Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle. No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern: • 2 years of steady growth • 1 year of explosive bull run • 1 year of brutal bear market The bull run peaked in October 2025. That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026 This is the only indicator that has never failed me. Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
Ignore the noise. Yesterday BTC bounced perfectly off the April 7, 2025 low. Exact level. No coincidence. That was a local bottom — it may not survive the next test, but it mattered.
The 72.5K–74.5K range is massive weekly support. This zone has been tested again and again.
This is where smart money looks for longs.
We might still sweep below 70K later — and still stay bullish in structure.
If BTC is going to range anywhere, it’s right here.
I’m holding my ETH long. BTC long comes next when the picture locks in.
Bitcoin is stuck below $80,000, refusing to break higher, while gold charges toward $5,000 and silver explodes upward. The gap between crypto and precious metals is getting loud.
Some traders say this is the usual setup: gold runs first, then Bitcoin follows. Others warn Bitcoin could still bleed badly against gold.
But Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan drops the big claim: crypto winter is almost over. He says the pain actually began in early 2025 — and this ugly, hopeless feeling is exactly what the end of a downturn looks like.
His message is simple: it feels dead now… but spring may be closer than anyone thinks.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and price isn’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
The push higher stalled quickly after a vertical move and sell pressure showed up immediately, suggesting this is a relief bounce rather than a trend shift. Price is still below major structure and buyers haven’t shown acceptance at higher levels. Momentum looks exhausted, keeping downside continuation in play.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Sellers pushed but couldn’t expand momentum, and price is stabilizing at the lows. As long as this base holds, a relief bounce higher is the cleaner play.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
The selloff lost momentum near range lows and price stopped accelerating lower. Bids stepped in quickly after the flush, suggesting absorption rather than continuation. As long as this base holds, a mean-reversion bounce is the higher-probability path.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first bounce, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.