I’ve closely analyzed the Solana (SOL) chart using pure market structure, focusing on what has already happened and what is most likely to happen next. Based on this analysis, I see two possible scenarios, and both favor a bearish continuation.
Scenario 1: Pullback Before Further Decline
On the weekly timeframe, SOL broke a major structural low at $170.25, which marked a clear trend shift from bullish to bearish. After this shift: SOL created another lower low by breaking $125 This confirms a bearish structure (lower highs and lower lows) In this scenario, a pullback into the weekly supply zone at $178.33–$204.83 is expected.
Once price reaches this zone and forms a lower high, SOL may continue its bearish trend and break below $93, extending the downside move.
Scenario 2: Breakdown Before Pullback
In this case, SOL may: First break below the $93 low, creating a new lower low Then pull back into the weekly supply zone ($178.33–$204.83) Use that zone to form a lower high, confirming bearish continuation This scenario reflects strong bearish momentum, where price does not wait for a pullback before making another breakdown.
Conclusion Both scenarios indicate that SOL remains in a bearish market structure. Until price reclaims key highs and invalidates the current structure, downside risk remains dominant.
If this analysis helped clarify the situation for you, like the post and share your thoughts in the comments. $SOL #solana
$SIREN tapped the Order Block, which normally increases the probability of continuation in the direction of the trend.
However, the structure is telling a different story.
Instead of creating a Lower Low (LL), price formed a Higher Low (HL). This is an early sign that bearish momentum is weakening.
🔎 What This Means • No Lower Low formed • Higher Low created • No clear Break of Structure (BOS)
Even though there was strong momentum into the order block, the lack of a BOS reduces the probability of continuation and increases the chances of a potential reversal.
In simple terms: Momentum alone is not enough — structure confirmation is required.
🧠 Trading Insight When an order block is strong, price usually: 1️⃣ Breaks structure 2️⃣ Creates new lows 3️⃣ Confirms continuation
Since that did not happen here, the continuation probability decreases and reversal probability increases. $SIREN #siren
$TAO is currently at the support line of the descending channel. A bullish bounce from this level confirms Long-term upside momentum, likely forming a lower high near $400 before the downtrend continues.
The RSI shows a clear support zone, highlighted with a green rectangle in the chart. Historically, RSI bounced from this zone three times, each time resulting in upward momentum on the weekly timeframe. This indicates that another bounce from the current support is likely, aligning with the descending channel’s weekly structure.
I hope this analysis helps you understand the current price action. If you have any questions or suggestions, comment below — I’ll reply as soon as possible. If this helped, smash the Like 👍 to show you read the article until the end! $TAO #TAO
Before taking any trade, it’s important to wait for a candlestick confirmation at the zone. A proper reaction — like a bullish rejection candle — will confirm a high-probability entry.
In trading, patience is everything. Rushing entries without confirmation can turn even the best setups into losses. $RIVER #RİVER
$ZEC tapped a key supply zone and printed a strong bearish candle, showing clear rejection from higher levels.
With the overall market structure remaining bearish, this setup aligns with the dominant trend — making a short position logical from a probability perspective.
When rejection from supply aligns with bearish structure, continuation setups carry higher probability.
🎯 Trade Plan • Direction: Short • Entry Zone: 292.5 – 320 • Take-Profit: 211.59 • Stop-Loss: 336.22
📊 Why This Setup Makes Sense • Strong rejection at supply • Bearish higher timeframe structure • Trend-aligned position • Clear invalidation above 336.22
⚠️ Risk Management Is Key: Even trend-aligned trades can fail. Respect your stop-loss and manage position size properly. $ZEC #zec
$ETH reacted slightly from the base (demand) zone, giving a short-term bounce. However, on lower timeframes, a Double Top pattern has now formed — which is a classic bearish reversal structure.
At this stage, only the neckline breakdown remains for full confirmation.
📊 What to Watch:
• Small bounce from base zone • Double Top formed on LTF • Neckline break = downside confirmation
If the neckline breaks with momentum, we can expect bearish continuation. If price holds above it, the pattern may fail.
$VVV is currently showing rejection from a strong supply zone, which normally signals a potential short opportunity.
However, trading is not about reacting blindly to one signal — it’s about reading the overall market structure.
📊 Market Structure Tells a Different Story
If we analyze the structure carefully:
• $VVV failed to create a new lower low. • This is often an early sign of a bullish trend shift. • Buyers are defending lower levels more aggressively.
