佬K看盘

That big volume spike candle in the afternoon—it's been waiting until now and still hasn't come.

Keynes' saying: the more leverage you use, the more it feels like the truth.

The time the market stays irrational is even longer than the time you can hold on before you get liquidated.

Now I'm pinning this quote to the edge of my screen.

So what if you judged correctly?

Your position is gone first.

$BTC is at 76,244 today, down 1.24% over the past 24 hours, with trading volume of only 1.188 billion USDT.

The price is moving downward quietly, while volume is shrinking—both bulls and bears are holding back.

Everyone is waiting for a signal.

But the market just won't give it.

Irrationality doesn't need a reason.

It only needs time.

Time stands on its side.

It has plenty of patience.

Across from leverage.

Leverage gets the blade that the second hand stabs.

Even the right call only counts if you’re still alive.

#BTC #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈

MACD is clearly red after 15 minutes, yet the price is still lying below the moving average and won’t move.

The current price is 2389, hugging the MA5 and MA20—one line at 2391 and another at 2392, a difference of just 1 U.

RSI is 42.4, volume ratio is 0.0—no one is willing to pay for this golden cross.

The 1-hour MACD is still bearish.

The 4-hour RSI at 56.6 isn’t weak, but the MACD still hasn’t turned bullish.

The Bollinger Band width is down to only 3.5%—the upper and lower bands are close, leaving no clear direction.

All three timeframes are saying different things; it’s enough to make you drowsy.

Above, 2411 is the MA50 and 2442 is the prior high. Any rebound has to clear two hurdles.

I’m planning to try a short position near 2411, with a stop-loss placed above 2420.

If it breaks and holds above 2420, that would mean this isn’t a rebound but a reversal—I’ll admit I was wrong and exit.

Below, 2356 is the 24-hour low, and the Bollinger lower band at 2351 is also right nearby.

With declining volume and a slow downward drift, what I fear is that after a breakdown, there won’t be anyone to take over.

At this point, even I’m scared I might be misreading the market.

#BTC #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析

Sometime a little after 2 PM, WeChat popped up a message: “XRP has slammed into 1.42.”

The person messaging is a guy who was calling for this move to hit 1.7 just yesterday.

He bought spot at 1.55, using next month’s rent.

Right now it’s 1.4426, down 8.75%.

He’s sitting on an unrealized loss of more than $2,000.

He asked me whether he should cut his position.

I told him: the moment you placed an order with your living expenses, you already lost.

The direction wasn’t wrong.

What you lost was waking up in the middle of the night and staring at the chart.

I used to do the same thing myself.

I won’t say I was losing big—life turned into a complete mess.

Later, I only traded with spare money. When it drops 8%, you can still go out and eat a bowl of noodles.

Today, XRP’s volume has shrunk to 526 million, colder than last week.

At this level, some people panic and others step in.

The difference is just what kind of money you’re using.

Only the money you can afford to lose will be held onto.

#BTC #ETH #交易心态 #合约 #risk control

Slightly bullish, but don’t chase.

Daily RSI 78.8—overbought is extremely obvious.
1-hour RSI 29.8—also oversold.
The 1-hour MACD is still in bearish territory.
The higher timeframe feels “hot,” while the lower timeframe has fallen too far—this sounds a bit conflicted.

Daily MACD is bullish.
Price is above the MA5 at 74,800.
MA20 at 66,735 and MA50 at 65,174 are both below; the moving averages are still stacked bullishly.
Volume is 1.2B USDT, volume ratio 0.4—it's contracting hard.
This isn’t a dump with increased volume. It hasn’t collapsed, but there’s also no fresh demand willing to step in.
Bollinger upper band: 76,533; current price 76,226 is hugging that upper band.
Riding the band is strong, but it can also get “hit.”

What I can see clearly is: the bullish structure is still there.
What I can’t see clearly is whether this momentum will directly push to 79,500, or whether it should first pull back to 74,800.
If it pulls back near 74,800 and pulls the volume in on a higher close, I plan to enter long.
Stop loss: 74,200. If it breaks below MA5 at 74,800, short-term stop orders will likely surge—I won’t hold through that.
Targets: first 76,533; if that breaks, then 78,828.
This is my personal tolerance range.

