FedEx hedera collaboration signals new phase for digital global supply chains
In a move that underscores its push into data-driven logistics, FedEx hedera collaboration is being framed as a strategic step toward smarter, more transparent global trade.
FedEx joins Hedera Council to shape digital supply chain standards
On February 13, 2026, FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) announced it is joining the Hedera Council, the governance body behind the public Hedera network. The Memphis-based logistics giant aims to help build trusted digital infrastructure that supports the full lifecycle of global shipments and modernizes supply chain operations.
Moreover, FedEx is positioning this move as part of its long-term plan to make global commerce operate at the speed of data rather than paper or physical checkpoints. As supply chains become more digitally integrated, trusted data infrastructure is expected to underpin automation, real-time visibility, and continuous compliance across complex international trade environments.
However, the company also stresses the importance of maintaining strong governance and risk controls as digital processes expand. By joining a council of leading global organizations, FedEx seeks to balance innovation with robust oversight in increasingly data-intensive logistics networks.
Hedera technology and enterprise-grade trust layer
Hedera operates a public, enterprise-grade distributed ledger technology (DLT) platform designed for high-volume, mission-critical applications. Its network provides a governed trust and notarization layer that supports interoperable, multi-platform digital ecosystems while allowing enterprises to keep sensitive operational data within their own environments.
That said, the architecture is built to support organizations that require both transparency and confidentiality. Enterprises can notarize events or transactions on Hedera while retaining full control of underlying data in their private systems, which is crucial for regulated industries and global logistics providers like FedEx.
In practical terms, this model can help reduce friction in cross-border trade by enabling secure, shared data verification among multiple parties. Moreover, it can support standardized proofs of shipment status, customs documentation, and compliance checks without exposing proprietary operational data.
FedEx role and objectives within Hedera Council
Through its role on the Hedera Council, FedEx plans to contribute operational expertise and architectural insight to support open, cooperative approaches to distributed infrastructure. The focus is on enabling the long-term digital evolution of global supply chains, including more resilient and transparent logistics networks.
Among its stated goals, FedEx aims to help advance trusted digital infrastructure for the future of global supply chains and reduce friction in cross-border commerce. Furthermore, by supporting secure shared data verification across organizations and jurisdictions, the company hopes to improve reliability and reduce manual reconciliation.
In this context, the fedex hedera partnership is expected to test new ways of verifying shipment and trade data at scale, leveraging Hedera’s consensus and timestamping capabilities. Over time, such initiatives could support industry-wide frameworks for verifiable logistics data that multiple stakeholders can trust.
Executive statements on digital supply chain transformation
“The digital transformation of global supply chains is inevitable,” said Vishal Talwar, executive vice president, chief digital and information officer of FedEx Corp., and president of FedEx Dataworks. “As supply chains become increasingly digital-native, trusted data must be shared and verified across many parties without increasing risk or centralizing control.”
Talwar added that Hedera provides a neutral, enterprise-grade trust layer that enables verification at global scale while letting organizations like FedEx build differentiated capabilities on top. Moreover, this model aligns with FedEx strategy of combining its physical logistics network with advanced data and analytics platforms.
“We are proud to welcome FedEx to the Council,” said Tom Sylvester, president of Hedera Council. “FedEx brings deep operational insight into global logistics and commerce, and their perspective will be valuable as the industry transitions toward digitally native supply chains.”
Sylvester emphasized that the collaboration aims to advance trusted, interoperable data verification supporting collaboration across industries and jurisdictions. That said, he also highlighted the importance of decentralized, collusion-resistant governance in maintaining the integrity of the Hedera network as adoption grows.
Governance, node operations and council structure
As a Council member, FedEx will operate a node on the Hedera network and hold equal voting rights alongside other organizations. This means the company will participate directly in the governance of Hedera software and services, including decisions on core network upgrades and policy changes.
Moreover, FedEx joins a globally distributed governing body that includes Fortune 500 firms, banks, web3 innovators, and leading universities. Council members run network nodes and approve core updates, helping to maintain the security and integrity of the Hedera network under a decentralized, multi-stakeholder model.
This governance approach seeks to ensure decentralized, collusion-resistant oversight while supporting an enterprise-grade public network. However, the council structure is also designed to deliver predictable, transparent decision-making, which is critical for institutions building long-term applications on Hedera.
About FedEx Corp.
FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services to customers and enterprises worldwide. With annual revenue of $90 billion, the company offers integrated business solutions built on a flexible, efficient, and intelligent global network.
Consistently ranked among the world’s most admired and trusted employers, FedEx employs more than 500,000 people. Moreover, the company emphasizes safety, high ethical and professional standards, and strong engagement with customers and communities across its operating regions.
FedEx is committed to connecting people and possibilities globally in a responsible and resourceful way. The company has set a goal to achieve carbon-neutral operations by 2040, reflecting increasing pressure on logistics and transportation providers to decarbonize. Further details are available at fedex.com/about.
About Hedera Council
The Hedera Council is a globally distributed governing body composed of major organizations across industries and regions. Its members include Fortune 500 companies, financial institutions, web3 innovators, and top universities, all collectively governing the Hedera network.
Council participants run network nodes and approve core software updates, maintaining the security and integrity of the platform. Moreover, this trusted governance model differentiates Hedera as an enterprise-focused public network designed for scalable, secure, and transparent applications in sectors such as finance, supply chain, and digital identity.
In summary, the FedEx move to join the Hedera Council underscores growing convergence between global logistics and distributed ledger technologies, as enterprises seek trusted, interoperable data infrastructures for next-generation supply chains.
Bank of Russia weighs russian stablecoin as sanctions and private issuers reshape the market
Russian authorities are rethinking digital currency policy, with a russian stablecoin now under consideration amid rising crypto usage and mounting sanctions pressure.
Bank of Russia reopens debate on fiat-pegged stablecoins
The Bank of Russia will reassess its conservative stance on fiat-linked tokens and examine the feasibility of issuing a domestic stablecoin in 2026. The initiative marks a notable shift for the regulator, which has long opposed such instruments, even as other jurisdictions moved ahead with their own national stable assets.
The plan was outlined by First Deputy Chairman Vladimir Chistyukhin during a conference hosted by Alfa-Bank, Russia’s largest private bank. He acknowledged that, until now, the central bank has rejected proposals for a national stable asset, preferring strict controls over digital money and favoring the development of a digital ruble.
However, Chistyukhin signaled that the regulator is ready to take a fresh look at the issue. Speaking at the Alfa Talk event, held under the banner “Digital Financial Assets: New Market Architecture” and quoted by TASS, he said the central bank would analyze foreign experience before making a final decision.
“We plan to conduct a study this year to reassess the situation,” Chistyukhin said. “Indeed, our traditional position is that this is not allowed but taking into account the practices of a number of foreign countries, we will reassess the risks and prospects here and will also submit this for public discussion.” Moreover, the study is expected to frame options for possible issuance and market integration.
From blanket opposition to regulated crypto markets
The new stance follows a broader transformation in Russia’s approach to cryptocurrencies. For years, the main financial regulator pushed back strongly against open circulation of digital assets, arguing that private coins threatened financial stability. Instead, it focused on promoting a central bank digital currency, the digital ruble.
However, in 2025 the central bank began softening its position. First, it launched an experimental regime for crypto transactions, allowing limited pilot operations. Then, last spring, it permitted investments in crypto derivatives, signaling a willingness to integrate digital assets into the financial system under tight supervision.
Towards the end of December, regulators unveiled a new conceptual framework for comprehensive crypto regulation. The policy paper envisages recognizing decentralized cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, as well as various stablecoins, as “monetary assets” under Russian law. That said, the framework also seeks to channel activity through licensed entities.
Under the proposed rules, residents would gain broader access to these instruments, including business use cases. Although the Russian ruble is expected to remain the only legal tender, authorities plan to license platforms such as digital asset exchanges. As a result, new crypto-related services would appear in the domestic market, creating formal channels for trading and settlement.
The renewed interest in a potential russian stablecoin comes as Western governments intensify pressure on Russian crypto transactions. Sanctions authorities are increasingly targeting intermediaries and jurisdictions suspected of helping Moscow route payments outside the traditional banking system.
The upcoming 20th sanctions package under discussion in the European Union places particular emphasis on curbing Russia-linked digital asset flows. In addition, the measures are designed to hit third countries and institutions believed to be assisting Moscow in bypassing restrictions on its financial movements.
For example, the EU is preparing sanctions against two banks in Kyrgyzstan accused of processing crypto-related transfers for Russian clients. Moreover, Brussels is expanding its watchlist to include platforms and service providers associated with ruble-linked digital tokens used in cross-border deals.
Rise of A7A5 and Kyrgyz infrastructure
One major focus for Western regulators is the A7A5 token, a ruble-referenced stable asset with infrastructure outside Russia. The Central Asian state of Kyrgyzstan hosts the issuer of the ruble-pegged coin, which has quickly become a systemically important instrument for cross-border settlement.
The token is issued by Old Vector, a Kyrgyz-registered company, while the project itself was created by the Russian firm A7. This structure has placed the ecosystem and its infrastructure in the crosshairs of Western sanctions, even as Russian users seek alternatives to traditional payment rails.
Launched in early 2025, A7A5 has reportedly processed transactions worth over $100 billion in its first year of operation. According to DeFiLlama, its capitalization now exceeds $500 million, making it the largest non-dollar stablecoin currently on the market. However, this rapid growth has heightened official scrutiny both inside and outside Russia.
Despite the absence of dedicated stablecoin legislation, Moscow’s financial authorities moved in September to categorize A7A5 as a “digital financial asset.” That classification allows Russian companies to use it for international settlements, effectively embedding the token into corporate payment flows. Platforms linked to A7A5 have already been sanctioned by the EU, the U.S. and the U.K., underscoring the geopolitical sensitivity around ruble-linked crypto.
While foreign-based instruments draw international attention, onshore crypto activity in Russia is also expanding quickly. The Ministry of Finance recently disclosed that daily crypto turnover by Russian participants has reached 50 billion rubles, or nearly $650 million. Moreover, officials suggest that actual volumes could be even higher when unreported trades are considered.
Usage is no longer limited to sophisticated traders or large corporates. Crypto has been spreading among ordinary Russians as well, who face increasingly tight restrictions on traditional financial channels because of the war in Ukraine. As foreign banks close accounts and new controls on fiat movements appear at home, digital assets offer an alternative route for savings and transfers.
Within this changing environment, a russian stablecoin backed or overseen by the Bank of Russia could serve multiple policy goals. It might give regulators greater visibility over flows that currently move through less transparent instruments, while still enabling international settlements and domestic payments under sanctions. However, any design would have to balance compliance, usability and geopolitical risk.
Outlook for Russia’s stablecoin policy
The forthcoming bank of russia study on fiat-backed tokens is expected to weigh these trade-offs in detail. A key question will be whether a domestically issued asset can compete with private projects like A7A5, which already enjoy significant liquidity and cross-border reach. Another issue will be how to align any new coin with existing digital ruble plans.
Russia’s evolving regulatory concept for digital currencies suggests that the authorities are unlikely to ignore market demand for long. However, the timing, structure and legal status of any new instrument remain open. Policymakers will need to integrate sanctions compliance, international partnerships and domestic financial stability into a coherent strategy.
In summary, Moscow’s reconsideration of stablecoin policy reflects both external pressure and internal market growth. Whether through tighter control of existing tokens or the launch of a new national instrument, Russia appears set to deepen its engagement with crypto-based monetary assets in the coming years.
Italians and Investments: Between Fears, Distrust, and Untapped Opportunities
According to a recent survey conducted by YouGov for XTB, the investment landscape in Italy is marked by significant caution and widespread distrust towards financial markets. The most striking finding from the study is that 75% of Italians have not made any investments in the past year.
This result depicts a country still far from a modern financial culture, where managing savings through investment tools remains a rarely practiced option.
The research, conducted on a representative sample of 1,036 adults between October 9 and 10, 2025, highlights how the lack of capital and the fear of losing money are the main obstacles hindering access to investments.
41% of respondents indicate they do not have sufficient initial capital, while 28% admit to being held back by the fear of seeing their savings vanish.
