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Shiba Inu is changing hands near $0.00000515, up 2.85% on the day. That’s a smaller pop than the fireworks earlier this week, but the setup behind it is more interesting than the number itself. What’s driving the token back toward a level it hasn’t held cleanly in weeks?
The answer traces back to Wednesday’s liquidation event. SHIB surged more than 12%, briefly touching $0.00000502, as roughly $3.38 billion in total crypto liquidations swept the market across 192,002 traders, per CoinGlass data cited in market reporting.
BREAKING: Crypto markets officially post their 7th largest liquidation event in history, with $3.5 billion in levered positions liquidated in 24 hours.
In 24 hours, crypto markets added +$280 billion in market cap.
That's +$12 billion in market cap per hour for 24 hours… pic.twitter.com/zpEsLeRhp9
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 20, 2026
Short positions absorbed about $3.1 billion of that total, the largest single wave of forced short closures on record since 2021. Long liquidations totaled just $275.45 million, a lopsided ratio that turned bearish traders into forced buyers.
That short squeeze dynamic, layered on top of renewed optimism around the CLARITY Act’s September 15 procedural vote, pushed sentiment across the altcoin complex higher. SHIB’s move looks more like beta to a market-wide unwind than a token-specific catalyst, which matters for how sustainable the rally actually is.
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Can Shiba Inu Price Hold $0.0000048 and Push Toward $0.0000058?
SHIB is trading around $0.00000515, up 2.85% in the past 24 hours and roughly 11.8% over seven days. The token broke a descending channel on the 4-hour chart this week and is now retesting the $0.0000048 zone, a level traders are treating as the line between continuation and failed breakout.
Bull case: a hold above $0.00000500 opens a path toward $0.00000550 near-term and a stretch target near $0.00000583.
Source: SHIBUSD / Tradingview
Base case: SHIB chops between $0.0000046 and $0.0000050 while the broader market digests the liquidation aftermath.
Bear case: a break below $0.00000446 support exposes $0.00000410. August range of $0.0000041 to $0.0000058 roughly brackets all three scenarios. None of this is a call to action, just the levels worth watching.
EXPLORE: Best Crypto Coins to Buy for August
Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as SHIB Tests Key Levels
SHIB holders who caught the short-squeeze rally are sitting on real gains this week. But here’s the uncomfortable math: at a market cap already in the billions, a token needs enormous capital inflow to double again.
That ceiling is exactly why some traders are rotating a slice of profits into earlier-stage plays before the next leg of this cycle, a pattern also visible in the Pump.fun-driven Solana meme-coin activity covered elsewhere this month.
Maxi Doge ($MAXI), an Ethereum-based ERC-20 meme token, is leaning into the “1000x leverage” trading mentality with holder-only trading competitions and leaderboard rewards.
The presale has raised $4,846,355.70 to date, with the token currently priced at $0.0002834 and staking offered at a dynamic APY. Its Maxi Fund treasury backs liquidity and partnerships, and the marketing, gym-bro humor, “never skip leg-day, never skip a pump”, is unapologetically meme-first.
Visit Maxi Doge HERE.
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Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Aug. 21, 2026, after rising nearly 8% at one point the previous day, reaching around $78,000 and breaking a months-long consolidation range. The move was Bitcoin’s largest single-day gain since March. The Kobeissi Letter data cited in that report showed total crypto liquidations of $3.5 billion, with short positions accounting for more than $3 billion.
BREAKING: Crypto markets officially post their 7th largest liquidation event in history, with $3.5 billion in levered positions liquidated in 24 hours.
In 24 hours, crypto markets added +$280 billion in market cap.
That's +$12 billion in market cap per hour for 24 hours… pic.twitter.com/zpEsLeRhp9
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 20, 2026
The rebound reflected a combination of regulatory expectations, macro liquidity operations and leveraged short covering, according to the report. As prices turned upward, forced buying to cover short positions amplified the upward momentum.
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Bitcoin & Crypto Liquidations, Short Squeeze? How Short Covering Amplified the Rally
Over the trailing 24-hour window, total liquidations reached $3.50 billion, with short liquidations exceeding $3 billion.
Bitcoin liquidations accounted for about $1.76 billion of that total, and Ethereum liquidations were about $1.16 billion. Ethereum rose close to 20% on the day and traded above $2,200 at the time of writing.
Crypto-related equities also strengthened. Strategy rose nearly 12%, while Coinbase, Circle, and BitMine each gained close to 10%.
Source: MSTRUSD / Tradingview
The report identified two broad factors behind the move. The U.S. Treasury announced that it would at least double the single-operation cap for liquidity-support repurchase operations involving 10- to 30-year Treasury bonds, from $2 billion to $4 billion, from Sept. 9 through Nov. 4.
Standard Chartered’s Kendrick characterized the operation as the type of government liquidity intervention from which Bitcoin has historically benefited,
Separately, Trump met with regulatory officials and executives from crypto and fintech companies at the White House. Attendees included SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, and representatives from companies and market infrastructure groups, including Coinbase and Ripple.
Trump said the government had ended its conflict with cryptocurrencies and discussed the possibility of accumulating Bitcoin and other crypto assets, but did not disclose an execution plan, funding sources, or a timeline.
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Bull and Bear Scenarios
A move in the realized profit-and-loss ratio above 2, together with a positive Coinbase Premium Index, would be consistent with the conditions analysts cited for a more durable trend reversal. The $68,500 short-term holder cost basis remains a closely watched level.
Legislative uncertainty remains another consideration. Polymarket data showed the probability of the CLARITY Act passing this year rose from 20% to 28% after Trump’s remarks.
Source: Polymarket
Senate Majority Leader Thune submitted a cloture motion setting a Sept. 15 vote. The vote would determine whether to begin formal debate and requires 60 votes in support; it is not a final vote on the bill.
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In Trump crypto news, the President called on Congress to pass a “fair version” of the CLARITY Act at a White House event attended by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Mike Selig, according to Reuters.
The bill, which would split digital-asset oversight between the two agencies and define when a token is a security versus a commodity, remains stalled in the Senate.
This is not simply a bill stuck in procedural limbo. It is a jurisdictional vacuum that the SEC and CFTC are now filling on their own authority, producing rules the industry wants but that carry none of the durability a statute would provide.
This outburst from Trump came as the crypto market surged +10% overnight, with Bitcoin hitting $71,800 and Ethereum surging +19% to $2,300 following a bullish meeting between the US President and crypto industry leaders.
Trump Crypto News: Why the Senate Bottleneck Matters
JUST IN: Trump URGES Congress to pass the Clarity Act.
"Will keep us ahead of China, ahead of everyone else." pic.twitter.com/yd80gsEqlX
— Bitcoin Archive (@BitcoinArchive) August 19, 2026
The crypto industry has spent hundreds of millions of dollars over several years lobbying for legislation intended to put the sector on firmer legal footing, per Reuters reporting on midterm campaign spending. That effort has stalled, and with little legislative calendar left before the next Congress convenes, the prospects of a deal narrow further, a dynamic detailed in an earlier CoinSpeaker breakdown of the CLARITY Act’s Senate stall.
Miller Whitehouse-Levine, CEO of the Solana Policy Institute, characterized the moment plainly: the agencies “seemingly are ready to act, given that Congress has been unwilling or unable to do so,” he said, according to Reuters.
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The Mechanism Filling the Gap
The mechanism functions as follows: absent statute, the SEC and CFTC are using existing rulemaking and interpretive authority to approximate what CLARITY would codify. The SEC is working on a rule to exempt certain token offerings from securities registration, which is expected to advance in the coming weeks, while the CFTC is discussing crypto regulation at an industry gathering this week, per its published schedule.
That approach has already produced concrete outputs. Selig’s CFTC approved perpetual bitcoin futures earlier this year, and executives expect the commission to extend similar treatment to additional assets, a pattern Atkins has echoed on the SEC side with plans to overhaul capital-markets rules for crypto, a push also covered in reporting on Atkins’s push during the Senate recess.
A CFTC spokesperson told Reuters that the CLARITY Act is crucial to American competitiveness and that Congress should use the opportunity to set durable rules. “If that doesn’t happen, the CFTC stands ready to protect America’s leadership in financial markets and ensure we remain the crypto capital of the world,” the spokesperson said.
CLARITY Act News: Reversal Risk and Industry Pushback
(SOURCE: Kalshi)
Josh Riezman, chief legal and strategy officer at trading firm GSR, said he expects the SEC and CFTC to push through ambitious rules that help the industry in the short term.
