Aurul scade cu 7% ștergând 3 trilioane de dolari din valoarea de piață
🔥
$XAU Aurul spot a atins $5,625 înainte de a scădea la aproximativ $5,135 și de a se stabiliza în jurul $5,318 până după-amiaza târziu UTC de joi. Oscilația bruscă a urmat unui salt anual de 90% determinat de tensiuni geopolitice, un dolar mai slab și cumpărături de la băncile centrale, determinând traderii să își ia profiturile. Argintul a scăzut cu peste 10%, în timp ce viitoarele pe acțiuni, precum contractele S&P 500, au scăzut cu 1.2% iar Nasdaq cu 2.5%, pe fondul unei căderi a veniturilor Microsoft. Chiar și după scădere, aurul rămâne semnificativ mai sus de la începutul anului, pe măsură ce investitorii urmăresc recuperările în mijlocul volatilității.
$XAU The reason gold is ripping and btc isn’t is because the debasement trade is more vibes and the real marginal mover here is china capital flight and Chinese aren’t interested in Bitcoin aka the American trump coin
$XAU Gold Hits Record Highs Near $38 Trillion as Bitcoin Slips Below $90,000
Spot gold surged above $5,500 per ounce on January 29, up over 4% in a day, fueled by a weaker U.S. dollar, inflation worries, and central bank buying. Bitcoin traded around $88,000, down 1% with a $1.78 trillion market cap, despite tailwinds like Fed rate cuts and a pro-crypto president. The BTC-to-gold ratio hit near multi-year lows at 16 ounces, sparking debate: some see a buying opportunity for Bitcoin as digital gold, while others question if capital will flow from gold profits.#GoldOnTheRise #FedHoldsRates #ZAMAPreTGESale
Gold Hits Record Highs Near $38 Trillion as Bitcoin Slips Below $90,000. 🔥
$XAU Spot gold surged above $5,500 per ounce on January 29, up over 4% in a day, fueled by a weaker U.S. dollar, inflation worries, and central bank buying. Bitcoin traded around $88,000, down 1% with a $1.78 trillion market cap, despite tailwinds like Fed rate cuts and a pro-crypto president. The BTC-to-gold ratio hit near multi-year lows at 16 ounces, sparking debate: some see a buying opportunity for Bitcoin as digital gold, while others question if capital will flow from gold profits.#GoldOnTheRise
$BTC Ei tocmai și-au dat seama că o anumită startup criptografică autistă într-un WeWork cu 20 de milioane de dolari în T‑Bills și un front-end React este pe cale să distrugă întreaga bază de depozite de 17 trilioane de dolari din SUA…
…prin oferirea unei randamente de 4,9% pe un stablecoin în timp ce JPMorgan îți oferă 0,01% și un card de debit care expiră în doi ani.
“DAR ACESTA NU E CORESPUNZĂTOR” – fiecare lobbyist bancar vreodată
Acum sistemul bancar, acest Godzilla făcut din soia, bandă adezivă și 11,000 de sucursale fizice, se plânge în fața Congresului cum ar fi:
“Aceasta nu e corect! Dacă oamenii pot câștiga randament pe dolari în afara băncii… s-ar putea să părăsească banca!”
$BTC JUST IN: Coinbase CEO Brain Armstrong announces Coinbase is joining President Trump's investment initiative for children and wants to pay it in Bitcoin 🇺🇸
$BTC We buy real bitcoin. We audit our custodians. We don’t rehypothecate. You shouldn’t either.#GoldOnTheRise #FedHoldsRates {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT) #ZAMAPreTGESale
Prețul argintului atinge un maxim istoric de 120 $ pe uncie
🔥
$XAG Prețul argintului a atins 120,07 $ pe contractele futures Comex joi, în creștere cu mai mult de 3% în acea zi, în timp ce prețurile din India au depășit Rs 410.000 pe kilogram pentru prima dată. Creșterea se leagă de cererea industrială înfloritoare în panouri solare, vehicule electrice și centre de date AI, în contextul penuriei de aprovizionare, plus cumpărături ca refugiu, alimentate de temerile inflației și geopolitică. Aurul se apropie de 5.600 $ pe uncie, iar cuprul depășește 6,30 $ pe livră în boomul mai larg al mărfurilor, deși unii analiști avertizează cu privire la posibile retrageri din cauza lichidității subțiri.
Shutdown Odds Drop to 43% as Trump-Schumer Talks Advance
$BTC Prediction markets on Polymarket saw shutdown odds fall sharply from 80% earlier this week to 43%, fueled by plans to pass most spending bills while extending key Department of Homeland Security operations like TSA and FEMA. The compromise addresses Democratic demands for immigration reforms, including body cameras and ending warrantless searches, sparked by the fatal shooting of U.S. citizen Alex Pretti, a 37-year-old VA nurse, during a Minneapolis raid. Senate leaders expressed optimism ahead of a Thursday test vote, though GOP resistance lingers and trading volume has topped $18 million. #ZAMAPreTGESale #FedHoldsRates #GoldOnTheRise
The probability of what is happening is near zero.
Three 6-sigma events occurred in one week.
– Bonds – Silver – Gold
We are currently living through a statistical impossibility.
Let me explain:
Last Tuesday, Japanese 30-year debt recorded what’s called a “6-sigma” session.
2 days ago, silver did even better: it was at 5-sigma on the rally, then reached 6-sigma on the drop. IN A SINGLE SESSION.
Gold right now? It’s up 23% in less than a month. We’re getting very close to a 6-sigma event.
That’s three 6-sigma events in ONE WEEK.
To explain quickly: in finance, we measure price moves around an average using the standard deviation, which we call sigma.
1-sigma: mundane 2-sigma: common 3-sigma: becomes rare 4-sigma: exceptional 5-sigma: extremely rare 6-sigma: supposed to occur once in 500 million
Here are the 6-sigma-type episodes we saw previously:
– The october 1987 crash, 22% drop in 1 session – March 2020 covid crash – The swiss franc’s surge in january 2015 – WTI oil turning negative in april 2020
But we’ve never had 3 events occur in one week.
Do you see the point?
A 6-sigma event is almost NEVER triggered by a simple macro headline.
It almost always comes from the market’s structure: leverage, positions that are too concentrated, margin calls, collateral problems, and forced selling or buying.
That’s important to understand because we’re talking about internal strains in the system’s mechanics.
As you know, the Japanese bond market sits at the heart of the global financial system, and I won’t go back over the whole topic, but a 6-sigma move in a market that enormous doesn’t go unnoticed.
Seeing a 6-sigma move in silver a few days later gives one a lot to think about.
And now gold?? That’s absolutely insane.
Why are we seeing extreme statistical events, only days apart, in such different markets?