NewbieToNode
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NewbieToNode
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Planting tokens 🌱 Waiting for sun 🌞 Watering with hope 💧 Soft degen vibes only
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4.4 г
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🚨 EVERYONE IS WATCHING THE RED MARKET…
BUT $RAY JUST DID THIS. 👀🔥
$0.78 → $1.79
Nearly 2X in a week.
And this isn't just random momentum.
Raydium's buybacks just hit their highest daily level since early 2025, with roughly $640K of RAY bought in one day.
At the same time, Raydium is seeing a huge jump in trading activity through Solana launchpads.
Now look at the chart:
$1.79 = resistance
$1.50 = level I'm watching
$1.35 = stronger support
I wouldn't chase a coin after a move like this.
But if RAY holds the $1.50 area and eventually breaks $1.79 with volume…
$2 → $2.20 → $2.50 starts getting very interesting. 👀
The question isn't whether RAY has already pumped.
It's whether the activity behind the pump can continue.
{spot}(RAYUSDT)
🚨 EVERYONE IS WATCHING THE RED MARKET…
BUT $RAY JUST DID THIS. 👀🔥
$0.78 → $1.79
Nearly 2X in a week.
And this isn't just random momentum.
Raydium's buybacks just hit their highest daily level since early 2025, with roughly $640K of RAY bought in one day.
At the same time, Raydium is seeing a huge jump in trading activity through Solana launchpads.
Now look at the chart:
$1.79 = resistance
$1.50 = level I'm watching
$1.35 = stronger support
I wouldn't chase a coin after a move like this.
But if RAY holds the $1.50 area and eventually breaks $1.79 with volume…
$2 → $2.20 → $2.50 starts getting very interesting. 👀
The question isn't whether RAY has already pumped.
It's whether the activity behind the pump can continue.
BUT $RAY JUST DID THIS. 👀🔥
$0.78 → $1.79
Nearly 2X in a week.
And this isn't just random momentum.
Raydium's buybacks just hit their highest daily level since early 2025, with roughly $640K of RAY bought in one day.
At the same time, Raydium is seeing a huge jump in trading activity through Solana launchpads.
Now look at the chart:
$1.79 = resistance
$1.50 = level I'm watching
$1.35 = stronger support
I wouldn't chase a coin after a move like this.
But if RAY holds the $1.50 area and eventually breaks $1.79 with volume…
$2 → $2.20 → $2.50 starts getting very interesting. 👀
The question isn't whether RAY has already pumped.
It's whether the activity behind the pump can continue.
1
194
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Проверено
🚨 CPI IS OUT. NOW LET'S LOOK BACK AT MY CALL. 👀
Before the print, I said I was leaning bullish into CPI.
And here's what happened:
Headline CPI: 3.4% YoY ✅
Core CPI: 2.4% YoY ✅
Headline MoM: 0.4% ✅
Core MoM was slightly hotter at 0.3% vs 0.2% expected.
So yes, the Fed-hike risk is still there.
But the important part for me was the market reaction.
Crypto initially stayed volatile, but buyers stepped back in and BTC recovered toward $79K, with ETH, BNB and SOL bouncing too.
That's exactly why I wasn't expecting one CPI print to destroy the bullish setup.
My bullish thesis survived the data.
Now the real test is the FOMC next week. 👀
#CPIWatch #Fed #USCoreCPIRises0.3%InAugustBeatingForecasts #BNBTops730USDT
🚨 CPI IS OUT. NOW LET'S LOOK BACK AT MY CALL. 👀
Before the print, I said I was leaning bullish into CPI.
And here's what happened:
Headline CPI: 3.4% YoY ✅
Core CPI: 2.4% YoY ✅
Headline MoM: 0.4% ✅
Core MoM was slightly hotter at 0.3% vs 0.2% expected.
So yes, the Fed-hike risk is still there.
But the important part for me was the market reaction.
Crypto initially stayed volatile, but buyers stepped back in and BTC recovered toward $79K, with ETH, BNB and SOL bouncing too.