But he warned that a future administration could look “very much like a potentially Gensler 2.0 type scenario,” referencing former SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s enforcement-heavy approach under the Biden administration.
We suspect this reversal risk, not the current rulemaking pace, is what most worries crypto executives, since polling suggests Democrats could retake the House in November’s midterms and use that leverage to scrutinize the very rules Atkins and Selig are now writing.
Summer Mersinger, CEO of the Blockchain Association and a Republican CFTC commissioner from 2022 to 2025, welcomed the agencies’ momentum but drew a clear line. “That’s going to be really helpful, and we applaud their work,” she said. “But we need something permanent.”
Traditional finance is not standing still either. CME Group sued the CFTC in June over its approval of perpetual futures, and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association has pressed the SEC on restrictions on blockchain-based stock trading.
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The Hyperliquid HYPE token rose sharply on August 19 and 20 after President Donald Trump said the Commodity Futures Trading Commission was working to bring the platform to the United States in a fully compliant and legal manner.
CoinGecko data puts HYPE at $71.9 on August 20, up more than +23% over 24 hours and +26% over seven days. It is one of the best-performing tokens today, alongside Ethereum (+18.5% on the day), as the total market cap surged +7.5% to $2.45 trillion overnight.
The comments do not amount to regulatory approval, registration, or authorization for a US launch. They have nevertheless strengthened expectations that on-chain perpetual-futures markets could eventually receive a formal US compliance pathway rather than remain outside the American market.
Trump says the CFTC is working to bring Hyperliquid to the US.$HYPE jumped 11% on the news.
The quote, from today's White House crypto meeting: "I understand that Mike [Selig, CFTC Chairman] is also working to bring Hyperliquid into the United States in a fully compliant and… pic.twitter.com/ob37AH59OS
— Simon Taylor (@sytaylor) August 19, 2026
CFTC Meeting Draws Attention to Hyperliquid
The CFTC’s inaugural Innovation Advisory Committee meeting was scheduled for August 20 at 1 p.m. Eastern time in Washington. The committee is intended to examine how financial regulation should respond to emerging technologies and digital-asset markets.
Market participants are watching for discussion of on-chain derivatives and potential compliance frameworks relevant to Hyperliquid.
Public information confirms the meeting and its broad innovation mandate, but it does not confirm that the committee will approve a framework for Hyperliquid, authorize US operations, or announce a timetable for market entry.
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig has previously described on-chain markets as potentially transformative and said the agency wanted to establish a compliant path for their operation in the United States.
🇺🇸 White House Crypto Summit recap:
• Trump says the US is considering buying “sizable” amounts of Bitcoin + other crypto.
• Calls on Congress to pass the Crypto Clarity Act.
• Says the US will remain the “undisputed leader” in $BTC + crypto.
• $HYPE pumps 15% to $69…
— Ted (@TedPillows) August 19, 2026
Coinbase Expands Base App Access
Coinbase announced on August 19 that eligible Base App users would gain access to more than 290 perpetual-futures markets through Hyperliquid.
The offering supports up to 50x leverage, depending on the asset, and includes markets tied to cryptocurrencies, stocks, and commodities.
Hyperliquid provides trade execution, liquidity, and on-chain settlement infrastructure, while the Base App presents the user experience.
The service is unavailable in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other jurisdictions that restrict leveraged digital-asset derivatives. The geographic limits highlight the distinction between the existing offshore distribution model and any future compliant US pathway.
EXPLORE: Best Crypto Coins to Buy for August
Open Interest and Liquidations Show Elevated Positioning
(SOURCE: CoinGlass)
Aggregated futures open interest reached approximately $3.01Bn on August 20, an increase of $425.32M, or 16.43%, over 30 days. Open interest fell as low as roughly $2.17Bn during that period and reached a recent high of near $3.16Bn.
Twenty-four-hour liquidations totaled approximately $43.21M, with short liquidations accounting for about $37.86 million, or 87.6% of the total.
Rising open interest alongside a price rally generally indicates that traders are opening new positions rather than only closing losing shorts. In HYPE’s case, the figures point to a combination of fresh speculative demand and forced short covering.
Funding was positive in 152 of the previous 180 four-hour periods. The latest funding rate was 0.0125% per four hours, above the 30-day average of 0.0038%, while the Binance account long-to-short ratio was roughly 1.8.
The data indicates increasingly long-biased positioning, which can support momentum but also raises the risk of volatility if the market reverses.
Market Implication as Hyperliquid Surges Into the Top 10
CoinGecko data places HYPE at roughly $16bn in market capitalization, ranking it No. 10 among cryptocurrencies. Its daily trading volume was reported at approximately $1.49Bn.
The regulatory narrative, the Base App integration, and elevated derivatives activity have all focused attention on Hyperliquid’s role in perpetual-futures markets.
The key distinction remains that no confirmed CFTC authorization or US launch has been announced. Any delay, qualification, or reversal in the regulatory narrative could lead to significant volatility for HYPE.
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Traders have woken up today with just one question on their mind. ‘Why is crypto up today?’ is what everyone is asking right now after Ethereum opened today at $2,260 after a near +18% move over the past 24-hours.
Per CoinGecko data, yesterday ETH was hovering at $1,930 before an explosive candle out of nowhere took it to a session high of $2,325, a move that saw over $3Bn in liquidations, quickly making it the 8th largest in recorded history, but still a long way behind the $19Bn record from October 2025 when Trump threatened 100% tariffs on China.
(SOURCE: CoinGlass)
Metrics displayed on CoinGecko show a 24-hour price change of +18.8%. It lists a 24-hour trading volume of $31.9Bn, up +415.05%, and a market capitalization of $272.8Bn.
The broader crypto market has surged +7.5% overnight, with the total market cap at $2.45 trillion, highlighting Ethereum as one of the strongest performers during this 24-hour market pump.
In the last 24 hours:$BTC hits $70,000: +9% $ETH hits $2,300: +23%
The largest crypto “short squeeze” EVER. pic.twitter.com/VRZ8ndrweE
— Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) August 20, 2026
Why is Crypto Up Today? Trump Claims America Will Remain the ‘Undisputed Leader’ in Bitcoin and Crypto
President Donald Trump spoke yesterday with executives from firms such as Coinbase Global Inc., Payward Inc., and Blockchain.com Group Holdings Inc.
Crypto and prediction markets are two growing sectors that the Trump administration has sought to boost with an industry-friendly regulatory framework.
The meeting follows an SEC proposal this week to exempt certain digital asset offerings from securities registration statements, as the regulator moves ahead with crypto plans after landmark legislation stalled in Congress.
President Trump just said the US has discussed plans to buy "sizable" amounts of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
He went on to say, after today's White House crypto meeting, that "we're going to ensure America remains the undisputed leader, not only in Bitcoin and crypto,… pic.twitter.com/I7jMDFBBjx
— Simply Bitcoin (@SimplyBitcoin) August 19, 2026
The agency said exemptions are meant to help companies at the startup and at the fundraising stages of their growth. Bitcoin’s increase was the largest since March 4, and it recently traded at $68,476, the highest since June 1.
Following the meeting, the President spoke with the press, saying, “We will ensure that America remains the undisputed leader, not only in Bitcoin and crypto, but also in technologies like prediction markets and artificial intelligence.”
Trump went on to say that the US plans to buy “sizable” amounts of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, sparking a flurry of trading activity that sent Ethereum surging above $2,000 and Bitcoin climbing to $69,900.
It was this speech from the President that caused the pump and quite clearly answers the ‘why is crypto up today’ questions that most traders have been asking over the past 24-hours.
EXPLORE: Best Crypto Coins to Buy for August
Ethereum Price Forecast: Reading the Move Above $2,000
(SOURCE: TradingView)
The August 19 close placed Ethereum above $2,000 after the asset had opened at that level. Historical data show ETH USD trading largely below $2,000 during the preceding month, with daily closes ranging from $1,844.98 to $1,954.71 between July 19 and August 18.
The move has renewed attention on the path toward $3,000, but the supplied market data do not establish a price target or forecast. The available figures instead document a sharp daily advance, higher reported volume, and a closing price that remained below that threshold.
Coinbase’s trading metrics recorded 27,568 trades executed in the past day, with 16,951 buyers and 12,069 sellers. Its buyer-ratio panel showed 61% buyers. Search interest peaked at 8,396 queries, while Ethereum ranked as the second most popular digital asset on the platform.
Coinbase listed Ethereum’s market dominance at 11.75%, with a circulating supply of 121 million ETH and no maximum supply. The page also reported $136.38Bn in seven-day volume and $238.23Bn in 30-day volume.