Even though price is at a strong supply zone, the internal structure suggests weakening bearish momentum.
🚀 Why Breakout Is More Probable Than Rejection
When a market:
• Stops making lower lows • Builds higher lows • Shows strength near resistance
It increases the probability of a breakout rather than a sharp rejection.
If $VVV breaks above the supply zone with momentum, it will confirm a bullish structure shift.
That’s why planning a short here does not align with probability-based trading.
⚠️ Important Lesson About Volatile Pairs #VVV is a highly volatile pair.
Trading volatile assets without strong confirmation can quickly damage account balance.
We don’t trade what looks obvious. We trade what has the highest probability.
🧠 Final Thought
Yes, price is at supply. But structure says momentum is shifting. Until bearish confirmation appears, forcing a short here would not be a probability-based decision.
$INIT tapped a key supply zone and left a clear wick inside the zone, indicating strong selling pressure.
Additionally, the lower timeframe market structure has turned bearish, confirming that sellers are gaining control. This confluence strengthens the probability of a downside move.
When price reacts from supply and structure shifts bearish, continuation toward lower liquidity areas becomes more likely.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder: Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Even high-probability setups can fail. Always stick to your stop-loss and position sizing rules. $INIT #INIT
XRP/USDT recently faced a heavy rejection at a key supply zone, which coincides with the 200 EMA — a major dynamic resistance level. This combination creates a strong confluence, increasing the probability of a downside continuation rather than a bullish reversal. 🔎 What Happened? Price approached the supply zone, where sellers were waiting.Simultaneously, the 200 EMA acted as a dynamic resistance, strengthening the selling pressure.XRP was unable to break above these combined levels, resulting in a strong bearish rejection. This rejection shows that sellers are dominating at these levels, and any small bullish attempts are likely to be absorbed before they can create a sustainable reversal. 📊 Why This Matters Confluence zones — areas where static resistance (supply) meets dynamic resistance (EMA) — are some of the most important technical levels in trading. When price reacts strongly from such zones: Probability of trend continuation increases.Any bullish breakout attempts may fail unless strong momentum builds above the resistance.Traders should watch for further confirmations on lower timeframes before entering bullish trades. In simple terms, XRP is more likely to continue downward than reverse upward at this stage. 🧠 Beginner Takeaways Supply zones + EMA confluence = strong signals.Heavy rejection at such levels often favors trend continuation over reversal.Patience and confirmation are key — don’t jump into counter-trend trades prematurely.Always identify your support and target levels before taking positions. Currently, XRP is showing bearish strength at the supply + 200 EMA confluence. This indicates that the downward momentum could continue in the short to medium term. $XRP
ETH/USDT Short-Term Bounce, Long-Term Bullish Hope at Risk
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) recently performed a small bounce from a key demand zone. While this short-term reaction may look bullish, the bigger picture tells a different story. 🔎 Key Level to Watch The most important level right now is $1,391. This is a critical support zone. If Ethereum breaks below this level: The last bullish hope could end.Sellers may take full control in the short term.Price could move toward the next significant demand zone. 📊 Why This Level Matters Support and demand zones act like floors where buyers usually step in. When a major level like $1,391 is tested: If it holds → potential bounce and recovery.If it breaks → strong bearish pressure, as buyers lose confidence. Even though Ethereum bounced from the lower demand zone, traders should pay close attention to $1,391. This is the level that will confirm whether the short-term bullish momentum survives or fades completely. 🧠 Beginner Takeaways Small bounces can be misleading; always check critical levels.Always watch for confirmation — a break of key support signals a change in trend.Risk management is crucial. Avoid going all-in on a minor bounce without confirmation. Ethereum is showing signs of weakness despite the minor bounce. The $1,391 level is the ultimate test of bullish strength. $ETH
$TRADOOR repeatedly tested the supply zone (5 times) in a short period without significant bearish reaction. This reflects weakening supply/Resistance, increasing the likelihood of a breakout if price continues upward $SPACE $PIPPIN
$LAB faced resistance at the supply zone. Combined with a bearish shift in the lower timeframe structure, this increases the probability of a downside continuation toward 0.124 $SPACE $RIVER
$UAI chart looks interesting. I’m waiting for a candle close above the red line to confirm the breakout. Until then, just observing and analyzing 📊 $SPACE $RIVER