That's exactly why I wasn't expecting one CPI print to destroy the bullish setup.
My bullish thesis survived the data.
Now the real test is the FOMC next week. 👀
#CPIWatch #Fed #USCoreCPIRises0.3%InAugustBeatingForecasts #BNBTops730USDT
Before the print, I said I was leaning bullish into CPI.
And here's what happened:
Headline CPI: 3.4% YoY ✅
Core CPI: 2.4% YoY ✅
Headline MoM: 0.4% ✅
Core MoM was slightly hotter at 0.3% vs 0.2% expected.
So yes, the Fed-hike risk is still there.
But the important part for me was the market reaction.
Crypto initially stayed volatile, but buyers stepped back in and BTC recovered toward $79K, with ETH, BNB and SOL bouncing too.
That's exactly why I wasn't expecting one CPI print to destroy the bullish setup.
My bullish thesis survived the data.
Now the real test is the FOMC next week. 👀
#CPIWatch #Fed #USCoreCPIRises0.3%InAugustBeatingForecasts #BNBTops730USDT
NewbieToNode
·
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РостAugust CPI drops today, and I'm leaning bullish into it. Here's my reasoning.
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
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Хранение $XRP 36 USDT
🚨 $XRP JUST WENT FROM “DUMP” TO “WAIT… WHAT?” 👀🔥
$1.315 low.
Then straight back toward $1.43.
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
That is some serious buying pressure.
Now $1.433 is the wall.
Break it → $1.50
Then → $1.60
Then → $1.75 🚀
If XRP turns $1.40 into support, this chart could get VERY interesting.
🚨 $XRP JUST WENT FROM “DUMP” TO “WAIT… WHAT?” 👀🔥
$1.315 low.
Then straight back toward $1.43.
That is some serious buying pressure.
Now $1.433 is the wall.
Break it → $1.50
Then → $1.60
Then → $1.75 🚀
If XRP turns $1.40 into support, this chart could get VERY interesting.
$1.315 low.
Then straight back toward $1.43.
That is some serious buying pressure.
Now $1.433 is the wall.
Break it → $1.50
Then → $1.60
Then → $1.75 🚀
If XRP turns $1.40 into support, this chart could get VERY interesting.
1
131
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🚨 $UNI JUST BOUNCED HARD. 👀🔥
$5.86 → $6.54
After dropping from $7.48, UNI finally looks like buyers are stepping back in.
{spot}(UNIUSDT)
Now $6.54 is the wall.
Break and hold it → $6.90 → $7.48 → $8.00 🚀
UNI has been quiet…
Maybe that’s about to change.
🚨 $UNI JUST BOUNCED HARD. 👀🔥
$5.86 → $6.54
After dropping from $7.48, UNI finally looks like buyers are stepping back in.
Now $6.54 is the wall.
Break and hold it → $6.90 → $7.48 → $8.00 🚀
UNI has been quiet…
Maybe that’s about to change.
$5.86 → $6.54
After dropping from $7.48, UNI finally looks like buyers are stepping back in.
Now $6.54 is the wall.
Break and hold it → $6.90 → $7.48 → $8.00 🚀
UNI has been quiet…
Maybe that’s about to change.
3
135
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I’m watching BTC, BNB and SOL very closely right now. 👀
Not because they are pumping…
but because all three just reacted strongly from support.
BTC: $76K → $79.6K
BNB: $704 → $740
SOL: $98 → $105.6
Now comes the difficult part.
Can buyers actually turn this bounce into a trend?
For me, the levels are simple:
$BTC $80K
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$BNB $760
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
$SOL $110
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
Reclaim those and I’ll become much more bullish.
I’m watching BTC, BNB and SOL very closely right now. 👀
Not because they are pumping…
but because all three just reacted strongly from support.
BTC: $76K → $79.6K
BNB: $704 → $740
SOL: $98 → $105.6
Now comes the difficult part.
