry rules with audits, reserves, and fund segregation
$BTC $1.7B DUMPED — Bitcoin ETF Investors Hit the EXIT for 5 Straight Days 🚨
The ETF honeymoon is officially cracking. Bitcoin spot ETFs have now recorded five consecutive days of net outflows, with a massive $1.7 BILLION pulled in total. That’s not retail panic — that’s institutional money stepping back.
This streak signals a clear risk-off shift across crypto markets. As volatility creeps in and macro uncertainty grows, ETF investors are choosing capital preservation over exposure. Even daily inflows aren’t enough to offset the sustained selling pressure building beneath the surface.
ETFs were supposed to be Bitcoin’s stabilizer. Instead, they’re now acting as a fast exit ramp when sentiment turns. When Wall Street blinks, the rest of the market usually feels it next.
Is this just a temporary reset before the next leg up — or the first warning shot of a deeper pullback? The flows are speaking. Are you listening?
ACU dumped -30% in 24h with $70M volume, signaling distribution and liquidations, not a healthy pullback. Price already lost the $0.24 structure, and sentiment offers no strong buyers yet. If $0.19 fails, downside can accelerate as trapped longs exit. Any bounce into $0.22–$0.23 is likely a sell-the-rebound, not a reversal.
The Need for Interoperability in Regulated Finance
As blockchain adoption expands, the need for interoperability — the ability for assets and financial instruments to move securely between networks — becomes increasingly vital, especially for regulated markets. Standalone blockchains can tokenize assets, but without the ability to move these assets and data across ecosystems, their utility remains siloed. Dusk is addressing this challenge through strategic alliances and integration with industry‑standard interoperability technologies. Partnership with NPEX and Chainlink A major milestone for $DUSK is its strategic collaboration with Chainlink Labs and NPEX, a fully licensed Dutch stock exchange with a long track record of regulated market activity. This partnership leverages Chainlink’s Cross‑Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), Cross‑Chain Token (CCT) standard, DataLink, and Data Streams to build a unified framework for compliant on‑chain financial market infrastructure. NPEX brings validated regulatory credibility through its Multilateral Trading Facility (MTF) licensing and a substantial base of institutional investors and financing activity. Combined with Dusk’s compliance‑centric blockchain and Chainlink’s interoperability and data standards, this collaboration paves the way for regulated securities to be issued, traded, and settled on chain. Cross‑Chain Interoperability with CCIP and CCT Chainlink’s CCIP serves as the canonical interoperability layer for tokenized assets issued on DuskEVM, enabling those assets to move securely and compliantly between supported blockchains like Ethereum and Solana. This makes regulated tokenized instruments composable across ecosystems, supporting a broader range of decentralized applications while preserving regulatory attributes. The Cross‑Chain Token (CCT) standard further enables secure transfers of native tokens like DUSK between different networks, expanding liquidity and accessibility without sacrificing security or compliance requirements needed for institutional participation. On‑Chain Market Data with Chainlink Oracles Interoperability isn’t only about moving assets; it’s also about reliable data. Dusk and NPEX are adopting Chainlink’s DataLink and Data Streams to bring verified, regulatory‑grade financial market data on chain. DataLink delivers official exchange data directly to blockchain applications, while Data Streams provide high‑frequency, low‑latency price updates necessary for complex financial products. This direct on‑chain data access enables decentralized applications to operate with real‑time, auditable inputs that meet institutional standards, reducing reliance on external data providers and enhancing transparency. Institutional Benefits of Interoperability The integration unlocks several advantages for regulated finance: Cross‑Chain Composability: Tokenized assets can interact with DeFi and institutional protocols across chains.Unified Access: Investors can hold and transact regulated tokens regardless of network choice.Regulatory Assurance: Compliance features embedded in asset contracts persist across ecosystems.Verified Data Feeds: On-chain official market data supports trading, settlement, and risk management.