The Reasons Behind the Decision Not to Invest
Fear, Uncertainty, and Risk Perception
Data analysis highlights how the emotional component plays a central role in the financial decisions of Italians. The fear of losing money is one of the most significant barriers, indicating a very high perception of risk.
It is no coincidence that 24% of respondents state they would start investing only in the event of a significant windfall, such as a lottery win or an inheritance, while 16% would do so only if there was a salary increase or the arrival of extra income. In other words, many Italians consider their economic situation too fragile to afford taking risks.
Distrust in the System and Preference for the Traditional
Beyond economic and psychological barriers, there is a deep-seated distrust towards financial system players. 15% of non-investors state they do not trust brokers and financial institutions, while 12% view investing as akin to gambling.
This negative perception also translates into a preference for more traditional solutions: 20% of Italians prefer to keep their savings in savings accounts or invest in real estate, and 5% even choose the classic “under the mattress” option.
A Group of Unyielding
Of particular note is the presence of a group of “diehards”: 26% of non-investors state that nothing could convince them to change their minds. This data indicates a deep disaffection towards financial markets, which goes beyond the mere lack of information or capital and represents a real challenge for those involved in financial education.
Informational Leverage and Consulting: An Untapped Potential
Despite the overall landscape being dominated by fears and distrust, the research also identifies a significant portion of citizens who could potentially be activated.
10% of non-investors say they would be willing to change their attitude if they had access to clearer and more transparent information, while 9% could be persuaded by reliable advice from a trusted person. These data highlight the importance of informational clarity and quality consultancy as tools to bring Italians closer to the world of investments.
The Role of Fintech: The XTB Case
A Platform to Democratize Investment
In this scenario, entities like XTB aim to break down traditional barriers to accessing financial markets. Founded in Poland in 2004, XTB is a global fintech company offering online investment services through an innovative platform and a mobile app. With over 1.6 million clients worldwide, XTB allows trading of more than 10,700 financial instruments, including stocks, ETFs, CFDs on currencies, commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies.
New Tools and Financial Education
Recently, XTB launched the Investment Plans product, which allows users to diversify their portfolios with ETFs and offers competitive interest rates on uninvested funds. The platform also provides advanced tools for market analysis and educational material to enhance investors’ skills, along with multilingual customer support available 24 hours a day, five days a week.
Regulation and International Presence
XTB shares are listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange and the company is regulated by international authorities. The presence of offices in various European countries, including Italy, the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, and France, demonstrates the intention to bring an increasingly wider audience closer to the world of digital investments.
A Future to Build: Education and Trust
The snapshot taken by the YouGov research for XTB reveals an Italy still hesitant to invest, hindered by fears, distrust, and a very high perception of risk. However, there is also a segment of the population that could be engaged through better information and more transparent and reliable advice. The challenge for the financial sector and fintech companies like XTB will be to build trust, promote financial education, and make investment tools accessible and understandable for everyone.
Only in this way will it be possible to transform wealth management into a lever for personal and collective growth, overcoming that “cultural lag” that still today separates many Italians from the opportunities offered by financial markets.
Ethereum Price under pressure as oversold daily chart clashes with vulnerable intraday bounces
While crypto markets remain defensive, the Ethereum price is attempting a short-term rebound inside a broader downtrend that still dominates the bigger picture.
ETH/USDT daily chart with EMA20, EMA50 and volume” loading=”lazy” />ETH/USDT — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Market Thesis: Heavy Daily Downtrend vs Intraday Relief
Ethereum price against USDT is trading around $1,960, deep inside a mature downtrend. The key point right now: the daily structure is clearly bearish, but short-term timeframes are trying to stage a rebound. This is classic bear-market action — violent countertrend bounces inside a broader down-leg.
This moment matters because the daily chart is now oversold while macro crypto sentiment is at Extreme Fear (9) and BTC dominance is high at about 56.6%. In other words, the market is defensive, capital is hiding in Bitcoin and stablecoins, and Ethereum is being de-risked. The big question: does this oversold backdrop trigger a tradable mean-reversion rally, or is it just a pause before another leg lower?
Daily Timeframe (D1): Dominant Bias is Bearish
On the daily chart, the bias is unambiguously bearish. Trend, momentum, and volatility all line up to show a market that has been under steady selling pressure, now approaching exhaustion but not yet showing a proper trend reversal.
EMAs (Trend Structure)
Daily price is at $1,962, well below all key moving averages:
EMA 20: $2,291.05
EMA 50: $2,651.67
EMA 200: $3,088.74
All three EMAs are stacked bearishly above price, with a wide gap from the 200-day. This is a mature downtrend where rallies have plenty of overhead resistance. It tells you the path of least resistance is still down, and any bounce into the 20-day EMA would be a test of the sellers resolve rather than proof of a new bull leg.
RSI (Momentum)
RSI 14 (Daily): 29.62
Daily RSI has slipped below 30, which means the move is now technically oversold. This aligns with how washed-out the chart looks. In practical terms, it often precedes a bounce or consolidation. However, in a strong downtrend oversold can stay oversold longer than people expect. So the bears are in control, but they are getting extended.
The MACD line is below the signal, deep in negative territory, with a small negative histogram. The trend downside momentum is still there, but the histogram being relatively modest suggests the selling impulse may be slowing rather than accelerating. That fits with the idea of a tired downtrend, not a fresh breakdown.
Bollinger Bands (Volatility & Positioning)
Middle Band (20 SMA proxy): $2,340.59 | Upper: $3,116.33 | Lower: $1,564.84
Price is trading below the middle band and relatively closer to the lower band, well under the midline at $2,340. The bands themselves are wide, reflecting elevated volatility. Being on the lower half of the bands confirms a pressure zone where sellers have dominated. However, the distance to the lower band also means the immediate crash risk is slightly less acute than if price were pinned to the band.
ATR (Volatility)
ATR 14 (Daily): $206.86
Daily ATR above $200 on a roughly $2,000 asset is sizeable. Swings of around 10% in either direction are on the table in short order. This is not a quiet grind; it is a high-volatility downtrend where both squeezes and flushes can be violent. Position sizing matters here more than usual.
Daily Pivot Levels (Reference Levels)
Daily pivot levels are:
Pivot Point (PP): $1,952.04
R1: $1,979.36
S1: $1,934.82
Ethereum is hovering almost exactly at the daily pivot around $1,952–$1,962. Trading near the pivot after a selloff often indicates a short-term pause or an area where intraday traders are fighting for control. A push and hold above R1 would signal intraday buyers taking the upper hand. A decisive move under S1 would show the downtrend reasserting itself.
1-Hour Chart (H1): Short-Term Relief Rally Inside a Bearish Context
The 1-hour timeframe is trying to stabilize after the dump. The system flags the regime as neutral, which makes sense: we are seeing a short-term bounce but nothing structurally bullish yet.
EMAs (Intraday Trend)
On H1:
Price: $1,960.64
EMA 20: $1,947.95 (price slightly above)
EMA 50: $1,960.17 (price right on it)
EMA 200: $2,046.70 (well above)
Price reclaiming and hovering around the 20- and 50-hour EMAs is a sign of a short-term stabilization or relief rally. However, the 200-hour EMA remains far overhead near $2,047, marking the boundary of the larger downtrend on this timeframe. Intraday bulls have room to push higher without touching the higher-timeframe downtrend line in the sand.
RSI (Intraday Momentum)
RSI 14 (H1): 54.64
Hourly RSI is slightly above neutral, reflecting modest bullish momentum after the prior drop. This looks more like a countertrend bounce than an aggressive new buying cycle. Momentum is improving, but not euphoric.
The MACD line is below zero but has crossed above the signal with a positive histogram. That is a classic short-term bullish cross inside a broader bearish field. Sellers are backing off, and short-term traders are trying to pick the lows. Nevertheless, as long as MACD stays below zero, the bounce is still technically against the dominant trend.
Price is near the upper band at around $1,960–$1,969. That shows the bounce has pushed Ethereum to the top of its recent intraday range. Often, hugging the upper band on the 1-hour can lead to either a continuation grind higher or a fade back to the mean. In a bearish higher-timeframe regime, these upper-band tags tend to be selling opportunities for swing traders.
ATR & Pivot (H1 Micro-Range)
ATR 14 (H1): $16.64
An intraday ATR of around $16 suggests typical 1-hour bars have meaningful range but are manageable compared to the daily swings. For traders, that is enough volatility for opportunity without being totally chaotic.
Hourly pivot levels are:
PP: $1,962.20
R1: $1,967.70
S1: $1,955.14
Price is basically sitting on the hourly pivot and just under R1. Holding above $1,955 and breaking cleanly above $1,968 would cement the intraday bounce. Losing $1,955 and then $1,945–$1,935 opens the door for another downside rotation.
15-Minute Chart (M15): Execution Context
The 15-minute chart is there for timing, not for macro bias. It currently shows a more energetic push higher, in line with the H1 bounce.
EMAs (Micro-Structure)
On M15:
Price: $1,960.65
EMA 20: $1,951.29
EMA 50: $1,946.58
EMA 200: $1,956.66
Price is above all three EMAs, and the shorter EMAs are tilting upward. This is a short-term uptrend inside the broader intraday and daily downtrend. For scalpers and day traders, dips toward the 15-minute 20 EMA are currently being defended. However, this can flip quickly if the higher-timeframe selling resumes.
RSI & MACD (Short-Term Momentum)
RSI 14 (M15): 61.27
RSI on the 15-minute is above 60, reflecting healthy short-term buying pressure. It is not yet at a blow-off level, but you are firmly in bounce mode rather than bottom-fishing.
MACD Line: 5.20 | Signal: 3.59 | Histogram: 1.61
The MACD on M15 is positive and above its signal with a green histogram — momentum is plainly up in the very short term. This is the timeframe where the bounce looks the strongest, which is precisely why it is dangerous to extrapolate it without respecting the daily downtrend.
Price is near the upper band again, mirroring the H1 picture. Short-term buyers have pushed ETH to the top of its micro-range. That is often where late longs chase and more patient players start trimming or fading.
15-minute pivot levels:
PP: $1,960.17
R1: $1,963.64
S1: $1,957.18
With price sitting on the 15-minute pivot, micro-structure is finely balanced. A pop through $1,964 could extend toward the Bollinger upper band zone. A break back below $1,957 would hint that the micro-bounce is losing steam.
Broader Market & Sentiment Context
The wider crypto backdrop is not friendly to Ethereum right now:
BTC dominance: ~56.6% — capital is crowding into Bitcoin, not ETH.
Total market cap 24h change: -1.31% — broad risk-off tone.
Fear & Greed Index: 9 (Extreme Fear) — risk appetite is extremely low.
Recent news headlines talk about crypto gloom, ETF outflows from Bitcoin and Ether, and risk-off behavior. That lines up cleanly with what the charts are saying: this is a defensive environment where rallies are being sold, not chased.
Scenarios for Ethereum Price
Main Scenario (Based on D1): Bearish with Oversold Risk of Sharp Bounces
The dominant scenario remains bearish as defined by the daily chart: price well below all major EMAs, negative MACD, and an oversold RSI. The key nuance: we are in the late stage of this down-leg, where sharp countertrend rallies become more likely, but, by default, they are still rallies to sell rather than a new uptrend.
Bullish Scenario
For the bullish case, Ethereum needs to turn this oversold backdrop into a sustained mean-reversion move:
Step 1: Hold above the daily pivot (around $1,952) and build a base above $1,930–1,940. Losing that band cleanly keeps control in bearish hands.
Step 2: Use the intraday strength (H1 and M15 up-momentum) to break and hold above the short-term resistance cluster around $1,980–2,000 (near intraday R1s and upper Bollinger areas).
Step 3: Extend toward the daily 20 EMA around $2,290. That is the first serious test of whether sellers are willing to reload. A strong push toward this level with RSI climbing back toward 45–50 on the daily would mark a genuine corrective rally.
What invalidates the bullish scenario? If ETH fails to hold above roughly $1,930, and especially if it closes a daily candle well below the daily pivot and S1, the notion of a sustained bounce weakens. A fresh breakdown with daily RSI staying stuck below 30 would show that the market is not ready to mean-revert yet.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish path assumes this intraday bounce is a classic dead-cat rally inside a strong downtrend:
Ethereum price struggles to hold above $1,960–1,980 and fails to reclaim the $2,000 handle with conviction.
