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Bloom Energy Stock Down 43% in a Month — Can July 28 Earnings Save It?Bloom Energy stock sits at a critical inflection point. After shedding roughly 43% in a single month, BE closed at $184.89 on July 24. That places it just above the daily Bollinger lower bound. With Q2 earnings due July 28, genuine two-way risk dominates the setup. BE — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume. Key takeaways BE has dropped roughly 43% in one month, closing at $184.89 on July 24. The daily EMA200 at $186.84 is the last structural support buffer on the daily chart. Daily RSI at 36.11 approaches oversold territory; 1H RSI at 27.53 signals deeply oversold conditions. Q2 earnings on July 28 create a binary catalyst, with a daily ATR of $26.32 signaling elevated volatility. A daily close below $186.84 would remove the last support floor, exposing S1 at $174.01. Daily Timeframe — The Trend Is Still Down The daily bias on Bloom Energy stock is unambiguously weak. Price trades below the EMA20 at $237.78 and the EMA50 at $250.27. Both moving averages now act as distant overhead resistance. The only meaningful dynamic support comes from the EMA200 at $186.84. That level sits barely above Friday’s close. A daily close below it would remove the last structural buffer on this timeframe. Momentum Confirms Accelerating Weakness The MACD reinforces the bearish trend across the daily chart. Its line sits at -20.24, well below the signal line at -14.93. The histogram reads -5.30. Momentum is not just negative — it is accelerating. No divergence or exhaustion signal has appeared at this stage. However, the RSI at 36.11 does suggest the stock is approaching oversold territory. It has not yet triggered a formal reversal signal. Meanwhile, the daily ATR of $26.32 underscores the extreme volatility in this name. Single-day swings of that magnitude are routine. Risk sizing becomes exceptionally important in this environment. The daily Bollinger Bands further contextualize the damage. The midline sits at $244.62 and the lower band at $180.51. BE closed near the floor of its statistical range. Closes at or through the lower band typically signal exhaustion. Yet such closes can persist during prolonged breakdowns. Notably, the pivot point sits at $194.10 with R1 at $204.98. The next identifiable floor below the EMA200 is S1 at $174.01. Hourly Confirmation — Bearish Regime Intact The 1H chart reinforces the bearish regime on Bloom Energy stock. At $185.08, price sits far beneath three key moving averages. The EMA20 stands at $207.69, the EMA50 at $217.35, and the EMA200 at $250.84. All three are stacked in declining order above price — a textbook bear alignment. Oversold Without a Reversal Signal The 1H RSI is particularly striking at 27.53. That is a deeply oversold reading. On a shorter timeframe, such levels often precede at least a technical bounce. However, the 1H MACD remains firmly negative. Its line at -8.08 against a signal at -4.16 confirms that selling pressure has not released. The histogram at -3.92 is still widening. This cautions against reading the low RSI as an immediate reversal trigger. Meanwhile, on the 1H Bollinger Bands, price is pinned against the lower band at $184.95. The hourly pivot structure is tight. PP sits at $185.36, R1 at $187.49, and S1 at $182.94. Any intraday recovery attempt will likely face supply quickly at $187.49. A failure to reclaim even this narrow resistance would signal continued weakness. 15-Minute Context — Extreme Compression The 15-minute RSI on Bloom Energy stock registered an extraordinary 18.85. This near-extreme oversold reading typically signals imminent technical relief or the tail-end of selling capitulation. The MACD histogram at -0.61 has compressed sharply from earlier levels. Immediate selloff momentum may be fading at the micro level. In contrast, the 15m moving averages remain fully bearish. The EMA20 at $194.62, EMA50 at $204.58, and EMA200 at $218.17 all sit well above price. The ATR at $2.68 reflects the tight intraday range. This is consistent with a stock holding pattern ahead of a binary event. The Bullish Case for Bloom Energy Stock On the fundamental side, a credible counter-narrative exists to the technical damage. Q1 revenue reportedly grew 130% year-over-year. The company carries a reported $20 billion backlog. AI-driven energy demand and a major Oracle fuel-cell deal have been cited as structural tailwinds. Contracted backlog and cash position have reportedly continued climbing even as the stock collapsed. What a Positive Earnings Surprise Could Trigger Therefore, if Q2 earnings on July 28 meet or exceed Wall Street estimates, the stock could stage a sharp technical recovery. Revenue growth, margin expansion, and backlog confirmation would be the key metrics to watch. Daily RSI sits near oversold and price is compressed against the Bollinger lower band. Any positive surprise would enter an environment primed for a short-covering rally. The daily EMA200 at $186.84 and the hourly R1 at $187.49 would be the first levels to reclaim. Above those, the pivot point at $194.10 becomes the next meaningful target. The Bearish Scenario — When Support Fails If Q2 earnings disappoint, the technical floor under Bloom Energy stock could break quickly. A daily close below the EMA200 at $186.84 would mark significant deterioration. From there, daily S1 at $174.01 becomes the next logical reference. The bearish MACD structure on the daily chart would re-accelerate. Oversold RSI would simply reflect a stock in freefall rather than one coiling for recovery. Overall, the 43% one-month decline is not noise. It reflects serious selling conviction from investors who were long at much higher prices. That overhead supply does not disappear overnight. Even in an optimistic earnings scenario, any recovery would likely face significant distribution pressure. Trapped holders will look to reduce exposure at the first opportunity. Positioning Into a High-Volatility Event Bloom Energy stock presents a genuine tactical dilemma. The technical trend is bearish across all timeframes. Yet the depth of the selloff and extreme oversold readings create conditions where risk is truly binary. The earnings catalyst on July 28 only amplifies this tension. The daily ATR of $26.32 signals that post-earnings moves of significant magnitude are entirely within the normal range for this stock. Positioning here requires accepting that uncertainty is the dominant variable. Daily charts say stay cautious. RSI compression suggests a snap-back is possible. The earnings date indicates the market will resolve this tension within days. Waiting for confirmation after the July 28 report is the disciplined approach. In a setup this asymmetric, patience outweighs anticipation. FAQ What is the key support level for Bloom Energy stock? The daily EMA200 at $186.84 is the last structural support on the daily timeframe. A close below this level would expose the next floor at S1 $174.01. When are Bloom Energy’s Q2 earnings? Bloom Energy reports Q2 earnings on July 28. Is Bloom Energy stock oversold right now? Daily RSI at 36.11 is approaching oversold territory. The 1H RSI at 27.53 and 15m RSI at 18.85 signal deeply oversold conditions. However, no formal reversal signal has triggered on the daily MACD. What could drive a recovery in Bloom Energy stock? Strong Q2 earnings — particularly revenue growth, margin expansion, and backlog confirmation — could trigger a sharp recovery. With RSI near oversold and price at the Bollinger lower band, a positive surprise would enter an environment primed for a short-covering rally. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or cryptocurrency. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in crypto assets and financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision. Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.

Bloom Energy Stock Down 43% in a Month — Can July 28 Earnings Save It?

