• Citigroup downgraded UK equities by two levels to underweight in its global asset allocation.
• The bank prefers US and Japanese equities, while keeping other European markets at neutral.
• The FTSE 100 has about 10% exposure to energy and nearly 35% to defensive sectors like healthcare and consumer staples.
• Citi says the UK market outperformed during the Iran-driven oil rally but has lagged since the US-Iran ceasefire announced on April 8 as geopolitical tensions eased.
🚨 South Korea's KOSPI dropped 9.07% intraday to 6,800 points. SK Hynix fell 14.5% and Samsung Electronics dropped 11%. The MSCI Asia Pacific index declined 2% to 265.92.
Vanke, a major Chinese property developer, seeks bond repayment extensions due to severe liquidity pressures, signaling sector jitters. Analysts suggest Beijing may not bail out the company, reflecting a policy shift and strained local government finances.
Korea Exchange (KRX) triggered the KOSPI circuit breaker after the index fell about 8%, halting trading for 20 minutes. South Korea's KOSPI is down 8%; SK Hynix is down 13% and Samsung Electronics is down 9%.
🚨 SK Hynix Slides in Seoul After Record $26.5B US Listing Rally
SK Hynix shares fell in Seoul on Monday despite its record $26.5 billion US listing making a strong Nasdaq debut.
The ADRs, priced at $149, surged nearly 13% in their first trading session as investors bet on AI-driven memory chip demand.
The blockbuster offering was more than 7x oversubscribed, marking the largest-ever US listing by a foreign company.
Seoul-listed shares retreated as investors booked profits following recent volatility in semiconductor stocks, even as optimism over AI-driven growth remained strong.
SK Hynix ADRs Seen Holding 30–35% Premium After Strong Nasdaq Debut
Periscope Analytics analyst Brian Freitas said SK Hynix's newly listed ADRs could command a 30–35% valuation premium in the near term before the gap narrows as passive buying remains limited.
SK Hynix raised $26.5 billion in its U.S. listing, marking one of the largest overseas equity offerings.
The ADRs surged nearly 13% in their Nasdaq debut on Friday.
Meanwhile, Seoul-listed SK Hynix shares fell about 10% in early Monday trading.
US Launches Fresh Strikes on Iran as Gulf Tensions Escalate
CENTCOM said it struck dozens of Iranian military targets on July 12, including air defenses, radar sites, missiles, drones, and small boats. The U.S. said Iran's IRGC fired on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, while U.S. forces intercepted one cruise missile and one attack drone. Iran's IRGC said it launched retaliatory missile and drone strikes, including on Jordan's Prince Hassan Airbase, and said further actions are ongoing. Iran reported U.S. strikes in Mahshahr and Khuzestan, saying one person was killed and four were injured, while explosions were also reported in Bushehr. The UN urged the U.S. and Iran to resume talks and exercise maximum restraint as military escalation intensified across the Gulf. #iran
🚨 Global Diesel Supply Shock Sends Refining Margins to Record Highs
• Russia bans diesel exports through July 31, removing 583,000 bpd from global supply after Ukrainian drone strikes hit refining capacity.
• U.S. distillate inventories fell 5 million barrels to 103.6 million, far exceeding expectations, as outages at Marathon Petroleum and Monroe Energy refineries reduced output.
• U.S. 3-2-1 crack spread surged to a record $64.58/barrel, while European diesel margins topped $60/barrel, reflecting one of the tightest refined fuel markets in years.
• Russia's export ban, U.S. refinery outages, and low inventories have driven refining margins to record highs despite softer crude oil prices.
🚨 BREAKING: Iran Launches Strikes on U.S. Targets Across Middle East
• Iranian media says Iran has launched a series of strikes against U.S. targets in the Middle East.
• Qatar has raised its security threat level to high, urged residents to stay indoors, avoid non essential travel, and follow official safety instructions.
• Witnesses reported explosions in Doha, while emergency alerts were sent to mobile phones across Qatar.
• The UAE said its air defence systems are intercepting missiles and drones originating from Iran and are responding to ongoing missile threats.
$SKHY - SK Hynix Warns of Tight Memory Supply Through 2030
SK Hynix CEO Kwak Noh-jung said on July 10 (U.S. time) that 2027 is expected to be the tightest year for memory supply, with HBM prices potentially doubling by 2027.