Can buyers actually turn this bounce into a trend?
For me, the levels are simple:
$BTC $80K
$BNB $760
$SOL $110
Reclaim those and I’ll become much more bullish.
Not because they are pumping…
but because all three just reacted strongly from support.
BTC: $76K → $79.6K
BNB: $704 → $740
SOL: $98 → $105.6
Now comes the difficult part.
Can buyers actually turn this bounce into a trend?
For me, the levels are simple:
$BTC $80K
$BNB $760
$SOL $110
Reclaim those and I’ll become much more bullish.
3
490
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$ETH $2,600 → ✅
Previous call:
“$2,600 breaks → $3,000 next.”
ETH just broke it. 👀🔥
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
Now $3,000 is the level I’m watching.
Let’s see what happens next. 🚀
$ETH $2,600 → ✅
Previous call:
“$2,600 breaks → $3,000 next.”
ETH just broke it. 👀🔥
Now $3,000 is the level I’m watching.
Let’s see what happens next. 🚀
Previous call:
“$2,600 breaks → $3,000 next.”
ETH just broke it. 👀🔥
Now $3,000 is the level I’m watching.
Let’s see what happens next. 🚀
NewbieToNode
·
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$ETH $3,000 IS LOADING… 👀🔥
Holding near $2.5K while the market stays shaky.
$2,600 breaks → $3,000 next.
I’m watching ETH closely. 🚀
Holding near $2.5K while the market stays shaky.
$2,600 breaks → $3,000 next.
I’m watching ETH closely. 🚀
3
334
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🚨 $320M IN BTC GOT DRAINED FROM LIQUID… AND THEN SOMETHING VERY WEIRD HAPPENED. 👀
On September 6, attackers pulled roughly 4,000 BTC from the Liquid Network, around 95% of its federation wallet.
But they didn't simply disappear with the money.
They claimed to be white hats and told Blockstream to fix the vulnerability first.
Blockstream patched the issue.
Then roughly 3,400 BTC was returned.
But around 600 BTC, worth roughly $47M, is still with the attackers.
That raises a much bigger question for me:
If an attacker can exploit a validation bug, drain hundreds of millions, and then negotiate the return of the funds…
where exactly do we draw the line between a white-hat rescue and a $320M hack?
Crypto security is getting tested in real time.
And honestly, this story isn't over yet. 👀
#BlockstreamRefusesToPayRansomToLiquidAttacker
🚨 $320M IN BTC GOT DRAINED FROM LIQUID… AND THEN SOMETHING VERY WEIRD HAPPENED. 👀
On September 6, attackers pulled roughly 4,000 BTC from the Liquid Network, around 95% of its federation wallet.
But they didn't simply disappear with the money.
They claimed to be white hats and told Blockstream to fix the vulnerability first.
Blockstream patched the issue.
Then roughly 3,400 BTC was returned.
But around 600 BTC, worth roughly $47M, is still with the attackers.
That raises a much bigger question for me:
If an attacker can exploit a validation bug, drain hundreds of millions, and then negotiate the return of the funds…
where exactly do we draw the line between a white-hat rescue and a $320M hack?
Crypto security is getting tested in real time.
And honestly, this story isn't over yet. 👀
#BlockstreamRefusesToPayRansomToLiquidAttacker
On September 6, attackers pulled roughly 4,000 BTC from the Liquid Network, around 95% of its federation wallet.
But they didn't simply disappear with the money.
They claimed to be white hats and told Blockstream to fix the vulnerability first.
Blockstream patched the issue.
Then roughly 3,400 BTC was returned.
But around 600 BTC, worth roughly $47M, is still with the attackers.
That raises a much bigger question for me:
If an attacker can exploit a validation bug, drain hundreds of millions, and then negotiate the return of the funds…
where exactly do we draw the line between a white-hat rescue and a $320M hack?
Crypto security is getting tested in real time.
