EGC9999

NVIDIA controversy continues, can the $100 billion revenue target be achieved?
🔎 NBIS and Cerebras earnings reports are about to be released! Can computing power expansion drive AI cloud revenue growth, and how is the commercialization of wafer-level chips progressing?
➡︎ The earnings season is entering its second half, join Outcomes to make predictions and compete for a share of the 360,000 USDT prize pool

#cannvdareigniteairally $AKE 20x long position floating loss -89%, after seeing this chart, I'm glad my hand didn't shake just now.

Someone in the group is posting pictures... opened long at 0.002905, current price 0.00277, the drop doesn't look much, but with 20x leverage, it's -89% gone. This altcoin is basically a master of fakeouts, the daily chart looks terrible. I saw it dropping sharply just now, originally wanted to dip buy with a small position, had even planned the stop loss at 0.0027. But my hand froze at the confirmation and hesitated, so I didn't act; now it seems I saved my skin. The above is just my market feeling and plan, not advice. I don't enter this kind of trend because I'm cautious. What's your reason for not entering?

Big holder position update! BTC+ETH short positions are profitable, SOL long position has a slight floating loss

Overall, BTC and ETH short positions contribute positive returns, while the SOL long position is temporarily slightly retracing, representing a mainstream bearish view hedged with a small target long position. Leverage is relatively high, and if the market reverses quickly, the risk of drawdown should not be underestimated.

📊 Complete position breakdown
✅ BTC short position｜30X full position
Position: -166.89 BTC, position value 12,337,000 U
Entry price: 75,835.5 U
Unrealized profit: +319,000 U
Funding income: +43,400 U
Margin: 411,200 U, liquidation price: 151,879.04 U

✅ ETH short position｜25X full position
Position: -3,377.49 ETH, position value 6,941,100 U
Entry price: 2,132.29 U
Unrealized profit: +260,700 U
Funding income: +28,100 U
Margin: 277,600 U, liquidation price: 5,878.68 U

✅ SOL long position｜20X full position
Position: 41,000 SOL, position value 3,433,400 U
Entry price: 86.4532 U
Unrealized P&L: -109,100 U
Funding income: +521.12 U
Margin: 171,700 U, no liquidation price

Crypto is dead, burn some paper if you have issues!
Following the drop but not the rise, what's going on with crypto?
Today the US stock market had a big rebound, QQQ directly bounced back 2 points,
SanDisk $SNDK rebounded 10 points directly,
Our crypto, the rebound is weak!
Ethereum $ETH is currently stuck at 2060 and can't go higher,
Bitcoin $BTC also can't hold above 74000.
A few days ago, the US stock market fell sharply.
The Nasdaq 100 ETF dropped straight from 764 to 635,
which is the biggest correction in recent years.
When 764 surged and then fell back, I felt it was very likely to correct.
Didn't expect the correction to be so sudden and deep. It can be said that this round of big drop in the crypto market
was mainly driven by the US stock market.
There was no black swan event in the crypto market itself, except for that one thing.
But it still keeps falling. To be honest,
I originally thought Ethereum's correction to 2200 was the limit,
but didn't expect it to really go down to 2000,
directly breaking the bull market logic.
Today the US stock market is all rebounding,
but the crypto market's rebound is weak!
Brothers, what do you think is going on?
Is the bear market going to continue?
Check my pinned post to discuss.

After watching the altcoins in this round of decline, Ajian wants to single out XRP for discussion, because $XRP has dropped about 14% in a week, with a market cap evaporating over $13 billion; meanwhile, the funding rate has hit a one-year high, and spot ETFs have seen a net outflow of $10.4 million. Price down, funding rate up—this is a very typical scenario of bulls adding leverage during a decline. This structure is extremely fragile; if it falls another 5%, it will trigger a chain liquidation. Bulls are fleeing in panic while institutions happily hold the buy side. Would you dare to bottom-fish in this situation?

$BTC needs to recover; first, let's see if 74460 can turn from resistance into support. Muzzagin's approach is to hold above 73000, then wait for this recovery condition, and subsequently focus on 75200; he expects the process to be volatile rather than the price directly surging once reached.

Kraken's public quote is about 73781 USD, still below the blogger's recovery line. What can be confirmed here is the gap between the quote and the condition; this does not prove that his entire structural judgment has been established, nor should his disclosed position arrangements be taken as my own actual operations.

My comprehensive judgment is that the bullish path is still waiting to be triggered. I will first look for an hourly close above the recovery line, then see if the pullback can hold, rather than betting on targets prematurely in the middle of the range. If it spikes up and quickly falls back, continue to wait; if the lower defense line is lost and not recovered, then cancel this recovery observation and do not extend the judgment's lifespan by averaging down.

