实力技术瓜

Today’s on-chain activity belongs to Robinhood—on this chain, a huge “golden dog” suddenly appeared, and its market cap immediately broke 100 million. Robinhood’s founder directly blessed a meme, and then this dragon one shot up. Also, the founder of Uniswap bought this coin, causing it to quickly approach a 200 million market cap. Definitely a massive “golden dog.” However, playing with this chain is a bit troublesome—you need to exchange ETH for Robinhood chain ETH.

Eth also doesn't recommend shorting directly; keep waiting for my expected location. Because this area has been in a choppy range all along—price keeps bouncing up and down with needle-like spikes, but it hasn't broken the range support. Also, the 4h divergence is still being digested. As long as support holds, price should keep pushing up to form another higher high. So keep waiting for a bounce; then consider entering a short position.

Btc on the small time frame is still trading within a sideways range. The trend is slightly weaker. If price can hold here, there is still a chance to push upward to form a new high. But if it breaks down, it will fall right away—there likely won’t be a chance to enter a short position. For now, keep waiting and see whether it can hold; if it does, we can then enter a short after it makes a new higher high!

Most fake coins are basically like this: they keep climbing for a long time in a row, and then one spike goes straight up; then TAC’s back to a single spike, straight down. Won’t the next one be something like EVAA?

I checked on-chain and it seems that lately people have mostly been following trends, pushing a narrative to pay KOLs. Ever since this ansem on the Sol chain surged all the way up, and then these past couple of days a similar 70% paying-to-CZ event appeared on the BSC chain. Before that, there were many similar pay-to-KOL situations for top KOLs too, but basically they were all one-click sells. At the very least, CZ won’t sell.

Now the market caps are almost ten times apart: anes m on the Sol chain has a market cap of 394.1m, while cz on the BSC chain has a market cap of 57.8m. So it looks like CZ still has quite a lot of room. I don’t know how long this scumbag market maker can keep playing, though it’s already gone up a fair amount.

After Eth inserted a pin last night and then pulled back again, first of all this needle’s selling pressure digestion was basically done. Also, at that time it was in a double-top phase. Most importantly, after several consecutive red candles down, a single green candle immediately engulfed the move, indicating that after the sell pressure was digested, the bulls directly increased volume and pushed higher. And it again broke a nearby short-term high, reaching around 1833u.

Originally, after yesterday’s long positions were all taken profit, the plan was to enter a short around 1845. But the price was more than ten-odd points away from the entry level, so I didn’t get filled. And after the pin was inserted and then pulled back, it made another high. This suggests that here, the probability is high that a consolidation range will form and then another high will be pushed upward.

Although on the smaller timeframe it has been in a top divergence state, giving the feeling that a big crash could happen at any time, the price has stayed within a range: it goes up to the upper boundary and then comes down, and when it hits the lower boundary it rebounds upward. So there have been pin-like rejections both from above and below. For the safer approach, it’s recommended to enter the second short entry point, around 1885u.

The BTC short hasn’t caught the train yet. The near-term high has reached around 64.7k, and my planned short entry is at 65.3k, so I missed it by a bit. Even though it has already fallen a few thousand dollars, I won’t directly chase a short at the current price—the risk is still relatively high.

Because last night, on a smaller timeframe, it first dipped down with a wick, then got reclaimed, and also formed another small high. The sell pressure has basically been digested. In addition, the market is currently in a short-term pullback (rebound) phase, which means the bulls are still fairly strong, so I don’t dare to directly chase a short.

At the moment, the price is still in divergence, but if on the smaller timeframe it can’t break support, then the sideways range will likely continue—and it may keep breaking the recent short-term highs. So I’ll keep waiting for shorts to get to a better spot. For now, I’m planning to short around 65.3k. If the next rebound is strong, it might even touch around 67k. Of course, I’ll decide based on what pattern appears at the next high before entering the short. The shorting zone can be referenced as 65.0–67.0k.

Eth in the short term also achieved a successful breakout of the triangle pattern, and then the price kept rising steadily. The long position has been printing profits—basically around the 1570 cost price. As long as you can hold it, this move should net at least a couple hundred points in profit. The long positions have already all been stopped out and the profits taken.