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Bitcoin is trading close to $70,000, jumping by 8% on the day, running to a price level it hadn’t touched since early June. Wednesday’s storm was anything but quiet, and the mechanics behind it explain why a handful of early-stage projects are suddenly getting a second look from traders who missed the squeeze.
Bitcoin surged, triggering the biggest wave of short liquidations on record dating back to 2021. CoinGlass data cited in the report shows more than $1 billion in bitcoin shorts wiped out in just an hour, part of a record $2.7 billion in bearish crypto bets erased across the market.
🔥MASSIVE: Crypto just recorded the SECOND-LARGEST short liquidation wipeout on record, surpassed only by the October 10 crash.
October 10, 2025: $2.46 BILLION August 19, 2026: $1.74 BILLION pic.twitter.com/VugkRU6sLv
— Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) August 19, 2026
The rally coincided with a White House meeting between President Trump and crypto executives from Coinbase, Payward, and Blockchain.com, alongside an SEC proposal this week to exempt certain digital-asset offerings from securities registration.
Axel Rudolph, chief technical analyst at IG, called it a short-covering-driven move toward $70,000 that “suggests buyers are regaining confidence,” though he flagged the real test as whether momentum can carry price to the $75,000 region.
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Can Bitcoin Price Hit $75K This Week?
BTC’s push through $69,200 resistance, a level flagged in recent Coinspeaker coverage of the $70K target, appears to have flipped a multi-week consolidation range into a bullish breakout. Volume around the liquidation spike was unusually thick for a single-hour window. It was consistent with forced short-covering rather than organic spot demand.
Support now sits at $64,000-$65,500, the former resistance ceiling of the ascending triangle that held through early August. The 50-day simple moving average near $62,000 and the 200-day near $59,000 form deeper backstops.
BTC/USD, Tradingview
The volatility conditions behind the squeeze suggest one-sided positioning had built up over months of grinding losses, which is precisely the fuel that produces this kind of overshoot.
In a perfect world, a close above $70,000 opens a run at the June 2026 swing high near $71,200 and eventually the $73,000-$78,350 all-time-high zone. Or, Bitcoin continues to consolidate between $65,000 and $70,000 while the market digests the squeeze. However, a failure to hold $64,000 support reopens the low-$60,000s.
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LiquidChain Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels
A billion dollars in shorts liquidated in an hour validates anyone who stayed long through the summer chop. But at a $1.3 trillion-plus market cap, Bitcoin’s next leg to $75,000 represents just 7% upside from here. It’s real money, sure, but not the kind of asymmetric return that reshapes a portfolio. That’s the gap early-stage infrastructure plays are built to fill.
Writing the next layer into existence. 🪶https://t.co/vqvBcdSQYC pic.twitter.com/nOCpXbl30D
— LiquidChain (@getliquidchain) August 14, 2026
LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is a Layer 3 infrastructure project positioning itself as the cross-chain liquidity layer, fusing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment.
Current presale price sits at $0.01492, with $940K raised so far. The pitch centers on a Unified Liquidity Layer and Single-Step Execution. With Liquid, developers deploy once and reach all three ecosystems rather than building separate integrations for each chain. Verifiable settlement and a deploy-once architecture round out the technical claims.
Those tracking the Bitcoin-driven risk-on shift may want to research LiquidChain while presale pricing holds.
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Bitcoin price is trading around $64,200, down just 0.22% over the past 24 hours. The muted move comes as Jane Street disclosed a $990 million Bitcoin ETF stake, adding another institutional angle to a market already struggling to find direction.
The disclosure comes after reports that the trading firm absorbed a roughly $15 billion loss elsewhere in its book. That raises an obvious question: does the ETF position reflect genuine confidence in Bitcoin, or is it simply part of wider balance sheet management?
🚨JANE STREET DISCLOSES OVER $1B IN BITCOIN ETF HOLDINGS!
Quant trading giant Jane Street reported more than $1 billion in U.S. spot $BTC ETF holdings as of June 30.
With roughly $828 million in BlackRock’s $IBIT and the rest spread across Fidelity’s $FBTC, Grayscale’s $GBTC… pic.twitter.com/6h8TNon7cQ
— Crypto Banter (@crypto_banter) August 18, 2026
For now, the market is not giving a clear answer. BTC remains stuck near key support levels, leaving traders watching whether institutional demand can help Bitcoin break out of its current range. Crypto.com’s market desk said Bitcoin erased its weekend gains as Iran-related geopolitical tension pushed oil prices lower by roughly 5%, weighing on risk assets. Investing.com’s coverage also pointed to Iran tensions and U.S. regulations as two major factors keeping pressure on the market.
As of today, Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $63,000 level. One move to $62,470 also triggered more than $120 million in long liquidations, showing how quickly another breakdown could hit leveraged positions. That range-bound action could eventually force a larger move.
The technical setup now offers clues about where Bitcoin could head next, while also showing where investors may start looking if capital rotates into earlier-stage crypto plays.
EXPLORE: Best Crypto Coins to Buy for August
Can Bitcoin Price Hit $65K This Week?
At $64,200, Bitcoin sits comfortably inside the August range Fairlead Strategies and other analysts have flagged as consolidation rather than a trend. The month’s high near $65,412 and low around $62,216 bracket the current print almost perfectly.
Support has repeatedly held near $62,000–$63,000 — the so-called $63k floor sellers keep testing and failing to break. Resistance sits at $65,000–$65,400, the recent swing high.
BTC USD, Tradingview
Bull case: a clean break above $65,400 on rising volume could open a run toward $67,000–$68,000, especially if ETF inflow data (see recent six-day streak coverage) continues. Institutional flows remain a key variable.
Base case: continued chop between $62,000 and $65,000 as geopolitical and regulatory headlines dictate short-term direction.
Bear case: a decisive break below $62,000 invalidates the “major low” thesis Fairlead has floated, opening room toward $59,000. For a deeper breakdown of these levels, see this recent Bitcoin price analysis and this consolidation-focused piece.
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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Price Tests Key Levels
Bitcoin, at its current range, has rewarded patient holders, but let’s be honest, a move from $64k to $70k is a very different percentage return than what’s available lower down the market-cap ladder. Capital that already caught this leg is increasingly rotating toward infrastructure plays built on top of Bitcoin rather than Bitcoin itself.
One project drawing that rotation is Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), billed as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, with faster performance than Solana itself.
Hard to miss $HYPER from up here. ⚡️🔥 pic.twitter.com/mIHy3xRInZ
— Bitcoin Hyper (@BTC_Hyper2) August 17, 2026
The presale is currently priced at $0.0136848, with more than $33 million raised to date. Staking is live at a 35% high annual percentage yield (APY).
Core features include a decentralized canonical bridge for BTC transfers and low-latency Layer 2 execution aimed at solving Bitcoin’s slow settlement and lack of programmability.
Those tracking the rotation trade can research Bitcoin Hyper directly.
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Bitcoin USD trades near $63,500 as of August 18, up roughly +1% on the day after bouncing off an intraday low of $62,751, according to data from CoinGecko. The recovery pushed price above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $63,152 and left BTC near the $65,000 resistance area.
The entire crypto market is seemingly at an impasse as it awaits key events in September, including the next CLARITY Act meeting and the next FOMC minutes on September 16.
Bitcoin 4-Hour Momentum Firms Up While Daily MACD Stays Negative
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin moved above the Bollinger Bands’ middle line at $63,173 and crossed the upper band near $63,774, signaling that short-term buying pressure has accelerated beyond the recent trading range.
Chaikin Money Flow on the same timeframe rose to 0.24, indicating that volume backed the move higher. Holding above $63,774 keeps the immediate focus on the $64,700–$65,000 resistance band.
The daily chart tells a more cautious story. The moving average convergence divergence reading stood near minus 183 against a signal line near minus 101, with the histogram still negative at roughly minus 82, evidence that bearish momentum from the prior week’s decline has not fully cleared.
Daily Chaikin Money Flow remained slightly negative at -0.05, in contrast to the positive 4-hour reading, suggesting short-term buyers have returned even as broader capital flows remain weak.
$BTC broke above the $64,000 level.
For bullish momentum, Bitcoin needs to reclaim the $65,500 level. pic.twitter.com/999Kpczvxq
— Ted (@TedPillows) August 18, 2026
Volatility Trap Score Hits 91 as Compression Persists
Glassnode co-founder Rafael Schultze-Kraft noted in a post on X that Bitcoin’s implied volatility has fallen into the lowest 2% of its historical distribution, even as it remains about 1.5 times higher than realized volatility.