Intraday indicators (H1 and M15 RSI/MACD) roll over from their current mildly overbought levels while daily RSI stays oversold, pointing to another leg lower.
Price breaks below $1,930–1,940 support and drives toward the lower daily Bollinger region, with room down toward the mid-$1,600s if selling accelerates again.
What invalidates the bearish scenario? A decisive reclaim of the $2,050–2,100 area, where the H1 200 EMA currently sits, would be the first serious red flag for bears. If price can push above that zone and daily RSI recovers above 40 with MACD downside momentum fading further, the argument for a simple continuation down becomes much weaker. The real structural win for bulls would be a sustained reclaim of the daily 20 EMA near $2,290; until that happens, the bearish thesis remains structurally intact.
Positioning, Risk, and Uncertainty
Across timeframes, the message is clear: daily is bearish and oversold, while intraday is trying to bounce. That tension is where traders usually get chopped up. They may chase short-term green candles into a bigger downtrend, or short into the hole right before a squeeze.
In an environment with elevated daily ATR, extreme fear sentiment, negative news flow, and ETH sitting well below its key EMAs, position sizing and timeframe discipline matter more than directional conviction. Short-term traders might work with the M15 and H1 uptrend for tactical longs, but they are trading against the daily bias and need to be quick. Swing traders leaning with the daily bear trend will often look to fade strength into resistance zones rather than sell every low.
Nothing on this chart rules out a brutal short squeeze higher or a further capitulation leg lower; both fit inside the current volatility regime. The only thing the market is clearly saying is that we are in a defensive phase for Ethereum, and any exposure should be sized with the understanding that the Ethereum price can move hundreds of dollars in very little time.
Short-Term Stabilization and Extreme Fear Shape Bitcoin Crypto Today Around $67K
The market is caught between deep fear and short-term stabilization as Bitcoin crypto today trades near key pivot levels with volatility still elevated.
BTC/USDT — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Daily Timeframe (D1): Macro Bias – Bearish With Early Stabilization Attempts
Price is trading far below the 20, 50, and 200 EMAs. The entire moving-average stack is above spot, sloping down. That is a classic, well-established downtrend: rallies into the low-70Ks would still be considered bounces within a bearish structure, not a trend reversal. In plain terms, the market has a lot of overhead supply to chew through before bulls can talk about a real recovery.
Momentum – RSI (14)
RSI (14): 31.14
Daily RSI is hovering just above oversold territory. Momentum is still negative, but it is not in full capitulation mode anymore. Sellers have clearly dominated the recent move, yet they are no longer pressing price relentlessly to new lows. That opens the door for a reflexive bounce, but it does not guarantee one. This can sit near 30 for a while in entrenched downtrends.
Momentum – MACD
MACD line: -5,814.24 Signal line: -5,279.06 Histogram: -535.18
The MACD is deeply negative with the line still below the signal. The histogram is also negative, showing bearish momentum remains in place. The good news for bulls is that the histogram’s size suggests the downside impulse is no longer accelerating aggressively. However, we are not seeing a clean bullish cross yet. The trend is still down; the bleeding is just slowing rather than reversing.
Price at about $67K is parked in the lower half of the band, well below the midline. The bands are wide after the sharp selloff, confirming we are in a high-volatility environment. Trading this means accepting bigger intraday swings and the risk of sharp squeezes both ways. Being stuck under the middle band reinforces the bearish bias: the market is still living in the lower volatility regime of its recent range.
Volatility – ATR (14)
ATR (14): $5,200.43
A daily ATR over $5K signals very wide average daily ranges. Position sizing is critical here; small leverage can be wiped out quickly. Moreover, for directional traders, this volatility is opportunity, but it also means that stops need more room and you must be prepared for $3–6K swings without overreacting.
Key Daily Levels – Pivot
Pivot point (PP): $66,659.30 First resistance (R1): $67,446.15 First support (S1): $66,218.64
Price is hovering slightly above the daily pivot and just under R1. That tells you today’s session is tilting mildly constructive intraday but still trapped in a tight, indecisive band. As long as BTC holds above the pivot on a daily closing basis, the market is trying to carve out a short-term base. Lose the pivot decisively, and the next leg down opens up.
D1 Takeaway: The main scenario on the daily is bearish. The trend is down, momentum is weak, and volatility is elevated. The only silver lining is that some indicators are no longer accelerating to the downside, which often precedes a relief rally. However, that would be a countertrend move until major EMAs are reclaimed.
Hourly Timeframe (H1): Short-Term Relief Inside a Bear Market
On the 1H chart, price is sandwiched between the 20 and 50 EMAs and still well below the 200 EMA. That is a short-term neutral to mildly constructive setup within a larger downtrend. The market has stopped trending straight down intraday and is trying to build a sideways-to-up consolidation. However, the 200 EMA near $69K remains a clear cap. Any push there will test how aggressive sellers still are.
Momentum – RSI (14)
RSI (14): 54.42
Hourly RSI has recovered to the middle range. This reflects modest buying pressure after the selloff, but nothing euphoric or overstretched. Dip-buyers have stepped in enough to stop the bleeding on low timeframes, yet there is no strong momentum trend up or down right now. It is more of a rebalancing phase.
Momentum – MACD
MACD line: -84.07 Signal line: -213.37 Histogram: +129.30
The MACD line is still below zero but has crossed above the signal, and the histogram is positive. That is the footprint of a short-term bullish momentum swing inside an overall weak backdrop. Sellers are losing some control intraday, allowing for a corrective move higher or at least a range-bound pause after the aggressive drop.
BTC is trading near the upper half of the hourly bands, nudging closer to the upper band. That typically reflects a relief phase where price grinds higher or holds firm after a selloff. Until price starts closing above the upper band repeatedly, this is more consistent with a controlled bounce rather than runaway upside.
Volatility – ATR (14)
ATR (14): $468.04
Hourly ATR around $450–500 points to decent but not extreme intraday ranges. For short-term traders, this is active but tradable volatility. You can structure intraday trades without needing absurdly wide stops, though you still need some breathing room.
Key Hourly Levels – Pivot
Pivot point (PP): $66,959.40 First resistance (R1): $67,118.81 First support (S1): $66,818.84
Price is sitting almost exactly on the hourly pivot. That is the definition of a balance zone: neither bulls nor bears have real intraday dominance at this moment. A sustained push and hold above R1 would confirm the ongoing intraday relief. A failure that drifts back under S1 would signal that sellers are regaining short-term traction.
H1 Takeaway: The hourly chart is neutral-to-mildly-bullish within a macro downtrend. It shows stabilization and a potential bounce phase, but nothing here yet challenges the daily bearish structure.
15-Minute Timeframe (M15): Execution Context – Short-Term Buyers in Control
On the 15-minute chart, price is above the 20 and 50 EMAs and roughly in line with the 200 EMA. Short-term, buyers are clearly active and have the micro-trend tilting upward. The fact that price is testing around the 200 EMA shows we are at a decision point for scalpers. Either we continue to build a higher intraday base above it, or we slip back under and return to chop.
Momentum – RSI (14)
RSI (14): 65.67
RSI on the 15m is pushing into the upper range but not yet at extreme levels. Momentum is clearly favoring the upside for now on this timeframe. For very short-term traders, this means chasing here has less edge; the better entries came earlier in the move. For swing traders, this is just noise inside the larger daily downtrend.
Momentum – MACD
MACD line: 163.57 Signal line: 107.51 Histogram: 56.06
The MACD on the 15m is positive and above the signal with a positive histogram. Short-term momentum buyers are in control of the tape right now. This supports the idea of an intraday rally or consolidation at higher levels rather than immediate breakdown, aligning with the hourly picture of short-term relief.
Price is hugging the upper half of the 15m bands, close to the upper band. That is what you typically see during intraday up-legs or squeezes. It is constructive for short-term longs, but it also means the market is starting to get crowded in the very near term. Small pullbacks are likely as late buyers pile in.
Volatility – ATR (14)
ATR (14): $230.33
Fifteen-minute ATR a bit above $200 is consistent with actively trading conditions. Short-term swings are meaningful enough to matter for scalps, but not chaotic. It is a workable environment for tactical entries and exits.
Key 15m Levels – Pivot
Pivot point (PP): $66,960.50 First resistance (R1): $67,080.61 First support (S1): $66,866.66
Price is just above the 15m pivot and pressing toward R1. Microstructure favors the long side for the moment: as long as we hold above the pivot, dips are being bought on this timeframe. A clean break below S1 would show the short-term push running out of steam.
M15 Takeaway: Short-term buyers control the very near-term action, but they are trading against a dominant daily downtrend. This is good for tactical plays, not a standalone reason for a long-term bullish stance.
Market Context: Dominance, Sentiment, and DeFi Activity
• Bitcoin dominance: 56.6% • Total crypto market cap: about $2.37T (down 1.3% over 24h) • Fear & Greed Index: 9 – Extreme Fear
BTC dominance above 56% tells you capital is hiding in Bitcoin relative to alts, which is classic risk-off behavior inside crypto. Investors are reducing speculative bets and clustering in the perceived safer end of the spectrum, or exiting the market outright. The drop in total market cap and a roughly 9% slump in volume over 24 hours reinforce the idea that new money is not rushing in yet. This is still a defensive tape.
Extreme fear at 9 is rare and tends to cluster around important medium-term inflection points. Historically, such readings have often coincided with late-stage selloffs or accumulation zones for patient capital. That said, extreme fear by itself does not mean the low is in. It means the market is fragile and one more shock can still trigger forced selling.
On the DeFi side, fees on major DEXes like Uniswap V3 and Curve are sharply down on the day and even more so over the week, which points to lower speculative trading and leverage unwinds. The market is de-risking across the stack, not just on centralized exchanges. This reinforces the macro view: speculative appetite is muted, and liquidity is thinner.
Recent news headlines are also leaning negative: a crypto lender (BlockFills) suspending withdrawals, narratives around Bitcoin’s large drawdown and weekend risk, and commentary that the age of speculation may be ending. This kind of news flow tends to accelerate capitulation, but once it is fully priced in, it can also mark the zone where bad news stops pushing price much lower.
Putting It All Together: Conflicting Timeframes, One Dominant Trend
Here is the key tension: the daily trend is clearly bearish, while the hourly and 15-minute charts show a short-term recovery. That is exactly how bear markets breathe. They feature violent legs down followed by sharp but fragile bounces.
The daily EMAs and MACD frame a strong downtrend with heavy overhead resistance.
The hourly MACD and RSI show that sellers are backing off intraday and allowing a relief phase.
The 15m indicators confirm that short-term momentum is up, likely driven by short covering and tactical dip-buying.
Extreme fear and high ATR tell you volatility is high and positioning is stressed, which is fertile ground for both sharp squeezes and further flushes.
The net result: macro bias is bearish, microstructure is stabilizing. Short-term longs may work tactically, but they are swimming against the prevailing current.
Clear Scenarios for Bitcoin Crypto Today
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case, today’s stabilization near the daily pivot evolves into a more meaningful relief rally.
What supports this:
• Daily RSI near 30 has room to push higher on a mean-reversion bounce. • Hourly MACD has already flipped positive on the histogram, and 15m momentum is firmly to the upside. • Price is sitting above intraday pivots (H1 and M15), and short-term EMAs are starting to provide support below spot.
In this scenario, BTC would:
• Hold above the daily pivot at roughly $66.6K and convert that zone into a short-term floor. • Push through immediate intraday resistances (R1s on 15m and 1h) and challenge the 200-EMA on the hourly around the high-$60Ks to about $69K. • Potentially extend toward the 20-day EMA in the mid-$70Ks on a stronger squeeze, where heavy supply is likely to show up again.
What would invalidate the bullish scenario: A decisive break and daily close back under about $66K, especially if accompanied by rising daily volume and a fresh rollover in the hourly MACD. That would indicate the bounce was just short covering and that the dominant downtrend is ready for another leg lower.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case is that the current relief attempt stalls under nearby resistance and the higher timeframe downtrend reasserts itself.
What supports this:
• Price is far below the 20, 50, and 200 EMAs on the daily, leaving a wide air pocket above that typically attracts selling on rallies. • Daily MACD remains deeply negative with no confirmed turn, consistent with a prevailing bear trend rather than a bottoming structure. • Extreme fear, de-risking in DeFi, and negative news flow indicate broader risk-off, which can cap rallies.