79,500 is the 24-hour high, and 78,828 is the prior high.
61,545 and 61,705 are earlier lows.
After pulling back from 62,275 to 76,226, buyers beneath are still there.

Right now, this volume is much colder than when it spiked and topped last week.

#BTC #ETH #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析

When it goes up, you want to chase—that’s the first layer of thinking.

The second layer is to ask one question: who is selling?

In *The Most Important Thing in Investing*, Howard repeatedly talks about the second layer of thinking.

Today, $ETH 2,373; in the past 24 hours it’s down 2.73%, with trading volume of 844 million USDT.

In a slow, downward drifting market, buyers aren’t panicking, and sellers aren’t stopping.

These more-than-8 billion in volume can’t be dumped by retail traders.

First-layer thinking sees: “It’s down—run quickly.”

Second-layer thinking sees: “At this level, what is the seller switching to?”

The book gives an example.

First-layer thinking says: “The company is good—buy.”

Second-layer thinking says: “The company is good, but if everyone says it’s good, then the price is expensive.”

Swap “company” with $ETH and it’s the same.

I won’t guess the direction, but this question is more interesting than the candlestick chart.

I saved this—I'll verify it later.

#BTC #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #crypto圈

I originally thought that shrinking volume over the weekend could hold up 2400, but ETH kept bleeding lower all the way to 2368. In the past 24 hours it’s down 3.13%, with a volume ratio of 0.8—not a panic selloff, but simply because there’s basically no one to take the other side.

RSI is 35.6, still just one breath away from oversold. The MACD is in a bearish alignment. MA5 is 2400, MA20 is 2417, MA50 is 2428—price is entirely below the moving averages. On the short-term chart, there isn’t a single line acting as support.

The lower Bollinger band is 2354, and the current price is about 14 dollars away from it. Bandwidth is 5.2%, suggesting we haven’t reached the extreme limit for a turning point yet. Support is at 2355/2357, roughly matching the prior lows. Resistance is MA5 at 2400; above that, the double top at 2547 today is impossible to touch.

My plan: on a rebound to around 2400, try a small short position. Set stop-loss at 2418, and aim to reduce around 2355. All levels are calculated from the moving averages and Bollinger Bands—verify it yourself and you’ll know whether it makes sense.

When you wake up tomorrow, first watch whether 2355 can hold.

#BTC #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #Market Analysis

Open your phone. TUT is still hanging at 0.0603, with the gain order set at +49.99%. This morning’s “heaven-and-earth needle”: 0.080 got smashed down to 0.033, then it was pulled back. Volume was 710 million USDT. This stock play is all about heartbeat.

The reason funds picked it isn’t anything else—MEME coins are about riding emotions. The intraday range is 140%. Money goes where volatility is high. That’s the rule.

Those who chased at 0.080 are now down about 25%. If it rebounds to 0.07179, someone will definitely want to get out. The ones who caught the bottom at 0.033 are up about 80%—they’re the most anxious to lock in profits. Two groups are staring at the same exit, and the selling pressure is stacked in the 0.072–0.080 zone.

RSI(14) is 65.1—strong, but not overbought yet, still has momentum. MACD is bullish: DIF=0.0059, the bullish alignment hasn’t broken down. MA5=0.061906 is overhead like a ceiling, while MA20=0.053116 is below, supporting from underneath. Price is squeezed in between—there’s pressure in both directions, and it’s short by just a breath.

The key is volume. Today’s volume is only 0.8x the average volume. When it’s lifted without volume, it shows the main force hasn’t stepped in—this is the retail crowd “bouncing it up” on their own emotions. With a rise like this, if there’s no new money to continue the momentum, a pullback to MA20 at 0.053 is highly likely. The extreme downside looks like 0.049.

I’m watching support at 0.03117 and 0.03162. It was hit twice today there without breaking—this is the short-term capital cost consensus zone. Resistance is at 0.07179. The prior high/lock-in zone is dense there—if it truly eats 0.08038 with volume, that would be the real signal to reopen the upside space.

My own plan: wait for a pullback near 0.053 to buy. If it falls back to 0.049, I’ll admit it’s wrong and exit. Take half off at 0.07179, and then keep the rest for 0.08038. I won’t chase at this 0.060 spot—once you chase in, both up and down feel uncomfortable.

Position size matters more than direction. I really want to say that today. After midday, the market is likely to flip its face.