That gap has pushed Glassnode’s volatility trap score to 91 out of 100, its highest reading in more than three and a half years. Schultze-Kraft cautioned that compression alone does not signal direction – only that a larger move has historically followed similar setups.
CoinGlass’s one-week liquidation heatmap shows the nearest overhead cluster near $64,000, with a larger concentration around $64,700; a move through those levels could force short sellers to close positions, adding buying pressure and potentially pushing BTC toward $65,000.
Downside liquidity sits near $62,700 and $62,200, levels that would come back into focus on a rejection. That range broadly matches the $63,000 support and $65,000–$65,600 resistance zone flagged in a separate August 18 market snapshot from Sunday Guardian, which also cited more than $385 million in spot Bitcoin ETF outflows the prior week.
Cheap vol ≠ good value.$BTC implied vol is in the bottom 2% of its history, yet options still price ~1.5x what the tape delivers.
Our vol value trap score prints 91/100. Hasn't been this high in more than 3.5 years. https://t.co/8d84ynFjZi pic.twitter.com/UF1eoLL1AO
— Rafael (@n3ocortex) August 17, 2026
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Bitcoin Bull and Bear Paths From Here
A daily close above $64,000 would strengthen the recovery and open a path toward $65,000, with the next larger target near $67,357, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the decline from $82,825 to $57,796.
Failure to hold the $63,152 Fibonacci level would put $62,500 back in play, and a deeper breakdown could expose $60,000, with the full retracement low near $57,796 as the broader bearish marker on the daily chart.
BTSE chief operating officer Jeff Mei told that traders are watching the Federal Open Market Committee minutes for rate-cut signals and whether the CLARITY Act draws Senate attention before recess.
He added that AI-stock demand continues to compete with crypto for institutional capital, which, if sustained, could lead to liquidity spreading between the two sectors, potentially capping the upside of Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets.
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A Ripple-linked wallet moved 50 million XRP, worth more than $50 million at the time, to an internal subwallet on August 13. The movement came as XRP closed near $1.00, its lowest daily close since November 2024, while aggregate derivatives open interest climbed toward $986.48 million.
Transaction data showed that the Ripple (50) wallet first transferred the XRP to raRVLN1, an internal subwallet. The subsequent movements drew attention because XRP was trading near a key support area while derivatives data showed traders leaning heavily toward long positions.
🚨 🚨 🚨 50,000,000 $XRP (50,535,135 USD) transferred from #Ripple to unknown wallethttps://t.co/7ujhfHo6MH
— Whale Alert (@whale_alert) August 13, 2026
Ripple Wallet Activity Routes XRP Toward Binance
The raRVLN1 subwallet later distributed XRP, primarily in batches of 1 million tokens per transaction, to the rBNCyN address, which XRPScan data ties to Binance. Ripple-linked wallets sent a combined 23 million XRP to the rBNCyN wallet during the week, after which the tokens were moved on to Binance.
The activity likely reflects an operational liquidity wallet used for on-demand liquidity or market-making purposes. The transfer trail shows movement between related wallets and toward a Binance-linked address, but the on-chain data does not by itself establish the purpose of every transfer.
Source: Whale Alert
Active addresses on the XRP Ledger averaged about 35,700 per day in August, up from roughly 26,400 in July, while new-address creation remained nearly unchanged near 2,260 per day. The pattern suggests that existing users were becoming more active rather than indicating a broad wave of new users joining the network.
XRP was trading within a descending structure, with $1.022 identified as first resistance. A move above that level could open a path toward the $1.05-$1.07 zone, while a decisive move below $1.00 could expose the token to further downside.
The long/short ratio stood at 3.095 and the funding rate was positive at 0.0087, both indicating a strong long bias among derivatives traders. The source data also noted that crowded long positions could add liquidation risk if support fails.
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Price Levels and Derivatives Positioning Remain in Focus
The $1.00-$1.015 area remained a key range for XRP. Holding that zone could keep the token in consolidation, while a break below it could lead to a deeper decline.
On the upside, a move above $1.022 would be the first important recovery signal and could bring the $1.05-$1.07 resistance area into focus.
Source: XRPUSD / Tradingview
With open interest near $986.48 million and long positioning elevated, the market’s reaction around support may be especially important.
The wallet activity, network data and derivatives positioning together show XRP facing a technical test near $1.00 as on-chain transfers continue to route funds through Ripple-linked addresses and toward Binance.
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The Bitcoin price traded between $63,500 and $64,000 this week, according to data from CoinGecko, remaining below the $65,000 level it has struggled to hold above in recent days.
Bitcoin spot exchange volume has fallen to its lowest point since Glassnode began tracking the series in early 2019, according to data shared by Wu Blockchain, while Bitcoin volatility has compressed to levels last seen in October 2023, per a post from Crypto Rover.
This is not simply a quiet summer tape. It is a market where the two forces that typically resolve a range, fresh demand and forced selling, have both gone missing, leaving price pinned between two cost-basis levels that keep converging.
Bitcoin Price Breakout Setup: The Median Realized Price vs. the Short-Term Holder Floor
BTC is currently wedged between the $63,000 median realized price, which functions as a floor because it marks the midpoint of every holder’s cost basis, and the $68,700 short-term holder cost basis.
This acts as a ceiling representing the average entry point of recent buyers. Glassnode’s Week 32 research describes this pocket as one price has occupied for nearly three months, with both boundaries narrowing as volatility compresses.
Analyst Ted Pillows noted that Bitcoin failed to hold above $65,000 even as stocks and metals advanced, a divergence he read as fading momentum. His chart work points to a possible slide toward $60,500–$61,000 before any bounce, a level BTC has tested during prior quiet summer stretches.
Glassnode separately flagged $58,500, the June low, as the level to watch if the median realized price gives way, warning that thin order books and heavy leverage could make any breakdown move faster than usual. Readers tracking the broader range dynamics can find additional detail in this analysis of Bitcoin’s price consolidation.
$BTC is getting rejected from the $64,500-$65,000 resistance level.
ETFs are selling again, which is taking away a buying demand.
The key support level for Bitcoin now is $62,000-$62,500, which might get retested next. pic.twitter.com/9OIVeWnNuk
— Ted (@TedPillows) August 13, 2026
Whale Sales and Weak ETF Demand Cloud the Bitcoin Prediction
On-chain data from Lookonchain shows a wallet linked to Paxos sold another 800 BTC, worth roughly $50.72M, through the trading firm Wintermute.
That same wallet has offloaded 2,500 BTC over the past two months, close to $154M, sold off steadily rather than in one block, pressure that rarely crashes a market alone but adds supply at a moment when buyers are already hesitant.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $61.16M in net outflows on August 12, led by $46.82M pulled from Fidelity’s FBTC fund. Combined with the thinnest spot volume in Glassnode’s dataset, the outflows suggest institutional demand has cooled rather than accelerated, consistent with the broader picture described in recent coverage of Bitcoin’s leverage and demand conditions.
Sellers are getting exhausted, but have not reached levels we saw in past bitcoin:native bear markets.
According to the Seller Exhaustion Constant (30d), the historical bottoming signature has not confirmed yet.
We continue to monitor for selling to stall further. pic.twitter.com/PKCel2UEEG
— glassnode (@glassnode) August 11, 2026
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Bull and Bear Scenarios for the Bitcoin Price
A sustained reclaim of the $68,700 short-term holder cost basis, accompanied by rising spot volume and a return of ETF inflows, would flip recent buyers back into profit and open a path toward new local highs.
Crypto Rover pointed out that the last time Bitcoin volatility compressed this tightly, in October 2023, BTC went on to gain more than 330% – a historical parallel, not a forecast, but one traders are watching closely.
A decisive break below the $63,000 median realized price would remove the market’s main support and expose $60,500–$61,000 first, with $58,500 as the next reference point if selling accelerates.
Glassnode’s seller exhaustion readings are approaching levels seen at past bear-market bottoms, but the firm’s research notes actual spot demand remains soft, with coins still moving onto exchanges even as sellers show signs of tiring.
A separate macro variable worth monitoring is the risk of a global rates shock, a theme explored in recent reporting on carry-trade unwind risk, which could force the kind of directional resolution this compressed range has so far avoided.
For now, thin bids and record-low volume mean whichever side moves first – buyers or sellers – is likely to move the market further than the recent range would suggest.
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Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF filed its quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2026. The fund trades under the ticker BITW on NYSE Arca, according to the filing.
The BITW fund includes BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, HYPE, ADA, SUI, LTC, LINK, and XLM, which combined account for around $1.6 trillion of the $2.2 trillion total crypto market cap.