In this scenario, BTC would:
• Fail to hold above the hourly and 15m pivots, slipping back below roughly $66.8K and then the daily pivot near $66.6K. • See the hourly MACD roll back over while RSI fails to push much beyond the mid-50s, signaling that buyers are exhausted even at depressed levels. • Retest and potentially break the lower daily Bollinger Band region toward the low-$60Ks to high-$50Ks, in line with the band’s lower boundary around about $59K.
What would invalidate the bearish scenario: A sustained reclaim of the 20-day EMA (mid-$70Ks) with daily closes above it, accompanied by an upturn in the daily MACD, or at least a bullish cross, and RSI moving back into neutral-to-positive territory (40s–50s). That would signal a genuine shift from trend continuation to early trend reversal.
Positioning, Risk, and How to Think About This Tape
For traders and investors looking at Bitcoin crypto today, the message from the chart is not subtle. The path of least resistance on the daily is still down, but we are entering a zone where both sharp squeezes and sharp flushes are on the menu.
Daily ATR above $5K and hourly ATR near $500 mean volatility is elevated across timeframes. Position size and leverage need to be aligned with that reality. In a market with extreme fear and a damaged daily structure, rallies can be fast, and reversals can be brutal.
The multi-timeframe picture gives a simple framework:
• The daily tells you not to trust countertrend euphoria: until major EMAs are reclaimed, bounces are guilty until proven otherwise. • The hourly and 15m show where the relief legs and intraday opportunities are, but they are operating inside a broader downtrend.
Short-term participants can work with the intraday pivots and EMAs, treating current strength as a tactical window, not as confirmation of a new bull phase. Longer-horizon participants may see extreme fear and heavy discounts from the highs as the early stages of an accumulation window, but the structural risk of lower lows is still on the table.
In this kind of tape, the edge comes less from predicting the exact bottom and more from respecting the volatility, the higher-timeframe trend, and the fact that sentiment is fragile. Until the daily chart repairs itself, Bitcoin remains in a bear-controlled environment with intermittent, tradable bounces, not yet in a confirmed recovery.
Solana Price Under Pressure: Is $80 a Bear-Market Bounce or the Start of a Base?
In a market dominated by risk aversion, Solana price action around $80 is unfolding against a backdrop of extreme fear and heavy pressure on altcoins.
SOL/USDT daily chart with EMA20, EMA50 and volume” loading=”lazy” />SOL/USDT — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Dominant Scenario from the Daily Chart: Still Bearish
The daily timeframe (D1) defines the main bias, and here the message is clear: the primary scenario is bearish.
Daily close: $80.16
Daily trend regime: bearish
Market backdrop: total market cap down ~1.3% in 24h, extreme fear, BTC dominance high
In plain language, Solana is trading as a weak altcoin in a risk-off crypto tape. Dips can bounce, but the burden of proof is on the bulls to reclaim lost levels. For now, rallies are more likely to be sold than extended.
Daily Indicators: Structure, Momentum, and Volatility
The EMAs are stacked in a classic downtrend configuration: price < 20 < 50 < 200. The gap between spot and the 20-day EMA is huge, more than $16, which shows how aggressively price recently detached to the downside. That sort of distance cannot stay that stretched forever. Either the trend continues with grinding lower lows while EMAs catch down, or there is a mean-reversion bounce toward the 20-day.
In practice, $96–100 (around the 20-day EMA and daily Bollinger mid) is now the first serious gravity zone above. As long as SOL is trapped beneath that band, the higher timeframe trend remains firmly against the bulls.
RSI (14) – Oversold but Not Yet Repaired
Daily RSI 14: 27.86
Daily RSI is sitting under 30, firmly in oversold territory. That often signals two things simultaneously: selling has been heavy, and the easy part of the short trade may be behind us. However, oversold alone does not mean bottom. Markets can stay oversold in persistent downtrends.
Right now, this setup says the downtrend is stretched, so countertrend bounces are increasingly likely, but the RSI has not started a convincing rebound yet. Bulls need to push RSI back above the low 30s and then 40+ to argue that momentum is actually turning, not just pausing.
MACD – Bear Momentum Still in Control
MACD line: -12.76
Signal line: -11.63
Histogram: -1.13
MACD is deeply negative, with the line below the signal and a negative histogram. The bearish impulse is not as explosive as it would be with a sharply widening histogram, but the market is clearly still in the bear momentum phase, not yet in a momentum reset.
For a sustainable bullish story, you would want to see the histogram move toward zero and eventually flip positive, ideally while price is reclaiming that $96–100 zone. Until then, the MACD confirms that the daily trend is still down, despite the oversold reading on RSI.
Bollinger Bands – Trading in the Lower Half, Not Free-Fall
Middle band (20-day basis): $99.00
Upper band: $132.92
Lower band: $65.08
Price: $80.16
SOL is trading below the middle band and closer to the lower band, but not pinned to it. That usually signals a controlled downtrend rather than panic liquidation. Price already spent time moving toward the lower band. Now it is hovering above it, suggesting selling pressure has cooled a bit, but the bias remains down.
The space between $80 and the lower band around $65 is important. If price starts riding that lower band again, it opens the door for another leg lower toward the mid-60s. A move back toward the middle band near $99 would be a typical mean-reversion path if buyers step in with conviction.
ATR (14) – Elevated but Not Extreme Volatility
Daily ATR 14: $9.5
Daily ATR around $9.5 on an $80 asset means roughly 12% average daily range. That is elevated, but not absurd for Solana. Volatility is high enough that levels can be tested quickly, but the market is not in a blow-off or capitulation regime. For traders, it means wider stops are needed, and intraday noise can be brutal around key levels.
Daily Pivot Levels – Short-Term Reference Points
Pivot point (PP): $79.37
Resistance 1 (R1): $81.21
Support 1 (S1): $78.32
Price at $80.16 is sitting just above the daily pivot, with R1 nearby at $81.21. That is a very tight range relative to the daily ATR, so you should treat these levels as short-term intraday reference points rather than major structural zones.
Holding above $79–78 keeps the door open for a continued intraday bounce. A firm break below S1 on a closing basis would show that sellers are back pressing the tape, aiming toward the mid-70s or even that lower Bollinger band in the mid-60s over time.
On the 1-hour chart, SOL is edging back into a short-term recovery.
Price is trading above the 20-hour EMA and hugging the 50-hour EMA. That combination typically marks a nascent bounce inside a larger downtrend. The 200-hour EMA at $85.31 hangs overhead as the first serious intraday trend barrier. That is where you would expect sellers to lean in if the bounce continues.
RSI around 57 shows intraday momentum has shifted from oversold to mildly bullish. It is not overheated, so there is room for continuation if buyers stay active. MACD on H1 has just turned positive on the histogram with the line curling up toward the signal, early but real evidence of a short-term momentum recovery.
Bollinger Bands on H1 put price near the upper band at $80.35, which often coincides with a local pause or consolidation during a bounce. ATR of $0.8 tells you the average hourly range is modest. The market is not in a violent squeeze but in a controlled rebound.
The intraday pivot around $80.12 is effectively being tested in real time. Holding above that intraday pivot and then above R1 ($80.48) would signal that buyers are gradually gaining the upper hand on short timeframes, at least for a push toward $82–84 where prior supply may sit.
The 15-minute chart is short-term bullish within that bigger bearish context. Price is above all key EMAs, including the 200-period at $79.96, forming a small intraday uptrend. RSI near 66 shows strong, but not extreme, short-term buying pressure.
MACD is positive, and the histogram is slightly above zero, confirming that the microstructure favors the upside right now. Price near the upper 15-minute Bollinger Band and the pivot at $80.20 shows that the market is in a local resistance pocket. Intraday traders will be watching whether SOL can hold $80 on pullbacks. If it does, dips will likely be bought for continuation.
How the Timeframes Fit Together
There is a clear tension between timeframes:
Daily: Strongly bearish trend, oversold momentum, still negative MACD.
1-Hour: Neutral regime shifting toward a short-term bounce, improving MACD, RSI back in the 50s.
15-Minute: Short-term uptrend, momentum bullish, price above all key EMAs.
The most likely interpretation is that the market is in a countertrend rally inside a dominant daily downtrend. Intraday players are leaning long off $79–80, but swing traders will see this as a potential shorting opportunity into resistance zones, unless price can start reclaiming much higher levels.
Solana Price – Bullish Scenario
Given the daily oversold RSI and early signs of stabilization on intraday charts, a bullish mean-reversion scenario is on the table, but it is working against the higher timeframe trend.
What Bulls Want to See
First, SOL needs to defend the $78–80 area, which aligns with the daily pivot and intraday support bands. As long as pullbacks get absorbed above that pocket, the intraday uptrend can mature.
Next, intraday structure would need to push toward and then through the H1 200-EMA around $85.31. A strong move and hold above $85, with H1 RSI staying healthy (50–60+) and MACD firmly positive, would signal that this is not just noise but a genuine short-term trend reversal.
From there, the real battleground is the $96–100 zone, where the daily 20-EMA and Bollinger midline sit. A rally into that region would be a standard mean-reversion target after a severe selloff. If bulls can establish acceptance above $100 on daily closes, meaning not just a wick but sustained trade, the case strengthens for a more durable bottom and a potential medium-term trend shift.
What Would Invalidate the Bullish Case
The bullish rebound thesis weakens quickly if SOL loses $78 on strong volume and starts closing daily candles below that level. In that scenario, the attempted base at $79–80 has failed, and the downtrend is reasserting itself.
From a momentum standpoint, a failure of H1 RSI back under 40 with MACD rolling over from just above zero would show that the bounce has run out of steam. If this happens while price remains well below $85, the market is signaling that sellers are happy to re-engage on relatively shallow rallies.
Solana Price – Bearish Scenario
The higher timeframe already leans bearish, so the question is not whether the trend is down, but whether the downtrend has another leg. The daily EMAs stacked overhead, negative MACD, and market-wide risk-off mood all argue that it does, unless bulls can reclaim lost ground aggressively.
How a Fresh Leg Lower Could Unfold
In the bearish continuation path, the current intraday bounce stalls below the $85 area (H1 200-EMA) or even sooner. Price chops around $80–83, liquidity builds, and once buying interest dries up, sellers push SOL back below the daily pivot and S1 support cluster $79–78.
If daily RSI remains stuck below 35 and MACD stays deep in negative territory, any attempt to rally becomes suspect. A decisive daily close below $78 opens the window toward the lower Bollinger band near $65, which lines up as the next technical magnet during a volatility expansion lower.
In such a move, volatility (ATR) could tick higher, and the market might enter a short, sharp flush, especially with overall sentiment at extreme fear and BTC dominance elevated, which often forces weaker alts to underperform.
What Would Invalidate the Bearish Case
For bears, alarm bells ring if SOL reclaims and holds above $100 on the daily chart. That would mean price has broken back above the 20-day EMA and Bollinger midline, effectively challenging the integrity of the current downtrend.
On top of that, you would want to see daily RSI pushing back above 45–50 and MACD flattening and crossing upward. That combination would show that the previous selloff has fully digested and the path of least resistance is no longer clearly down.
Positioning, Risk, and How to Think About This Tape
Right now, Solana sits in an awkward zone: macro trend is down, micro trend is bouncing. That is precisely the kind of environment where traders get chopped up by overconfidence on either side.
For trend followers, the clean read is that SOL remains in a bearish regime on the daily timeframe. Until the price can trade back above $96–100 and stay there, rallies are structurally countertrend. Short setups against major resistance, like the H1 200-EMA or the daily 20-EMA, will continue to appeal to systematic players.
For mean-reversion and shorter-term traders, oversold daily RSI and improving intraday momentum provide a tactical window to play bounces. However, the key is to respect that the strategy is trading against the larger wave. Tight risk management and clear invalidation levels, such as a break below $78, become non-negotiable.
Volatility is high enough that levels can be overshot in both directions, especially with the entire market sitting in extreme fear and BTC dominance elevated. Expect whipsaws around intraday pivots and be careful extrapolating 15-minute strength into multi-day conviction without confirmation from the daily chart. In short, Solana price is in a bearish regime with a live countertrend bounce, and the next major directional cue will likely come from how price behaves around $78 on the downside and $85–100 on the upside.