Bloom Energy stock sits at a critical inflection point. After shedding roughly 43% in a single month, BE closed at $184.89 on July 24. That places it just above the daily Bollinger lower bound. With Q2 earnings due July 28, genuine two-way risk dominates the setup.
BE — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Key takeaways
BE has dropped roughly 43% in one month, closing at $184.89 on July 24.
The daily EMA200 at $186.84 is the last structural support buffer on the daily chart.
Daily RSI at 36.11 approaches oversold territory; 1H RSI at 27.53 signals deeply oversold conditions.
Q2 earnings on July 28 create a binary catalyst, with a daily ATR of $26.32 signaling elevated volatility.
A daily close below $186.84 would remove the last support floor, exposing S1 at $174.01.
Daily Timeframe — The Trend Is Still Down
The daily bias on Bloom Energy stock is unambiguously weak. Price trades below the EMA20 at $237.78 and the EMA50 at $250.27. Both moving averages now act as distant overhead resistance. The only meaningful dynamic support comes from the EMA200 at $186.84. That level sits barely above Friday’s close. A daily close below it would remove the last structural buffer on this timeframe.
Momentum Confirms Accelerating Weakness
The MACD reinforces the bearish trend across the daily chart. Its line sits at -20.24, well below the signal line at -14.93. The histogram reads -5.30. Momentum is not just negative — it is accelerating. No divergence or exhaustion signal has appeared at this stage.
However, the RSI at 36.11 does suggest the stock is approaching oversold territory. It has not yet triggered a formal reversal signal. Meanwhile, the daily ATR of $26.32 underscores the extreme volatility in this name. Single-day swings of that magnitude are routine. Risk sizing becomes exceptionally important in this environment.
The daily Bollinger Bands further contextualize the damage. The midline sits at $244.62 and the lower band at $180.51. BE closed near the floor of its statistical range. Closes at or through the lower band typically signal exhaustion. Yet such closes can persist during prolonged breakdowns. Notably, the pivot point sits at $194.10 with R1 at $204.98. The next identifiable floor below the EMA200 is S1 at $174.01.
Hourly Confirmation — Bearish Regime Intact
The 1H chart reinforces the bearish regime on Bloom Energy stock. At $185.08, price sits far beneath three key moving averages. The EMA20 stands at $207.69, the EMA50 at $217.35, and the EMA200 at $250.84. All three are stacked in declining order above price — a textbook bear alignment.
Oversold Without a Reversal Signal
The 1H RSI is particularly striking at 27.53. That is a deeply oversold reading. On a shorter timeframe, such levels often precede at least a technical bounce. However, the 1H MACD remains firmly negative. Its line at -8.08 against a signal at -4.16 confirms that selling pressure has not released. The histogram at -3.92 is still widening. This cautions against reading the low RSI as an immediate reversal trigger.
Meanwhile, on the 1H Bollinger Bands, price is pinned against the lower band at $184.95. The hourly pivot structure is tight. PP sits at $185.36, R1 at $187.49, and S1 at $182.94. Any intraday recovery attempt will likely face supply quickly at $187.49. A failure to reclaim even this narrow resistance would signal continued weakness.
15-Minute Context — Extreme Compression
The 15-minute RSI on Bloom Energy stock registered an extraordinary 18.85. This near-extreme oversold reading typically signals imminent technical relief or the tail-end of selling capitulation. The MACD histogram at -0.61 has compressed sharply from earlier levels. Immediate selloff momentum may be fading at the micro level.
In contrast, the 15m moving averages remain fully bearish. The EMA20 at $194.62, EMA50 at $204.58, and EMA200 at $218.17 all sit well above price. The ATR at $2.68 reflects the tight intraday range. This is consistent with a stock holding pattern ahead of a binary event.
The Bullish Case for Bloom Energy Stock
On the fundamental side, a credible counter-narrative exists to the technical damage. Q1 revenue reportedly grew 130% year-over-year. The company carries a reported $20 billion backlog. AI-driven energy demand and a major Oracle fuel-cell deal have been cited as structural tailwinds. Contracted backlog and cash position have reportedly continued climbing even as the stock collapsed.
What a Positive Earnings Surprise Could Trigger
Therefore, if Q2 earnings on July 28 meet or exceed Wall Street estimates, the stock could stage a sharp technical recovery. Revenue growth, margin expansion, and backlog confirmation would be the key metrics to watch. Daily RSI sits near oversold and price is compressed against the Bollinger lower band. Any positive surprise would enter an environment primed for a short-covering rally.
The daily EMA200 at $186.84 and the hourly R1 at $187.49 would be the first levels to reclaim. Above those, the pivot point at $194.10 becomes the next meaningful target.
The Bearish Scenario — When Support Fails
If Q2 earnings disappoint, the technical floor under Bloom Energy stock could break quickly. A daily close below the EMA200 at $186.84 would mark significant deterioration. From there, daily S1 at $174.01 becomes the next logical reference. The bearish MACD structure on the daily chart would re-accelerate. Oversold RSI would simply reflect a stock in freefall rather than one coiling for recovery.
Overall, the 43% one-month decline is not noise. It reflects serious selling conviction from investors who were long at much higher prices. That overhead supply does not disappear overnight. Even in an optimistic earnings scenario, any recovery would likely face significant distribution pressure. Trapped holders will look to reduce exposure at the first opportunity.
Positioning Into a High-Volatility Event
Bloom Energy stock presents a genuine tactical dilemma. The technical trend is bearish across all timeframes. Yet the depth of the selloff and extreme oversold readings create conditions where risk is truly binary. The earnings catalyst on July 28 only amplifies this tension. The daily ATR of $26.32 signals that post-earnings moves of significant magnitude are entirely within the normal range for this stock.
Positioning here requires accepting that uncertainty is the dominant variable. Daily charts say stay cautious. RSI compression suggests a snap-back is possible. The earnings date indicates the market will resolve this tension within days. Waiting for confirmation after the July 28 report is the disciplined approach. In a setup this asymmetric, patience outweighs anticipation.
FAQ
What is the key support level for Bloom Energy stock?
The daily EMA200 at $186.84 is the last structural support on the daily timeframe. A close below this level would expose the next floor at S1 $174.01.
When are Bloom Energy’s Q2 earnings?
Bloom Energy reports Q2 earnings on July 28.
Is Bloom Energy stock oversold right now?
Daily RSI at 36.11 is approaching oversold territory. The 1H RSI at 27.53 and 15m RSI at 18.85 signal deeply oversold conditions. However, no formal reversal signal has triggered on the daily MACD.
What could drive a recovery in Bloom Energy stock?
Strong Q2 earnings — particularly revenue growth, margin expansion, and backlog confirmation — could trigger a sharp recovery. With RSI near oversold and price at the Bollinger lower band, a positive surprise would enter an environment primed for a short-covering rally.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or cryptocurrency. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in crypto assets and financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision.
Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.
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TSMC Stock at $403: Record Q2 and $100B CapEx Can’t Stop the SlideTSMC stock closed at $403.41 on July 24, trapped between record fundamentals and deteriorating technicals. Record Q2 results, a raised 2026 outlook, and $100 billion in U.S. CapEx have not translated into price momentum. The disconnect demands careful examination. TSM — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume. Key takeaways TSMC stock closed at $403.41 on July 24, below both the 20-day EMA ($422.30) and 50-day EMA ($419.29). The daily MACD histogram is widening to the downside at -2.78, confirming accelerating selling pressure. The hourly chart shows a full bearish stack with all three EMAs positioned above price. Record Q2 earnings, a raised 2026 outlook, and $100 billion in U.S. CapEx have not translated into price momentum. Key support sits at $398.50, with the lower Bollinger Band at $390.81 as the next downside target. Daily Timeframe: A Neutral Regime Masking Bearish Drift The daily chart reveals TSMC stock in a neutral regime with a clear bearish drift, closing below both key moving averages and showing no signs of stabilization. Moving Average Compression TSM closed at $403.41, sitting below both the 20-day EMA at $422.30 and the 50-day EMA at $419.29. This double compression below two key trend filters signals a decisive loss of bullish momentum. Price is not collapsing outright, but it is not holding support either. Momentum Signals Turn Decidedly Bearish The daily RSI at 42.4 sits in a soft bearish zone — not yet oversold, but clearly under pressure. Meanwhile, the MACD tells a more decisive story. The MACD line is at -5.71, the signal at -2.92, and the histogram at -2.78. Notably, the histogram is widening to the downside, confirming that selling pressure is accelerating rather than stabilizing. Volatility and Pivot Levels The Bollinger Band picture adds further context. The midline sits at $428.62, and TSM is trading well below it. The lower band at $390.81 represents near-term downside risk if deterioration continues. The daily ATR of $15.39 reflects meaningful intraday swings — this is not a low-volatility consolidation. Daily pivot analysis places the pivot point at $405.71, with R1 at $410.62 and S1 at $398.50. TSM closed just below the pivot — a mild but notable sign of weakness. Overall, the daily regime is classified as neutral, but the weight of evidence leans bearish in the short run. TSMC Stock on the Hourly Chart: Bearish Confirmation The 1-hour chart confirms an explicitly bearish regime for TSMC stock. Every single moving average is positioned above price — a full bearish stack that reflects sustained directional selling. TSM is trading at $403.69 on the hourly close. It sits below the 20-hour EMA at $411.29, the 50-hour EMA at $414.67, and the 200-hour EMA at $425.12. This alignment is not coincidental. It signals persistent selling across multiple time horizons. The hourly RSI at 35.7 is approaching oversold territory without quite reaching it. That positioning can be interpreted two ways. Either a bounce is near, or momentum is strong enough to push RSI lower before any recovery. Given the MACD configuration — line at -3.02, signal at -1.37, histogram at -1.65 — the latter scenario carries more weight. The hourly MACD histogram remains negative and expanding. On the hourly Bollinger Bands, TSM is pressing against the lower band at $400.36. However, in a strongly trending bearish environment, price can walk the lower band rather than bounce off it. That is the risk traders must account for here. The hourly ATR of $4.95 confirms active intraday volatility. Pivots are tight: PP at $403.09, R1 at $405.11, S1 at $401.66. The stock hovers just above S1, making $401.66 an immediate line in the sand. 15-Minute View: Marginal Stabilization, Not a Reversal The 15-minute chart shows TSMC stock stabilizing marginally — but this is exhaustion, not a reversal. The MACD histogram has nearly flattened at -0.05, a near-zero reading after a sustained negative run. Selling momentum is briefly decelerating, not reversing. The 15-minute RSI at 38.69 mirrors the hourly setup — weak but not fully oversold. Price remains below all three EMAs on this timeframe as well. The 15-minute Bollinger lower band at $402.20 provides immediate intraday support. Meanwhile, the upper band at $409.61 acts as a ceiling for any bounce attempt. ATR at $1.97 reflects a contained intraday range. Tactically, the 15-minute chart suggests a brief consolidation rather than a turning point. The Fundamental Backdrop: Strong Earnings, Tempered Enthusiasm TSMC’s fundamentals remain formidable by any objective measure — yet the market’s reaction has been notably restrained. Record Q2 results, a raised 2026 outlook, and $100 billion in fresh U.S. CapEx commitments speak to a company operating at peak demand. Record Results Meet Market Skepticism AI chip demand that TSMC reportedly still cannot fully meet underscores its structural positioning. However, the planned 2027 price hikes of 5% to 10%, plus HPC surcharges, will test pricing power across its customer base. This includes NVIDIA, Broadcom, AMD, and Qualcomm. Analysts on Seeking Alpha have openly noted that aggressive CapEx and already-elevated expectations have tempered enthusiasm. Geopolitical risk tied to Taiwan remains a persistent discount factor, as noted by Motley Fool commentary. One analyst revised their view to a hold, citing the tension between strong execution and market-priced perfection. Another argued that TSMC is a far safer buy than fabless competitors, given its insulation from AI price wars. The divergence in analyst opinion itself reflects the market’s current ambivalence. The Long-Term Anchor In contrast to the technical pressure, the long-term structural case for TSMC has not changed. The 200-day EMA at $360.75 remains far below current price. It serves as a reminder that the broader uptrend is still intact from a longer perspective. That level is a meaningful floor if the current correction deepens significantly. Bullish Scenario: What TSMC Stock Needs to Recover A bullish recovery in TSMC stock would require a clean recapture of the $410–$415 zone. That range corresponds to the hourly EMA cluster and the daily pivot resistance at $410.62. A daily close back above the 20-day EMA at $422.30 would be the stronger signal. It would confirm the recent pullback was a correction within an ongoing uptrend — not a trend reversal. On the momentum side, the daily MACD histogram would need to stop widening and begin compressing back toward zero. The RSI reclaiming the 50 level on the daily chart would add further confirmation. Fundamentally, continued AI-driven demand visibility and clarity on the CapEx return timeline could help restore institutional confidence. Any positive geopolitical development regarding Taiwan would also remove a structural discount that has capped valuation. Bearish Scenario: Risks That Could Deepen the Decline The bearish case for TSMC stock centers on a break below daily S1 at $398.50. That would expose the lower Bollinger Band at $390.81 as the next natural target. Below that level, there is meaningful space before the 200-day EMA at $360.75 provides structural support. The bearish case does not require fundamental deterioration. It simply requires the current technical momentum to persist. Aggressive CapEx commitments, while strategically sound, introduce near-term margin uncertainty. If the market begins to price in execution risk on the U.S. expansion, the technical weakness could find fundamental justification. Similarly, if AI chip demand visibility narrows, the selling pressure could deepen. Meanwhile, the 2027 price hike plan — while positive for long-term margins — could trigger demand caution from major customers in the near term. Positioning and Volatility: A Market at a Crossroads Overall, TSMC stock presents a technically bearish short-term setup against a fundamentally compelling long-term story. The daily chart signals a neutral-to-weak regime. The hourly chart confirms active bearish pressure. The 15-minute chart shows only a pause — not a pivot. Volatility remains elevated with a daily ATR of $15.39, meaning intraday swings can be punishing for undisciplined positioning. The $398–$403 zone is now the immediate battleground. How TSM handles that range in the sessions ahead will likely determine the next directional move. Either this becomes a buyable pullback within a longer uptrend, or it marks the beginning of a deeper corrective phase. Caution is warranted until the hourly regime flips. The daily MACD must stabilize, and price must reclaim at least the nearest EMA resistance. Until then, the chart deserves as much attention as the earnings release. FAQ Is TSMC stock a buy right now? Based on the technical picture, caution is warranted. The daily chart shows a neutral-to-bearish regime with TSMC stock below both the 20-day and 50-day EMAs. The hourly chart confirms active bearish pressure with a full bearish stack. A recovery above the $410–$415 zone would be needed to shift the near-term bias. Until then, the weight of evidence leans bearish in the short run. What are the key support levels for TSMC stock? Immediate support sits at $398.50, which is the daily S1 pivot level. Below that, the lower Bollinger Band at $390.81 becomes the next target. For longer-term perspective, the 200-day EMA at $360.75 provides structural support and remains far below the current price. Why is TSMC stock falling despite record earnings? Aggressive CapEx commitments and already-elevated expectations have tempered market enthusiasm despite record Q2 results. Geopolitical risk tied to Taiwan remains a persistent discount factor on the stock. The market also appears to be pricing in execution risk on the U.S. expansion and near-term margin uncertainty tied to the $100 billion CapEx plan. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or cryptocurrency. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in crypto assets and financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision. Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.