The quarterly report from Bitwise comes amid the firm cutting 14% of its workforce as a result of the ongoing crypto slump. This accounts for around 25 jobs being trimmed.
What the Bitwise ETF Filing Confirms
The filing identifies Bitwise Investment Advisers, LLC as the sponsor and lists the fund as a Delaware registrant. It also states that BITW had 14,141,947 shares outstanding as of August 2, 2026.
🚨 NEW: Bitwise cuts 14% of its workforce amid the crypto price slump, trimming staff to about 155 from 180. pic.twitter.com/Uwt3lt3oAh
— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) August 12, 2026
The report cautions that crypto assets have experienced extreme volatility and that market prices and conditions may materially affect the value of the trust’s shares. It also identifies regulatory developments, liquidity, custody, and the operations of crypto-asset networks among the risks facing the fund.
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Index Methodology and Rebalancing
Bitwise’s published crypto-index methodology describes its indexes as rules-based and transparent. The methodology says the indexes are designed to be investable and replicable, with considerations that include liquidity, capital controls, trading-venue stability, and custody limitations.
Under that methodology, the Bitwise Crypto Index Committee meets monthly one week before the rebalance date, or earlier, to review data sources and methodological decisions. The committee is responsible for developing, maintaining, and adjusting the index methodologies and verifying the data sources used to calculate the indexes.
What Remains Outside the Available Record
The available filing extract confirms the reporting period, the fund’s identity, and its August share count, but it does not provide sufficient detail to establish changes in net assets, portfolio weights, redemptions, or the reasons for changes in the fund’s assets. It also does not establish claims about other Bitwise products, product liquidations, staffing or corporate transactions.
JUST IN: Bitwise's 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW) 10-Q shows XRP holdings cut from 26.8M units to 21.9M units down 18.3% in H1 2026.
XRP's index weight fell from 4.76% to 4.29% as total net assets dropped from $1.03B to $532.8M.
Also notable: Avalanche and Polkadot were dropped… https://t.co/7hqQvd4LVn pic.twitter.com/ZhkctRsg0V
— 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗸XRP (@BankXRP) August 8, 2026
Investors assessing BITW should distinguish between the fund-specific disclosures in the quarterly report and the broader principles set out in Bitwise’s index methodology. The filing emphasizes that forward-looking statements are predictions and that actual results may differ materially because of the risks and uncertainties described in the report.
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Daily successful payments on the XRP Ledger crossed 2.6 million for the first time in roughly four months, according to reporting from The Crypto Basic, aggregated by cryptorank.io on August 10, 2026. XRP is trading at $1.01 as this news dropped, with bullish on-chain metrics unable to provide the much-needed boost to price action.
The increase follows a prolonged period in which XRP traded at lower price levels while activity on the XRP Ledger declined. The latest reading points to a pickup in payments activity after that downtrend.
$XRP is showing a different kind of activity on the ledger today.
In the latest 24-hour window, XRPL processed about 1.45 million transactions. Around 495,000 were payments. More than 835,000 were OfferCreate transactions.
For people who don’t watch the ledger closely,…
— MRCΛULIMΛN (@mrcauliman) August 12, 2026
XRP Ledger Payments Reach a Four-Month High
The 2.6 million figure was described as the highest level for daily successful XRP payments in four months. The Crypto Basic report, as aggregated by cryptorank.io, linked the increase to renewed activity on the XRP Ledger despite XRP’s extended price decline.
The reading adds to a picture of elevated activity on the network, although the available data covers a single daily count. Earlier XRP Ledger figures show that payments are one component of wider transaction activity, alongside decentralized exchange operations and account-related transactions.
(SOURCE: DefiLlama)
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June Data Showed Payments Leading Network Activity
Separate data from XRPScan, reported by Yahoo Finance on June 16, 2026, showed the XRP Ledger processed 769,646 total transactions that day. Successful payments reached about 427,000, accounting for more than half of the total activity reported in the snapshot.
The network averaged 23.49 transactions per second at the time of that snapshot, with ledgers closing every 3.82 seconds. Decentralized exchange offer creation was the second-largest source of activity, while account operations also contributed to the total transaction count.
The June 16 figures followed a June 15 session with 900,189 total transactions and 403,422 payments, according to the report. Both sessions recorded more than 750,000 total transactions, leaving the 1 million daily transaction threshold within reach if payments and decentralized exchange activity continue to build.
Ripple’s Revenue Target Beyond XRP
$XRP just closed at its lowest since November 2024, and the on-chain read is more interesting than the price.
📉 Price closed at ~$1.00 on Aug 12, the lowest daily close since Nov 2024 and roughly 69% below the January 2025 peak near $3.30.
📊 Activity picked up anyway. Active… pic.twitter.com/3JcxJjWNFd
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) August 13, 2026
Ripple is also pursuing institutional infrastructure beyond the token itself. Yahoo Finance reported that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the company expects to end 2026 with a $1Bn annualized revenue run rate, excluding XRP held on Ripple’s balance sheet.
The target follows Ripple’s $1.25Bn acquisition of prime broker Hidden Road in 2025. The report said the acquisition added credit, clearing and prime-brokerage services to Ripple’s existing payments business.
For the XRP Ledger, the latest 2.6 million-payment reading marks a notable increase from the levels described in the four-month comparison.
The June data also show that total ledger activity includes payments, decentralized exchange transactions and other operations, providing context for the network’s broader throughput figures.
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In XRP news today, Aviva Investors, the global asset management arm of Aviva plc, has issued a tokenized share class of its US Dollar Liquidity Fund on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) in collaboration with Ripple, with the structure approved by the Central Bank of Ireland, according to reporting from Ledger Insights and Structured Retail Products.
This is not simply a proof-of-concept announcement. It is the operational follow-through on a partnership Aviva Investors and Ripple disclosed on February 11, 2026, marking the asset manager’s first venture into fund tokenization and one of Ripple’s first collaborations with a European investment manager.
This news dropped as XRP USD climbed +1.3% over the past 24 hours. However, this modest increase still has the token sitting precariously above its 18-month support level of $1. It is currently trading for $1.02 with a daily trading volume of $1.26Bn.
Kamilah breaks down how Aviva Investors and the UK national treasury just moved Ripple onto the ripple:native ledger in the same year
"Aviva Investors manages around 253 billion pounds and is the asset management arm of one of the largest insurers in the United Kingdom."
"That… pic.twitter.com/Oyz8aRu68C
— Kamilah Stevenson (@iamkamstevenson) August 11, 2026
XRP News: How the Tokenized Share Class Works
Per Ledger Insights, the new share class sits within Aviva Investors’ existing US Dollar Liquidity Fund, a European UCITS money market fund whose other share classes already hold approximately $1.23Bn in assets under management.
The tokenized class carries a minimum investment threshold and functions as a digital twin: on-chain tokens mirror a conventional book-entry register, with the two reconciled daily rather than existing as an independently transferable instrument.
Structured Retail Products reports that the tokens are not freely transferable and are available only to eligible investors holding digital wallets.
Komainu has been named as the regulated institutional digital-asset custodian for the tokenized layer, while Bank of New York Mellon continues to serve as custodian for the underlying fund assets, with tokenization infrastructure supplied by Licuido.
The underlying portfolio remains a conventional short-term, high-grade US dollar debt allocation; XRP itself is not held as an underlying asset, and XRPL functions here as issuance and recordkeeping infrastructure rather than an investment exposure.
Coverage of the Central Bank of Ireland’s role in approving the structure is detailed further in this Coinspeaker report on the CBI approval.
After rejecting below the $1.06 resistance ceiling, $XRP has now printed a new 2026 low. August is historically one of XRP's weakest months, especially during midterms (behind June). So far, this time has been no different. If we get the sweep below $1.00, we back up the truck 🛻 https://t.co/HsrpoFP8rO pic.twitter.com/xms57ylAYw
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) August 11, 2026
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The February Partnership and What Was Said
The collaboration was first announced by Aviva Investors and Ripple on February 11, 2026, with both firms framing it as a long-term effort to bring tokenized funds to XRPL through 2026 and beyond.
Jill Barber, Chief Distribution Officer at Aviva Investors, said the firm was “really delighted to announce our collaboration with Ripple,” adding that tokenization could bring “improvements in terms of both time and cost efficiency” and that she believed “tokenized funds can be hugely beneficial to our clients.”
Nigel Khakoo, Vice President of Trading and Markets at Ripple, said tokenization is “now moving from experimentation to large-scale production,” and that XRPL’s “built-in compliance tools, near-instant settlement, and native liquidity” provide infrastructure suited to institutional assets.