Prețul Ripple: XRPUSDT testează suportul cheie în timp ce frica domină piața crypto
Piața crypto mai largă se află într-o frică extremă, în timp ce prețul Ripple se apropie de suportul local, cu XRPUSDT încercând să se stabilizeze după o tendință descendentă prelungită.
XRP/USDT — grafic zilnic cu lumânări, EMA20/EMA50 și volum.
Grafic zilnic (D1): Bias macro – Bearish, dar aproape de un potențial suport.
Scenariul principal din graficul zilnic este bearish. XRPUSDT este într-o tendință descendentă, tranzacționându-se sub toate mediile mobile majore și sub linia de mijloc Bollinger, cu momentul încă slab. Cu toate acestea, prețul plutește ușor deasupra benzii inferioare Bollinger și aproape de pivotul zilnic, sugerând că ne aflăm mai aproape de faza târzie a actualei mișcări descendente decât de mijlocul acesteia.
Cardano price today: ADA sitting at support in a tired downtrend
Markets are in a fragile spot, and Cardano price today reflects a tired but still dominant bearish structure pressing against a key support level.
ADA/USDT daily chart with EMA20, EMA50 and volume” loading=”lazy” />ADA/USDT — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Cardano price today: where ADA stands
Cardano (ADA) is trading around $0.26 against USDT today. On the daily chart, ADA is clearly in a broad downtrend, trading well below all key moving averages. However, in the short term, the market is trying to stabilize around this $0.26 area, with intraday timeframes showing a pause, not a reversal, in selling pressure.
This moment matters because it looks like a classic late-stage downtrend: sentiment across crypto is in Extreme Fear (fear & greed index at 9), total market cap is slipping (-1.3% in 24h), and BTC dominance is high around 56.6%. Risk appetite is low, and ADA, as a high beta alt, is feeling it. The key question here is whether $0.26 holds as a base for a bounce, or whether the broader bearish regime simply grinds it lower.
On balance, the main scenario from the daily timeframe is bearish. Lower prices remain the path of least resistance unless buyers can reclaim key levels above $0.29–0.30.
Daily timeframe (D1): macro bias is still bearish
Trend & moving averages (EMA20 / EMA50 / EMA200) – Price: $0.26 – EMA 20: $0.29 – EMA 50: $0.34 – EMA 200: $0.51
ADA is trading below the 20, 50 and 200-day EMAs, with a wide gap to the 200-day at $0.51. That is a textbook bearish structure, with shorter EMAs stacked under longer ones and price pinned at the bottom.
In plain terms: the trend is down, and any rally toward $0.29–0.34 is, for now, more likely a bounce within a downtrend than the start of a new bull leg.
RSI (14-day): 34.9 RSI is sitting just under 35, below the midpoint but not deeply oversold.
That tells you bears are in control, but the market is not fully washed out yet. There is room for another leg lower before you get the kind of capitulation-style reading that often precedes a bigger bounce.
MACD is flat and overlapping the signal line around the same negative value, with essentially no histogram.
This is what trend exhaustion looks like: momentum is still on the bearish side, but the push lower is losing energy. It is more of a slow bleed than an aggressive selloff right now.
ADA is trading in the lower half of the band range, but not hugging the lower band.
That fits the picture of a controlled downtrend rather than panic selling. Sellers are dominant, but they are not dumping at any price. Pressure is consistent, not climactic.
ATR (14-day): $0.02 Average daily range is around two cents at this price level.
Volatility is modest. We are not in a high-volatility capitulation phase. Instead, price is sliding in a relatively orderly fashion. That makes sudden multi-day trend changes less likely without a clear catalyst.
Daily pivot levels – Pivot point (PP): $0.26 – Resistance 1 (R1): $0.27 – Support 1 (S1): $0.26 (very tight cluster around current price)
With price sitting right on the daily pivot, the market is balanced intraday around this level.
Think of $0.26 as the current battlefield. A sustained break above pushes the very short-term tone slightly constructive. A break and hold below would confirm sellers winning this local fight.
Overall, the daily chart says the dominant trend is down, momentum is weak but not reversing, and $0.26 is a fragile support area within a larger bearish regime.
Hourly timeframe (H1): stabilization, not a trend change
Trend & moving averages (H1) – Price: $0.26 – EMA 20: $0.26 – EMA 50: $0.26 – EMA 200: $0.27 – Regime: neutral
On the hourly chart, price, EMA20 and EMA50 are all glued around $0.26, with EMA200 just above at $0.27.
This is a classic consolidation after a move down. Sellers are no longer in full control intraday, but bulls have not seized the initiative either. It is a pause inside the larger downtrend.
RSI (H1): 54.3 RSI is slightly above 50.
Intraday, the pressure is marginally skewed toward buyers, but there is no strong momentum. It is more of a dead-cat or range-trading environment than a clear trend reversal.
Band compression like this often precedes a volatility expansion. In other words, the next move is likely to be sharper than the recent chop, but direction is still up for grabs.
ATR (H1): ~0 ATR on the hourly is effectively at zero in the data, reflecting extremely tight recent ranges.
Price is coiling. When hourly ATR starts to tick up from these levels, that is usually your hint that a directional move is underway.
15-minute timeframe (M15): short-term bullish bias, but only for execution
Trend & moving averages (M15) – Price: $0.26 – EMA 20 / 50 / 200: all around $0.26 – Regime: bullish
The 15-minute regime is flagged as bullish, but in reality all EMAs are clustered, similar to the hourly chart.
Microstructure is a bit more supportive of buyers. You likely have a slight upward tilt within a tight range, but this is noise relative to the bearish daily picture. It matters mainly for timing entries and exits, not for defining the main bias.
RSI (M15): 57.2 RSI leans to the upside but is far from extended.
Short-term scalpers are getting better entries on the long side for now, but this can flip quickly if $0.26 gives way.
MACD (M15): flat MACD line, signal and histogram are all basically zero.
There is no strong intraday follow-through in either direction. This is a holding pattern.
Bollinger Bands & ATR (M15) – Bands tight around $0.26–0.27 – ATR near zero
The very short-term tape is extremely compressed, which creates good conditions for sudden stop runs in either direction when liquidity thins.
Bullish and bearish scenarios for ADA from here
Dominant bias: Bearish (from the daily chart) The daily downtrend and positioning below all major EMAs keep the higher-timeframe bias bearish, despite the short-term consolidation.
Bullish scenario for Cardano
For bulls, the game is about turning this consolidation into a base.
Hold $0.26 support on the daily close.
Push back toward $0.29 (EMA20 / Bollinger mid) and reclaim it decisively.
See RSI lift back above 40–45 on the daily and MACD start to curl higher from negative territory.
If buyers manage that, the next upside magnets are:
First, the $0.29–0.30 zone, which is mean reversion to short-term fair value.
Next, a potential extension toward $0.34 (EMA50) if broader market risk appetite improves and crypto moves out of Extreme Fear.
What invalidates the bullish case? A clean break and daily close below $0.26, especially if RSI rolls back toward 30 and ATR starts to expand, would weaken the bull thesis significantly. That would confirm that this was not a base, just a pause before the next leg lower.
Bearish scenario for Cardano
The bearish scenario aligns with the current regime.
$0.26 fails as support with a decisive move lower.
Daily RSI drifts toward or below 30, and volatility (ATR) kicks up from current subdued levels.
Hourly structure breaks down, with price rejected from the $0.26 pivot and unable to trade back above it.
Under that path, price can rotate toward the lower Bollinger band area around $0.22 on the daily as the next logical downside zone. This would still fit within the broader Cardano price today bearish environment unless higher timeframes flip.
What invalidates the bearish case? If ADA can not only bounce from $0.26 but also hold above $0.29–0.30 on daily closes, pulling EMA20 flatter and lifting RSI away from the 30s, the argument for a persistent downtrend weakens. A strong reclaim of $0.34 (EMA50) would directly challenge the bearish structure.
Positioning, risk, and how to think about ADA here
This is a classic point in the cycle where longer-term trend and short-term structure disagree. The daily chart says the trend is down, but intraday charts show compression and mild bullish tilt. That tension often resolves in a sharp move once volatility returns.
Key takeaways for traders evaluating ADA today:
Trend vs. bounce: Any upside from here, at least initially, should be treated as a counter-trend move until ADA can reclaim $0.29–0.34 and hold it. The daily EMAs are still overhead and acting as dynamic resistance.
Volatility risk: Very low ATR on intraday timeframes means breakouts can be abrupt when they come. Tight consolidation at the end of a downtrend can deliver either a relief rally or an acceleration lower.
Macro backdrop: Extreme Fear and rising BTC dominance signal a risk-off crypto environment. In those conditions, altcoins like ADA tend to underperform unless there is a strong idiosyncratic catalyst.
In short, Cardano is trading in a market that is tired of selling but not yet willing to buy aggressively. The broader structure is still bearish, and until the daily chart proves otherwise, rallies are guilty until proven innocent. Managing position size, respecting the $0.26 pivot, and being prepared for a volatility expansion in either direction are more important here than trying to call the exact bottom.
Why the USDT stablecoin could challenge Bitcoin and Ethereum for crypto leadership
Analyst Mike McGlone has sparked new debate by suggesting the USDT stablecoin may one day overtake Bitcoin and Ethereum in overall crypto market influence.
Mike McGlone’s bold forecast on shifting crypto power
Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone has argued that the USDT token could ultimately eclipse both Bitcoin and Ethereum in market prominence. His view, shared in recent analysis, is not based on speculative rallies but on long-term structural forces shaping the digital asset industry.
According to McGlone, dollar-pegged digital assets are positioned to capture sustained demand as investors seek safety, liquidity, and easy global access. Moreover, he believes this preference for stability over volatility could gradually shift leadership away from classic crypto assets toward stable-value tokens.
Such an outcome would mark a historic change in a sector where Bitcoin and Ethereum have dominated since at least 2015. For more than a decade, these networks have defined crypto’s narrative around decentralization, scarcity, and innovation. However, if stable-value tokens rise above them, the definition of leadership in digital assets could be rewritten.
Why the USDT stablecoin keeps expanding worldwide
The USDT token is issued by Tether as a dollar-pegged digital asset designed to maintain a one-to-one value with the US dollar. This structure makes it fundamentally different from traditional cryptocurrencies that fluctuate freely in price.
Traders increasingly rely on USDT for day-to-day liquidity. During periods of extreme volatility, they park capital in the token rather than exiting exchanges entirely. Moreover, many trading platforms use it as a primary quote asset, pairing it with a wide range of cryptocurrencies to streamline pricing and settlement.
Cross-border users also lean on USDT to move value quickly across jurisdictions. Instead of depending on slow or expensive banking channels, they send tokenized dollars on-chain. That practical use in daily transactions continues to deepen stablecoin dominance within the crypto economy.
Unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, USDT does not depend on price appreciation to remain relevant. Its strength lies in transaction volume, settlement activity, and integration into financial applications. That said, as more participants use it as a transactional currency, its overall footprint naturally grows.
The shift from speculation to stability
For years, Bitcoin has been framed as digital gold, while Ethereum has served as a base layer for smart contracts and decentralized applications. These narratives helped fuel explosive bull markets. However, harsh drawdowns during each cycle have repeatedly highlighted their volatility.
During turbulent phases, investors frequently rotate capital into dollar-pegged tokens like USDT. This move allows them to stay inside the crypto ecosystem while sidestepping sharp price swings. Moreover, institutional players that require predictable settlement values often favor stable pricing over exposure to market risk.
In regions facing local currency instability, demand for digital dollars becomes even more evident. People increasingly use stable-value tokens as substitutes for physical cash or fragile domestic currencies. This behavioral shift supports McGlone’s thesis that structural demand for stability may ultimately outweigh speculative interest.
Could stablecoin dominance really surpass Bitcoin and Ethereum?
As of today, Bitcoin and Ethereum still command higher market capitalizations than the USDT token. However, market leadership in crypto has never been static. Each cycle has introduced new categories, from smart contract platforms to DeFi and non-fungible tokens, proving that hierarchy can change.
If stable tokens continue to capture a rising share of transaction volume and institutional workflows, their capitalization could expand substantially. Moreover, stablecoin dominance in trading pairs and settlement flows already signals growing structural importance beyond speculative phases.