TSMC Stock at $403: Record Q2 and $100B CapEx Can’t Stop the Slide

TSMC stock closed at $403.41 on July 24, trapped between record fundamentals and deteriorating technicals. Record Q2 results, a raised 2026 outlook, and $100 billion in U.S. CapEx have not translated into price momentum. The disconnect demands careful examination.
TSM — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Key takeaways
TSMC stock closed at $403.41 on July 24, below both the 20-day EMA ($422.30) and 50-day EMA ($419.29).
The daily MACD histogram is widening to the downside at -2.78, confirming accelerating selling pressure.
The hourly chart shows a full bearish stack with all three EMAs positioned above price.
Record Q2 earnings, a raised 2026 outlook, and $100 billion in U.S. CapEx have not translated into price momentum.
Key support sits at $398.50, with the lower Bollinger Band at $390.81 as the next downside target.
Daily Timeframe: A Neutral Regime Masking Bearish Drift
The daily chart reveals TSMC stock in a neutral regime with a clear bearish drift, closing below both key moving averages and showing no signs of stabilization.
Moving Average Compression
TSM closed at $403.41, sitting below both the 20-day EMA at $422.30 and the 50-day EMA at $419.29. This double compression below two key trend filters signals a decisive loss of bullish momentum. Price is not collapsing outright, but it is not holding support either.
Momentum Signals Turn Decidedly Bearish
The daily RSI at 42.4 sits in a soft bearish zone — not yet oversold, but clearly under pressure. Meanwhile, the MACD tells a more decisive story. The MACD line is at -5.71, the signal at -2.92, and the histogram at -2.78. Notably, the histogram is widening to the downside, confirming that selling pressure is accelerating rather than stabilizing.
Volatility and Pivot Levels
The Bollinger Band picture adds further context. The midline sits at $428.62, and TSM is trading well below it. The lower band at $390.81 represents near-term downside risk if deterioration continues. The daily ATR of $15.39 reflects meaningful intraday swings — this is not a low-volatility consolidation. Daily pivot analysis places the pivot point at $405.71, with R1 at $410.62 and S1 at $398.50. TSM closed just below the pivot — a mild but notable sign of weakness. Overall, the daily regime is classified as neutral, but the weight of evidence leans bearish in the short run.
TSMC Stock on the Hourly Chart: Bearish Confirmation
The 1-hour chart confirms an explicitly bearish regime for TSMC stock. Every single moving average is positioned above price — a full bearish stack that reflects sustained directional selling.
TSM is trading at $403.69 on the hourly close. It sits below the 20-hour EMA at $411.29, the 50-hour EMA at $414.67, and the 200-hour EMA at $425.12. This alignment is not coincidental. It signals persistent selling across multiple time horizons.
The hourly RSI at 35.7 is approaching oversold territory without quite reaching it. That positioning can be interpreted two ways. Either a bounce is near, or momentum is strong enough to push RSI lower before any recovery. Given the MACD configuration — line at -3.02, signal at -1.37, histogram at -1.65 — the latter scenario carries more weight. The hourly MACD histogram remains negative and expanding.
On the hourly Bollinger Bands, TSM is pressing against the lower band at $400.36. However, in a strongly trending bearish environment, price can walk the lower band rather than bounce off it. That is the risk traders must account for here. The hourly ATR of $4.95 confirms active intraday volatility. Pivots are tight: PP at $403.09, R1 at $405.11, S1 at $401.66. The stock hovers just above S1, making $401.66 an immediate line in the sand.
15-Minute View: Marginal Stabilization, Not a Reversal
The 15-minute chart shows TSMC stock stabilizing marginally — but this is exhaustion, not a reversal. The MACD histogram has nearly flattened at -0.05, a near-zero reading after a sustained negative run. Selling momentum is briefly decelerating, not reversing.
The 15-minute RSI at 38.69 mirrors the hourly setup — weak but not fully oversold. Price remains below all three EMAs on this timeframe as well. The 15-minute Bollinger lower band at $402.20 provides immediate intraday support. Meanwhile, the upper band at $409.61 acts as a ceiling for any bounce attempt. ATR at $1.97 reflects a contained intraday range. Tactically, the 15-minute chart suggests a brief consolidation rather than a turning point.
The Fundamental Backdrop: Strong Earnings, Tempered Enthusiasm
TSMC’s fundamentals remain formidable by any objective measure — yet the market’s reaction has been notably restrained. Record Q2 results, a raised 2026 outlook, and $100 billion in fresh U.S. CapEx commitments speak to a company operating at peak demand.
Record Results Meet Market Skepticism
AI chip demand that TSMC reportedly still cannot fully meet underscores its structural positioning. However, the planned 2027 price hikes of 5% to 10%, plus HPC surcharges, will test pricing power across its customer base. This includes NVIDIA, Broadcom, AMD, and Qualcomm. Analysts on Seeking Alpha have openly noted that aggressive CapEx and already-elevated expectations have tempered enthusiasm. Geopolitical risk tied to Taiwan remains a persistent discount factor, as noted by Motley Fool commentary.
One analyst revised their view to a hold, citing the tension between strong execution and market-priced perfection. Another argued that TSMC is a far safer buy than fabless competitors, given its insulation from AI price wars. The divergence in analyst opinion itself reflects the market’s current ambivalence.
The Long-Term Anchor
In contrast to the technical pressure, the long-term structural case for TSMC has not changed. The 200-day EMA at $360.75 remains far below current price. It serves as a reminder that the broader uptrend is still intact from a longer perspective. That level is a meaningful floor if the current correction deepens significantly.
Bullish Scenario: What TSMC Stock Needs to Recover
A bullish recovery in TSMC stock would require a clean recapture of the $410–$415 zone. That range corresponds to the hourly EMA cluster and the daily pivot resistance at $410.62. A daily close back above the 20-day EMA at $422.30 would be the stronger signal. It would confirm the recent pullback was a correction within an ongoing uptrend — not a trend reversal.
On the momentum side, the daily MACD histogram would need to stop widening and begin compressing back toward zero. The RSI reclaiming the 50 level on the daily chart would add further confirmation. Fundamentally, continued AI-driven demand visibility and clarity on the CapEx return timeline could help restore institutional confidence. Any positive geopolitical development regarding Taiwan would also remove a structural discount that has capped valuation.
Bearish Scenario: Risks That Could Deepen the Decline
The bearish case for TSMC stock centers on a break below daily S1 at $398.50. That would expose the lower Bollinger Band at $390.81 as the next natural target. Below that level, there is meaningful space before the 200-day EMA at $360.75 provides structural support.
The bearish case does not require fundamental deterioration. It simply requires the current technical momentum to persist. Aggressive CapEx commitments, while strategically sound, introduce near-term margin uncertainty. If the market begins to price in execution risk on the U.S. expansion, the technical weakness could find fundamental justification. Similarly, if AI chip demand visibility narrows, the selling pressure could deepen. Meanwhile, the 2027 price hike plan — while positive for long-term margins — could trigger demand caution from major customers in the near term.
Positioning and Volatility: A Market at a Crossroads
Overall, TSMC stock presents a technically bearish short-term setup against a fundamentally compelling long-term story. The daily chart signals a neutral-to-weak regime. The hourly chart confirms active bearish pressure. The 15-minute chart shows only a pause — not a pivot. Volatility remains elevated with a daily ATR of $15.39, meaning intraday swings can be punishing for undisciplined positioning.
The $398–$403 zone is now the immediate battleground. How TSM handles that range in the sessions ahead will likely determine the next directional move. Either this becomes a buyable pullback within a longer uptrend, or it marks the beginning of a deeper corrective phase. Caution is warranted until the hourly regime flips. The daily MACD must stabilize, and price must reclaim at least the nearest EMA resistance. Until then, the chart deserves as much attention as the earnings release.
FAQ
Is TSMC stock a buy right now?
Based on the technical picture, caution is warranted. The daily chart shows a neutral-to-bearish regime with TSMC stock below both the 20-day and 50-day EMAs. The hourly chart confirms active bearish pressure with a full bearish stack. A recovery above the $410–$415 zone would be needed to shift the near-term bias. Until then, the weight of evidence leans bearish in the short run.
What are the key support levels for TSMC stock?
Immediate support sits at $398.50, which is the daily S1 pivot level. Below that, the lower Bollinger Band at $390.81 becomes the next target. For longer-term perspective, the 200-day EMA at $360.75 provides structural support and remains far below the current price.
Why is TSMC stock falling despite record earnings?
Aggressive CapEx commitments and already-elevated expectations have tempered market enthusiasm despite record Q2 results. Geopolitical risk tied to Taiwan remains a persistent discount factor on the stock. The market also appears to be pricing in execution risk on the U.S. expansion and near-term margin uncertainty tied to the $100 billion CapEx plan.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or cryptocurrency. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in crypto assets and financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision.
Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.
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Falência da Storj Labs acontece após arrecadar US$ 35M — mas não é um colapsoUma empresa descentralizada de armazenamento em nuvem que, certa vez, arrecadou US$ 35 milhões e realizou uma oferta de tokens cripto de destaque entrou com pedido de proteção contra falência — mas a história é mais complexa do que um simples colapso. A Storj Labs pediu falência sob o Capítulo 11 em 26 de julho de 2026, no Tribunal de Falências dos Estados Unidos para o Distrito Norte da Virgínia Ocidental, sob o número do caso 5:26-bk-00512. A medida não é sobre um negócio quebrado. É sobre uma empresa tentando escapar da sombra de seu próprio histórico financeiro. Principais conclusões