And honestly, this story isn't over yet. 👀
#BlockstreamRefusesToPayRansomToLiquidAttacker
2
2.1k
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Хранение $POL 313.7 USDT
🚨 $POL IS TRYING TO ESCAPE THE BASE. 👀🔥
$0.0863 was the bottom.
Now POL is back at $0.097+ after weeks of sideways action.
The next battle is $0.10.
Break that → $0.11
Then $0.12
Then the previous $0.1283 high.
This chart has been sleeping for days…
Maybe the sleep is over. 👀🚀
{spot}(POLUSDT)
🚨 $POL IS TRYING TO ESCAPE THE BASE. 👀🔥
$0.0863 was the bottom.
Now POL is back at $0.097+ after weeks of sideways action.
The next battle is $0.10.
Break that → $0.11
Then $0.12
Then the previous $0.1283 high.
This chart has been sleeping for days…
Maybe the sleep is over. 👀🚀
$0.0863 was the bottom.
Now POL is back at $0.097+ after weeks of sideways action.
The next battle is $0.10.
Break that → $0.11
Then $0.12
Then the previous $0.1283 high.
This chart has been sleeping for days…
Maybe the sleep is over. 👀🚀
3
3
1.3k
·
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$SUI JUST SHOWED SOME SERIOUS BUYING. 👀🔥
$0.7072 got swept…
Then buyers sent it straight back toward $0.75.
That’s the kind of reaction I want to see.
📍 $0.707 = key support
📍 $0.75 = breakout level
🎯 $0.80 → $0.85
If SUI holds this bounce, the chart could get interesting fast.
{spot}(SUIUSDT)
$SUI JUST SHOWED SOME SERIOUS BUYING. 👀🔥
$0.7072 got swept…
Then buyers sent it straight back toward $0.75.
That’s the kind of reaction I want to see.
📍 $0.707 = key support
📍 $0.75 = breakout level
🎯 $0.80 → $0.85
If SUI holds this bounce, the chart could get interesting fast.
$0.7072 got swept…
Then buyers sent it straight back toward $0.75.
That’s the kind of reaction I want to see.
📍 $0.707 = key support
📍 $0.75 = breakout level
🎯 $0.80 → $0.85
If SUI holds this bounce, the chart could get interesting fast.
2
338
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🚨 $MARSCOIN IS BACK IN ACTION. 👀🔥
$0.108 → $0.133
And now it’s sitting around $0.131.
That $0.1330 level is the wall I’m watching.
Break and hold it → $0.15 could come fast.
🎯 $0.15 → $0.18 → $0.20
MARSCOIN has been wild since the Binance listing.
Now I want to see if buyers can finally turn $0.13 into support.
$0.20 still on my radar. 👀🔥
#MARSCOIN
{spot}(MARSCOINUSDT)
🚨 $MARSCOIN IS BACK IN ACTION. 👀🔥
$0.108 → $0.133
And now it’s sitting around $0.131.
That $0.1330 level is the wall I’m watching.
Break and hold it → $0.15 could come fast.
🎯 $0.15 → $0.18 → $0.20
MARSCOIN has been wild since the Binance listing.
Now I want to see if buyers can finally turn $0.13 into support.
$0.20 still on my radar. 👀🔥
#MARSCOIN
$0.108 → $0.133
And now it’s sitting around $0.131.
That $0.1330 level is the wall I’m watching.
Break and hold it → $0.15 could come fast.
🎯 $0.15 → $0.18 → $0.20
MARSCOIN has been wild since the Binance listing.
Now I want to see if buyers can finally turn $0.13 into support.
$0.20 still on my radar. 👀🔥
#MARSCOIN
2
493
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🇺🇸 CPI JUST CAME IN — NO INFLATION SURPRISE. 👀
• Headline CPI: 3.4% YoY ✅
• Core CPI: 2.4% YoY ✅
Both matched expectations.
That’s exactly what bulls wanted to see.
My bullish CPI thesis is still intact. 🔥
Now I’m watching how BTC and risk assets react.