On many days, USDT ranks among the highest traded digital assets by volume worldwide. Its liquidity routinely exceeds that of individual cryptocurrencies, including some large-cap tokens. These patterns show that users treat it less as an investment and more as core transactional infrastructure.
McGlone suggests that if global finance integrates digital dollars more deeply, the usdt stablecoin could become a primary gateway between traditional markets and blockchain-based systems. Governments are actively debating central bank digital currencies, while payment providers explore distributed ledger rails. Stable-value tokens sit at the intersection of these developments.
Crypto market trends reinforcing the stablecoin story
Several broader crypto market trends reinforce the strategic role of stable-value tokens. First, policymakers in multiple jurisdictions are increasingly focusing on frameworks for regulated dollar-pegged assets. This emerging stablecoins regulatory landscape often treats them as more predictable instruments compared with highly volatile tokens.
Regulatory progress, while uneven, tends to support institutions that want controlled exposure to digital assets. As rules clarify reserve management, transparency, and redemption rights, large investors may feel more comfortable using stable tokens for settlement and cash management.
Second, decentralized finance has embedded USDT and other stable-value assets into its core infrastructure. Lending protocols, derivatives platforms, and yield strategies frequently use them as collateral and base currency. Moreover, this integration creates persistent demand that is largely independent of speculative price cycles.
Third, global remittances and cross-border payments remain a powerful driver. Users in developing economies often prioritize instant access to US dollars over exposure to volatile crypto assets. In this context, USDT offers speed, accessibility, and a currency they already recognize. That functional advantage supports long-term adoption curves.
The broader implications for the digital asset economy
McGlone’s analysis highlights a deeper transition underway across digital markets. Crypto is slowly moving beyond its early focus on ideological decentralization and speculative trading. Instead, it is being woven into the fabric of traditional finance, from payments to capital markets infrastructure.
Stable-value tokens act as a practical bridge between these two worlds. They enable dollar-denominated transactions on public blockchains while remaining familiar to institutions and retail users alike. Moreover, their growing share of volume indicates that real-world use cases are gaining ground on pure speculation.
In that sense, stablecoin dominance can be read as a sign of maturation. It suggests that users increasingly prioritize reliability, liquidity, and settlement efficiency. The USDT token, with its entrenched role in trading, DeFi, and remittances, may become a symbol of this next phase in digital finance.
Whether it ultimately overtakes Bitcoin and Ethereum in capitalization remains uncertain. However, the very fact that analysts now entertain this possibility underscores a turning point. Crypto leadership may soon be defined as much by stability and scale as by volatility, scarcity, and visionary technology.
In summary, McGlone’s forecast forces markets to confront an important question: if users continue to favor stable-value infrastructure over volatile assets, the balance of power across digital finance could shift more dramatically than many expect.
Standard Chartered bitcoin forecast cut again as ETF outflows and Fed uncertainty weigh on crypto
Investors are reassessing digital asset risks after Standard Chartered issued a sharp downgrade to its long-term bitcoin forecast amid mounting macroeconomic concerns.
Standard Chartered trims 2026 crypto targets again
Standard Chartered has reduced its long-term Bitcoin price outlook for the second time in less than three months, underscoring growing caution around the asset. The bank now expects the cryptocurrency to reach a lower target by the end of 2026, although it did not publish a precise figure in the latest note.
According to the research, the new estimate marks a significant step down from the bank’s earlier projection, which had already been cut in December. Moreover, the tone of the report signals that previous bullish assumptions on digital assets are being reassessed as conditions change.
The downgrade was presented in a client note released on Thursday by Geoff Kendrick, the bank’s head of digital assets research. However, while the numerical targets have moved lower, Kendrick stressed that the analysis still contemplates eventual price recovery by 2026, even if the path proves volatile.
ETF outflows and Fed delay darken Bitcoin sentiment
According to Bloomberg, the bank’s more cautious stance reflects a mix of weakening macroeconomic conditions and changing investor behavior. Over the past month, the market downturn has intensified, and Bitcoin has fallen sharply from its October peak, eroding confidence among leveraged traders.
At the same time, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded sizeable net outflows, reversing the strong inflows seen earlier in the cycle. That said, the report notes that these outflows have removed a critical source of structural demand, which previously helped fuel rallies and stabilize pullbacks.
Kendrick argued that slowing US growth momentum and reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts have combined to pressure digital assets. Moreover, shrinking ETF holdings, in his view, amplify downside moves because they represent institutional capital stepping back from the market.
The interest-rate backdrop remains a central concern for cryptocurrency traders. Market participants have steadily pushed back their expectations for Fed easing, with many now anticipating that the first rate cut may arrive later in the year than previously thought. This repricing has tightened financial conditions and weighed on risk assets, including Bitcoin.
Kendrick also pointed to uncertainty over future Fed leadership as another element undermining conviction. However, he did not specify any particular candidate risk, instead framing the issue as part of a broader macro and policy fog that keeps some investors on the sidelines.
Investor capitulation risk and bitcoin forecast implications
The bank warned that deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and the potential for deeper investor capitulation could continue to pressure prices in the near term. In particular, it flagged the risk that longer-term holders might sell if volatility spikes again or if economic data deteriorate further.
Moreover, the analysis suggests that persistent ETF outflows could reinforce this capitulation dynamic, especially if retail demand does not return quickly. In such a scenario, liquidity conditions on major exchanges could tighten, leaving the market more vulnerable to abrupt downside moves.
Despite these risks, Kendrick emphasized that the current drawdown looks more orderly than previous crashes. The report notes that leverage levels appear more contained than in 2022, and that the market has not seen the same degree of forced liquidations or cross-platform contagion that followed the collapse of Terra/Luna and FTX.
On-chain activity points to healthier crypto market structure
Standard Chartered highlighted that on-chain data still paints a comparatively resilient picture. According to the bank, core network usage indicators show improvement, suggesting that Bitcoin and Ethereum are continuing to attract transacting users even as speculative interest has cooled.
For example, metrics related to on-chain activity and fees indicate that the underlying networks remain active. However, the bank cautioned that healthy usage alone may not be sufficient to offset macro headwinds if risk appetite continues to fall and liquidity tightens across global markets.
That said, the absence of high-profile platform failures in the current cycle marks an important contrast with 2022, when the implosions of Terra/Luna and FTX triggered widespread fear and credit stress. This time, the report argues, the structural plumbing of the crypto ecosystem appears more robust, even as token prices correct.
Ethereum target cut alongside Bitcoin
Alongside the Bitcoin downgrade, Standard Chartered also reduced its 2026 Ethereum price target. The note explains that, while the bank still expects Ether to reach that new level by the end of 2026, the path could involve a substantial decline first.
Moreover, analysts pointed out that Ethereum’s on-chain and network usage trends look comparatively healthy versus some other altcoins. However, macroeconomic pressures, tighter financial conditions and shifting investor positioning mean that Ether is unlikely to be fully insulated from broader crypto market weakness.
The bank did not provide a detailed breakdown of the assumptions behind the new ETH level in this summary. Instead, it framed the move as part of a wider reassessment of digital asset valuations in light of slower growth, delayed Fed easing and reduced institutional demand via ETFs.
Outlook for crypto under macroeconomic headwinds
Looking ahead, Standard Chartered reiterated that the coming quarters could remain challenging for digital assets as crypto macroeconomic headwinds persist. In particular, a prolonged period of higher-for-longer interest rates would likely cap upside scenarios and keep volatility elevated.
However, the bank still sees a potential for recovery by 2026 if inflation continues to moderate and central banks eventually transition toward easier policy. Under such conditions, renewed inflows into regulated products, such as spot Bitcoin ETFs, might restore some of the structural demand lost during the current outflow phase.
In summary, Standard Chartered’s latest research underscores a more cautious stance on Bitcoin and Ethereum, driven by ETF outflows, Fed uncertainty and the risk of investor capitulation. Yet it also stresses that the underlying networks appear healthier than during previous crises, leaving room for a longer-term rebound if macro conditions eventually improve.
Binance RLUSD integration on XRP Ledger boosts stablecoin access and market liquidity
With Binance expanding its support for digital dollars, binance rlusd integration on XRP Ledger is set to accelerate institutional-grade stablecoin activity across global markets.
Binance opens RLUSD deposits via XRP Ledger
Binance has completed a key infrastructure upgrade, adding Ripple USD (RLUSD) support on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). The move gives millions of international users a faster settlement rail for stablecoin transfers and broadens their on-ramp options into the exchange.
The worlds largest exchange confirmed that XRP Ledger deposits for RLUSD are now fully operational. However, while deposits are live, withdrawals remain temporarily on hold. Binance stated that withdrawals will only open once there is sufficient RLUSD liquidity on the network to support smooth flows.
Users can now send RLUSD tokens directly from external XRPL wallets to their Binance accounts. This integration leverages Ripple’s native blockchain speed to align with the exchange’s high-volume environment. Moreover, the Binance RLUSD connection is viewed internally as a first step toward more institutional-level stablecoin infrastructure.
The exchange is rolling out this integration gradually to maintain a healthy trading environment. That said, traders already benefit from the ability to move assets freely from existing non-custodial wallets to the platform. As a result, the Binance RLUSD collaboration further deepens the strategic relationship between Binance and Ripple.
Speed and costs: RLUSD on the XRPL
The launch of Ripple USD is designed around performance-focused financial transactions and rapid settlement. On average, XRPL transactions settle in about 3 to 6 seconds, making it significantly faster than most traditional payment systems used for cross-border transfers.
Moreover, transaction fees on the XRP Ledger are highly competitive for high-volume participants. Network costs start as low as 0.00001 XRP per transaction. These minimal overheads help keep the cost of moving coins, particularly stablecoins like RLUSD, extremely low even during periods of active trading.
The broader binance rlusd strategy is therefore built around efficiency and speed. The exchange aims to provide one of the fastest available settlement layers for stablecoins tied to major fiat currencies. Once withdrawals go live, market observers expect an uptick in cross-border liquidity flows, especially between institutional desks.
Another important dimension of the Ripple USD rollout is its positioning as a USD-pegged, regulated alternative in the stablecoin sector. All RLUSD tokens are reportedly backed by high-quality government reserves. Such transparent backing is attractive for risk-averse institutional investors seeking clarity on collateral quality.
Trading pairs, Earn and Convert features
In preparation for the infrastructure upgrade, Binance had already listed multiple RLUSD market pairs. These include RLUSD/USDT, RLUSD/U, and XRP/RLUSD, giving traders direct access to the new stablecoin against both XRP and leading dollar-pegged assets.
Additionally, the exchange expanded support to its Earn and Convert suites for the stablecoin. These features allow customers to deploy RLUSD in yield-bearing products and convert between assets more efficiently. However, the exact yields and product configurations may vary over time based on market conditions.
Through its internal conversion engine, Binance enables RLUSD holders to move between BTC, ETH, and RLUSD with effectively zero slippage under normal liquidity conditions. That said, this technical synergy is designed to enhance the day-to-day experience of active traders, arbitrageurs, and liquidity providers who depend on predictable execution.
Following the latest integration phase, users can now generate deposit addresses and send RLUSD instantly to the XRP Ledger via Binance. Before this rollout, the stablecoin had already been listed on several major platforms, including Bitstamp, Kraken, Gemini, and Bitget. This multi-exchange presence supports deeper liquidity.
Today, RLUSD is available on more than 16 exchanges worldwide. Moreover, the growing number of listings is increasing its visibility among both institutional and retail clients that require regulated dollar substitutes for trading and payments.
RLUSD price analysis and XRP market backdrop
Since the introduction of the Ripple stablecoin RLUSD in December, the token has shown steady performance. The price has traded in a narrow band, holding almost exactly at 1, consistent with its USD peg. Over the same period, its market capitalisation has climbed to about 1.52 billion, underscoring accelerating adoption.
On the 24-hour chart, XRP itself is flashing a familiar bullish divergence pattern as it trades near $1.40. The price has formed lower lows, while the RSI has been printing higher lows. This is the same setup that preceded a 28% rebound in December, making it closely watched by technical traders.
Additionally, XRP’s outlook is supported by a recent partnership with UAE-based Zand to enable infrastructure for RLUSD, AEDZ, and broader XRP Ledger use cases. However, as always in crypto markets, future performance remains highly sensitive to macro conditions, regulatory developments, and on-chain volumes.