Falência da Storj Labs acontece após arrecadar US$ 35M — mas não é um colapso

Uma empresa descentralizada de armazenamento em nuvem que, certa vez, arrecadou US$ 35 milhões e realizou uma oferta de tokens cripto de destaque entrou com pedido de proteção contra falência — mas a história é mais complexa do que um simples colapso. A Storj Labs pediu falência sob o Capítulo 11 em 26 de julho de 2026, no Tribunal de Falências dos Estados Unidos para o Distrito Norte da Virgínia Ocidental, sob o número do caso 5:26-bk-00512. A medida não é sobre um negócio quebrado. É sobre uma empresa tentando escapar da sombra de seu próprio histórico financeiro.
Principais conclusões
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Ark Buys $14M in Circle Stock While Insiders Sell Over $30MCircle Stock (CRCL) closed at $62.36 on July 24, trapped below a cascade of declining moving averages across all key timeframes. The technical structure remains firmly bearish, though short-term charts hint at stabilization rather than an immediate breakdown. CRCL — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume. Key takeaways CRCL closed at $62.36, well below its 20-day EMA at $67.30, 50-day EMA at $77.71, and 200-day EMA at $90.05 — a textbook bearish cascade. Daily RSI at 41.2 has not reached oversold territory, leaving room for further downside before buyers gain a technical excuse to step in. Ark Invest purchased $14 million in Circle Stock, while President Heath Tarbert sold over 360,000 shares totaling more than $30 million since the IPO. Bearish targets sit at $60.49 (S1 support), then the lower Bollinger Band at $57.21. Bulls need a daily close above the 20-day EMA at $67.30 with volume to begin challenging the bearish structure. Circle Stock Under Pressure as Bearish Structure Persists Circle Stock remains locked in a textbook bearish structure across all meaningful timeframes. CRCL trades well below a stack of declining exponential moving averages that collectively leave little room for a bullish interpretation. The main bias is unambiguously to the downside. What short-term price action offers is stabilization — not a reversal. Meanwhile, the weight of evidence across daily and hourly charts does nothing to challenge this reading. Traders looking for a trend change will find no confirmation here yet. Daily Timeframe — Bearish Regime Fully Intact The daily chart confirms an unambiguous downtrend. CRCL sits beneath its 20-day EMA at $67.30, its 50-day EMA at $77.71, and its 200-day EMA at $90.05. That cascading alignment — price below all three, with each EMA below the next — signals sustained selling pressure measured in weeks, not days. The RSI at 41.2 reinforces this view. The reading sits in the lower half of the range without touching oversold territory. There is still room to fall. Meanwhile, the MACD line at -4.72 remains below the signal line at -5.84. However, the histogram has turned positive at 1.12 — a small but notable detail suggesting the pace of selling may be decelerating. Bollinger Bands place the midline at $65.30. The lower band sits at $57.21 and the upper at $73.39. Price currently floats between the midline and the lower band — consistent with a stock in a downtrend. The daily ATR of $4.92 indicates meaningful intraday volatility. Traders should expect wide swings within this range. Pivot analysis puts the daily pivot point at $61.83, with resistance at $63.71 and support at $60.49. Friday’s close at $62.36 is marginally above the pivot. That is a thin positive, but not enough to alter the structural outlook. Hourly View — Bearish, But Selling Pressure May Be Decelerating The hourly chart reinforces the bearish outlook without adding new conviction to the sell case. Price at $62.41 sits below the 1H EMA20 at $63.65, EMA50 at $64.46, and EMA200 at $71.16. The alignment mirrors the daily setup on a smaller scale. No hourly structure contradicts the daily bear case. Still, the 1H RSI at 42.01 does show a modest detail worth noting. It hovers near the same subdued level as the daily reading. This suggests accumulated selling pressure rather than a fresh breakdown. The 1H MACD is modestly negative — line at -0.99 versus signal at -0.85 — with a histogram of -0.14. In contrast to the daily chart, the hourly selling momentum is not accelerating. The 1H Bollinger midline sits at $63.90, with price trading below it. The 1H ATR of $1.42 reflects contained intraday movement. Resistance at the hourly R1 of $62.63 is the immediate ceiling. Support at $62.08 is the first line of defense for bulls on a short-term basis. 15-Minute Chart — Neutral Consolidation, No Clear Signal The 15-minute chart shifts to neutral — an important divergence from the higher timeframes. RSI on the 15m stands at 48.97, close to the midpoint. The MACD histogram is a slight positive at 0.02, with the line and signal nearly flat at -0.05 and -0.07 respectively. At this granularity, CRCL is not breaking down further. But it is also not recovering with any conviction. Price is essentially pinned near $62.41, consolidating in a tight Bollinger Band range of $62.10 to $62.91. The 15m EMA200 at $64.27 sits well above current price, confirming the broader downtrend even within this short window. For traders looking for entry timing, the 15m picture says “wait” rather than “act.” The setup is not clean enough for confident positioning in either direction on the short-term. News Flow — Institutional Buying Meets Insider Selling Conflicting fundamental signals are emerging around Circle Stock. Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest purchased another $14 million worth of shares, adding to existing positions across three ETFs. That kind of institutional conviction from a high-profile growth investor is not something to dismiss lightly. It suggests at least one major player sees long-term value below current levels. On the other hand, Circle’s President Heath Tarbert sold over 360,000 shares — totaling more than $30 million in CRCL since the IPO. The filings describe the sales as routine, and SEC-planned sales often are. Nevertheless, the optics of significant insider supply hitting the market while the stock trades below every major moving average is a headwind that cannot be ignored. Meanwhile, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire publicly pointed to record growth expectations for the stablecoin market. The narrative is growth-oriented. However, Motley Fool’s framing raises a pointed question: whether CRCL is actually the best vehicle to capture that upside. The gap between the macro stablecoin story and the stock’s technical weakness suggests the market is not yet pricing in that optimism. Bullish Scenario — What Circle Stock Needs to Recover Bulls would need CRCL to reclaim the daily EMA20 at $67.30 with volume to signal even a short-term mean-reversion trade. That level is the first meaningful structural threshold. A close above it could attract momentum buyers who have so far stayed away. The positive MACD histogram on the daily — even if small — is one early ingredient for a potential recovery. If the 1H momentum can turn cleanly positive and price clears the R1 at $62.63, then challenges toward $63.71 and beyond become realistic. Continued institutional accumulation from firms like Ark Invest could also act as a floor, slowing further deterioration and eventually shifting sentiment. Bearish Scenario — The Path of Least Resistance The bearish path requires far less effort from the market. A failure to hold above the daily pivot at $61.83 reopens the path toward S1 support at $60.49. Below that, the lower Bollinger Band at $57.21 becomes the next logical target. Given that all three daily EMAs are pointing lower, the structural case for further downside remains credible. The RSI has not yet reached oversold territory, leaving the door open for additional weakness. Insider selling pressure adds to this risk. If Tarbert’s sales continue or other insiders follow suit, the supply overhang could weigh on any attempted recovery. At the same time, if the stablecoin growth narrative fails to translate into concrete earnings momentum, the valuation premium that once justified higher prices may continue to erode. Positioning and Final Assessment Circle Stock remains a bearish proposition until proven otherwise. The daily and hourly regimes are both bearish. The 15-minute chart offers a momentary pause — not a trend change. With an ATR of $4.92 on the daily, volatility is high enough to punish poorly-timed entries on both sides. The key question is whether institutional buyers like Ark Invest can absorb enough supply to prevent another leg lower. Until CRCL reclaims its EMA20 on a daily close, the technical bias remains firmly bearish. Overall, uncertainty is elevated and the risk-reward for aggressive long positioning is unfavorable at this stage. Patience is the most rational posture here. FAQ What is the current technical outlook for Circle Stock? Circle Stock is in a firmly bearish structure on both daily and hourly timeframes. CRCL trades below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day EMAs, with the daily RSI at 41.2 — not yet oversold, suggesting further downside remains possible before a meaningful bounce. What price levels should traders watch for CRCL? Key resistance sits at the daily EMA20 of $67.30. Support levels include the daily pivot at $61.83, S1 at $60.49, and the lower Bollinger Band at $57.21. On the hourly chart, resistance at $62.63 and support at $62.08 are the immediate short-term thresholds. Are there conflicting signals in Circle Stock’s fundamental backdrop? Yes. Ark Invest, led by Cathie Wood, purchased an additional $14 million in Circle Stock, signaling institutional conviction at current levels. However, Circle President Heath Tarbert sold over 360,000 shares totaling more than $30 million since the IPO, creating a supply overhang that weighs on any recovery attempt. What needs to happen for Circle Stock to turn bullish? CRCL must reclaim the daily EMA20 at $67.30 on a closing basis with meaningful volume. A positive turn in the 1H momentum combined with a break above hourly R1 at $62.63 would be an early signal of improving conditions. Until then, the technical bias remains bearish. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or cryptocurrency. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in crypto assets and financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision. Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.

Ark Buys $14M in Circle Stock While Insiders Sell Over $30M

Circle Stock (CRCL) closed at $62.36 on July 24, trapped below a cascade of declining moving averages across all key timeframes. The technical structure remains firmly bearish, though short-term charts hint at stabilization rather than an immediate breakdown.
CRCL — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.
Key takeaways
CRCL closed at $62.36, well below its 20-day EMA at $67.30, 50-day EMA at $77.71, and 200-day EMA at $90.05 — a textbook bearish cascade.
Daily RSI at 41.2 has not reached oversold territory, leaving room for further downside before buyers gain a technical excuse to step in.
Ark Invest purchased $14 million in Circle Stock, while President Heath Tarbert sold over 360,000 shares totaling more than $30 million since the IPO.
Bearish targets sit at $60.49 (S1 support), then the lower Bollinger Band at $57.21.
Bulls need a daily close above the 20-day EMA at $67.30 with volume to begin challenging the bearish structure.
Circle Stock Under Pressure as Bearish Structure Persists
Circle Stock remains locked in a textbook bearish structure across all meaningful timeframes. CRCL trades well below a stack of declining exponential moving averages that collectively leave little room for a bullish interpretation.
The main bias is unambiguously to the downside. What short-term price action offers is stabilization — not a reversal. Meanwhile, the weight of evidence across daily and hourly charts does nothing to challenge this reading. Traders looking for a trend change will find no confirmation here yet.
Daily Timeframe — Bearish Regime Fully Intact
The daily chart confirms an unambiguous downtrend. CRCL sits beneath its 20-day EMA at $67.30, its 50-day EMA at $77.71, and its 200-day EMA at $90.05. That cascading alignment — price below all three, with each EMA below the next — signals sustained selling pressure measured in weeks, not days.
The RSI at 41.2 reinforces this view. The reading sits in the lower half of the range without touching oversold territory. There is still room to fall. Meanwhile, the MACD line at -4.72 remains below the signal line at -5.84. However, the histogram has turned positive at 1.12 — a small but notable detail suggesting the pace of selling may be decelerating.
Bollinger Bands place the midline at $65.30. The lower band sits at $57.21 and the upper at $73.39. Price currently floats between the midline and the lower band — consistent with a stock in a downtrend. The daily ATR of $4.92 indicates meaningful intraday volatility. Traders should expect wide swings within this range.
Pivot analysis puts the daily pivot point at $61.83, with resistance at $63.71 and support at $60.49. Friday’s close at $62.36 is marginally above the pivot. That is a thin positive, but not enough to alter the structural outlook.
Hourly View — Bearish, But Selling Pressure May Be Decelerating
The hourly chart reinforces the bearish outlook without adding new conviction to the sell case. Price at $62.41 sits below the 1H EMA20 at $63.65, EMA50 at $64.46, and EMA200 at $71.16. The alignment mirrors the daily setup on a smaller scale. No hourly structure contradicts the daily bear case.
Still, the 1H RSI at 42.01 does show a modest detail worth noting. It hovers near the same subdued level as the daily reading. This suggests accumulated selling pressure rather than a fresh breakdown. The 1H MACD is modestly negative — line at -0.99 versus signal at -0.85 — with a histogram of -0.14. In contrast to the daily chart, the hourly selling momentum is not accelerating.
The 1H Bollinger midline sits at $63.90, with price trading below it. The 1H ATR of $1.42 reflects contained intraday movement. Resistance at the hourly R1 of $62.63 is the immediate ceiling. Support at $62.08 is the first line of defense for bulls on a short-term basis.
15-Minute Chart — Neutral Consolidation, No Clear Signal
The 15-minute chart shifts to neutral — an important divergence from the higher timeframes. RSI on the 15m stands at 48.97, close to the midpoint. The MACD histogram is a slight positive at 0.02, with the line and signal nearly flat at -0.05 and -0.07 respectively.
At this granularity, CRCL is not breaking down further. But it is also not recovering with any conviction. Price is essentially pinned near $62.41, consolidating in a tight Bollinger Band range of $62.10 to $62.91. The 15m EMA200 at $64.27 sits well above current price, confirming the broader downtrend even within this short window.
For traders looking for entry timing, the 15m picture says “wait” rather than “act.” The setup is not clean enough for confident positioning in either direction on the short-term.
News Flow — Institutional Buying Meets Insider Selling
Conflicting fundamental signals are emerging around Circle Stock. Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest purchased another $14 million worth of shares, adding to existing positions across three ETFs. That kind of institutional conviction from a high-profile growth investor is not something to dismiss lightly. It suggests at least one major player sees long-term value below current levels.
On the other hand, Circle’s President Heath Tarbert sold over 360,000 shares — totaling more than $30 million in CRCL since the IPO. The filings describe the sales as routine, and SEC-planned sales often are. Nevertheless, the optics of significant insider supply hitting the market while the stock trades below every major moving average is a headwind that cannot be ignored.
Meanwhile, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire publicly pointed to record growth expectations for the stablecoin market. The narrative is growth-oriented. However, Motley Fool’s framing raises a pointed question: whether CRCL is actually the best vehicle to capture that upside. The gap between the macro stablecoin story and the stock’s technical weakness suggests the market is not yet pricing in that optimism.
Bullish Scenario — What Circle Stock Needs to Recover
Bulls would need CRCL to reclaim the daily EMA20 at $67.30 with volume to signal even a short-term mean-reversion trade. That level is the first meaningful structural threshold. A close above it could attract momentum buyers who have so far stayed away.
The positive MACD histogram on the daily — even if small — is one early ingredient for a potential recovery. If the 1H momentum can turn cleanly positive and price clears the R1 at $62.63, then challenges toward $63.71 and beyond become realistic. Continued institutional accumulation from firms like Ark Invest could also act as a floor, slowing further deterioration and eventually shifting sentiment.
Bearish Scenario — The Path of Least Resistance
The bearish path requires far less effort from the market. A failure to hold above the daily pivot at $61.83 reopens the path toward S1 support at $60.49. Below that, the lower Bollinger Band at $57.21 becomes the next logical target.
Given that all three daily EMAs are pointing lower, the structural case for further downside remains credible. The RSI has not yet reached oversold territory, leaving the door open for additional weakness. Insider selling pressure adds to this risk. If Tarbert’s sales continue or other insiders follow suit, the supply overhang could weigh on any attempted recovery. At the same time, if the stablecoin growth narrative fails to translate into concrete earnings momentum, the valuation premium that once justified higher prices may continue to erode.
Positioning and Final Assessment
Circle Stock remains a bearish proposition until proven otherwise. The daily and hourly regimes are both bearish. The 15-minute chart offers a momentary pause — not a trend change. With an ATR of $4.92 on the daily, volatility is high enough to punish poorly-timed entries on both sides.
The key question is whether institutional buyers like Ark Invest can absorb enough supply to prevent another leg lower. Until CRCL reclaims its EMA20 on a daily close, the technical bias remains firmly bearish. Overall, uncertainty is elevated and the risk-reward for aggressive long positioning is unfavorable at this stage. Patience is the most rational posture here.
FAQ
What is the current technical outlook for Circle Stock?
Circle Stock is in a firmly bearish structure on both daily and hourly timeframes. CRCL trades below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day EMAs, with the daily RSI at 41.2 — not yet oversold, suggesting further downside remains possible before a meaningful bounce.
What price levels should traders watch for CRCL?
Key resistance sits at the daily EMA20 of $67.30. Support levels include the daily pivot at $61.83, S1 at $60.49, and the lower Bollinger Band at $57.21. On the hourly chart, resistance at $62.63 and support at $62.08 are the immediate short-term thresholds.
Are there conflicting signals in Circle Stock’s fundamental backdrop?
Yes. Ark Invest, led by Cathie Wood, purchased an additional $14 million in Circle Stock, signaling institutional conviction at current levels. However, Circle President Heath Tarbert sold over 360,000 shares totaling more than $30 million since the IPO, creating a supply overhang that weighs on any recovery attempt.
What needs to happen for Circle Stock to turn bullish?
CRCL must reclaim the daily EMA20 at $67.30 on a closing basis with meaningful volume. A positive turn in the 1H momentum combined with a break above hourly R1 at $62.63 would be an early signal of improving conditions. Until then, the technical bias remains bearish.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or cryptocurrency. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in crypto assets and financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision.
Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.
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A Ação da Strategy Presa Abaixo de Todas as Médias Móveis a US$ 91,67A ação Strategy fechou a US$ 91,67 em 24 de julho, presa abaixo de todas as principais médias móveis. O regime de baixa é confirmado em todos os períodos — do diário ao gráfico de 15 minutos. Os vendedores continuam firmemente no controle, e as tentativas de recuperação ainda não ganharam tração. MSTR — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume. Principais pontos MSTR fechou a US$ 91,67, abaixo de todas as EMAs diárias — uma pilha totalmente alinhada em baixa O RSI diário em 39,14 sinaliza fraqueza contínua, ainda sem fundo O histograma do MACD diário virou positivo (+1,8), o único sinal construtivo