Together, these features make @Dusk suitable for institutions seeking multi‑chain deployment without compromising legal or privacy requirements. Future Vision: Interconnected Regulated Finance Networks By combining Dusk’s privacy‑centric and compliance‑aware blockchain with interoperability standards and licensed market infrastructure, the protocol is enabling a future where regulated financial markets operate seamlessly across decentralized systems. This hybrid model brings traditional financial instruments into a composable, secure, and compliant blockchain ecosystem, positioning Dusk at the forefront of regulated on‑chain finance innovation. #dusk
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DUSK and the Future of Privacy-First Trading in Web3
Trading in Web3 is evolving beyond just speed and liquidity privacy is becoming a critical differentiator. This is where Dusk Network shines. By combining zero-knowledge proofs and confidential smart contracts, Dusk allows traders to execute complex transactions without exposing sensitive information on-chain. This means that market strategies, trade volumes, and positions can remain private, while still benefiting from a fully decentralized settlement layer. For traders, this opens new opportunities. You can hedge, arbitrate, or participate in decentralized financial instruments without fear of front-running or other visibility-based attacks. Moreover, Dusk’s privacy-preserving framework can increase market efficiency by encouraging participation from institutional players who are often restricted by compliance requirements around public blockchains. From a technical standpoint, Dusk integrates modular privacy with robust consensus, ensuring that speed and security aren’t compromised. Traders can rely on cryptographically guaranteed transaction validity while keeping their activity confidential. Interactive thought for the community 👇 • How would privacy-first trading impact liquidity and volatility in DeFi markets? • Could confidential smart contracts attract more institutional investors to decentralized exchanges? • Are you ready to trade with privacy as a core feature rather than a side benefit? Privacy, security, and speed are no longer optional in modern trading. @dusk_foundation $DUSK is making privacy the standard, not the exception. #dusk
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Ethereum Foundation Unveils $2M Quantum Defense Strategy
The Ethereum Foundation has officially elevated post-quantum security to top strategic priority, announcing a $2 million prize pool and new dedicated team to safeguard the network against future quantum computing threats. According to Justin Drake on X, Thomas Coratger will lead the newly formed Post Quantum (PQ) team, with support from Emile, a key contributor behind leanVM—the cryptographic foundation of Ethereum's entire quantum strategy. The announcement marks a pivotal shift after years of quiet research and development. EF Declares Quantum Arms Race Has Begun The Foundation's quantum journey started in 2019 with the "Eth3.0 Quantum Security" presentation at StarkWare Sessions. By 2024, quantum resistance became central to the leanEthereum vision, with engineering breakthroughs accelerating rapidly since then. Today marks an inflection in the Ethereum Foundation's long-term quantum strategy. Drake revealed that after management formally declared PQ security a top priority, the pace of development has been "nothing short of phenomenal." The Foundation is betting heavily on hash-based cryptography to establish what they describe as "the strongest and leanest cryptographic foundations." You might also like: Vitalik Reveals Ethereum's 2026 "God Mode" Transformation Plan Multi-Client Devnets Already Live The official Ethereum X account confirmed the network is moving toward quantum resistance, with multi-client PQ consensus devnets already operational. Pioneer teams including zeamETH, ReamLabs, PierTwo, geanclient, and ethlambda_lean are collaborating alongside established consensus teams Lighthouse, Grandine, and soon Prysm. Antonio Sanso will kick off bi-weekly All Core Devs PQ transactions breakout calls next month, focusing on user-facing security through dedicated precompiles, account abstraction, and longer-term transaction signature aggregation with leanVM. The Foundation announced two major $1 million initiatives: the Poseidon Prize to harden the Poseidon hash function, and the existing Proximity Prize. These competitions aim to strengthen the cryptographic infrastructure before quantum threats materialize. Must read: BlackRock Confirms: Ethereum Dominates $13T Tokenization Wave AI Cracks Crypto Proofs in Hours In a breakthrough development, Alex Hicks ran specialized mathematics AI for eight hours at $200 cost, successfully completing a formal proof of one of the hardest lemmas in hash-based snarks foundations. Drake called the achievement "mind-blowing," stating that applied cryptography "will never be the same." The Foundation is hosting a three-day PQ workshop in October, bringing together top experts globally. A PQ day is scheduled for March 29 in Cannes ahead of EthCC. The ZKPodcast is producing a six-part video series on Ethereum's quantum strategy, while EF Enterprise Acceleration prepares materials for enterprises and nation-states. Related: Ethereum Becomes Wall Street's Blockchain: 35 Giants Go All-In A comprehensive roadmap breakdown will be shared on pq.ethereum.org, targeting a full transition in coming years with "zero loss of funds and zero downtime." Ethereum now holds representation on the PQ advisory board that Coinbase announced, positioning the network at the forefront of quantum-resistant blockchain infrastructure. The aggressive timeline reflects growing urgency around quantum computing capabilities, with the Foundation's accelerated schedule signaling serious concerns about potential vulnerabilities. Weekly PQ interop calls coordinated by Will Corcoran are keeping development teams synchronized as the industry races to quantum-proof digital assets. 3 KEY TAKEAWAYS Ethereum Foundation forms new Post Quantum team with $2M prize pool targeting quantum-resistant infrastructureMulti-client PQ consensus devnets already operational with pioneer teams zeamETH, ReamLabs, and Prysm joiningAI breakthrough completes complex cryptographic proof in 8 hours, revolutionizing applied cryptography development
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Ethereum Foundation Unveils $2M Quantum Defense Strategy