Current market trends show rising demand for transparent, well-collateralized stablecoins as investors rotate out of less-regulated digital dollar alternatives. In this context, the Binance RLUSD integration positions Binance as an early mover in regulated stablecoin infrastructure and strengthens XRP Ledger’s role in stablecoin cross border transfers.
In summary, Binance’s decision to activate RLUSD deposits via the XRP Ledger, combined with trading pairs, Earn access, and future withdrawals, signals a broader shift toward faster, cheaper, and more transparent stablecoin rails for global users.
CFTC innovation committee brings Coinbase, Ripple, Gemini and Wall Street heavyweights into new p...
With Washington intensifying its focus on digital assets, the CFTC innovation committee is emerging as a central venue for industry input on future market rules.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Thursday released the full roster of its new Innovation Advisory Committee, confirming a 35-member panel that includes 20 executives tied directly to crypto companies. The group will advise on how emerging technology is reshaping financial markets.
CFTC chair Mike Selig said the committee will “ensure the CFTC’s decisions reflect market realities” as the agency develops rules for novel products and platforms. The panel initially launched in January with 12 charter members before expanding to the final 35-member lineup, signaling a broader consultation effort.
The new body formally replaces the CFTC’s Technology Advisory Committee, which previously focused on how innovations affected derivatives markets in general. Now, however, the revamped structure will zero in on commercial and economic implications of specific business models, including those tied to digital assets.
Crypto exchange and blockchain leaders dominate the lineup
Selig has signaled that the CFTC will take a more receptive stance toward crypto under his leadership. Moreover, the agency has begun coordinating more closely with the Securities and Exchange Commission on digital asset policy as crypto regulation gains urgency.
Executives from major crypto exchanges hold several of the most prominent seats. Appointees include Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss, Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek, and representatives from Kraken, underscoring the CFTC’s focus on trading platforms.
Leaders from blockchain and protocol companies also feature heavily. The committee includes Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, Solana Labs CEO Anatoly Yakovenko, and Uniswap CEO Hayden Adams, reflecting the regulator’s interest in both layer-1 and decentralized exchange ecosystems.
Venture capital and prediction markets gain a voice
Crypto venture capital firms secured structured crypto venture capital representation on the panel, highlighting the CFTC’s interest in early-stage innovation flows. Notable members include a16z Crypto partner Chris Dixon, Framework Ventures co-founder Vance Spencer, and Paradigm representative Alana Palmedo.
Prediction market companies also won influential seats as regulators examine that sector more closely. Appointees include Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan and Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour, placing two of the most closely watched platforms directly at the advisory table.
At least five members of the committee are involved in prediction markets, a sign of growing prediction market regulation interest at the agency. That said, the panel is not limited to crypto-native entities, even if they now represent a large share of its membership.
Traditional finance and market infrastructure represented
The roster extends beyond digital asset specialists to include mainstream trading and custody players. Other high-profile appointees include Robinhood CEO Vladimir Tenev, Grayscale CEO Peter Mintzberg, Blockchain.com CEO Peter Smith, and Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley.
Moreover, the committee draws in executives from large market operators and clearing houses. Representatives from Nasdaq, Intercontinental Exchange, Cboe Global Markets, and CME Group were appointed, ensuring substantial traditional finance participants cftc are present alongside crypto leaders.
CFTC chair Selig stressed that the panel brings together stakeholders from “every corner of the marketplace.” Traditional market infrastructure providers such as DTCC and the Options Clearing Corporation also have representatives, anchoring the discussion in long-established risk management practices.
Mandate, scope, and link to Project Crypto
The cftc innovation committee is tasked with advising on commercial and economic considerations of emerging products, platforms, and business models. It will examine how new technologies intersect with market integrity, customer protection, and fair competition across derivatives and spot markets.
The CFTC noted it will seek input not only from industry, but also from other regulatory bodies and academia. Public interest groups will be consulted as policies are shaped, which could broaden the debate beyond purely commercial priorities and strengthen legitimacy.
The committee’s formation coincides with the CFTC and SEC’s joint “Project Crypto” initiative. This coordination effort aims to modernize digital asset oversight across both agencies, and it could influence how token markets, exchanges, and related financial products are supervised in the coming years.
Future direction for US crypto and derivatives oversight
Selig described the launch of the committee as “an important and energizing moment at the CFTC.” He argued the panel will help the agency “future-proof its markets” by engaging directly with innovators while maintaining core regulatory safeguards.
In practice, the committee’s work is likely to shape how the CFTC approaches issues ranging from derivatives on crypto assets to oversight of new trading venues. However, much will depend on how diverse interests on the panel reconcile innovation with investor protection and market stability.
Overall, the expanded committee structure signals that US derivatives regulators are moving toward a more systematic dialogue with both crypto-native firms and established financial institutions, as digital assets continue to converge with traditional markets.
CZ tackles binance rumors as BitMEX accusations resurface and COVID crash trades scrutinized
Industry debate has intensified as binance rumors resurface over BitMEX trading, the March 2020 covid market crash, and the exchange’s emergency fund moves.
CZ rejects BitMEX profit allegations
Changpeng Zhao, the former chief executive of Binance, has once again moved to defend the exchange, denying claims it secretly traded on BitMEX and profited from client activity during the COVID panic. The latest allegations center on supposed gains of 60,000 BTC made during the March 2020 market collapse.
The controversy reignited after a user on X alleged that Binance was the most profitable entity on BitMEX during the March 12, 2020 crash. According to this trader, the exchange allegedly earned over $240 million by hedging customer positions, posting what they described as the largest withdrawal and highest PnL ever seen on the derivatives platform.
Zhao dismissed the story outright, responding on X that it was “Fake news. They are just making things up randomly now. Not sure what their goal is. I feel bad for the people believing this without seeing any proof.” His comment underscored how quickly unverified claims can spread across social media.
Binance says it never traded on BitMEX
Addressing the accusations in more detail, Zhao insisted that the trading platform has never traded on BitMEX. Moreover, he referenced BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, saying that his friend would certainly know if such outsized profits and withdrawals had occurred on the exchange.
He further argued that the BitMEX withdrawal process, which handles withdrawals only once per day, made the alleged movement of 60,000 BTC implausible. That said, Zhao did not share internal Binance records, instead leaning on operational logic and public process details to rebut the claim.
Responding to another comment under his post, Zhao suggested that the accuser might be spreading the rumor to draw “not-so-sophisticated” users to their own platform. However, he did not name the entity or provide specific evidence about the alleged ulterior motives.
The March 2020 COVID crash context
The disputed claims tie back to one of the most violent selloffs in bitcoin‘s history. On March 12, 2020, as pandemic fears intensified, bitcoin plunged from about $8,000 to nearly $3,800 within roughly half a day. The sudden move triggered a liquidity crisis across crypto exchanges, as buy orders failed to absorb the overwhelming selling pressure.
BitMEX, then considered one of the most active crypto derivatives venues, saw approximately $750 million in bitcoin positions liquidated within minutes. Moreover, cascading liquidations and system strain prompted long-running debates about how leverage and risk engines amplified the COVID crash.
Traditional markets also experienced historic turmoil at the same time. On the stock market front, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 2,000 points in intraday trading. The S&P 500 dropped 7.6%, oil prices slipped by 22%, and yields on 10-year and 30-year US Treasury bonds fell below 0.40% and 1.02%, respectively.
Regulatory pressure on BitMEX and Arthur Hayes
Regulatory fallout from that era soon followed. About two months after the crash, the US Department of Justice moved against BitMEX leadership. Ultimately, the Southern District of New York sentenced Arthur Hayes to six months of home detention for violating the Bank Secrecy Act.
The court found Hayes guilty of failing to implement and maintain proper anti-money laundering compliance procedures at BitMEX. However, prosecutors argued that because the platform lacked robust know-your-customer controls at the time, the full extent of any misconduct could remain unknowable.
BitMEX later settled with the US Department of the Treasury by paying $100 million. The exchange neither admitted nor denied conducting more than $200 million in suspicious transactions, underscoring how regulatory scrutiny reshaped the derivatives landscape in the years following the pandemic crash.
Binance pushback on wider FUD and selloff claims
Zhao’s latest comments arrive as Binance faces a sustained wave of criticism and speculation, which he repeatedly labels as FUD. Since October last year, the exchange has confronted a series of narratives linking it to price manipulation, aggressive selling, and deteriorating trust in centralized platforms.
At the start of February, Zhao denied claims that Binance dumped bitcoin to trigger a weekend selloff that drove prices below $75,000. Some crypto commentators went so far as to suggest that he had single-handedly canceled the long-theorized “supercycle” in digital assets.
He also rejected separate stories that Binance offloaded $1 billion in bitcoin to push the market down toward $60,000. According to Zhao, those bitcoin transactions discussed on social media came from regular users trading on the exchange, not from the company itself. His comments directly targeted ongoing binance selloff allegations circulating in trading communities.
Defending Binance wallet balances and SAFU strategy
Zhao stressed that internal balances reflect customer behavior rather than corporate trading. “Binance’s wallet balance only changes when users withdraw. Most users keep their balance with Binance and use Binance as a wallet,” he said, arguing that on-chain movements should not be misread as evidence of coordinated dumping.
Moreover, he defended the pace and structure of the exchange’s plan to convert its SAFU reserves from stablecoins into bitcoin within 30 days, a strategy announced at the end of January. He explained that binance safu reserve conversion trades would be executed in multiple tranches rather than via decentralized exchanges.
According to Zhao, market participants should not expect to see these orders routed through a DEX. “You won’t see them buying using a decentralized exchange (DEX). Binance is a CEX with the best liquidity in the world,” he argued, positioning the platform’s deep order books as an advantage when executing large risk-management transactions.
Final tranche of SAFU conversion completed
As reported by Cryptopolitan, the exchange has already completed the final tranche of its emergency reserve strategy. It purchased 4,545 BTC, worth roughly $305 million, for the SAFU pool to conclude its program to convert $1 billion of stablecoin reserves into 15,000 BTC.
This latest step closes a multi-stage accumulation effort that began with the initial announcement of the conversion plan. However, some market watchers continue to link these bitcoin purchases to broader price swings, while Zhao maintains that the binance rumors around coordinated dumping or engineered volatility remain unfounded.
In summary, Zhao’s responses underscore a widening rift between public speculation and verifiable data. As regulatory histories, market crashes, and large fund movements keep colliding, investors are likely to scrutinize both Binance statements and on-chain flows even more closely.
ETHZilla aviation token launch shows ethereum tokenization push while ETH price holds below resis...
As traditional finance experiments with blockchain-based markets, ethereum tokenization is gaining traction even as ETH trades below key resistance levels.
ETHZilla brings aviation assets on-chain
ETHZilla has unveiled Eurus Aero Token I, billed as the first tradable tokenized aviation assets product on the Ethereum network, backed by jet engines leased to a major U.S. airline. The launch, announced on Feb 13, 2026, underscores how real world asset tokenization is expanding into the aviation finance sector.
The Eurus Aero Token I structure provides fractional exposure to income-producing aircraft engines that are already under lease contracts. Moreover, the product is issued natively on Ethereum infrastructure, giving investors blockchain-based traceability over the underlying assets and their associated cash flows.
The offering is designed for accredited investor token access, with returns targeted through lease-generated income. However, the use of smart contracts aims to streamline what is normally a complex aviation leasing structure, while improving transparency around payments and asset performance.
How Ethereum powers the aviation token product
By deploying the asset on-chain, ETHZilla is leveraging Ethereum asset tokenization to handle automated distributions, on-chain verification and lifecycle management. Smart contracts can record lease terms, track income distributions, and codify investor rights without relying solely on traditional intermediaries.
This setup also supports fractional jet engine token investment, lowering the minimum ticket size compared with typical aviation finance deals. That said, the initial focus on accredited investors shows the project remains aligned with existing regulatory frameworks rather than pursuing a fully retail model.
The ETHZilla initiative adds momentum to the broader trend of Ethereum real world assets being settled and administered on public blockchains. Moreover, aviation joins a growing list of sectors experimenting with on-chain instruments, including real estate, private credit, and trade finance.