At the time of the February announcement, Ripple cited XRPL as having processed more than 4 billion transactions since 2012 across over 7 million active wallets, maintained by 120 independent validators.
Where This Fits Within XRPL’s Institutional Push
(SOURCE: DefiLlama)
In other XRP news, the Aviva launch extends a pattern of asset managers using XRPL as a settlement and issuance layer for regulated products rather than as a venue for XRP exposure itself.
Ripple has backed infrastructure providers including ZILO and Licuido to build out custody, transfer-agency, and trading tooling around the ledger, detailed in Coinspeaker’s coverage of Ripple’s XRPL tokenization stack.
That buildout coincides with broader growth in tokenized real-world assets on XRPL, which has surpassed $3 billion in value according to Coinspeaker’s reporting on the network’s RWA expansion.
We suspect the non-transferable, reconciled-daily design of Aviva’s token reflects a deliberately conservative first step, with collateral mobility and 24/7 transferability likely reserved for later iterations once the regulatory and operational track record is established.
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Bitcoin is changing hands at $63,930.05, down 0.36% over the past 24 hours, according to Binance data. That’s a narrower move than some of the sharper swings seen earlier this month, and it raises a question worth sitting with: is this quiet before a breakout, or just fatigue? There’s a presale angle to this consolidation story that most traders scrolling past the chart are missing entirely.
The broader price picture stays messy depending on where you look. CoinMarketCap and CoinDesk both track Bitcoin closer to the $63,975 to $63,980 range, while TradingView’s feed puts it near $64,683, down a more modest 0.27%.
CoinGecko, meanwhile, shows a 7-day gain of +0.7%, suggesting the weekly trend is flatter than the daily red candles imply. No single catalyst explains the current band-bound trading; this looks like digestion after recent volatility, not a reaction to fresh news.
Macro risk sentiment and ETF flow headlines remain the variables to watch, a dynamic explored in recent coverage of ETF outflows and Fed policy pressure. The setup below outlines what could tip Bitcoin out of its current range in either direction.
Can Bitcoin Price Hit $65,000 This Week?
$BTC has lost the $65,000 level.
Bitcoin needs to reclaim this soon, or else sellers could push it towards $62,000. pic.twitter.com/7pQX7aNJkH
— Ted (@TedPillows) August 11, 2026
At $64,150 and down -1.6% on the day, the Bitcoin price sits just above the $64,000 psychological support zone, with a firmer floor near $63,000 if selling pressure builds.
Resistance clusters between $64,700 and $65,000, an area Bitcoin has tested but not cleared in recent sessions. Trading volume hasn’t signaled a decisive breakout in either direction; this is textbook consolidation, not trend confirmation.
The bull case: a reclaim of $64,700 with sustained volume opens a path toward $65,000 and possibly a retest of the $66,000 levels discussed in earlier analysis tied to regulatory clarity momentum.
The base case is continued chop between $63,000 and $65,000 while the market waits for a catalyst. The bear case: a break below $63,000 could accelerate toward the low $62,000s if ETF outflows resume. Watching how price reacts at these levels over the next 48 hours matters more than any single headline.
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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels
Range-bound Bitcoin price at a market capitalization north of $1.2 trillion means even a clean breakout to $65,000 translates to modest percentage upside for holders. That math is exactly why traders with smaller capital bases have started looking earlier in the stack, toward infrastructure plays still in presale.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) positions itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 to integrate a Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), aiming for transaction speeds that outpace Solana itself while settling security back to the Bitcoin base layer.
The presale has raised $33,022,820.14 to date, with tokens priced at $0.0136845 and staking rewards advertised at a high (unspecified) annual percentage yield (APY).
Core features include a decentralized canonical bridge for BTC transfers and low-latency execution meant to solve Bitcoin’s long-standing programmability gap. Those tracking the institutional Bitcoin outlook alongside Layer 2 growth can
Visit the Bitcoin Hyper Presale Website Here.
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At a White House event on July 6, President Donald Trump reframed his support for Bitcoin in explicitly geopolitical terms, arguing that ceding ground in digital assets would hand China a strategic advantage, a posture that has renewed attention on Standard Chartered’s standing forecast.
This was maintained by Global Head of Digital Assets Research Geoffrey Kendrick, who said Bitcoin would reach $500,000 before Trump’s term concludes. With BTC trading near $64,000 at the time of the Yahoo Finance report published July 9, that target implies a roughly 7.8× move from current levels.
This is not simply a price call. It is an institutional thesis about the interaction between sovereign adoption, ETF-driven inflows, and a policy environment that has shifted materially since January 2025, and it now carries the added variable of a president who has publicly staked national security credibility on crypto’s success.
Trump Crypto Stance: The China Framing and Its Limits
Trump’s remarks at the July 6 event were direct. “And Bitcoin, nobody even understands how powerful it is. The capital flows, nobody understands how powerful it is,” he said, according to the primary source. He identified geopolitical competition as the central driver of his support: “If we don’t have it, China’s going to have it.”
The framing is strategically useful but analytically imprecise. China has maintained one of the world’s strictest bans on crypto trading and mining since 2021, while continuing to develop its own central bank digital currency (CBDC).
Trump’s invocation of China is better read as a regulatory-philosophy argument, crypto as a domain of American financial primacy, than as a description of active competitive pressure in the spot market.
Still, the political signal matters for the BTC price 2026 outlook. Trump’s regulatory agenda since returning to office has provided a policy tailwind that Kendrick’s model depends on, according to the bank’s published research.
Ongoing legislative uncertainty around crypto regulation remains a structural backdrop to that thesis, though progress has been complicated by ongoing disputes, according to reports.
$BTC is back into the $64,000-$65,000 resistance zone.
A reclaim of the $65,000 level could push Bitcoin to $68,000.
A rejection from the current resistance level means BTC will likely revisit $62,000 again. pic.twitter.com/ZunXx7V7MJ
— Ted (@TedPillows) July 10, 2026
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The $500K Bitcoin Forecast: Where Standard Chartered’s House View Actually Stands
Kendrick first announced a $500,000 forecast for Bitcoin during a February 2025 appearance on CNBC. He projected that Bitcoin would reach $200,000 within that year and $500,000 before Trump left office. However, the 2025 target was significantly missed, as Bitcoin’s all-time high was $126,198 in October, falling well short of the $200,000 goal.
Subsequent research indicated that Standard Chartered revised its 2026 year-end target downward to $100,000 in early 2026. According to a December 2025 research note from Standard Chartered, the bank officially pushed the $500,000 milestone to 2030, having initially aimed for 2028.
Interesting predictions from a TradFi giant like Standard Chartered:
– DeFi TVL about to 37x
– $UNI to $100
– $ETH to $40,000
– $BTC to $500,000
While most of these price targets are obviously on the delusional side, what excites me most is the simple fact that one of the… https://t.co/TCfNNiuFzN
— Simon Dedic (@sjdedic) June 16, 2026
The revision was attributed to a reduced presence of corporate treasury buyers and slower-than-expected inflows from Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Despite these adjustments, Standard Chartered and Kendrick have maintained their belief in the long-term $500,000 target throughout 2026.
The bank’s updated rationale hinges on the anticipated adoption of Bitcoin by sovereign wealth funds and state pension funds, which are seen as the next wave of institutional investors.
Currently, Standard Chartered’s year-end target for 2026 is set at $100,000, representing the conservative end of the analyst spectrum. The bank’s broader bullish stance on digital assets indicates that its Bitcoin thesis is part of a systematic view on cryptocurrency adoption rather than an isolated prediction.
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In the latest Bitcoin news today, Analytical estimates from Galaxy Research, cited by analytics account Lookonchain, indicate that total losses tied to the Coldcard hack have reached approximately 2,055 Bitcoin (BTC), worth $130 million, across more than 7,700 victim addresses.
The estimate follows reports of multiple suspected on-chain sweep waves linked to a seed-generation flaw in devices made by Canadian firm Coinkite.
The flaw affected how seeds were generated on vulnerable firmware, allowing attackers to derive and test candidate keys offline when they could determine or sufficiently constrain relevant device information.
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Bitcoin News Today: Coldcard Firmware Flaw and Weak Randomness
March 2021 firmware integration error routed seed generation to a deterministic software pseudorandom number generator (PRNG) rather than the STM32 hardware random number generator (RNG).
The production configuration defined the hardware-RNG macro as zero, while the underlying libngu library checked whether the macro existed rather than whether it was enabled, binding the build to MicroPython’s Yasmarang fallback.