#CPIWatch
🇺🇸 CPI JUST CAME IN — NO INFLATION SURPRISE. 👀
• Headline CPI: 3.4% YoY ✅
• Core CPI: 2.4% YoY ✅
Both matched expectations.
That’s exactly what bulls wanted to see.
My bullish CPI thesis is still intact. 🔥
Now I’m watching how BTC and risk assets react.
#CPIWatch
• Headline CPI: 3.4% YoY ✅
• Core CPI: 2.4% YoY ✅
Both matched expectations.
That’s exactly what bulls wanted to see.
My bullish CPI thesis is still intact. 🔥
Now I’m watching how BTC and risk assets react.
#CPIWatch
2
169
·
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🚨 CPI in 30 minutes. BTC traders are watching Core CPI more than the headline.
Consensus is calling for:
• CPI: 0.4% MoM
• Core CPI: 0.2% MoM
A hotter Core CPI reading could revive “higher-for-longer” Fed fears and trigger a fast risk-off reaction. An in-line or softer number may give crypto room for relief—but expect whipsaws either way.
The first move after the release may be emotional. The more meaningful signal is whether BTC holds its direction once the initial volatility settles.
⏰ 6:00 PM IST
What matters more to you today: the CPI number or BTC’s reaction after it?
#CPIWatch
🚨 CPI in 30 minutes. BTC traders are watching Core CPI more than the headline.
Consensus is calling for:
• CPI: 0.4% MoM
• Core CPI: 0.2% MoM
A hotter Core CPI reading could revive “higher-for-longer” Fed fears and trigger a fast risk-off reaction. An in-line or softer number may give crypto room for relief—but expect whipsaws either way.
The first move after the release may be emotional. The more meaningful signal is whether BTC holds its direction once the initial volatility settles.
⏰ 6:00 PM IST
What matters more to you today: the CPI number or BTC’s reaction after it?
#CPIWatch
Consensus is calling for:
• CPI: 0.4% MoM
• Core CPI: 0.2% MoM
A hotter Core CPI reading could revive “higher-for-longer” Fed fears and trigger a fast risk-off reaction. An in-line or softer number may give crypto room for relief—but expect whipsaws either way.
The first move after the release may be emotional. The more meaningful signal is whether BTC holds its direction once the initial volatility settles.
⏰ 6:00 PM IST
What matters more to you today: the CPI number or BTC’s reaction after it?
#CPIWatch
2
80
·
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This could be bigger than it looks.
The market is focused on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, but another key route is now coming into view: Bab al-Mandab, the passage linking the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean.
If shipping faces disruption around both routes, it would not just be a Yemen or Middle East story. Freight costs could rise, oil supply fears could intensify, and inflation-sensitive markets may react.
That is why oil moving above $100 matters. Traders are starting to price in the risk that a regional conflict affects global energy flows.
For crypto and other risk assets, the main issue is not the conflict itself—it is whether higher oil, inflation worries, and rising yields lead investors to reduce risk exposure.
#TrumpDeclinesSaudiRequestToStrikeHouthis
This could be bigger than it looks.
The market is focused on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, but another key route is now coming into view: Bab al-Mandab, the passage linking the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean.
If shipping faces disruption around both routes, it would not just be a Yemen or Middle East story. Freight costs could rise, oil supply fears could intensify, and inflation-sensitive markets may react.
That is why oil moving above $100 matters. Traders are starting to price in the risk that a regional conflict affects global energy flows.
For crypto and other risk assets, the main issue is not the conflict itself—it is whether higher oil, inflation worries, and rising yields lead investors to reduce risk exposure.
#TrumpDeclinesSaudiRequestToStrikeHouthis
The market is focused on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, but another key route is now coming into view: Bab al-Mandab, the passage linking the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean.
If shipping faces disruption around both routes, it would not just be a Yemen or Middle East story. Freight costs could rise, oil supply fears could intensify, and inflation-sensitive markets may react.
That is why oil moving above $100 matters. Traders are starting to price in the risk that a regional conflict affects global energy flows.