A Ação da Strategy Presa Abaixo de Todas as Médias Móveis a US$ 91,67

A ação Strategy fechou a US$ 91,67 em 24 de julho, presa abaixo de todas as principais médias móveis. O regime de baixa é confirmado em todos os períodos — do diário ao gráfico de 15 minutos. Os vendedores continuam firmemente no controle, e as tentativas de recuperação ainda não ganharam tração.
MSTR — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume.
Principais pontos
MSTR fechou a US$ 91,67, abaixo de todas as EMAs diárias — uma pilha totalmente alinhada em baixa
O RSI diário em 39,14 sinaliza fraqueza contínua, ainda sem fundo
O histograma do MACD diário virou positivo (+1,8), o único sinal construtivo
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O Maior Banco da Coreia vai Usar a Rede de Pagamentos em Blockchain de US$ 4T da JPMorganO maior banco da Coreia do Sul está prestes a enviar dólares corporativos por meio de trilhos de blockchain — e as implicações vão muito além de um único lançamento de produto. O KB Kookmin Bank vai lançar um serviço de pagamentos corporativos transfronteiriços alimentado pela Kinexys em agosto de 2026, tornando-se a primeira instituição financeira sul-coreana a usar a rede de pagamentos em blockchain da J.P. Morgan para liquidações comerciais ao vivo, segundo a Agência Yonhap da Coreia do Sul. A medida sinaliza algo maior: os pagamentos em blockchain na Coreia estão passando de programas-piloto para uma infraestrutura de produção.

O Maior Banco da Coreia vai Usar a Rede de Pagamentos em Blockchain de US$ 4T da JPMorgan

O maior banco da Coreia do Sul está prestes a enviar dólares corporativos por meio de trilhos de blockchain — e as implicações vão muito além de um único lançamento de produto. O KB Kookmin Bank vai lançar um serviço de pagamentos corporativos transfronteiriços alimentado pela Kinexys em agosto de 2026, tornando-se a primeira instituição financeira sul-coreana a usar a rede de pagamentos em blockchain da J.P. Morgan para liquidações comerciais ao vivo, segundo a Agência Yonhap da Coreia do Sul. A medida sinaliza algo maior: os pagamentos em blockchain na Coreia estão passando de programas-piloto para uma infraestrutura de produção.
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50% Growth, 3 Straight Years: Multiverse Funding Round Hits $2.1BA $70 million bet on AI training just pushed Multiverse’s valuation past the $2 billion mark — and the numbers behind the raise suggest this is more than a routine fundraise. The Multiverse funding round, led by Schroders Capital, values the London-based EdTech company at $2.1 billion, up from $1.7 billion following its 2022 Series D. Since founder Euan Blair launched the company in 2016, Multiverse has now accumulated roughly $570 million in total capital. Key takeaways Multiverse raised $70 million in a new funding round led by Schroders Capital, announced on May 15. The company is now valued at $2.1 billion, up from $1.7 billion in 2022. Total capital raised since founding in 2016 has reached approximately $570 million. Multiverse has posted 50% year-over-year revenue growth for three consecutive years. The company is pivoting toward AI training and plans to expand across Europe, with clients including Microsoft, Mars, and the John Lewis Partnership. Multiverse secures $70 million funding led by Schroders Capital Schroders Capital led the latest round, which was announced on May 15. The raise is notable not just for its size but for what it signals about investor appetite for workforce upskilling platforms at a moment when enterprise demand for AI competency is accelerating rapidly. Funding round boosts total capital raised to $570 million since 2016 The trajectory tells its own story. Multiverse’s $130 million Series C in 2021 valued the business at $875 million. A $220 million Series D the following year pushed it past the billion-dollar mark at $1.7 billion. This latest round adds another layer, bringing cumulative fundraising to approximately $570 million and valuation to $2.1 billion — a roughly 24% jump in roughly three years. Every Multiverse employee received equity as part of this funding round, a move that ties the broader team directly to the company’s next chapter. Valuation surges to $2.1 billion amid strong revenue growth Behind the valuation jump is genuine financial momentum. Multiverse has delivered 50% year-over-year revenue growth for three consecutive years — the kind of compounding performance that tends to attract institutional capital even in tighter funding environments. 50% year-over-year revenue growth for three consecutive years Sustaining 50% annual growth over three years is rare in any sector. In EdTech, where many platforms struggled post-pandemic as corporate training budgets tightened, it stands out even more sharply. The consistency of that growth rate suggests demand isn’t softening — and that enterprise clients are renewing and expanding rather than churning. Strategic shift from tech apprenticeships to AI training Multiverse was not always an AI company. Understanding where it started makes the pivot more meaningful. Company founded in 2016 with a focus on tech apprenticeships Euan Blair founded Multiverse in 2016 on a straightforward but ambitious thesis: that apprenticeships could compete with four-year university degrees as a legitimate pathway into technology careers. The company built its early business by connecting employers with apprentices, expanding from London to the United States with a co-headquarters established in New York. Pivot to AI training addressing growing enterprise demand That original model has since evolved. Multiverse shifted its focus toward AI training as large enterprises began searching for scalable ways to upskill their workforces — not just in junior development roles, but across broader functions. The demand isn’t theoretical: clients like Microsoft, Mars, and the John Lewis Partnership represent the kind of global enterprise footprint that validates both the market and Multiverse’s positioning within it. The strategic logic is clear. Apprenticeships served a specific hiring pipeline. AI training serves a much larger workforce transformation challenge — one that affects millions of employees already in post, not just those entering the job market. That’s a fundamentally larger addressable market, and it explains much of the valuation premium investors are now attaching to the business. Expansion plans targeting European AI and tech training markets With $70 million freshly raised, Multiverse is pointing its ambitions toward Europe. The company’s plans center on expanding AI and tech adoption training across the continent — building on an enterprise client base that already spans major global brands. The European market represents a significant opportunity for AI workforce training. As businesses across the region accelerate digital transformation, demand for structured upskilling programs is growing faster than traditional educational institutions can respond. Multiverse’s model — built on enterprise partnerships rather than individual consumer subscriptions — positions it well to capture that institutional demand at scale. Whether the company can replicate its growth trajectory in new European markets while simultaneously deepening its AI training capabilities will be the defining test of the next phase. The capital is in place. The financial fundamentals are strengthening. What remains is execution across a more fragmented and competitive landscape than Multiverse has navigated before. FAQ How much did Multiverse raise in its latest funding round? Multiverse raised $70 million in a funding round led by Schroders Capital, announced on May 15. What is Multiverse’s current valuation after the latest funding? Multiverse is valued at $2.1 billion following the recent funding round, up from $1.7 billion after its 2022 Series D. What strategic shift has Multiverse made in its business focus? Multiverse has shifted its focus from tech apprenticeships toward AI training, responding to growing demand from large enterprises seeking to upskill their workforces across a broad range of functions. What are Multiverse’s plans for geographic expansion? Multiverse plans to expand AI and tech adoption training across Europe, building on an existing enterprise client base that includes Microsoft, Mars, and the John Lewis Partnership. Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.