TraderGauls also emphasizes waiting for a reaction after reaching the focus area; I agree with this confirmation mindset but will not add lines without textual price levels. Short-term space must cover fees and slippage, and position size must obey the invalidation distance. Would you wait for a close above the line first, or judge after a pullback support? This is just a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice.

#US October Overall and Core CPI Both Exceed Expectations
I am the mid-term intelligence guy.

Today's market is a tug of war between bulls and bears, BTC and ETH are bearish, SOL ecosystem is active but hides dangers.

$BTC strong institutional consensus: BlackRock IBIT conversion demand hits record (security-driven about 3.6 billion), Kazakhstan central bank invests 100 million in crypto fund, Miami-Dade County collects BTC property tax, Square launches merchant payments with no fees. But big risks: USDT market cap shrank by 6.6 billion in 60 days, exceeding the FTX period, stablecoin retreat needs caution.

$ETH under obvious pressure: spot ETF continuous outflows (315.6 million withdrawn in seven days), foundation-related wallet sold 1,000 coins causing a 7.7% drop, inflation exceeding expectations triggered over 500 million in 4-hour liquidations (ETH longs account for 214 million), plus former employee lawsuit, short-term outlook is gloomy.

$SOL many hotspots: Helius launches privacy ring, RWA holders exceed one million, Schwab lists SOL trading, Agave v4.5 upgrade imminent. But daily yield down 33% monthly, whales hold coins on exchanges, Base's TVL surpasses, down 36% year-to-date.

Mid-term intelligence guy reminds: macro interest rate hike expectations are heating up, frequent leveraged liquidations, guard your positions and wait for opportunities, don’t get washed out by volatility.

#Nonfarm payrolls and CPI both exceed expectations, Fed rate hike in December may accelerate Nonfarm employment remains resilient combined with CPI and core CPI both higher than expected, tight labor market and sticky inflation completely break previous market expectations of rate cuts, funds begin to reprice the Fed's tightening path, December rate hike is basically locked in, and the market even starts to trade the possibility of an aggressive 50bp hike. Housing and service inflation remain stubborn, indicating inflation is not a short-term rebound but endogenous pressure has not dissipated, making it difficult for the Fed to quickly shift to easing.

After the data release, US Treasury yields rose, the dollar strengthened, and long-duration assets collectively came under pressure. Tech growth stocks, crypto assets, and gold, which are sensitive to interest rates, have their valuation logic suppressed, which is the core macro theme behind the recent continuous weakness of BTC, ETH. The previous market game of "inflation falling, quick rate cuts" expectation has been falsified, funds actively deleverage and avoid high-risk assets.

Going forward, focus on the tone of Fed officials' speeches to judge whether to maintain the 25bp rate hike pace or shift to a more hawkish 50bp. Also track PPI and consumer data to confirm whether inflation will continue to rise. Before inflation shows a clear decline, risk assets are unlikely to experience a trend rebound; short-term strategy should be defensive, and avoid rushing to bottom fish. $BTC $ETH $ZEC

The midday market continues to bottom out, with a total floating loss of about 545.7U.
The liquidation price has pulled away to a safe distance, temporarily avoiding the risk of forced liquidation, but the market remains weak. Long positions are still held, refraining from adding more.

Here is the latest position status:
$BTC: Opening average price 78596.8, current price 73762.3, floating loss -335.51U (ROI -615.09%). 100x full position long, maintenance margin rate 2020.86%, estimated liquidation price 65176.3.

$SOL: Opening average price 95.79, current price 83.43, floating loss -177.11U (ROI -258.06%). 20x full position long, maintenance margin rate 2020.86%, estimated liquidation price 41.85, safety margin opened.

$ETH: Opening average price 2357.92, current price 2062.55, floating loss -33.08U (ROI -37.58%). 3x full position long, maintenance margin rate 2020.86%.

This midday volatility continues with no stabilization signal; vigilance must be maintained. Continue holding positions and wait for the market to provide direction.

This is only a personal position review record and does not constitute any investment advice

NBIS earnings report hasn't been released yet

Why is the pricing starting to not exceed expectations?

Losing badly

This time I might lose all my xp

Q2 earnings report was especially good

Is Q3 disappointing?

It could also be that Q2 was just too good

Expectations for Q3 are a bit higher

The earnings report will be released before the market opens

Not giving up

Fighting to the end

$ETH $ZEC $SOL

$INIT has already started probing, short-term short positions have stopped!!