For crypto and other risk assets, the main issue is not the conflict itself—it is whether higher oil, inflation worries, and rising yields lead investors to reduce risk exposure.
#TrumpDeclinesSaudiRequestToStrikeHouthis
3
213
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🚨 2 OUT OF 3 TARGETS DELIVERED ON $牛来 👀🔥
Yesterday I said:
🎯 $0.12 ✅
🎯 $0.15 ✅
🎯 $0.20 ⏳
Well… $牛来 just pushed to $0.161. 😳
From $0.071 → $0.161 in basically no time.
That’s more than a 2X move.
I called $0.12 first.
Then $0.15.
Now there’s only ONE target left.
🎯 $0.20
I’m not saying it goes straight there — after a move like this, volatility can get crazy.
But I’m definitely watching $0.20 now.
2 targets delivered.
1 left.
{spot}(牛来USDT)
are we going for the third? 👀🔥
🚨 2 OUT OF 3 TARGETS DELIVERED ON $牛来 👀🔥
Yesterday I said:
🎯 $0.12 ✅
🎯 $0.15 ✅
🎯 $0.20 ⏳
Well… $牛来 just pushed to $0.161. 😳
From $0.071 → $0.161 in basically no time.
That’s more than a 2X move.
I called $0.12 first.
Then $0.15.
Now there’s only ONE target left.
🎯 $0.20
I’m not saying it goes straight there — after a move like this, volatility can get crazy.
But I’m definitely watching $0.20 now.
2 targets delivered.
1 left.
are we going for the third? 👀🔥
Yesterday I said:
🎯 $0.12 ✅
🎯 $0.15 ✅
🎯 $0.20 ⏳
Well… $牛来 just pushed to $0.161. 😳
From $0.071 → $0.161 in basically no time.
That’s more than a 2X move.
I called $0.12 first.
Then $0.15.
Now there’s only ONE target left.
🎯 $0.20
I’m not saying it goes straight there — after a move like this, volatility can get crazy.
But I’m definitely watching $0.20 now.
2 targets delivered.
1 left.
are we going for the third? 👀🔥
2
372
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Хранение $DOT 150.4 USDT
$DOT IS SHOWING STRENGTH AGAIN. 👀🔥
After that brutal pullback from $1.284, DOT found buyers around $1.08–$1.10 and is now back above $1.14.
That’s what I wanted to see.
{spot}(DOTUSDT)
I’m not changing my target because of one pullback.
🎯 $1.20 → $1.28 → $1.50 → $2.00
I said it before and I’ll say it again:
I’m not stopping until DOT reaches $2. 🚀
The market can shake me out, but this is still one of the charts I’m watching closely.
$DOT → $2.00.
Let’s see how far this run can go. 👀🔥
$DOT IS SHOWING STRENGTH AGAIN. 👀🔥
After that brutal pullback from $1.284, DOT found buyers around $1.08–$1.10 and is now back above $1.14.
That’s what I wanted to see.
I’m not changing my target because of one pullback.
🎯 $1.20 → $1.28 → $1.50 → $2.00
I said it before and I’ll say it again:
I’m not stopping until DOT reaches $2. 🚀
The market can shake me out, but this is still one of the charts I’m watching closely.
$DOT → $2.00.
Let’s see how far this run can go. 👀🔥
After that brutal pullback from $1.284, DOT found buyers around $1.08–$1.10 and is now back above $1.14.
That’s what I wanted to see.
I’m not changing my target because of one pullback.
🎯 $1.20 → $1.28 → $1.50 → $2.00
I said it before and I’ll say it again:
I’m not stopping until DOT reaches $2. 🚀
The market can shake me out, but this is still one of the charts I’m watching closely.
$DOT → $2.00.
Let’s see how far this run can go. 👀🔥
4
576
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Рост
Проверено
August CPI drops today, and I'm leaning bullish into it. Here's my reasoning.
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
August CPI drops today, and I'm leaning bullish into it. Here's my reasoning.