The MicroPython fallback was initialized from chip unique identifiers and timer registers and did not collect fresh entropy after initialization. Block said an attacker able to determine or sufficiently constrain the device UID, timer state and prior RNG-call history could reproduce candidate output streams offline, then derive addresses and compare them with public blockchain data.
🚨URGENT COLDCARD SECURITY UPDATE
Read carefully before acting.
👉Mk3 seed generated on 4.0.1+ without ≥50 private, independent dice rolls: begin a careful migration now.
👉Mk4/Mk5 <5.6.0 or Q <1.5.0Q: update first, generate a new seed, then migrate.https://t.co/HshUxevCl3 https://t.co/zrkUuACRyE
— COLDCARD (@COLDCARDwallet) July 31, 2026
Coinkite estimated effective entropy for affected seeds at roughly 40 bits on Mk3 hardware and about 72 bits on Mk4, Mk5 and Q models, compared with 128 bits for a 12-word BIP-39 seed. The practical cost of reproducing seeds depends on available UID information, boot timing, prior RNG calls and derivation cost, according to Block.
The incident highlights the importance of seed-generation security and auditing critical flaws in open-source repositories used by cryptographic hardware. Coinkite shipped emergency firmware for affected models and release tracks on July 31, but installing updated firmware does not repair an existing weak seed. The company advises owners with exposed seeds to generate a new seed on patched firmware and move their coins; restoring the old seed carries the weakness forward.
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On-Chain Analysis of Suspected Sweep Waves
Detailed on-chain analysis of the Coldcard PRNG vulnerability identified an initial July 30 sweep that drained 1,082.65 BTC from 1,196 addresses in 41 minutes. That opening wave averaged close to one BTC per address.
This is insane!
According to @glxyresearch, the total losses from the #Coldcard hack may have reached 2,055 $BTC($130M).
More than 7,700 victim addresses have been affected. pic.twitter.com/GizWlDbYpz
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) August 4, 2026
Subsequent tracking documented by CoinDesk reporting identified a third suspected wave that drained roughly 208 BTC from 1,912 addresses, or just over one-tenth of a BTC per victim.
In that later wave, transactions batched an average of six victims per sweep, sent each victim’s coins to a separate destination and used pay-to-witness-script-hash (P2WSH) outputs rather than the plain single-key outputs used in earlier waves.
Galaxy Research said it was confident that each wave was internally the work of one operator, but cautioned that on-chain data could not determine whether the same attacker was responsible for all three waves.
The firm also said it had not computationally confirmed that every identified address was generated with weak Coldcard entropy. Galaxy reported roughly 600 suspected attacker-controlled addresses to federal investigators, compliance firms and cybersecurity investigators.
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XRP trades near $1.03 as short positioning builds and spot demand weakens following news that the U.S. Senate delayed its CLARITY Act vote until September, which has had a negative effect on the Ripple chart.
According to market data from CoinGecko, the token recorded a near -2% 24-hour decline, with an intraday range of $1.0153 to $1.039, keeping its market capitalization near $64.7Bn. Trading volume stands around $1.4Bn against a circulating supply of 62.53 billion tokens.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune confirmed on August 7 that consideration of the CLARITY Act will resume after the August legislative recess. While the delay removes an immediate regulatory tailwind in the US, market participants are weighing this against Ripple’s reported full compliance in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) and Crypto Asset Service Provider (CASP) in Luxembourg.
Can regulatory clearance in Europe offset deferred US legislative timelines? Meanwhile, speculative chart projections circulating on social channels point toward targets at $7 and $27 by October 2026, though present market indicators reflect more realistic near-term consolidation.
Can the XRP Price Hold Above $1 Amid Regulatory Delays?
$XRP is at a two-year low. Pay attention!
Ripple is approaching the support zone at the bottom of a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart.
The price has hit a two-year low near $1, and the monthly RSI is more oversold than ever before.
All signs point to a reversal.… pic.twitter.com/VmL2d6eh7j
— Jasmine (@Jasminent0wva) August 6, 2026
Trading at $1.03, XRP remains pinned near psychological support at $1.00 following a prolonged multi-week drawdown from above $2.50. Daily momentum indicators remain skewed to the downside, with the Aroon Oscillator reading -100 and the Bull Bear Trend metric at -1.36.
However, smaller negative histogram bars hint at diminishing downside momentum relative to earlier selloffs. On weekly charts, the Stochastic Relative Strength Index (Stochastic RSI) for Ripple holds in neutral territory between 42.6 and 44.7.
A bullish structural pivot requires buyers to break above resistance at $1.10 to $1.15. Conversely, a break below $1.00 exposes lower support near $0.92 (a level last tested during previous market-wide de-risking cycles).
As detailed in recent XRP CLARITY Act price analysis, spot volume must expand past $1.44Bn to validate any sustained upward expansion.
ETF flows are another key indicator to watch. Yesterday saw over $3M of inflows into the various spot XRP ETFs, taking the total to $1.43Bn since they went live in November 2025, per CoinGlass data.
EXPLORE: Best Meme Coins to Buy for August
LiquidChain Targets Early Mover Upside as Ripple Tests Key Levels
While large-cap assets like Ripple navigate regulatory friction and bounded range-trade dynamics, early-stage capital is actively migrating toward specialized execution infrastructure. Multi-billion-dollar market capitalizations inherently limit short-term potential multipliers, prompting capital rotation into early-stage protocols.
Addressing liquidity fragmentation across disconnected networks, LiquidChain ($LIQUID) has introduced a Layer 3 infrastructure designed to fuse Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) liquidity into a single execution environment.
Built on a Unified Liquidity Layer, Single-Step Execution, Verifiable Settlement, and a Deploy-Once Architecture, the protocol allows developers to deploy applications once while accessing liquidity across all three major chain ecosystems simultaneously.
The project’s ongoing presale has raised $933,004.07, offering $LIQUID tokens at a current price of $0.01487. Aligning with broader sector trends highlighted in XRP ETF flows and price analysis, cross-chain protocols represent an active segment for portfolio diversification.
Visit the LiquidChain Presale Website Here.
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In the latest Ripple news, XRPprice entered August 2026 at $1.06, down approximately 43% from its January high of $2.41, with the $1.00 support level now functioning as the only demand zone bulls have successfully defended across the entire calendar year. The token’s weekly momentum readings have fallen to levels last seen in the 2022 bear market when XRP traded near $0.29.
This is not simply a correction after a strong run. It is a structural question about whether the 2026 XRP bull thesis, built on ETF inflows, regulatory clarity, and institutional adoption, can survive contact with the data now available.
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XRP Technical Setup: Death Cross, Descending Channel, and the $1.20 Cap
The XRP price is trading below both its 50-day simple moving average near $1.21 and its 200-day SMA near $1.37, a configuration that technical analysts describe as a death cross, implying continued selling pressure absent a significant catalyst.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index sits near 38–41, per the Bitcoin Foundation’s June 2026 market analysis, indicating a market that is weakening but has not yet reached deeply oversold territory where mean-reversion buying typically accelerates.
Soruce: XRPUSD / Tradingview
Since late June, XRP has been confined between $1.00 and $1.18, with every attempted rally capped at the $1.18–$1.20 resistance band. That ceiling is explored in technical analysis of XRP’s descending channel structure, which shows repeated failures to break above the channel’s upper boundary, each failure reinforcing the compression.
The next meaningful resistance above $1.20 sits at $1.45, a level the Bitcoin Foundation analysis describes as one that could materially improve the longer-term technical picture if reclaimed.
Ripple News: XRP ETF Flows and the CLARITY Act Delay, Catalysts That Didn’t Arrive
The institutional demand story that underpinned most XRP price analysis heading into 2026 has not materialized at scale. Spot XRP ETFs recorded zero flows on 11 of July’s 22 trading days, taking in just $27.29 million for the entire month, according to SoSoValue data , against the $666 million the same vehicles gathered in their first month of trading in November 2025.
🚨Total July ETF inflows. BTC: $172.43M ETH: $365.17M SOL: $14.62M$XRP: $27.29M LINK: $4.54M HBAR: $3.00M LTC: $30.39K HYPE: -$15.16M 💎 pic.twitter.com/TRUI3FtFSc
— WEWO (@cryptoewewo) August 4, 2026
That collapse in XRP ETF inflows has stripped out the institutional buying momentum that analysts assumed would anchor XRP price above $1.20.
On the legislative side, the Senate set aside the CLARITY Act on July 27 to address other business before its recess, per 247 Wall St. The bill, which would permanently classify XRP as a commodity under federal law, cannot receive the vote institutional participants have been waiting on until lawmakers return in the fall.