The latecomer surpasses the former; Old Liu personally took the risk to enter a 0.272 short position, initially trapped with doubled losses, then led fans to enter a 0.289 short position at a high level and secured 4 times the profit! The profit is left to you all 😀😀

The news indicates liquidation above; the market maker is not generous at all, after liquidation comes chip distribution 😀.

This pullback corresponds to what I mentioned earlier about testing the lower capital support situation. Those who follow should take profits first, then see how the support is before entering again.

$ETH CPI battle, are you holding or trapped??

As soon as the data came out, the market instantly plunged sharply. It's clear that the 2000 support is effective. So far this month, it has dropped 18%. Is the bear market coming??

In Lao Liu's view, this 2000 level will be the low for this month. The weekly drop has been too fierce, and the market will enter a high-intensity recovery phase!

The hourly chart shows a clear rebound, buying volume is gathering, and it has already stabilized above the previous bottom at 2050, so the market will continue to recover during the day. The short-term outlook remains bullish! Stop loss set at 2049!

Big holder position update! Hedge portfolio profits improving

This setup uses a long-short pairing strategy, with BTC and SOL short positions gaining considerable unrealized profits, ETH long position slightly in the green, overall portfolio performance is good.

📊 Position breakdown
✅ BTC short｜5X full position
Position: -2020.92 BTC, position value 150 million U
Entry price: 77924.2 U
Unrealized profit: +8.3631 million U
Funding income: +3.4366 million U
Margin: 29.8231 million U, liquidation price: 114090.05 U

✅ ETH long｜5X full position
Position: 198.23 ETH, position value 409,400 U
Entry price: 2014.46 U
Unrealized profit: +10,100 U
Funding fee: -44.77 U
Margin: 81,900 U, no liquidation price

✅ SOL short｜5X full position
Position: -193,500 SOL, position value 16.0384 million U
Entry price: 91.3463 U
Unrealized profit: +1.6377 million U
Funding income: +558,900 U
Margin: 3.2077 million U, liquidation price: 500.37 U

The market sentiment has indeed been very cold recently. Yesterday, the US October inflation data was released, with increases exceeding market expectations, further heating up the possibility of a Fed rate hike in December. 😮‍💨

Tech stocks led the decline, ETF funds also saw outflows, and many friends in the group have become more cautious in their trading.

$BTC is currently fluctuating between 73,000 and 75,000 USD, once dropping below 74,000. The key support level is near 73,000, and if it doesn't hold, it may continue to decline.

$ETH has fallen more noticeably, retreating to around 2,000 USD, with the 2,000 round number becoming an important immediate support. Both ETFs have seen continuous net outflows recently, showing a clear cooling of market enthusiasm.

The market naturally goes up and down; only by maintaining a good mindset can one better seize opportunities in the crypto market.

Maji Big Brother Position Tracking｜Hedging Portfolio Market Divergence

Currently, only the BTC position has realized floating profit, the ETH position is under significant loss pressure, and the HYPE position has a slight floating loss, but the funding fee income is good. The entire hedging position experiences large volatility and requires continuous attention to market changes.

📊 Position Details
✅ BTC Short｜40X Full Position
Position: -195.9 BTC, position value 14,547,700 U
Opening Price: 75,425.0 U
Floating Profit: +228,400 U
Funding Fee: +3,569.24
Margin: 363,700 U, Liquidation Price: 106,523.86

✅ ETH Long｜25X Full Position
Position: 9,823.81 ETH, position value 20,577,900 U
Opening Price: 2,427.28 U
Floating Loss: -3,267,200 U
Funding Fee: -118,500 U
Margin: 823,100 U, Liquidation Price: 1,429.94

✅ HYPE Short｜5X Full Position
Position: -259,400 HYPE, position value 19,065,900 U
Opening Price: 72.9651 U
Floating Loss: -142,400 U
Funding Fee: +1,241,400 U
Margin: 3,813,200 U, Liquidation Price: 96.11

🔥The most brutal correction! The biggest crash since ChatGPT, is the AI storage myth now a buying opportunity?

What was bound to happen has happened. The AI storage chip sector, once claimed to always rise, has been cut in half from its peak...
From a peak increase of 1202% in June, it has plummeted to 540%, losing half of its gains. This is the deepest and harshest major correction since the launch of ChatGPT!
Look at this brutal contrast. Although looking over a longer period, since the end of 2022, these storage stocks have still risen more than 5 times, the sharp drawdown below is glaringly painful.

From a 12-fold surge to a halving, the rollercoaster of storage stocks tells us: even in the hottest AI sector, don’t catch the last wave when emotions are at their peak.

However, after the emotional venting, we need to look at some positive aspects.

