#FedRateWatch
⚠️ The Fed decision is no longer just about one 25bps move the bigger question is what comes next.
August core CPI came in at 0.3% month over month, above the 0.2% expected, pushing market pricing for a 25bps Fed hike to around 90% ahead of the September decision.
What matters now is the reaction after the decision. A hike that is already heavily priced in could create a “buy the news” reaction if the Fed signals limited follow through. But if policymakers point toward additional tightening, higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar could pressure risk assets.
For $BTC and tech stocks, liquidity and rate expectations remain key. Higher yields can reduce the appeal of risk assets, while gold may remain sensitive to real yields, inflation expectations and safe haven demand.
My take: I’m watching the Fed statement and Powell’s guidance more closely than the 25bps headline itself. The real market move may come from the expected path for future meetings.
Do you think this hike will be a one off move, or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle?
#CPI #Gold #Stocks #InterestRates
⚠️ The Fed decision is no longer just about one 25bps move the bigger question is what comes next.
August core CPI came in at 0.3% month over month, above the 0.2% expected, pushing market pricing for a 25bps Fed hike to around 90% ahead of the September decision.
What matters now is the reaction after the decision. A hike that is already heavily priced in could create a “buy the news” reaction if the Fed signals limited follow through. But if policymakers point toward additional tightening, higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar could pressure risk assets.
For $BTC and tech stocks, liquidity and rate expectations remain key. Higher yields can reduce the appeal of risk assets, while gold may remain sensitive to real yields, inflation expectations and safe haven demand.
My take: I’m watching the Fed statement and Powell’s guidance more closely than the 25bps headline itself. The real market move may come from the expected path for future meetings.
Do you think this hike will be a one off move, or the beginning of a longer tightening cycle?
#CPI #Gold #Stocks #InterestRates
