Modele istorice de ciclu Bull Bitcoin: Fundamentele din mijlocul lunii septembrie până la vârfurile parabolice din noiembrie
🔹 Ciclu Bull 2013 • 4 sept–15 sept, 2013: BTC a scăzut de la ~$145 → ~$110 (-25%). • 16 sept–1 oct, 2013: Recuperare la ~$140. • 2 oct–18 nov, 2013: Raliu major → BTC de la ~$140 → ~$900. 👉 Model: Fundamentele din mijlocul lunii septembrie → Spargerea din octombrie → Rulaj parabolic în noiembrie.
🔹 Ciclu Bull 2017 • 1 sept–15 sept, 2017: BTC a scăzut ~$5,000 → ~$2,900 (-40%). • 16 sept–27 sept, 2017: Recuperarea a început → ~$4,200. • 1 oct–5 nov, 2017: Raliul a continuat, BTC a depășit ~$7,000. • 6 nov–29 nov, 2017: Impuls parabolic → ~$11,000.
The daily OBV downtrend break is saying to sell. Selling volume is increasing and buyers aren't showing up at these prices. Without a bullish catalyst we have a high chance of going lower.
In Every Bull Market Bitcoin runs from extreme lows to extreme highs.
In 2015 -2019, BTC pumped from $150 to $19,500 with 6 pullbacks, ranging between -29% to -49%.
In 2019- 2021, BTC pumped from $3,200 to $69,000 with 6 pullbacks, ranging between -19% to -60%
In 2023-2025, BTC has pumped from $15,500 to $44700 so far, with 3 pullbacks ranging between -20% to -23%. As Price continues to Rise we might see more such pullbacks in the future.
While nobody can guarantee the exact timing of the next pullback but if you are still on the sidelines.