Next, I’m preparing to consider entering a short position. The current price is near a local high. On the smaller timeframe, there are signs of a double top and a small triangle. However, if the double-top neckline holds, there’s a high probability that another new high will be made. So I choose to enter the short around the previous high of 1845. If the market is strong, it might wick up to around 1885u. Once it reaches that level, directly take a 10,000x short!

The BTC pattern continues to rise after breaking the bullish wedge, and the price has already reached around 6.4W. This increase was basically within my expectations. The long positions from 5.87W were taken all the way to 6.3W—nearly a five-thousand-point profit. All of it has been fully taken profit and realized. Now the friends who follow Brother Gua into the charge can feel comfortable.

Also, the current trend is already approaching the starting point of the wedge. For the short term, I’m preparing to consider entering a short. However, the current structure is still continuing to rise. While the short term is biased toward a decline, this kind of setup can easily pull upward to lure longs for one more spike. So I’m planning to play it safe: I’ll wait for the needle and enter the short. My plan is to place a sell limit order around 6.53W to enter the short.

Long positions feel so good

It’s been a long time since I last used a liquidation chart for analysis. Based on BTC’s liquidation chart over the past three days, the chips below are slightly lacking, while there are still a considerable number of chips around the 615k area above. This suggests that there are still quite a lot of people shorting right now, and most of their stop losses are placed around 615k. In addition, the current price is trading above 60k, so the likelihood of those chips at 615k being liquidated is relatively high. According to the liquidation chart, the probability of a bullish move in the short term is also higher.

The ETH pattern is still in a triangular formation. The price is near the upper boundary line—watch to see whether it can break through and hold steady. Also, for the long positions near 1570, you can take profit on part of the position first, and keep the remaining portion with a break-even stop-loss setup. Let's see if it can successfully break out and take off!

Btc4h This bullish wedge pattern is a bit more standard, but at the moment price is still in a pressure zone. Watch whether it can break through and hold; once it holds, a strong rebound should begin. After all, these past few days it has been consolidating. So I’m still staying bullish here. Considering the recent liquidity sweep, the current long positions have already set a break-even stop and have taken partial profits, so we’ll use the break-even setup to play it.

ETH long positions have also started to earn big. At the moment, there are still around fifty points of profit, with the cost basis being around 1570 for the long positions. The current price has reached near the pressure line. Watch to see if it can break through and hold. Once it breaks and holds, an additional acceleration in the uptrend is likely.

So now Gua Ge is taking the blame—no choice. It seems like they increased issuance under attack. The coins that were mined suddenly increased, and then they were疯狂ly dumped in huge volume, causing him to get knocked out. But most of the upgrades for He Yiyi are basically back to even—unless, like Gua Ge, you didn’t sell any coins at all. Let’s see if there’s any follow-up on the viewer’s side!

BTC finally took off. The high has broken above 61k. We went long at 58.7k; the loss from the day before yesterday has basically been made back this time. Right now there is still over a thousand points of profit, so remember to take profits in batches—do it in stages. The current price has already broken above the upper edge of the bullish wedge. Next, watch whether it can hold above it. Once it holds, there should be at least one more wave of accelerated rebound. For long positions, keep a portion and set a break-even stop-loss strategy!

BTC patterns are still in a bullish wedge, just waiting for a big bullish candle to take off

To be fair, Sol has been tough these past couple of days—basically it hasn’t dipped much. It’s been rebounding steadily. It could also be related to on-chain big money dogs—when the on-chain gets hot, everyone goes to play the Sol chain. They’re buying Sol to pump into shitcoins, and the price has also been lifted along with it.

Losing twice only needs to make a big profit once—to get everything back. Bullish and strong: BTC above 63,000, ETH above 1,700

ETH is stronger than BTC in terms of trend, but I didn’t catch the rebound yesterday, so I didn’t take profit on the long position. It’s still near the entry price, so I’m continuing to hold the long position. On the smaller timeframe, price has been ranging around the support level. If support holds, I’m still looking for a rebound. My long position cost is around 1570, and I’m continuing to hold.