#BTC #ETH #TUT #涨幅榜 #coin circle

At this time last week, around 79,500 was packed with people chasing higher prices.

Today it's 76,850—down 2.27% over the past 24 hours, and the RSI is still hanging at 74.3.

After being overbought, there was no immediate big crash. The volume ratio has shrunk to 0.3, with a total trading volume of 1.3 billion USDT.

I don’t quite understand this volume contraction.

Bollinger Band width is 30.5%. Upper band is 86,410, lower band is 63,565—the range is still wide.

Price is squeezed near the middle band. This kind of structure usually uses time to make up for lack of space.

MA5 at 77,090 is pressing downward, and MA20 at 74,987 is propping it up, leaving a buffer of more than 2,000 dollars in between.

The MACD is arranged bearish, but a sell-off on shrinking volume suggests that selling pressure isn’t as heavy as people might imagine.

The contradiction is this: RSI is overbought and should be falling, yet the shrinking volume also indicates that nobody is willing to dump.

So my guess is a slow bleed downward, not a waterfall.

This is just my own plan—light position short.

Entry is at 78,500, close to the 78,828 resistance area, which is also the pullback zone after the MACD dead cross.

Cut and exit at 79,600. Above that, there’s the previous high at 79,500—if price goes there, the short thesis fails.

First target is 74,987, the MA20 level. I’ll reduce the position and leave.

If it still drops below 74,987 on shrinking volume, the next key support is 62,716.

That’s the earlier dense trading zone—slightly lower than the Bollinger lower band at 63,565. Only when it truly reaches there would it be a real “smash-the-cup” moment.

On the day it breaks MA20, market sentiment will be much worse than it is now.

When volume contracts to this extent, the timing for a trend change…

#BTC #ETH #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析

I'm not here to talk about market conditions today. I just suddenly remembered the bull market of that year.

In a bear market, people lose money together—at least you have company.

In a bull market, it's different. Everywhere you look, people are making money—except your account, which is green only.

Anxiety comes exactly like that.

Others go all-in and you don't dare. By the time you finally do, the leverage is already maxed out.

I'm the fool who waited until you dared.

Later, the market didn't move much. I became the one losing money in the bull market.

$ETH is currently at 2,418. In the past 24 hours, it dropped 3.83%, with trading volume of 1.074 billion USDT.

This chart is familiar to me.

Slow bleed downward. In the group chat, some people call for buying the dip, while others say it will drop more.

I watched it, but I wasn't thinking about the direction.

Losing money in a bull market hurts more than in a bear market.

In a bear market, you understand what you’re losing. In a bull market, you lose in a humiliating, frustrating way.

Today’s chart just reenacted that lesson again.

I've also done the thing where you add leverage and get liquidated in a bull market.

#BTC #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #crypto world

After surging to 0.0803, TUT dropped to 0.0626. The most intense wave is already over.

At 0.0626, it’s up 56.16% over 24 hours.

Trading value is 0.62 billion, which is double the usual amount.

But the price has dumped 22% from the high. There’s a volume-backed selloff—someone is distributing at the top.

RSI is 74, overbought.

The MACD golden cross is still in place, but the red histogram has shrunk from 0.0016 to 0.0010. The momentum isn’t keeping up with new highs.

MA5 is at 0.056, MA20 at 0.048. The short moving averages are above, and the price is also trading above them.

The upper Bollinger band at 0.078 was pierced, and now it’s sticking close to the middle band around 0.061.

0.08038 is the 24h high and the strongest resistance.

0.056 is MA5; if it breaks below, it could trigger take-profit selling.

The moving averages are still bullish, but RSI and MACD aren’t cooperating. I trust volume and price.

From 0.033 to 0.080—this kind of amplitude is why capital has its eyes on it.

Buying in during the morning session is basically like taking delivery at 0.062.

At this stage it’s leaning bearish, unless it can put volume back and reclaim 0.075.

How high this kind of momentum stock can run—I can’t see clearly.

I plan to look for a short around 0.068 on the rebound, with a stop-loss at 0.072, and reduce exposure to watch 0.056.

This is my risk tolerance—don’t treat it as a call for trades.

Wait for 0.056 to confirm a breakdown.