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
Yes, the setup looks hawkish on paper. Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations (162K vs ~56K forecast), and yesterday's PPI came in hot at 5.4% annually. That's usually the recipe for “the Fed hikes, risk assets get hit.”
But here's why I'm not worried.
CPI has actually been cooling for two straight months... 3.4% in July, down from 3.5% in June. Even with a hot PPI print, consumer-facing inflation has shown a downward trend, and the Fed's preferred gauge, PCE, tends to matter more to them than a single CPI headline.
My read: even if today's number comes in slightly hot, it likely won't be hot enough to create a much bigger hawkish shock than the market is already pricing in.
And if it comes in in-line or cooler, that's a green light for risk assets, including crypto, going into next week's FOMC meeting.
Staying bullish into this one.
Will update after the print drops.
#CPIWatch
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🚨 $0.12 DELIVERED ON $牛来 🔥
Yesterday I said $0.119 was the level to watch.
Break it… and the chart could get crazy.
Well, $0.12 is officially DONE. ✅
$0.12 → $0.14 already.
🎯 Next levels: $0.15 → $0.20
I’m not calling the top here.
I’m watching whether $0.14 breaks and turns into the next support. 👀
One target delivered. Two left. 🔥
$牛来 — are we just getting started?
{spot}(牛来USDT)
🚨 $0.12 DELIVERED ON $牛来 🔥
Yesterday I said $0.119 was the level to watch.
Break it… and the chart could get crazy.
Well, $0.12 is officially DONE. ✅
$0.12 → $0.14 already.
🎯 Next levels: $0.15 → $0.20
I’m not calling the top here.
I’m watching whether $0.14 breaks and turns into the next support. 👀
One target delivered. Two left. 🔥
$牛来 — are we just getting started?
Yesterday I said $0.119 was the level to watch.
Break it… and the chart could get crazy.
Well, $0.12 is officially DONE. ✅
$0.12 → $0.14 already.
🎯 Next levels: $0.15 → $0.20
I’m not calling the top here.
I’m watching whether $0.14 breaks and turns into the next support. 👀
One target delivered. Two left. 🔥
$牛来 — are we just getting started?
8
3
821
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🚨 $牛来 JUST WOKE UP. 👀🔥
From $0.071 → $0.103 in ONE move.
That’s already a 45%+ bounce.
And now the interesting part…
$0.119 is sitting right above.
Break $0.119 and I think this chart can get absolutely crazy. 🚀
🎯 $0.12 → $0.15 → $0.20
This isn’t some random microcap anymore either.
Binance just listed 牛来 on Spot with the Seed Tag, and it’s already pulling serious volume.
I’m watching this one VERY closely.
$牛来 — is the next leg starting? 👀🔥
{spot}(牛来USDT)
🚨 $牛来 JUST WOKE UP. 👀🔥
From $0.071 → $0.103 in ONE move.
That’s already a 45%+ bounce.
And now the interesting part…
$0.119 is sitting right above.
Break $0.119 and I think this chart can get absolutely crazy. 🚀
🎯 $0.12 → $0.15 → $0.20
This isn’t some random microcap anymore either.
Binance just listed 牛来 on Spot with the Seed Tag, and it’s already pulling serious volume.
I’m watching this one VERY closely.
$牛来 — is the next leg starting? 👀🔥
From $0.071 → $0.103 in ONE move.
That’s already a 45%+ bounce.
And now the interesting part…
$0.119 is sitting right above.
Break $0.119 and I think this chart can get absolutely crazy. 🚀
🎯 $0.12 → $0.15 → $0.20
This isn’t some random microcap anymore either.
Binance just listed 牛来 on Spot with the Seed Tag, and it’s already pulling serious volume.
I’m watching this one VERY closely.
$牛来 — is the next leg starting? 👀🔥
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🚨 $RVN JUST GOT FLUSHED HARD… 👀
From $0.0030 straight down to $0.00228.
Everyone sees the dump.