The CLARITY Act delay removes the one regulatory catalyst that could have prompted a re-rating of XRP through August.
Sentiment and On-Chain Context: Exhausted Sellers, Absent Buyers
Approximately 60% of XRP’s circulating supply is held at a loss, with an average cost basis near $1.48, according to 247 Wall St. That cohort distribution is historically consistent with late-stage capitulation, holders sitting on realized losses of that depth have largely decided not to sell.
XRP held on exchanges has also dropped to roughly 1.6 billion tokens, its lowest level in seven years and approximately half the 3.76 billion parked there in October 2025, per CryptoQuant data.
The analytical question is no longer whether sellers are exhausted. It is whether buyers return before the $1 floor gives way on thin volume.
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In the lastest Bitcoin news today, A volunteer security effort called Bitcoin Red Team, led by Bitcoin developer Calle and Rob Hamilton, CEO of AnchorWatch, filed 4,962 findings across 390 open-source Bitcoin repositories in the first 27.5 hours of operation, identifying 85 critical and 635 high-severity issues, according to a Bitcoin Magazine report published August 5, 2026.
The audit was funded through more than $40,000 in AI compute costs, covered by OpenSats, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit dedicated to open-source Bitcoin development.
Bitcoin Red Team update: we've grown to 16 globally distributed people working 24/7
We're running a large-scale ecosystem security audit across bitcoin code bases.
27.5 hours in, we've filed 4,962 findings across 390 projects. 85 critical and 635 high severity issues.
We're at… pic.twitter.com/iRCylprbY1
— calle (@callebtc) August 5, 2026
This is not simply a bug-bounty sweep. It is a structural stress test of the entire Bitcoin software ecosystem, triggered by a critical random number generator (RNG) vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets that has resulted in more than $100 million in confirmed Bitcoin losses.
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Bitcoin News Today: BTC Red Team Audit, Scope, Methodology, and AI Stack
The Red Team’s review harness, which reached 171,599 lines of code, is designed to identify load-bearing Bitcoin software libraries, document vulnerabilities, reproduce them locally, and package results into responsible disclosure reports for affected maintainers.
21.4% of findings have been reproducible as of the latest update, and Calle described the team’s pace as averaging roughly one critical exploit per hour per person.
The AI models deployed include Kimi K3, GPT Sol, Fable, Opus, and GLM5.2. Early in the operation, access to OpenAI and Anthropic infrastructure was restricted, forcing heavier reliance on Chinese open-source models, a dynamic that drew comment from industry observers who flagged it as a signal of uneven U.S. AI access.
red teaming bitcoin:
– we’ve written multiple harnesses and we’re launching a huge wave of reviews against many core bitcoin projects: crypto libs, wallets, infra, … – situation is extremely bad. – we’re averaging on the order of 1 critical exploit per hour per person. – we’ve… https://t.co/9zlaaObU03
— calle (@callebtc) August 4, 2026
Hamilton’s August 4 post referenced Fable, indicating Anthropic access had been established, and OpenAI has since confirmed access to GPT Sol for the project.
The team has no public website or GitHub repository at this writing, but Hamilton has stated the harness will be open-sourced so that Bitcoin companies can run it against closed-source codebases – a step that would extend the audit surface beyond the 390 repositories already reviewed.
Background: Coldcard Exploit as the Catalyst
The Red Team effort launched directly in response to the Coldcard breach, in which attackers exploited a flaw in the wallet’s RNG to drain funds from MK3+ devices. At least 15 distinct attackers have been identified by Galaxy Research as having exploited the vulnerability, per a separate Cointelegraph report. Coinkite, the manufacturer, has released patched firmware, but Bitcoin Magazine’s advisory notes that users who have not migrated funds to seeds generated under secure firmware remain at risk.
Boltz exchange separately announced a temporary operational pause to address AI-driven vulnerability discovery stemming from the same post-Coldcard security environment, illustrating how the Red Team’s work is creating immediate, industry-wide triage pressure.
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BitMEX co-founder and Maelstrom chief investment officer Arthur Hayes, speaking on the Bankless podcast on June 22, 2026, argued that roughly $1.5 trillion in AI-related debt issued since late 2022 has absorbed nearly all of the U.S. M2 expansion over the same period – starving Bitcoin of liquidity and setting up a credit crisis he expects to dwarf the 2008 subprime collapse, with a terminal Bitcoin price target of $1 million per coin.
This is not simply a price call. It is a structural thesis about capital misallocation at a scale Hayes argues the financial system has not previously encountered, with Bitcoin as the residual beneficiary of the inevitable policy response.
The AI Credit Crisis Mechanism: How GPU Debt Becomes a Systemic Risk
The mechanism functions as follows: capital that might otherwise have bid on Bitcoin has instead been routed into data center build-outs and GPU clusters financed with multi-year debt. Hayes described the AI capex boom as potentially larger than the 19th-century railroad build-out as a share of global GDP – and structurally similar in its eventual failure mode. He specifically flagged GPU loan mismatches, where financing is amortized over five to six years while leading AI hardware becomes functionally obsolete for frontier workloads in roughly two years.
The second transmission channel Hayes identified is competitive pricing pressure from Chinese AI models. If U.S.-built AI services are forced to match Chinese pricing, the cash flow assumptions underpinning those GPU loans deteriorate rapidly. As Hayes characterized it on the podcast, that repricing of cash flows becomes a credit event – and as a credit event, it would be bigger than subprime.
This dynamic is not purely speculative. A Bank for International Settlements (BIS) bulletin on AI-related private credit documented that this asset class has grown from near zero to over $200 billion, representing nearly 8% of total private credit – with hyperscalers increasingly moving AI infrastructure debt off balance sheets via special-purpose vehicles and operating leases, creating what the BIS describes as hidden transmission channels for shocks.
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Money Printing as the Policy Response: Why Bitcoin Captures the Rotation
Hayes’ argument is that when the AI credit cycle turns, the initial policy reflex will be familiar: central banks and fiscal authorities will inject liquidity to stabilize the banking system. His language from the podcast was direct – authorities will attempt to “shovel fiat money in” to arrest a crisis he described as six to seven years of gross capital misallocation in the making.
The critical variable is where that liquidity lands. Hayes argued that once investors have experienced AI-related losses at scale, new capital – whether cheap or not – will not rotate back into AI because the sector will no longer meet its cost of capital. The alternative destination, in his framing, is crypto. He noted in the podcast that this capital “goes straight to crypto,” implying Bitcoin absorbs a disproportionate share of crisis-era money printing precisely because it sits outside the institutions and asset classes damaged by the unwind.
A $1 million Bitcoin implies a network value of approximately $21 trillion – a figure that requires the kind of emergency liquidity injection that dwarfs the COVID-era response. Hayes is not presenting this as a base case with a defined timeline; he acknowledged on the podcast that the AI bubble unwind could arrive “this fall” or “years from now.” The macro thesis requires crisis-scale capital creation, not the gradual monetary expansion currently underway.
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Bull and Bear Paths: What Confirms or Breaks the Thesis
The confirmatory condition for Hayes’ scenario is a cascade of defaults or impairments in AI-linked private credit – particularly among mid-tier GPU lenders and leveraged data center operators – that forces a policy response large enough to materially expand central bank balance sheets. In that scenario, and if institutional capital treats Bitcoin as a debasement hedge rather than a risk asset, the liquidity rotation Hayes describes becomes structurally plausible.
The invalidation path is equally clear: emergency liquidity in a credit crisis historically flows first to Treasuries, gold, and perceived safe havens. Bitcoin’s correlation with risk assets during the acute phase of a credit event – as demonstrated in March 2020 – would work against Hayes’ destination thesis in the early stages of any unwind. We suspect the more probable near-term outcome is that Bitcoin sells off alongside AI-linked equities in the initial shock before any rotation into scarce assets materializes.
Hayes’ own positioning as of the June 2026 interview is instructive: he described himself as “perennially long Bitcoin” while holding significant cash in T-bills and having recently reduced exposure to higher-beta tokens including NEAR and Hyperliquid. Capital preservation over appreciation, he noted, is how he has kept “most of his money” across multiple cycles. The $1 million thesis is a cycle-peak target, not a near-term trading position – and Hayes himself frames it as a probabilistic macro outcome dependent on a sequence of events that has not yet begun in earnest.
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The analytical question is no longer whether AI capital spending is unusually leveraged – the BIS documentation of shadow AI borrowing confirms it is. The question is whether the credit event Hayes anticipates arrives with enough severity to force a policy response at the scale his Bitcoin price prediction requires, and whether that response reaches Bitcoin before it reaches everything else.
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