50% Growth, 3 Straight Years: Multiverse Funding Round Hits $2.1B

A $70 million bet on AI training just pushed Multiverse’s valuation past the $2 billion mark — and the numbers behind the raise suggest this is more than a routine fundraise. The Multiverse funding round, led by Schroders Capital, values the London-based EdTech company at $2.1 billion, up from $1.7 billion following its 2022 Series D. Since founder Euan Blair launched the company in 2016, Multiverse has now accumulated roughly $570 million in total capital.
Key takeaways
Multiverse raised $70 million in a new funding round led by Schroders Capital, announced on May 15.
The company is now valued at $2.1 billion, up from $1.7 billion in 2022.
Total capital raised since founding in 2016 has reached approximately $570 million.
Multiverse has posted 50% year-over-year revenue growth for three consecutive years.
The company is pivoting toward AI training and plans to expand across Europe, with clients including Microsoft, Mars, and the John Lewis Partnership.
Multiverse secures $70 million funding led by Schroders Capital
Schroders Capital led the latest round, which was announced on May 15. The raise is notable not just for its size but for what it signals about investor appetite for workforce upskilling platforms at a moment when enterprise demand for AI competency is accelerating rapidly.
Funding round boosts total capital raised to $570 million since 2016
The trajectory tells its own story. Multiverse’s $130 million Series C in 2021 valued the business at $875 million. A $220 million Series D the following year pushed it past the billion-dollar mark at $1.7 billion. This latest round adds another layer, bringing cumulative fundraising to approximately $570 million and valuation to $2.1 billion — a roughly 24% jump in roughly three years.
Every Multiverse employee received equity as part of this funding round, a move that ties the broader team directly to the company’s next chapter.
Valuation surges to $2.1 billion amid strong revenue growth
Behind the valuation jump is genuine financial momentum. Multiverse has delivered 50% year-over-year revenue growth for three consecutive years — the kind of compounding performance that tends to attract institutional capital even in tighter funding environments.
50% year-over-year revenue growth for three consecutive years
Sustaining 50% annual growth over three years is rare in any sector. In EdTech, where many platforms struggled post-pandemic as corporate training budgets tightened, it stands out even more sharply. The consistency of that growth rate suggests demand isn’t softening — and that enterprise clients are renewing and expanding rather than churning.
Strategic shift from tech apprenticeships to AI training
Multiverse was not always an AI company. Understanding where it started makes the pivot more meaningful.
Company founded in 2016 with a focus on tech apprenticeships
Euan Blair founded Multiverse in 2016 on a straightforward but ambitious thesis: that apprenticeships could compete with four-year university degrees as a legitimate pathway into technology careers. The company built its early business by connecting employers with apprentices, expanding from London to the United States with a co-headquarters established in New York.
Pivot to AI training addressing growing enterprise demand
That original model has since evolved. Multiverse shifted its focus toward AI training as large enterprises began searching for scalable ways to upskill their workforces — not just in junior development roles, but across broader functions. The demand isn’t theoretical: clients like Microsoft, Mars, and the John Lewis Partnership represent the kind of global enterprise footprint that validates both the market and Multiverse’s positioning within it.
The strategic logic is clear. Apprenticeships served a specific hiring pipeline. AI training serves a much larger workforce transformation challenge — one that affects millions of employees already in post, not just those entering the job market. That’s a fundamentally larger addressable market, and it explains much of the valuation premium investors are now attaching to the business.
Expansion plans targeting European AI and tech training markets
With $70 million freshly raised, Multiverse is pointing its ambitions toward Europe. The company’s plans center on expanding AI and tech adoption training across the continent — building on an enterprise client base that already spans major global brands.
The European market represents a significant opportunity for AI workforce training. As businesses across the region accelerate digital transformation, demand for structured upskilling programs is growing faster than traditional educational institutions can respond. Multiverse’s model — built on enterprise partnerships rather than individual consumer subscriptions — positions it well to capture that institutional demand at scale.
Whether the company can replicate its growth trajectory in new European markets while simultaneously deepening its AI training capabilities will be the defining test of the next phase. The capital is in place. The financial fundamentals are strengthening. What remains is execution across a more fragmented and competitive landscape than Multiverse has navigated before.
FAQ
How much did Multiverse raise in its latest funding round?
Multiverse raised $70 million in a funding round led by Schroders Capital, announced on May 15.
What is Multiverse’s current valuation after the latest funding?
Multiverse is valued at $2.1 billion following the recent funding round, up from $1.7 billion after its 2022 Series D.
What strategic shift has Multiverse made in its business focus?
Multiverse has shifted its focus from tech apprenticeships toward AI training, responding to growing demand from large enterprises seeking to upskill their workforces across a broad range of functions.
What are Multiverse’s plans for geographic expansion?
Multiverse plans to expand AI and tech adoption training across Europe, building on an existing enterprise client base that includes Microsoft, Mars, and the John Lewis Partnership.
Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.
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Nvidia Shed Nearly $600B as China US AI Competition Closes the GapHistory has a way of rhyming loudest when the stakes are highest. The same industrial logic that built America’s first billionaire class — and eventually exposed it to foreign disruption — is now playing out again, this time not in steel mills but in the race for artificial intelligence dominance. And the parallels are sharper than most people in Silicon Valley would like to admit. Key takeaways The AI industry mirrors the Gilded Age steel era: both created concentrated billionaire wealth through control of critical infrastructure. Chinese AI labs DeepSeek, Kimi, and Qwen are deploying low-cost models globally, applying scale and price pressure reminiscent of China’s steel dumping tactics. By spring 2026, Fortune reported the US-China AI gap had nearly vanished despite significantly higher US private investment. NYU Stern professor Scott Galloway described China’s approach in a May 2026 interview as “modern-day steel dumping”, warning that margin erosion for US tech firms is the endgame. The competition is not just a trade dispute — it is a structural fight over the wealth architecture of the next global economy. Parallels Between the Steel Industry and the AI Industry Steel didn’t just build bridges. It built the first modern American billionaire class — and in doing so, it created both a template for industrial dominance and a blueprint for its undoing. Today, artificial intelligence is filling that same role, with striking structural similarity. The first American billionaire class from steel In the decades around the turn of the 20th century, a surge in modern industrial capitalism fused financial consolidation with raw physical control. Andrew Carnegie and J.P. Morgan sat at the center of a system where owning the infrastructure — the mines, the mills, the railroads — was the same as owning the economy itself. Their power was double-edged: nation-builders to some, robber barons to others. Both characterizations were accurate. The fortunes they accumulated were Carnegie- and Rockefeller-sized, and they came from controlling chokepoints, which then allowed those men to shape labor markets, pricing, and policy for everyone else. What made the steel era so durable was also what made it vulnerable: it was built on physical concentration. Control the blast furnace, control the country’s industrial metabolism. Modern tech billionaires’ control of AI infrastructure The stack has changed. The logic has not. Today’s tech oligarchs don’t own blast furnaces — they own cloud infrastructure, semiconductor supply chains, AI model layers, and the data pipelines that feed them. Elon Musk, for instance, was flirting with trillionaire status in recent months following the historic SpaceX IPO, a fortune that reflects the same kind of infrastructure lock-in that made Carnegie untouchable in his era. As Fortune’s analysis notes, the winners in both eras controlled the infrastructure layer — mines, mills and railroads then; chips, clouds, AI models and data now — and converted that control into extraordinary wealth, political influence, and the ability to set the terms for everyone below them in the value chain. AI is now driving capital spending and market valuations in ways that make the current moment feel less like a technology cycle and more like an era-defining consolidation of economic power. The uncomfortable parallel, as Fortune’s Nick Lichtenberg argues, is this: just as the steel barons thought they were building the future, today’s tech billionaires may be inheriting the vulnerabilities of an earlier age without fully recognizing it. China’s Strategic Application of the Steel Playbook to AI China’s approach to AI isn’t improvised. It follows a proven industrial script — one the country used to reshape global steel markets and that analysts say is now being applied with precision to artificial intelligence. Industrial scale, subsidies, and price pressure As early as July 2024, commentator Susan Ariel Aaronson warned in Fortune that AI could become the “new steel” if governments overbuilt capacity and created a supply glut that tipped into dumping. By 2026, that warning had effectively materialized. Reporting from Bloomberg, The New York Times, and the Washington Examiner indicated that Beijing was backing industrial-scale AI deployment, favoring broad distribution over prestige, and pushing lower-cost supply into global markets — accepting short-term profit sacrifices in exchange for market share expansion. The Washington Examiner framed it as a “TikTok playbook” for AI: saturate the market, win the users, and worry about margins later. The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission has described China’s approach as a familiar industrial playbook, now applied to open-source software, embodied AI, and the broader industrial base. Chinese AI companies driving low-cost global competition The competitive pressure is no longer theoretical. Chinese labs — DeepSeek, Kimi, and Qwen — are being deployed as low-cost, widely available alternatives to US offerings, designed to win users quickly and compress the margins that US firms depend on to justify their valuations. DeepSeek had released models in early 2025 that matched the performance of top US counterparts while reportedly using minimal budgets and second-tier hardware. The broader signal from Chinese AI developers: they can continue innovating even under chip export controls, and they are doing it cheaper. Market Impact and Expert Perspectives on US-China AI Competition The market consequences are real and measurable, and the expert community is no longer hedging its language about what China is doing. Nearing closure of the US-China AI gap Fortune’s own reporting showed that the US-China AI gap had nearly vanished by spring 2026, even as US private investment remained far larger than China’s. That asymmetry — more money in, narrower lead out — maps directly onto the steel era dynamic: America won the first-mover story, but China eventually won on volume. The pattern is repeating. Expert view: China’s approach as modern-day steel dumping NYU Stern professor Scott Galloway put it most directly. In a May 2026 appearance on The Diary of a CEO podcast, he described China’s tactic as “modern-day steel dumping” — a deliberate strategy of pushing cheap AI into US and global markets, forcing prices down, consolidating the market, and eventually gaining margin power once competitors have been squeezed out or weakened. He added, pointedly, that America’s billionaire class is already preparing for the possibility of an AI boom collapse. That framing deserves serious attention. In traditional steel dumping, the goal was never just to sell cheaply — it was to outlast the competition, restructure market power, and capture pricing authority once rivals had exited or scaled back. If China’s AI strategy follows the same arc, the concern isn’t just about today’s model benchmarks. It’s about who controls AI pricing and infrastructure five years from now. Broader implications for wealth and economic architecture What makes this moment analytically significant is the scale of what is actually being contested. This is not a standard trade rivalry over commodity margins. The sector being fought over is the one currently minting today’s largest fortunes and, according to Fortune’s analysis, defining the architecture of the next economy. Whoever controls the AI infrastructure layer — as Carnegie controlled steel, as Rockefeller controlled oil — will exert structural influence over capital allocation, labor markets, and policy in ways that compound over decades. China’s industrial tactics — scale, subsidy, price pressure — are specifically calibrated to test whether US AI dominance is genuinely durable or whether it rests on first-mover advantages that can be eroded the same way steel dominance was. DeepSeek’s suspension of its second fundraising round in late July 2026, reported by Bloomberg, adds a layer of uncertainty to the Chinese side as well: the lab told prospective investors it would not be signing investment agreements as expected, following controversy over comments from founder Liang Wenfeng about US-Chinese AI competition. The fundraising pause does not diminish China’s strategic momentum, but it does introduce a variable into the timeline. Every dominant infrastructure era creates both extraordinary wealth and a target for the next wave of industrial disruption. Steel made Carnegie. It also made him vulnerable. The men currently building the second American billionaire class on AI infrastructure may be about to learn the same lesson — from the same playbook, just run by a different country. FAQ How is the AI industry compared to the historical steel industry in the US? The AI industry mirrors the steel industry by creating concentrated wealth through control of critical infrastructure. Steel barons like Andrew Carnegie and J.P. Morgan controlled mines, mills, and railroads; today’s tech billionaires control chips, cloud platforms, AI models, and data. In both eras, owning the infrastructure layer translated into extraordinary wealth, political influence, and the power to shape markets for everyone else. What strategy is China using in the AI market similar to historical steel tactics? China is leveraging industrial scale, state subsidies, and aggressive price pressure — a strategy analysts compare to steel dumping — to push low-cost AI solutions into global markets. Beijing’s goal, as reported by Bloomberg and The New York Times, is to expand global market share even if profitability is delayed. Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Kimi, and Qwen are central to this deployment strategy. What impact has China’s AI strategy had on the US-China AI competitive gap? By spring 2026, Fortune’s reporting showed the US-China AI gap had nearly vanished, despite US private investment remaining significantly larger than China’s. Chinese AI capabilities have caught up rapidly, even under US chip export controls. What does the term “modern-day steel dumping” refer to in the context of AI? The term, used by NYU Stern professor Scott Galloway in a May 2026 interview, refers to China aggressively distributing cheap AI products internationally to undercut US competitors, compress their margins, and eventually gain pricing power once rivals have been weakened — mirroring how China’s steel industry used dumping to reshape global markets and erode Western producers’ competitive positions. Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.