#BTC #ETH #TUT #涨幅榜 #币圈

I glanced at my wallet this morning—the balance wasn’t enough for a hot pot.

This round of market action got done in a single day what would take someone a whole month.

ETH 24-hour high is 2547, low is 1822; now it’s bounced back to 2423.

I’m still bullish, but RSI at 82 is overbought—so I won’t chase.

The 1-hour MACD flipped to bearish; the short term needs a breather.

I plan to wait for a pullback to 2018 and go long there.

That’s also the MA20 and the Bollinger middle band.

Stop loss: 1921 (below the MA50).

Targets: 2452 (Bollinger upper band).

The current price is hugging the Bollinger upper band at 2452.

Price is above the MA5 at 2388.

MA20 at 2018 and MA50 at 1921 are both below.

On the daily timeframe, MACD is still bullish.

#BTC #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析

24-hour trading volume: 11.40 billion USDT. It’s “lively” even as the market drifts downward.

ETH 2431, down 3.63% over the last 24 hours.

I stare at this line of text, and all I can think about is building a position in batches.

If you throw it all in at once, you have to buy at the absolute lowest point so you don’t feel bad.

If you enter in three times, you’re the one who gives up the possibility of buying at the very bottom.

What you get instead is that when the price gets hammered lower, you won’t be instantly wiped out.

In my view, this trade is worth it.

The way it’s been falling today just happens to put this lesson right in front of me.

Prices step forward, then look back three times—nobody knows which way the next candlestick will go.

Those who are fully loaded can only wait.

And if you still have ammunition left, you can choose.

All of it is experience you lose money to learn.

Composure is more valuable than the lowest point.

#BTC #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #crypto circle

Touched 8.317 within 24 hours, then got hit all the way down to 7.0. Now it’s at 7.522, down 4.18%.

The Bollinger Bands are converging, with the bandwidth compressed to 8.6%. This kind of tight consolidation won’t keep going forever—something’s about to break out of the range.

MA5 at 7.505 and MA20 at 7.546 are almost stuck together. Price is stuck in the middle, and the moving averages haven’t given a clear direction.

RSI is 51.8. Even after such a drop, it’s still above 50, so the downside momentum doesn’t look as strong as it might seem.

MACD is still bearish. DIF is -0.0285 hovering right on the zero line, and the bearish structure hasn’t been cleared.

When indicators are fighting each other, I pay more attention to volume. Turnover is 440 million, only about 0.2x the 20-day average—volume has shrunk to the extreme.

A pullback on declining volume suggests selling pressure is weakening, but don’t expect a reversal immediately.

7.0 was yesterday’s low. Break below it and you’ll enter a vacuum zone.

8.317 was yesterday’s top. If the bounce reaches here, the shorts will likely come back in.

My plan: short around 8.3, stop-loss at 8.52, cut some at 7.233, and close out at 7.0.

This is just my own plan—don’t treat it as a call to trade.

Whether it can get back to 8.3 or not—I honestly don’t have much certainty.

#BTC #ETH #AVAX #币圈 #行情分析

The emergency room at 4 a.m.

The wall clock has moved to eight o’clock. The temperature has stabilized, but no one dares to say it’s fine.

RSI 76.4 is in the overbought zone, and on the 4-hour chart this is the third case of a bearish divergence. The MACD is bearish, but this reduced-volume drift downward isn’t panic—it’s because there’s nobody to take the other side’s orders.

Price is trapped between MA5 (77,137) and MA20 (74,999), near the middle Bollinger Band. Bulls and bears are both clenching their fists, waiting for the other side to blink first.

15-minute RSI is 40.2, and 1-hour RSI is 52.8. The short-term trend is neither strong nor weak; the long-term trend hasn’t been repaired yet. Volume is shrinking—there’s no clear evidence of real selling pressure showing up, and no solid proof of accumulation either.

Key support is 62,700, corresponding to the lower end of the dense-volume zone and the prior 4-hour-level swing lows. Resistance is 78,828, where the prior high at 79,500 just sits. The upper Bollinger Band at 86,429 is too far away for the short term to reach.

If it’s going up, it needs volume to eat through 79,500. If it’s going down, it should fall back below the MA20. Range trading is just grinding against the middle band—until volume picks a direction.

These levels are calculated by me using the previous high/low before I entered and the moving averages. If you want to copy my work, recalculate it yourself.