I’m watching what happens NEXT. 🧐
$0.00228 is the line in the sand.
If buyers defend this zone and RVN starts reclaiming:
$0.00273 → $0.00298 → $0.00340 🚀
One strong reversal candle and the whole chart can change FAST.
$RVN is either making a brutal bottom here…
OR setting up for another leg down.
This is the kind of chart I keep on my radar. 👀🔥
{spot}(RVNUSDT)
🚨 $RVN JUST GOT FLUSHED HARD… 👀
From $0.0030 straight down to $0.00228.
Everyone sees the dump.
I’m watching what happens NEXT. 🧐
$0.00228 is the line in the sand.
If buyers defend this zone and RVN starts reclaiming:
$0.00273 → $0.00298 → $0.00340 🚀
One strong reversal candle and the whole chart can change FAST.
$RVN is either making a brutal bottom here…
OR setting up for another leg down.
This is the kind of chart I keep on my radar. 👀🔥
From $0.0030 straight down to $0.00228.
Everyone sees the dump.
I’m watching what happens NEXT. 🧐
$0.00228 is the line in the sand.
If buyers defend this zone and RVN starts reclaiming:
$0.00273 → $0.00298 → $0.00340 🚀
One strong reversal candle and the whole chart can change FAST.
$RVN is either making a brutal bottom here…
OR setting up for another leg down.
This is the kind of chart I keep on my radar. 👀🔥
2
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🧵 Why the "boring" bond market might explain your crypto portfolio's mood this week.
1/ The US 10-year Treasury yield just hit 4.85%, its highest since November 2023.
2/ In simple words: this is the interest rate the government pays to borrow for 10 years. When it rises fast, borrowing gets more expensive across the entire economy, mortgages, credit cards, business loans.
3/ Why now: oil just crossed $101/barrel due to the Iran conflict, stoking inflation fears. The US also has a $2 trillion deficit, and a recent bond buyback announcement disappointed investors expecting more support.
4/ The Dow already dropped 400 points reacting to this.
5/ For crypto: rising yields make "safe" bonds more attractive relative to risk assets. Money sometimes rotates away from BTC/alts when this happens fast.
6/ This doesn't mean panic. It means understanding why price action might feel heavier this week, even without coin-specific news.
#US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceNov2023
🧵 Why the "boring" bond market might explain your crypto portfolio's mood this week.
1/ The US 10-year Treasury yield just hit 4.85%, its highest since November 2023.
2/ In simple words: this is the interest rate the government pays to borrow for 10 years. When it rises fast, borrowing gets more expensive across the entire economy, mortgages, credit cards, business loans.
3/ Why now: oil just crossed $101/barrel due to the Iran conflict, stoking inflation fears. The US also has a $2 trillion deficit, and a recent bond buyback announcement disappointed investors expecting more support.
4/ The Dow already dropped 400 points reacting to this.
5/ For crypto: rising yields make "safe" bonds more attractive relative to risk assets. Money sometimes rotates away from BTC/alts when this happens fast.
6/ This doesn't mean panic. It means understanding why price action might feel heavier this week, even without coin-specific news.
#US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceNov2023
1/ The US 10-year Treasury yield just hit 4.85%, its highest since November 2023.
2/ In simple words: this is the interest rate the government pays to borrow for 10 years. When it rises fast, borrowing gets more expensive across the entire economy, mortgages, credit cards, business loans.
3/ Why now: oil just crossed $101/barrel due to the Iran conflict, stoking inflation fears. The US also has a $2 trillion deficit, and a recent bond buyback announcement disappointed investors expecting more support.
4/ The Dow already dropped 400 points reacting to this.
5/ For crypto: rising yields make "safe" bonds more attractive relative to risk assets. Money sometimes rotates away from BTC/alts when this happens fast.
6/ This doesn't mean panic. It means understanding why price action might feel heavier this week, even without coin-specific news.
#US10YTreasuryYieldHitsHighestSinceNov2023
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