Market context for ETH and price levels
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading around $1,937, down roughly 1% on the day, as the market consolidates after a sharp early-February sell-off. The broader trend on the daily chart remains bearish, with sellers still in control despite short-term stabilization.
According to TradingView data, ETH sits well below its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently near $2,799. This distance from the 50-day SMA underlines the prevailing downside momentum and shows that the market has not yet reclaimed medium-term trend levels.
The chart structure since mid-January highlights a series of lower highs and lower lows, a classic sign of a short-term downtrend. Moreover, a steep breakdown in early February forced price below the $2,400 and $2,200 zones, confirming weakness and shaking out late buyers.
Key support, resistance and indicators
A sharp wick toward the $1,800 region marked a recent swing low before dip buyers stepped in. However, the subsequent rebound has been modest, with ETH now consolidating just underneath the psychological $2,000 barrier, where supply continues to cap upside attempts.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator currently sits around -0.04, hovering near neutral but still slightly negative. This reading suggests that convincing capital inflows have not yet returned, reinforcing a cautious sentiment among traders even as volatility cools.
Immediate support is located near $1,900, followed by the recent swing low around $1,800. A decisive breakdown below that area could open the door to additional downside pressure toward the mid-$1,700 range, where some market participants expect stronger dip buying interest.
On the upside, initial resistance stands close to $2,000, with more substantial resistance around $2,200. A sustained push above those levels would be required for ETH to challenge the declining 50-day SMA near $2,799 and potentially shift the short-term bias.
What ETHZilla’s aviation token means for ethereum tokenization and price
The ETHZilla aviation product demonstrates how tokenization ethereum can extend into complex, capital-intensive verticals like aircraft leasing. However, the immediate impact on ETH price appears limited, as macro conditions and broader risk sentiment are still driving the market’s direction.
For now, the ETHZilla deal is another incremental step in the evolution of fractional aircraft engine tokens and other specialized on-chain instruments. Moreover, if more institutional-grade aviation and infrastructure deals migrate onto Ethereum, it could strengthen the network’s position as a preferred settlement layer for asset-backed products.
In summary, ETH trades around $1,937 in a bearish technical structure, while ETHZilla’s tokenized jet engine launch highlights the growing role of Ethereum in bridging traditional finance and blockchain-based markets.
Sentiment, lichiditate și cerere structurală remodelază piața bitcoin într-o scădere profundă, dar diferită...
Pe măsură ce investitorii reevaluează riscul în cadrul activelor digitale, piața bitcoin navighează o scădere profundă, chiar dacă participarea structurală și lichiditatea on-chain rămân notabil reziliente.
Vânturile macro și resetarea actuală a pieței
Piețele crypto rămân într-o fază de de-risking susținută, modelată de vânturi macro, o Rezervă Federală care se menține, incertitudini fiscale și rotația de capital condusă de AI care a dus BTC la o scădere de aproximativ 52% față de maximul istoric din octombrie 2025. Cu toate acestea, întrebarea cheie se schimbă treptat de la cât de mult pot cădea prețurile la când va reveni cererea proaspătă.
ETHZilla declared its development of an Eurus Aero Token I via an announcement on X, which featured an investment opportunity linked to leasing revenues earned from aircraft engines via blockchain technology. The company also highlighted a traditional regulated real-world investment offering with a yield generated from leasing aviation equipment. This announcement demonstrated how conventional financial arrangements have been incorporated onto blockchain systems.
The official thread went into the specifics of how the mechanics worked, what the investment requirements from the investors were, and how the payment structure would look. ETHZilla was also talking about the overall trend towards tokenized real-world assets, which sees real-world infrastructure play a role in
Aircraft Engine Leasing Enters Token Markets
Eurus Aero Token I, as per ETHZilla, represents holding assets of CFM56 jet engines that are leased to a major U.S. air carrier. The company had stated that the jet engines would produce recurring lease payments and utilization fees.
The thread described aircraft engines as a traditional financial asset class utilized in world-wide aircraft financing. Leasing of the engines by the airlines instead of purchasing them has been made. This generates a predictable pattern of payments throughout the period of leasing.
ETHZilla indicated that token holders are entitled to a proportionate share of the lease cash flow. The company also made reference to a proposal on residual value, which is supposed to apply upon expiration of a lease. Put and call rights combine for a valuation floor under normal operating conditions.
The announcement indicated that access to these deals was in the past restricted due to large capital requirements. Tokenized approach reduces these minimum qualified investments.
Returns, Pricing, And Participation Rules
ETHZilla reported a target annual return of about 11% when investors hold tokens for the full lease term. The issuer said holders receive monthly payouts denominated in U.S. dollars.
The token is priced at a $100 each, with the minimum purchase size of ten tokens. Participation is still limited to accredited investors under regulatory exemptions.
The thread confirmed that the offering follows Reg D 506(c) compliance. Investors are required to undergo identity verification via the Liquidity platform before making a purchase. ETHZilla said participants have 1099 tax reporting and not partnership filings.
The token functions as an ERC-20 on an Ethereum layer-2 network. The system maps ownership on blockchain infrastructure but legal rights are defined by off-chain contracts.
Reports Outline Aviation RWA Model
In the posts that accompanied it, ETHZilla did explain why aviation assets suit tokenization. The company pointed to predictable lease revenue and global engine deployment.
One tweet mentioned, “CFM56 engines power several thousands of aircraft flying around the world. Broad adoption supports steady compensation for usage over time.
Another post said tokenization lowers entry barriers for infrastructure investment opportunities. Accredited investors can participate starting at around $1,000 rather than at institutional-level minimums.
ETHZilla described aviation real-world assets as combining blockchain tracking with conventional finance agreements. The model links on-chain ownership records to off-chain contractual payments.
Growing Real-World Asset Tokenization Activity
The launch mirrors a more active trend in tokenized real-world assets across digital markets. Projects are increasingly tying tokens to revenue produced by physical infrastructure.
ETHZilla came up with Eurus Aero Token I as part of this development. The firm has put great emphasis on long-term leasing contracts and payment schedules that can be measured.
This announcement did not indicate the availability of secondary trading. The company’s focus was on regulated distribution and income allocation.
Eurus Aero Token I is now a blockchain-tracked financial security collateralized by aircraft lease revenue, showing the further linkage of traditional financing with digital asset infrastructure.
Cathie Wood sees bitcoin hedge role growing as AI sparks deflationary chaos
Speaking at a major industry event in New York, Cathie Wood argued that a fast-approaching wave of technology-driven deflation will make a bitcoin hedge more important for investors and institutions.
Cathie Wood warns of deflationary chaos from exponential tech
At Bitcoin Investor Week in New York, Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, said that artificial intelligence and other exponential technologies will unleash a powerful productivity shock. According to Wood, this shift will drive prices lower across the economy and destabilize legacy financial structures that are built on steady inflation assumptions.
In a discussion with Anthony Pompliano, she described a looming period of “deflationary chaos”, fueled by rapid adoption of AI, robotics and other innovation platforms. However, she stressed that this is not the deflation of collapsing demand, but of breakthrough technologies slashing costs and boosting output.
“If these technologies are so deflationary, it is going to be tough for the traditional world, which is used to 2% to 3% inflation, to adjust,” Wood said. Moreover, she argued that incumbent players will be forced to embrace these tools much faster than they currently expect in order to survive.
AI cost collapse and the misreading by the Federal Reserve
Wood pointed to internal research showing that AI training costs are falling by roughly 75% per year, while inference costs, meaning the cost of generating individual AI outputs, are dropping by as much as 98% annually. As a result, companies can become dramatically more productive with fewer inputs, which tends to push overall prices down.
That said, she believes the Federal Reserve is misinterpreting this innovation-led deflation because it relies too heavily on backward-looking data. In her view, policymakers risk reacting to old signals while the underlying structure of the economy is being transformed by exponential technologies.
“They could miss this and be forced into a response when there is more carnage out there,” Wood warned, suggesting that central banks might tighten or ease policy at the wrong moments. This misalignment could amplify stress in traditional financial markets that are still priced for modest positive inflation.
Bitcoin as hedge in an innovation-driven deflation regime
Within this framework, Wood argued that bitcoin becomes attractive as a portfolio tool in both inflationary and deflationary environments. She reiterated her long-standing thesis that the asset can function as protection not just against currency debasement, but also against instability created by disruptive technological change.
“Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation and deflation,” she said. Moreover, she linked recent underperformance in software-as-a-service stocks and growing counterparty risks in areas like private equity and private credit to the early stages of this disruption cycle, where legacy models are already feeling pressure.
According to Wood, the coming period of innovation-led deflation will expose fragilities in debt-heavy balance sheets and complex financial intermediation chains. In that context, investors seeking resilience may increasingly look to a trustless, non-sovereign asset that does not depend on central counterparties.
A trustless alternative to legacy finance
Wood emphasized that bitcoin’s decentralized design and fixed supply distinguish it from the traditional financial system, which is often reliant on leverage, central clearinghouses and opaque credit exposures. In her view, as margins compress in a deflationary environment, these legacy structures could come under renewed strain.
“The chaotic part of this is disruption all over the place,” she said, referencing both public market sectors and private credit markets where counterparty risks may be rising. However, she added that bitcoin does not share those same vulnerabilities, since it settles on-chain without requiring trust in a single institution.
Wood also highlighted the simplicity of bitcoin’s core protocol compared with the layering seen in modern finance. As deflation undermines debt-based growth models, she believes that a transparent, rules-based monetary network may look more compelling to asset allocators around the world.
From the dot-com bubble to real exponential technologies
Placing the current moment in historical context, Wood argued that the environment today is the “opposite of the tech and telecom bubble” of the late 1990s and early 2000s. Back then, she said, investors poured capital into unproven technologies that were not ready for large-scale deployment.
Now, by contrast, she contends that core technologies such as AI, robotics, and blockchain are mature enough to drive real-world productivity gains across industries. That said, markets have yet to fully appreciate how profoundly these platforms will reshape cost structures, business models and macroeconomic dynamics.
Wood suggested that investors who underestimate this transition may be mispricing both risk and opportunity. In particular, she believes that innovation-focused assets could benefit as the investment narrative shifts away from pure inflation fears toward an emphasis on productivity-driven deflation.
ARK’s long-term crypto and innovation positioning
Wood noted that ARK’s portfolios have been constructed for years around the convergence of disruptive technologies, including public blockchains. The firm is among the largest institutional holders of Coinbase and Robinhood, alongside a range of other crypto and fintech names that are exposed to digital assets adoption.
While market volatility has remained elevated through 2024, she maintained that bitcoin and broader innovation themes are positioned to gain as the macro narrative evolves. However, she acknowledged that the transition period could be turbulent, with both traditional financials and some technology companies facing significant valuation resets.
Wood insisted that her thesis is anchored in data on cost declines, network effects and adoption curves across multiple innovation platforms. For investors, she argued, the key is to recognize how these forces intersect with monetary policy, debt dynamics and structural deflation trends.
Deflation, disruption and the role of bitcoin
Looking ahead, Wood said that exponential technologies are likely to keep accelerating, deepening the deflationary impulse they inject into the global economy. In that environment, she believes that a clearly defined bitcoin hedge within diversified portfolios could help manage shocks stemming from both inflation surprises and rapid price compression.
Moreover, she framed bitcoin’s fixed supply and open architecture as counters to the fragility she sees in debt-based financial systems that are vulnerable to productivity shocks. As central banks and institutions adapt to this new regime, she expects renewed debates around the role of non-sovereign digital assets in global portfolios.
“Truth will win out,” Wood concluded, expressing confidence that data on cost declines, productivity and network adoption will ultimately validate her firm’s positioning. In her view, investors who align with the right side of technological change will be better prepared for the deflationary chaos she expects AI and innovation to unleash.
In summary, Wood’s message in New York linked AI-driven deflation, fragile traditional finance and bitcoin’s trustless design into a single macro thesis, arguing that the digital asset stands to benefit as innovation reshapes both prices and portfolios.
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Această inovație depășește furnizarea de date pe termen scurt sau semnale, deschizând un spațiu autentic de dialog despre strategii de piață, leadership și gândirea pe termen lung.
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Spre deosebire de soluțiile tradiționale bazate pe inteligență artificială, adesea concentrate pe analiza datelor și predicția prețurilor, Gracy AI se remarcă prin capacitatea sa de a interpreta și contextualiza.
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