Nvidia Shed Nearly $600B as China US AI Competition Closes the Gap

History has a way of rhyming loudest when the stakes are highest. The same industrial logic that built America’s first billionaire class — and eventually exposed it to foreign disruption — is now playing out again, this time not in steel mills but in the race for artificial intelligence dominance. And the parallels are sharper than most people in Silicon Valley would like to admit.
Key takeaways
The AI industry mirrors the Gilded Age steel era: both created concentrated billionaire wealth through control of critical infrastructure.
Chinese AI labs DeepSeek, Kimi, and Qwen are deploying low-cost models globally, applying scale and price pressure reminiscent of China’s steel dumping tactics.
By spring 2026, Fortune reported the US-China AI gap had nearly vanished despite significantly higher US private investment.
NYU Stern professor Scott Galloway described China’s approach in a May 2026 interview as “modern-day steel dumping”, warning that margin erosion for US tech firms is the endgame.
The competition is not just a trade dispute — it is a structural fight over the wealth architecture of the next global economy.
Parallels Between the Steel Industry and the AI Industry
Steel didn’t just build bridges. It built the first modern American billionaire class — and in doing so, it created both a template for industrial dominance and a blueprint for its undoing. Today, artificial intelligence is filling that same role, with striking structural similarity.
The first American billionaire class from steel
In the decades around the turn of the 20th century, a surge in modern industrial capitalism fused financial consolidation with raw physical control. Andrew Carnegie and J.P. Morgan sat at the center of a system where owning the infrastructure — the mines, the mills, the railroads — was the same as owning the economy itself. Their power was double-edged: nation-builders to some, robber barons to others. Both characterizations were accurate. The fortunes they accumulated were Carnegie- and Rockefeller-sized, and they came from controlling chokepoints, which then allowed those men to shape labor markets, pricing, and policy for everyone else.
What made the steel era so durable was also what made it vulnerable: it was built on physical concentration. Control the blast furnace, control the country’s industrial metabolism.
Modern tech billionaires’ control of AI infrastructure
The stack has changed. The logic has not. Today’s tech oligarchs don’t own blast furnaces — they own cloud infrastructure, semiconductor supply chains, AI model layers, and the data pipelines that feed them. Elon Musk, for instance, was flirting with trillionaire status in recent months following the historic SpaceX IPO, a fortune that reflects the same kind of infrastructure lock-in that made Carnegie untouchable in his era.
As Fortune’s analysis notes, the winners in both eras controlled the infrastructure layer — mines, mills and railroads then; chips, clouds, AI models and data now — and converted that control into extraordinary wealth, political influence, and the ability to set the terms for everyone below them in the value chain. AI is now driving capital spending and market valuations in ways that make the current moment feel less like a technology cycle and more like an era-defining consolidation of economic power.
The uncomfortable parallel, as Fortune’s Nick Lichtenberg argues, is this: just as the steel barons thought they were building the future, today’s tech billionaires may be inheriting the vulnerabilities of an earlier age without fully recognizing it.
China’s Strategic Application of the Steel Playbook to AI
China’s approach to AI isn’t improvised. It follows a proven industrial script — one the country used to reshape global steel markets and that analysts say is now being applied with precision to artificial intelligence.
Industrial scale, subsidies, and price pressure
As early as July 2024, commentator Susan Ariel Aaronson warned in Fortune that AI could become the “new steel” if governments overbuilt capacity and created a supply glut that tipped into dumping. By 2026, that warning had effectively materialized. Reporting from Bloomberg, The New York Times, and the Washington Examiner indicated that Beijing was backing industrial-scale AI deployment, favoring broad distribution over prestige, and pushing lower-cost supply into global markets — accepting short-term profit sacrifices in exchange for market share expansion. The Washington Examiner framed it as a “TikTok playbook” for AI: saturate the market, win the users, and worry about margins later.
The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission has described China’s approach as a familiar industrial playbook, now applied to open-source software, embodied AI, and the broader industrial base.
Chinese AI companies driving low-cost global competition
The competitive pressure is no longer theoretical. Chinese labs — DeepSeek, Kimi, and Qwen — are being deployed as low-cost, widely available alternatives to US offerings, designed to win users quickly and compress the margins that US firms depend on to justify their valuations.
DeepSeek had released models in early 2025 that matched the performance of top US counterparts while reportedly using minimal budgets and second-tier hardware. The broader signal from Chinese AI developers: they can continue innovating even under chip export controls, and they are doing it cheaper.
Market Impact and Expert Perspectives on US-China AI Competition
The market consequences are real and measurable, and the expert community is no longer hedging its language about what China is doing.
Nearing closure of the US-China AI gap
Fortune’s own reporting showed that the US-China AI gap had nearly vanished by spring 2026, even as US private investment remained far larger than China’s. That asymmetry — more money in, narrower lead out — maps directly onto the steel era dynamic: America won the first-mover story, but China eventually won on volume. The pattern is repeating.
Expert view: China’s approach as modern-day steel dumping
NYU Stern professor Scott Galloway put it most directly. In a May 2026 appearance on The Diary of a CEO podcast, he described China’s tactic as “modern-day steel dumping” — a deliberate strategy of pushing cheap AI into US and global markets, forcing prices down, consolidating the market, and eventually gaining margin power once competitors have been squeezed out or weakened. He added, pointedly, that America’s billionaire class is already preparing for the possibility of an AI boom collapse.
That framing deserves serious attention. In traditional steel dumping, the goal was never just to sell cheaply — it was to outlast the competition, restructure market power, and capture pricing authority once rivals had exited or scaled back. If China’s AI strategy follows the same arc, the concern isn’t just about today’s model benchmarks. It’s about who controls AI pricing and infrastructure five years from now.
Broader implications for wealth and economic architecture
What makes this moment analytically significant is the scale of what is actually being contested. This is not a standard trade rivalry over commodity margins. The sector being fought over is the one currently minting today’s largest fortunes and, according to Fortune’s analysis, defining the architecture of the next economy. Whoever controls the AI infrastructure layer — as Carnegie controlled steel, as Rockefeller controlled oil — will exert structural influence over capital allocation, labor markets, and policy in ways that compound over decades.
China’s industrial tactics — scale, subsidy, price pressure — are specifically calibrated to test whether US AI dominance is genuinely durable or whether it rests on first-mover advantages that can be eroded the same way steel dominance was. DeepSeek’s suspension of its second fundraising round in late July 2026, reported by Bloomberg, adds a layer of uncertainty to the Chinese side as well: the lab told prospective investors it would not be signing investment agreements as expected, following controversy over comments from founder Liang Wenfeng about US-Chinese AI competition. The fundraising pause does not diminish China’s strategic momentum, but it does introduce a variable into the timeline.
Every dominant infrastructure era creates both extraordinary wealth and a target for the next wave of industrial disruption. Steel made Carnegie. It also made him vulnerable. The men currently building the second American billionaire class on AI infrastructure may be about to learn the same lesson — from the same playbook, just run by a different country.
FAQ
How is the AI industry compared to the historical steel industry in the US?
The AI industry mirrors the steel industry by creating concentrated wealth through control of critical infrastructure. Steel barons like Andrew Carnegie and J.P. Morgan controlled mines, mills, and railroads; today’s tech billionaires control chips, cloud platforms, AI models, and data. In both eras, owning the infrastructure layer translated into extraordinary wealth, political influence, and the power to shape markets for everyone else.
What strategy is China using in the AI market similar to historical steel tactics?
China is leveraging industrial scale, state subsidies, and aggressive price pressure — a strategy analysts compare to steel dumping — to push low-cost AI solutions into global markets. Beijing’s goal, as reported by Bloomberg and The New York Times, is to expand global market share even if profitability is delayed. Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Kimi, and Qwen are central to this deployment strategy.
What impact has China’s AI strategy had on the US-China AI competitive gap?
By spring 2026, Fortune’s reporting showed the US-China AI gap had nearly vanished, despite US private investment remaining significantly larger than China’s. Chinese AI capabilities have caught up rapidly, even under US chip export controls.
What does the term “modern-day steel dumping” refer to in the context of AI?
The term, used by NYU Stern professor Scott Galloway in a May 2026 interview, refers to China aggressively distributing cheap AI products internationally to undercut US competitors, compress their margins, and eventually gain pricing power once rivals have been weakened — mirroring how China’s steel industry used dumping to reshape global markets and erode Western producers’ competitive positions.
Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.
Artigo
Corrida entre Amazon e Microsoft na nuvem: US$ 200B cada, US$ 1,2B vs US$ 73B em fluxo de caixaOs números por si só já são o suficiente para te parar no meio da rolagem. A Amazon e a Microsoft estão, cada uma, se preparando para gastar cerca de US$ 200 bilhões em 2026 construindo centros de dados — um volume de investimento sem precedentes históricos na indústria de tecnologia. A corrida entre a Amazon e a Microsoft na nuvem, que se desenrolou ao longo de quase duas décadas, entrou numa fase em que os interesses financeiros são tão altos que até uma simples sugestão de decepção nos resultados trimestrais pode eliminar bilhões do valor de mercado de uma empresa da noite para o dia.

Corrida entre Amazon e Microsoft na nuvem: US$ 200B cada, US$ 1,2B vs US$ 73B em fluxo de caixa

Os números por si só já são o suficiente para te parar no meio da rolagem. A Amazon e a Microsoft estão, cada uma, se preparando para gastar cerca de US$ 200 bilhões em 2026 construindo centros de dados — um volume de investimento sem precedentes históricos na indústria de tecnologia. A corrida entre a Amazon e a Microsoft na nuvem, que se desenrolou ao longo de quase duas décadas, entrou numa fase em que os interesses financeiros são tão altos que até uma simples sugestão de decepção nos resultados trimestrais pode eliminar bilhões do valor de mercado de uma empresa da noite para o dia.
Artigo
Ação da Nike, Inc. a US$ 41,70: Abaixo de Todas as Principais EMAs, Sem Sinal de PisoA ação da Nike, Inc. está firmemente em território de baixa em meados do fim de julho de 2026. Fechando em US$ 41,70 em 24 de julho, a NKE está bem abaixo de suas médias móveis principais. A incerteza estratégica sobre a China e um incidente envolvendo produtos falsificados no Vietnã acrescentam ainda mais peso a um gráfico já frágil. NKE — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume. Principais conclusões A NKE fechou em US$ 41,70 em 24 de julho de 2026, abaixo da EMA20 diária (US$ 42,89), da EMA50 (US$ 43,95) e da EMA200 (US$ 52,63). O RSI diário está em 43,25 — enfraquecido, mas não sobrevendido, confirmando que não se formou um piso técnico.

Ação da Nike, Inc. a US$ 41,70: Abaixo de Todas as Principais EMAs, Sem Sinal de Piso

A ação da Nike, Inc. está firmemente em território de baixa em meados do fim de julho de 2026. Fechando em US$ 41,70 em 24 de julho, a NKE está bem abaixo de suas médias móveis principais. A incerteza estratégica sobre a China e um incidente envolvendo produtos falsificados no Vietnã acrescentam ainda mais peso a um gráfico já frágil.
NKE — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume.
Principais conclusões
A NKE fechou em US$ 41,70 em 24 de julho de 2026, abaixo da EMA20 diária (US$ 42,89), da EMA50 (US$ 43,95) e da EMA200 (US$ 52,63).
O RSI diário está em 43,25 — enfraquecido, mas não sobrevendido, confirmando que não se formou um piso técnico.
Artigo
Ações da McDonald’s Corporation despencam perto da mínima de 52 semanas à medida que as vendas se aceleramAs ações da McDonald’s Corporation negociam em território de baixa no gráfico diário, presas abaixo de todas as médias móveis principais. A MCD fechou a US$ 264,76 em 24 de julho, pouco acima do limite inferior de sua Banda de Bollinger diária em US$ 259,20. A recente mínima de 52 semanas em US$ 261,41 destaca a persistente pressão de venda. MCD — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume. Principais conclusões A MCD fechou a US$ 264,76 em 24 de julho, abaixo da EMA20 (US$ 270,06), da EMA50 (US$ 276,91) e da EMA200 (US$ 295,10). O RSI diário em 41,31 confirma o momentum de baixa, com espaço para cair antes de atingir a zona de sobrevenda.

Ações da McDonald’s Corporation despencam perto da mínima de 52 semanas à medida que as vendas se aceleram

As ações da McDonald’s Corporation negociam em território de baixa no gráfico diário, presas abaixo de todas as médias móveis principais. A MCD fechou a US$ 264,76 em 24 de julho, pouco acima do limite inferior de sua Banda de Bollinger diária em US$ 259,20. A recente mínima de 52 semanas em US$ 261,41 destaca a persistente pressão de venda.
MCD — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume.
Principais conclusões
A MCD fechou a US$ 264,76 em 24 de julho, abaixo da EMA20 (US$ 270,06), da EMA50 (US$ 276,91) e da EMA200 (US$ 295,10).
O RSI diário em 41,31 confirma o momentum de baixa, com espaço para cair antes de atingir a zona de sobrevenda.
Artigo
Analistas Veem 60% de Alta para as Ações da Teva Pharmaceutical Industries. O Gráfico Não ConcordaAs ações da Teva Pharmaceutical Industries fecharam em US$ 30,81 em 24 de julho, abaixo de médias móveis importantes. Analistas da Wall Street projetam mais de 60% de alta com recomendação de compra (100%). O gráfico diário, porém, não confirma esse otimismo. A distância entre narrativas otimistas e a fraqueza técnica define a tensão atual da TEVA. TEVA — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume. Principais conclusões A TEVA fechou em US$ 30,81 em 24 de julho, abaixo da média móvel diária EMA20 em US$ 32,17 e da EMA50 em US$ 32,81 A EMA200 em US$ 29,94 atua como o piso estrutural crítico que precisa ser mantido para qualquer recuperação

Analistas Veem 60% de Alta para as Ações da Teva Pharmaceutical Industries. O Gráfico Não Concorda

As ações da Teva Pharmaceutical Industries fecharam em US$ 30,81 em 24 de julho, abaixo de médias móveis importantes. Analistas da Wall Street projetam mais de 60% de alta com recomendação de compra (100%). O gráfico diário, porém, não confirma esse otimismo. A distância entre narrativas otimistas e a fraqueza técnica define a tensão atual da TEVA.
TEVA — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume.
Principais conclusões
A TEVA fechou em US$ 30,81 em 24 de julho, abaixo da média móvel diária EMA20 em US$ 32,17 e da EMA50 em US$ 32,81
A EMA200 em US$ 29,94 atua como o piso estrutural crítico que precisa ser mantido para qualquer recuperação
Artigo
Ações da USA Rare Earth, Inc. caem abaixo de todas as EMAs — o que impede a queda?USA Rare Earth, Inc. ação fechou a US$ 14,15 em 24 de julho de 2026. O preço está bem abaixo das principais médias móveis, pressionando a Banda de Bollinger inferior diária. O quadro técnico em diferentes prazos é inequivocamente de baixa. No entanto, por trás da deterioração, desenvolvimentos corporativos estratégicos estão construindo uma narrativa de longo prazo que vale a pena observar. USAR — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume. Principais pontos A USAR fechou a US$ 14,15 em 24 de julho de 2026, negociando abaixo de todas as três EMAs diárias — a de 20 dias em US$ 17,60, a de 50 dias em US$ 19,93 e a de 200 dias em US$ 19,31.

