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Let's be honest, this chart has people talking right now.
rTSLA is sitting around 364.81 after a decent bounce, volume is still healthy, and the linked TSLA stock is moving almost tick for tick with it. On top of that, Elon just showed off the next-gen Roadster prototype, with SpaceX thrusters doing actual aerial moves. The market noticed.
Here's what traders should have on their radar.
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What's Moving the Price?
The Roadster Reveal (Oct 15–16)
Musk showed a prototype with thrusters pulling off barrel rolls and jumping over a Tesla Semi. The claim is 0-60 mph in 0.81 seconds, with extreme top speeds possible. Production is targeted for 2028.
Premarket interest lifted TSLA, and crypto-native Tesla exposure, including perpetual contracts, saw volume jump overnight while U.S. markets were closed.
The Q3 Delivery Beat Still Matters
Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles, well above the roughly 461k–464k consensus. Production came in at 464,391, and energy storage deployments hit 13.7 GWh.
Deliveries beat production for the second quarter in a row, which means inventory keeps clearing. Model 3 and Model Y still carry most of the volume.
Earnings Are Next Week
Full Q3 results land on October 21. Eyes will be on automotive margins, energy growth, FSD and Robotaxi progress, and any news on Optimus or the Cybercab fleet.
Quick note on rTSLA: it follows the real TSLA share almost 1:1, which is exactly what tokenized stock exposure is meant to do. You trade 24/7 with USDT while the underlying moves with the Nasdaq.
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Chart Breakdown (1D)
Here's where the daily structure stands:
Price: 364.81 after testing the mid-360s
MA(5): 369.80
MA(10): 374.58
MA(20): 370.71
SuperTrend (10,3): 358.01, still bullish while price holds above it
The recent swing high near 388.56 is the big resistance zone. Earlier in the move, strong support formed around the mid-310s before the climb started. Volume has looked healthy on up days, and the moving averages are starting to flatten after the pullback from the 380s.
Key Levels to Watch
◆ Immediate resistance: 370–375 (where the MAs cluster)
◆ Stronger resistance: 382–388
◆ Near-term support: 358–360 (SuperTrend plus recent structure)
◆ Deeper support: 350–355
If price reclaims the 370s with real volume, a retest of the recent highs becomes realistic. If it loses SuperTrend, the 350s could come into play.
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The Bigger Picture
Tesla isn't just an EV story anymore. The market is pricing in AI, autonomy and robotics more than pure car deliveries. Robotaxi expansion in Austin, energy storage demand from AI data centers, and the Roadster "halo" effect all support the long-term story.
At the same time, valuation is still high and margins are under the microscope going into earnings. Classic Tesla setup.
This is also where tokenized exposure like rTSLA shines. Crypto traders can stay in the game around the clock without a traditional brokerage account, which matters most when a big catalyst drops outside U.S. hours.
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Can Tesla Push Higher?
The Roadster demo added fresh energy to a market already digesting a strong delivery beat. Expect price action to stay sensitive to any follow-up comments from Musk and to the October 21 earnings release.
Technically, the path of least resistance still points up as long as SuperTrend and the 358–360 zone hold. A clean break above the 375–380 cluster would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
As always, this is market analysis, not financial advice. Manage your risk, size your positions properly, and never trade money you can't afford to lose.
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Is the Roadster hype enough to push TSLA/rTSLA back toward 400 before earnings?
Or do we need the numbers on Oct 21 to confirm the next leg?
Drop your levels, targets and bias in the comments!
If this helped you read the chart better, share it with a fellow trader.
Trade smart.
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