A 51% drop means that a large part of the previous huge bubble has been squeezed out, and prices are gradually returning to value $BTC

The previous correction was 44%, this time it’s 51%. Not saying it’s hit the bottom, but after such a big drop, the probability of a rebound is indeed increasing.

For those seeking stability, you can consider positioning in big tech like Google, which has corrected significantly, while aggressive investors can look at Intel and some semiconductor ETFs.
As for leveraged ETFs like SOXL, I think the risk is still a bit high; it’s best to focus on big tech, especially Google, whose business is stable and whose trend can be referenced by the previously oversold Microsoft.

We shouldn’t be too greedy; a decent rebound is already quite good. Enter gradually in batches and diversify risk

🚨 TRUMP MAKES A STUNNING ADMISSION: VOTERS ARE FED UP WITH THE WAR, RISING GAS PRICES AND ISRAEL!
Donald #TRUMP :
“Voters didn’t like the war. They didn’t like the increase in gas prices.
And incredibly, there is tremendous dislike of Israel.”
Trump acknowledges growing voter dissatisfaction over the war, rising fuel costs, and increasingly negative sentiment toward Israel.
$TRUMP $DOGE $XRP

Mid-term intelligence report!

ETH and ZEC intelligence are in place, with risks and hotspots coexisting.

$ETH fundamentals sounding the alarm: Vitalik defines it as a store of value, but fee burning only offsets 3% of issuance, and L1 revenue has plummeted 99%. Spot ETFs have seen outflows for six consecutive weeks, supply has increased by over 1 million, foundation sell pressure combined with upgraded vulnerability delays, showing clear weakness.

$ZEC community 68% bullish: NU7 upgrade accelerated, Argos tool unlocked $30 million in financing.

But challenges are significant: failed to hold above 1350, dropped 6% to test October lows, 1K support is fragile, retail high leverage hides strong liquidation risks.

Overall, the bulls are under pressure, don’t blindly catch the falling knife!

$ETH fell below 2100 today

#RocketLab财报前瞻：Neutron火箭进展如何？
To be honest, tonight's $RKLB earnings report doesn't require looking at revenue or profit/loss! The whole market is only betting on one thing — whether the Neutron rocket🚀 has been delayed again!

Many people have been confused these past two days:
The entire internet unanimously doubts RKLB's earnings, negative news is everywhere, yet the stock price stubbornly rebounded early, and the probability of a bullish trend after the earnings keeps rising?

The reason is very simple: all the bad expectations have already been priced in, and now the market is betting that the worst is over!

First, RKLB's old business, the Electron small rocket, is now a steady money-maker with revenue and loss data all within expectations. Tonight's results definitely won't be a disaster; the downside is completely locked in.

The real factor determining this stock's rise or fall is only the latest progress of the Neutron medium-to-large reusable rocket.

Everyone needs to understand what Neutron means to RKLB:
The old rocket can only make small money; Neutron is the trump card that will raise valuation and turn losses into profits in the future. This rocket's launch price and gross margin will directly double, which was the core logic behind institutions previously heavily investing in it.

But in the past few months, this stock has been continuously hammered and drifting down, with one root cause: the market fears delays, technical glitches, and that this trump card will be completely wasted.

The current stock price has already fully priced in all the negative news of "delays until next year"!

In other words:
As long as tonight's earnings report doesn't announce a second delay or new major issues, it will be a better-than-expected positive surprise!

Snapshot of multiple asset liquidations, bulls become the main force of liquidation

According to the latest liquidation data, these assets lead comprehensively in long position liquidation scale across different periods, with short-term bulls continuously being cleaned out, though the intensity varies.

CORE's overall liquidation volume is relatively small, with relatively mild volatility. Only a small number of long positions were liquidated in the one-hour and four-hour periods, with no short position liquidations; the total liquidation in 24 hours is 40,200, almost entirely long positions, and there were no severe chain liquidations on the market.

HYPE's liquidation intensity is significantly higher, with a total 24-hour liquidation of 15,400,200, of which long position liquidations account for 15,267,700, and short positions only 132,400; the 12-hour data also shows a one-sided trend, with a large number of short-term long positions being liquidated in concentration.

ZEC also mainly liquidates long positions, with a total 24-hour liquidation of 14,205,500, long position liquidations at 12,270,700, and short positions at 1,934,800; however, in the four-hour period, short position liquidations surpassed long positions, indicating a rapid rebound mid-way that swept out some short positions, making the market competition more intense.

Overall, the liquidation pressure on these assets recently mainly falls on the bulls. Short-term concentrated liquidations often consume short-term bullish sentiment, but a single liquidation does not equal trend continuation; if follow-up capital enters the market, a rebound recovery is also likely.