Ações da USA Rare Earth, Inc. caem abaixo de todas as EMAs — o que impede a queda?

USA Rare Earth, Inc. ação fechou a US$ 14,15 em 24 de julho de 2026. O preço está bem abaixo das principais médias móveis, pressionando a Banda de Bollinger inferior diária. O quadro técnico em diferentes prazos é inequivocamente de baixa. No entanto, por trás da deterioração, desenvolvimentos corporativos estratégicos estão construindo uma narrativa de longo prazo que vale a pena observar.
USAR — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume.
Principais pontos
A USAR fechou a US$ 14,15 em 24 de julho de 2026, negociando abaixo de todas as três EMAs diárias — a de 20 dias em US$ 17,60, a de 50 dias em US$ 19,93 e a de 200 dias em US$ 19,31.
Artigo
Infraestrutura cripto do Sberbank: a Rússia constrói o que os bancos ocidentais não queremO maior banco da Rússia está construindo algo que a maioria das instituições financeiras ocidentais deliberadamente evitou: uma infraestrutura cripto completa do Sberbank, projetada para trazer a negociação, custódia e liquidação de ativos digitais para dentro de um marco regulado pelo Estado — e ela precisa estar pronta até 1º de dezembro de 2026. Principais conclusões O Sberbank planeja lançar uma infraestrutura de negociação de criptomoedas, incluindo um depósito digital, até 1º de dezembro de 2026. O depósito registrará a propriedade de criptomoedas dos clientes e processará a maior parte das transações fora da blockchain principal.

Infraestrutura cripto do Sberbank: a Rússia constrói o que os bancos ocidentais não querem

O maior banco da Rússia está construindo algo que a maioria das instituições financeiras ocidentais deliberadamente evitou: uma infraestrutura cripto completa do Sberbank, projetada para trazer a negociação, custódia e liquidação de ativos digitais para dentro de um marco regulado pelo Estado — e ela precisa estar pronta até 1º de dezembro de 2026.
Principais conclusões
O Sberbank planeja lançar uma infraestrutura de negociação de criptomoedas, incluindo um depósito digital, até 1º de dezembro de 2026.
O depósito registrará a propriedade de criptomoedas dos clientes e processará a maior parte das transações fora da blockchain principal.
Artigo
Shiba Inu Cripto em Sobrecompra no RSI 77 Enquanto o Índice de Medo Está em 26As negociações do final de julho colocaram a criptomoeda Shiba Inu em uma posição tecnicamente delicada. Enquanto o mercado mais amplo paira perto de US$ 2,3 trilhões, o Índice de Medo e Ganância está em 26, e o RSI diário da SHIB chegou a 77,27 — uma leitura que historicamente sinaliza cautela. SHIB/USDT — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume. Principais conclusões O RSI diário da SHIB em 77,27 sinaliza condições de sobrecompra no timeframe maior. O RSI horário em 58,19 mantém a estrutura bullish de curto prazo intacta. O Índice de Medo e Ganância em 26 reflete cautela profunda, apesar da alta dos preços.

Shiba Inu Cripto em Sobrecompra no RSI 77 Enquanto o Índice de Medo Está em 26

As negociações do final de julho colocaram a criptomoeda Shiba Inu em uma posição tecnicamente delicada. Enquanto o mercado mais amplo paira perto de US$ 2,3 trilhões, o Índice de Medo e Ganância está em 26, e o RSI diário da SHIB chegou a 77,27 — uma leitura que historicamente sinaliza cautela.
SHIB/USDT — gráfico diário com candles, EMA20/EMA50 e volume.
Principais conclusões
O RSI diário da SHIB em 77,27 sinaliza condições de sobrecompra no timeframe maior.
O RSI horário em 58,19 mantém a estrutura bullish de curto prazo intacta.
O Índice de Medo e Ganância em 26 reflete cautela profunda, apesar da alta dos preços.
Artigo
Stablecoins no Samsung Wallet podem remodelar os pagamentos no Android — ou nãoA Samsung acabou de dizer ao mundo que stablecoins do Samsung Wallet estão a caminho — e essa única frase, escondida na recapitulação do Galaxy Unpacked 2026, desencadeou uma movimentação silenciosa em toda a indústria cripto. O anúncio é real. Os detalhes, porém, quase não existem. Principais destaques A Samsung anunciou no Galaxy Unpacked 2026 que o Samsung Wallet vai oferecer suporte a stablecoins nativas, com USDC entre as opções esperadas, segundo a Crypto Briefing. Nenhum emissor de stablecoin, rede blockchain, modelo de custódia, data de lançamento ou mercados elegíveis foi confirmado oficialmente pela Samsung.

Stablecoins no Samsung Wallet podem remodelar os pagamentos no Android — ou não

A Samsung acabou de dizer ao mundo que stablecoins do Samsung Wallet estão a caminho — e essa única frase, escondida na recapitulação do Galaxy Unpacked 2026, desencadeou uma movimentação silenciosa em toda a indústria cripto. O anúncio é real. Os detalhes, porém, quase não existem.
Principais destaques
A Samsung anunciou no Galaxy Unpacked 2026 que o Samsung Wallet vai oferecer suporte a stablecoins nativas, com USDC entre as opções esperadas, segundo a Crypto Briefing.
Nenhum emissor de stablecoin, rede blockchain, modelo de custódia, data de lançamento ou mercados elegíveis foi confirmado oficialmente pela Samsung.
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Artigo
Regulação de mercados de previsão da CFTC é testada: segundo aviso, tribunais à vistaA Comissão de Negociação de Contratos Futuros de Commodities dos EUA está traçando uma linha clara para as empresas de mercados de previsão: corte atalhos nas certificações de contratos de eventos e enfrente as consequências. A agência emitiu um aviso formal ao público alertando que a regulação de mercados de previsão da CFTC não é um processo para ser apressado — e esta já é a segunda vez nos últimos meses que ela precisou dizer isso. Principais conclusões A CFTC emitiu um aviso consultivo para empresas de mercados de previsão, alertando contra o envio de certificações de contratos de eventos excessivamente amplas e no estilo de modelos — o segundo aviso desse tipo em poucos meses.

Regulação de mercados de previsão da CFTC é testada: segundo aviso, tribunais à vista

A Comissão de Negociação de Contratos Futuros de Commodities dos EUA está traçando uma linha clara para as empresas de mercados de previsão: corte atalhos nas certificações de contratos de eventos e enfrente as consequências. A agência emitiu um aviso formal ao público alertando que a regulação de mercados de previsão da CFTC não é um processo para ser apressado — e esta já é a segunda vez nos últimos meses que ela precisou dizer isso.
Principais conclusões
A CFTC emitiu um aviso consultivo para empresas de mercados de previsão, alertando contra o envio de certificações de contratos de eventos excessivamente amplas e no estilo de modelos — o segundo aviso desse tipo em poucos meses.
Artigo
Verificações de solvência da THORChain interrompem automaticamente negociações quando os cofres caem 1%A maioria dos protocolos DeFi depende de equipes humanas, circuit breakers manuais ou oráculos externos para detectar problemas antes que eles se agravem. A THORChain adota uma abordagem diferente — na qual a própria rede é a primeira linha de defesa. As verificações contínuas de solvência da THORChain rodam o tempo todo, em todos os cofres, em cada blockchain conectada, sem esperar que alguém perceba que algo está errado. Principais conclusões A THORChain executa verificações contínuas de solvência em todos os cofres em todas as cadeias conectadas, com cada nó comparando de forma independente os saldos esperados e reais na cadeia.

Verificações de solvência da THORChain interrompem automaticamente negociações quando os cofres caem 1%

A maioria dos protocolos DeFi depende de equipes humanas, circuit breakers manuais ou oráculos externos para detectar problemas antes que eles se agravem. A THORChain adota uma abordagem diferente — na qual a própria rede é a primeira linha de defesa. As verificações contínuas de solvência da THORChain rodam o tempo todo, em todos os cofres, em cada blockchain conectada, sem esperar que alguém perceba que algo está errado.
Principais conclusões
A THORChain executa verificações contínuas de solvência em todos os cofres em todas as cadeias conectadas, com cada nó comparando de forma independente os saldos esperados e reais na cadeia.
Artigo
A IA mira a tecnologia operacional de uma empresa de abastecimento de água — sem necessidade de conhecimento especializadoUma empresa de utilidades hídricas que atende uma grande área metropolitana ficou ao alcance de um adversário que ela nunca viu chegar — um que não precisava de conhecimento especializado do setor industrial porque tinha algo mais poderoso: uma IA comercial capaz de descobrir tudo em tempo real. O caso, investigado pela Dragos e pela Gambit Security, marca uma das primeiras instâncias documentadas de AI mirando infraestrutura de tecnologia operacional durante uma intrusão ativa, e levanta uma questão que a indústria de segurança ainda não respondeu completamente: como você se defende de um atacante que consegue aprender o seu ambiente mais rápido do que você consegue mapeá-lo?

A IA mira a tecnologia operacional de uma empresa de abastecimento de água — sem necessidade de conhecimento especializado

Uma empresa de utilidades hídricas que atende uma grande área metropolitana ficou ao alcance de um adversário que ela nunca viu chegar — um que não precisava de conhecimento especializado do setor industrial porque tinha algo mais poderoso: uma IA comercial capaz de descobrir tudo em tempo real. O caso, investigado pela Dragos e pela Gambit Security, marca uma das primeiras instâncias documentadas de AI mirando infraestrutura de tecnologia operacional durante uma intrusão ativa, e levanta uma questão que a indústria de segurança ainda não respondeu completamente: como você se defende de um atacante que consegue aprender o seu ambiente mais rápido do que você consegue mapeá-lo?
Artigo
Lançamento do Anthropic Opus 5: mais barato e menor, mas supera o Fable 5O lançamento do Opus 5 da Anthropic em 24 de julho de 2026 chega com uma proposta contraintuitiva: um modelo menor e mais barato que, na prática, supera seu irmão maior em vários benchmarks. Isso não é o que normalmente acontece nos lançamentos de modelos — e é exatamente por isso que os desenvolvedores estão prestando atenção. Principais conclusões A Anthropic lançou o Opus 5 em 24 de julho de 2026, apenas dois meses depois que o Opus 4.8 ficou disponível em 28 de maio. O Opus 5 é menor e mais barato que o Fable 5, mas o supera em vários benchmarks, custando US$ 5 por milhão de tokens de entrada e US$ 25 por milhão de tokens de saída.

Lançamento do Anthropic Opus 5: mais barato e menor, mas supera o Fable 5

O lançamento do Opus 5 da Anthropic em 24 de julho de 2026 chega com uma proposta contraintuitiva: um modelo menor e mais barato que, na prática, supera seu irmão maior em vários benchmarks. Isso não é o que normalmente acontece nos lançamentos de modelos — e é exatamente por isso que os desenvolvedores estão prestando atenção.
Principais conclusões
A Anthropic lançou o Opus 5 em 24 de julho de 2026, apenas dois meses depois que o Opus 4.8 ficou disponível em 28 de maio.
O Opus 5 é menor e mais barato que o Fable 5, mas o supera em vários benchmarks, custando US$ 5 por milhão de tokens de entrada e US$ 25 por milhão de tokens de saída.
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