If 78,828 can be taken out with volume, then I’ll join the table.

#BTC #ETH #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析

Someone in the group said, “77,000 is a solid bottom you can buy.”
I don’t buy that.
BTC at 77,014 and ETH at 2,415 are both lying under their moving averages.

Bearish moving-average alignment: MA5 78,200, MA20 79,400, MA50 80,600—every one of them sloping downward.
MACD has a dead cross: DIF -680, DEA -540.
RSI is 38, not oversold.
The lower Bollinger band is at 76,300, and today’s low of 76,500 isn’t far from it.
BTC trading volume is 1.464 billion, with the volume ratio slightly up from yesterday—but the price is still moving down, so sell pressure is real.
76,500 is support; if it breaks, look to 75,800—the prior period’s dense trading zone.
78,200 and 79,400 are the two hurdles for any rebound.
Even today’s high of 78,828 couldn’t be held—so a rebound is an opportunity to short.

ETH is even weaker.
At 2,415, it’s down 4.29% over the past 24 hours; RSI 31 is approaching oversold.
The MACD dead cross continues: DIF -85, DEA -62.
The rebound still hasn’t even reached 2,500.
2,385 is today’s low. The lower Bollinger band is at 2,380—right under your feet.

For the open, I expect it to smash down to the low first.
I plan to wait for BTC to rebound to around 78,200 and short there.
Stop-loss at 78,900, slightly above today’s high—if it breaks, I’ll admit I’m wrong.
Targets first at 76,500: cut half the position there, and the remainder at 75,800.
For ETH, wait to short on the rebound at 2,480–2,500.

Position sizing matters more than direction.
Don’t load up the full position in one go.
This level—can it hold?

#BTC #ETH #币圈 #行情分析

Staring at four straight hours of 4-hour candlesticks through the night—every screen is full of bearish signals, but the real answer isn’t in the news.

In *How to Choose Growth Stocks*, Philip Fisher mentioned a simple, down-to-earth method: to understand a company, ask its competitors, suppliers, and employees.

That’s the “casual chat” method.

In the crypto world, official posts are just the façade.

Whether developers are still submitting code, and what the community is arguing about—those are the real details.

$ETH is now 2,422, down 2.38% in 24 hours, with trading volume of 1.408 billion USDT.

After this whole night of selling pressure, can you find a bearish catalyst that makes the code stop being submitted?

You can’t.

Don’t waste your time trying to understand every single candlestick.

Daybreak is almost here, and the code is still running.

#BTC #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈

4:00 a.m. — this 4-hour K-line closed at 0.004886, with the upper shadow exactly touching 0.00498.

PUMP is up 25.67%, with 107M U in volume. But the volume is way smaller than the average volume during this rally.

Rising on lower volume isn’t fresh capital chasing—it’s that nobody was selling in the early hours.

This is a battle of existing liquidity, not real new money entering.

The biggest advantage of low liquidity is making the percentage gain look fiercer than the actual buy orders.

A single large order can push it up to 0.00498—and it can also slam it back down to 0.003613.

RSI is 61: bullish but not overbought.

MACD is still in a bullish alignment, with DIF rising to 0.0002.

MA5 is at 0.004827, MA20 at 0.004580, and the price is trading above both moving averages.

All indicators lean bullish, but volume doesn’t give it any respect.

When volume and price don’t match, I trust volume and price.

0.00458 is the MA20—this line must not be lost.

The two resistance levels at 0.004906 and 0.00498 are too close together. Whoever chases there gets trapped, and the sell pressure to get back to breakeven sits right there.

The dip buys around 0.003613 and 0.003656 are up more than 30% in profit, and they’re also watching 0.00498 to take profit.

With these two layers of sell pressure stacked together, a K-line that spikes and then falls isn’t surprising.

I’m bullish, but I won’t chase at 0.004886.

If it pulls back without breaking 0.00458, I’ll add a bit; stop loss at 0.003656, reduce position and watch 0.00498.

If it rises with volume and holds above 0.00498, I’ll add again. If it moves up on lower volume, that’s a fake breakout—I don’t buy it.

On Monday morning, if the volume can’t catch up, this green candle is just an illusion from the early hours.

The only thing I’m unsure about is whether, on Monday morning, the volume will be able to make up for it.