He said customers are seeking long-term supply contracts as AI-driven demand continues to rise.
Despite capacity expansion plans, customer demand could still exceed SK Hynix's supply even after 2030.
A Korean investor said global memory firms are closely watching China's memory expansion, with CXMT and YMTC seen as the biggest long-term market variables.
US launches third strikes on Iran as Hormuz crisis escalates
US Central Command launched a third round of strikes on Iran after the IRGC attacked the Cyprus flagged container ship M/V GFS Galaxy in the Strait of Hormuz, leaving one crew member missing. The US said the strikes targeted rocket and drone launch sites, air surveillance radars and missile storage sites across southern Iran. Iran's IRGC claimed it has closed the Strait of Hormuz until the US stops interfering in the region and said it struck a vessel using an unauthorized route. Explosions were reported across Hormozgan and Bushehr provinces, including Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Jask, Qeshm Island and Asaluyeh, while Iran activated air defence systems. Iran warned the US strikes "will not go unanswered" after talks in Oman failed to secure a public Iranian commitment to stop attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. #iran #CENTCOM
🚨 Global refining margins surge as fuel supply tightens
• Benchmark 3-2-1 crack spread jumped to nearly $62/barrel by Friday after hitting $58.18 earlier this week, about 3–6x normal levels.
• Supply tightened following disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and outages at Russian refineries.
• Russia's largest Omsk refinery has remained offline since July 7 after a Ukrainian drone strike, worsening the country's fuel crunch, according to Reuters.
• UBS raised its price target on Marathon Petroleum to $321, citing stronger refining margins as the company's shares continued to rally.
US Sanctions Top Iran Financier, Exchange Houses After Hormuz Attacks
U.S. Treasury's OFAC sanctioned Iranian financier Ali Ansari and several Iranian exchange houses on July 10 following Iran's resumption of attacks on international shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. OFAC said Dubai-based Ali Ansari managed a global asset network benefiting Mojtaba Khamenei and other Iranian regime elites. It also sanctioned Smart Global Limited, a Saint Kitts and Nevis-based holding company. The Treasury sanctioned Mohammad Darbani and Partners, Lavasani and Partners, and Mohsen Khandan and Partners, alleging they move and maintain the equivalent of billions of dollars annually on behalf of sanctioned Iranian banks. As of early 2026, Lavasani and Partners held hundreds of millions of dollars in foreign currency, while Mohsen Khandan and Partners held more than $117 million on behalf of sanctioned Iranian banks. The sanctions block U.S.-based property and interests of the designated individuals and entities, prohibit most transactions by U.S. persons, and could expose foreign financial institutions facilitating significant transactions to secondary sanctions. #iran #usa
SK Hynix debuted in the U.S. at $170 per ADR, up 14% from its $149 IPO price, and quickly rose to $174 in early trading.
Trading under the temporary ticker SKHYV, the ADR sale raised $26.51 billion, making it the largest equity offering by a non-U.S. company.
Chairman Choi Tae-won said the company may issue more U.S. ADRs if returns improve and the share price remains stable, while focusing on long-term value.
Choi also said AI-driven demand has significantly increased the need for memory chips, and SK Hynix plans to expand its investment in the United States.
SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics recently announced a combined 800 trillion won investment in new chip fabs to double South Korea's memory production capacity within five years.
President Trump said Iran has sought to resume talks with the U.S., and Washington has agreed, while making it clear to Tehran that the ceasefire has ended.
Markets: WTI and Brent crude climbed around $2 per barrel intraday, while spot gold slid roughly $35 per ounce.
🚨 India Gold Discounts Surge to $19/Oz; PBOC Extends Gold Buying to 20th Month
India: Gold dealers offered discounts of up to $19/oz over official prices (incl. 15% import duty + 3% GST), versus $5 premium to $7 discount last week, as retail demand weakened.
Price Move: Domestic gold traded near ₹1,44,800/10g on Friday after touching ₹1,48,069/10g last week; international spot gold fell to a 2-week low.
China: Gold traded at $1/oz discount to $5/oz premium; the PBOC increased gold reserves for the 20th straight month, with June seeing the largest monthly addition in over 2½ years.
Regional Markets: Hong Kong launched a gold central-clearing system; premiums/discounts stood at -$1 to +$1.70/oz in Hong Kong, -$1 to +$2/oz in Singapore, and -$0.40/oz in Japan.