The Ethereum Foundation has officially elevated post-quantum security to top strategic priority, announcing a $2 million prize pool and new dedicated team to safeguard the network against future quantum computing threats. According to Justin Drake on X, Thomas Coratger will lead the newly formed Post Quantum (PQ) team, with support from Emile, a key contributor behind leanVM—the cryptographic foundation of Ethereum's entire quantum strategy. The announcement marks a pivotal shift after years of quiet research and development. EF Declares Quantum Arms Race Has Begun The Foundation's quantum journey started in 2019 with the "Eth3.0 Quantum Security" presentation at StarkWare Sessions. By 2024, quantum resistance became central to the leanEthereum vision, with engineering breakthroughs accelerating rapidly since then. Today marks an inflection in the Ethereum Foundation's long-term quantum strategy. Drake revealed that after management formally declared PQ security a top priority, the pace of development has been "nothing short of phenomenal." The Foundation is betting heavily on hash-based cryptography to establish what they describe as "the strongest and leanest cryptographic foundations." You might also like: Vitalik Reveals Ethereum's 2026 "God Mode" Transformation Plan Multi-Client Devnets Already Live The official Ethereum X account confirmed the network is moving toward quantum resistance, with multi-client PQ consensus devnets already operational. Pioneer teams including zeamETH, ReamLabs, PierTwo, geanclient, and ethlambda_lean are collaborating alongside established consensus teams Lighthouse, Grandine, and soon Prysm. Antonio Sanso will kick off bi-weekly All Core Devs PQ transactions breakout calls next month, focusing on user-facing security through dedicated precompiles, account abstraction, and longer-term transaction signature aggregation with leanVM. The Foundation announced two major $1 million initiatives: the Poseidon Prize to harden the Poseidon hash function, and the existing Proximity Prize. These competitions aim to strengthen the cryptographic infrastructure before quantum threats materialize. Must read: BlackRock Confirms: Ethereum Dominates $13T Tokenization Wave AI Cracks Crypto Proofs in Hours In a breakthrough development, Alex Hicks ran specialized mathematics AI for eight hours at $200 cost, successfully completing a formal proof of one of the hardest lemmas in hash-based snarks foundations. Drake called the achievement "mind-blowing," stating that applied cryptography "will never be the same." The Foundation is hosting a three-day PQ workshop in October, bringing together top experts globally. A PQ day is scheduled for March 29 in Cannes ahead of EthCC. The ZKPodcast is producing a six-part video series on Ethereum's quantum strategy, while EF Enterprise Acceleration prepares materials for enterprises and nation-states. Related: Ethereum Becomes Wall Street's Blockchain: 35 Giants Go All-In A comprehensive roadmap breakdown will be shared on pq.ethereum.org, targeting a full transition in coming years with "zero loss of funds and zero downtime." Ethereum now holds representation on the PQ advisory board that Coinbase announced, positioning the network at the forefront of quantum-resistant blockchain infrastructure. The aggressive timeline reflects growing urgency around quantum computing capabilities, with the Foundation's accelerated schedule signaling serious concerns about potential vulnerabilities. Weekly PQ interop calls coordinated by Will Corcoran are keeping development teams synchronized as the industry races to quantum-proof digital assets. 3 KEY TAKEAWAYS Ethereum Foundation forms new Post Quantum team with $2M prize pool targeting quantum-resistant infrastructureMulti-client PQ consensus devnets already operational with pioneer teams zeamETH, ReamLabs, and Prysm joiningAI breakthrough completes complex cryptographic proof in 8 hours, revolutionizing applied cryptography development
Price dipped into a prior support zone and selling pressure failed to expand, suggesting bids are absorbing the move rather than letting it slide. The reaction off the lows looks controlled, not impulsive to the downside, and momentum is beginning to stabilize. Structure favors continuation higher as long as this base continues to hold.
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Why Decentralized Storage is the Missing Piece of Web3
When we talk about the future of crypto, we often focus on transaction speeds or DeFi yields. But there is a massive elephant in the room—or should I say, a Walrus? Most "decentralized" apps (dApps) today still rely on centralized servers like AWS or Google Cloud to host their front-ends and images. This creates a single point of failure and censorship risks. @walrusprotocol is here to fix this fundamental flaw. Built natively on the Sui blockchain, Walrus offers a robust solution for storing large files—from NFT metadata to complex AI datasets—in a way that is truly decentralized. By utilizing a combination of blob storage and erasure coding, Walrus ensures that data is split, secured, and distributed across a network of nodes. This means your data is safer, cheaper to store, and always available, even if parts of the network go offline. For the Web3 ecosystem to truly mature, we need infrastructure that doesn't rely on Web2 giants. Walrus is building exactly that. With the $WAL token powering the governance and staking of this network, the incentives are aligned for a future where users, not corporations, own the internet's memory. $WAL #Walrus
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How Will Japan’s Interest Rate Decision Affect Bitcoin?
We are in one of the most critical weeks for Bitcoin, as Japan’s interest rate decision will be announced on January 23. If an interest rate hike comes in line with expectations, Bitcoin may face selling pressure.
I have frequently emphasized that the $98K resistance is crucial for Bitcoin’s price. If the price gets rejected from this level, Bitcoin may enter a downward trend without forming a new high. Indeed, the price has already reversed downward from the $97,950 level. From this point on, the key level to watch is the $88,450 trend. If BTC price trades below this trend, I will consider that the main downtrend has officially started. In that case, the decline could continue in a sideways to downward structure toward the $69K support, marked by the blue horizontal line on the chart.
If a reversal occurs upward from this trend, the price may make a final move into the $102K–$110K range, after which the bear season would likely resume. The potential bear market bottom could be the $49K–$52K support, marked by the long-term rising blue trend that has been in place since 2018.
Brace yourselves the drop may be on the way.
Written by PelinayPA
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