Position size matters more than direction.

Wait until Monday morning at 8:00 a.m., with volume, then we’ll look again.

#BTC #ETH #PUMP #山寨币 #Gainers list

RSI has been hammered down to 21.4, and ETH hasn’t even had a decent rebound.

At this point, if BTC doesn’t move, ETH will just grind lower on its own.

Volume has shrunk to just a fraction of the 20-day average—yet the drop is still surprisingly steady.

MACD is in a bearish setup. DIF 0.7094 is still trending down; as long as it hasn’t turned, I don’t dare to look for longs.

Price is holding slightly above MA5 at 2420, but MA20 at 2452 is clamping down hard.

Near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, bandwidth is 8.8%—there’s still room that hasn’t opened up.

Three bearish reasons: MA20 is pressing down, MACD is bearish, and the volume is “welded” in the low range.

For longs, there are only two things left: RSI is oversold and the area around MA5.

My bias is bearish. One reason: no one is picking it up.

Below, 2306.7 and 2312.1 are very close together. Once it breaks, it becomes step-by-step vacuum.

Above, 2546.8 and 2546.4 are almost the same price level. If the rebound reaches here, I’ll short.

I plan to wait for a rebound to 2450–2452 to enter short, with a stop-loss at 2550. Admit it quickly if I’m wrong.

Take partial profits and watch the prior low area around 2385, ultimately targeting 2307.

Don’t place your stop-loss too close. In the early morning liquidity is thin—one spike can sweep your stop first, then come back.

If BTC really moves at night, ETH will amplify it; falling will be more vicious than rising.

First watch BTC.

This is the setup I want to trade myself—I’m not persuading anyone to follow.

In the early-morning hours of a low-volume, slow bleed downward, shorts are calmer than longs.

#BTC #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析

Just finished closing the position, and my hands are still trembling.

Suddenly I thought of a line from <i>The Black Swan</i>.

A black swan can’t be predicted—you can only make sure you don’t die.

In the crypto market, what is there called “normal”?

One second it’s a wild celebration; the next second it might get delisted immediately.

$TRUMP is currently 2.5670, up 38.83% over the last 24 hours.

$273 million USDT is changing hands—no one knows what will happen next.

Are these numbers pretty?

They are.

But when I watch the chart, I’m not thinking about how high it can go.

I’m thinking: if a needle went in, could my margin hold up?

Position control isn’t so you can make more money.

It’s so you can survive in extreme market conditions.

This chart today just happens to prove that point.

The more ferociously it rallies, the more you have to ask yourself: what if it doesn’t?

When the black swan arrives, it doesn’t give notice.

2.5670—I choose to live first.

#BTC #ETH #TRUMP #投资哲学 #Trading mindset

BTC tonight成交 1.852 billion, and the 20-day average volume still hasn’t even reached 0.1x.

With this kind of volume contraction, neither bulls nor bears have ammunition left in hand.

Price is lying at 76,977, with MA5 and MA20 all sitting above and pressing down.

The moving-average bearish alignment is spreading downward; MA50 is around the 79,200 area.

RSI drops to 19.8 and is lying flat in oversold territory.

But in an oversold decline on shrinking volume, it often gets even more oversold.

MACD is still bearish. The DIF is stuck at 163.15, and the direction hasn’t flipped.

The Bollinger Bands are偏上 (tilted upward), and the bandwidth has tightened to 3.9%.

This kind of tight squeeze can be broken with one poke in the early morning.

Below, 72,330 is the prior low; once it’s broken, there won’t be dense support.

Above, 79,500 is the prior high; if price stands above it, it means the bearish logic is wrong.

Early-morning liquidity is thin—slippage is large, and it’s normal to see pin-wicks that poke through and then revert.

Where the needle will actually go—can’t be accurately guessed.

I won’t chase shorts.

Wait for the rebound to stall at 78,800–79,000, then go short. Stop-loss: 79,600.

Targets: first look at 74,500. Once it hits, cut half the position.

The remaining order will be closed around 72,330.

If it breaks down first through 76,500, I won’t take it.

Wait for a breakdown with volume. A low-volume break has a high chance of being a fakeout.

Position sizing matters more than direction. Tonight I’ll only use one-third of my position.

The number 76,977 will change again in the early morning.

#BTC #ETH #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析