web3言灏

Morning thoughts provided early, as expected pullback downwards, short positions are in profit, continue to look down!

自午夜时分比特币价格触及108467的阶段低点后，市场开启一轮反弹回升行情。盘中价格稳步上攻，最高触及110367关口，成功收复此前部分下跌失地，展现出一定的多头修复动能。与此同时，以太坊表现同样活跃，价格最高攀升至2827一线，两大主流币种的反弹态势为短期市场注入了一定人气。
从市场空头力量的表现来看，午夜时段的回踩力度较为有限，并未如部分市场预期般形成深度回调。这种局面反映出空方在当前位置的打压动能不足，同时也显示多头在关键支撑位附近仍有一定防守力量。进一步从4小时级别技术面观察，市场动能呈现出明显的衰减态势：MACD指标的柱状体持续收缩，意味着多头力量正逐步减弱，上涨动能的持续性面临考验；而KDJ指标已进入超买区域并出现钝化迹象，这一信号暗示短期市场面临的回调压力正在不断积聚，价格可能存在技术性修复需求。
基于上述技术面特征，可考虑在价格反抽至110000阻力位附近时尝试做空操作。若该阻力位有效承压，价格有望开启回调走势，短线目标可看向108500-108000支撑区间。以太坊则可在2805-2825附近尝试做空，短线目标看至2750-2730

In the early morning, the cryptocurrency market's enthusiasm is rising. The price of Bitcoin shows a strong upward trend, continuously breaking through key resistance levels. After swiftly surpassing the 109,000 mark with a strong bullish candle, it quickly approaches the round figure of 110,000. Ethereum is also rising in sync, with prices rapidly climbing to around 2,690. This strong breakout has brought Bitcoin back to the '110,000 mark', and a certain degree of pullback is currently observed, which is a normal market fluctuation.
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's movement is extending from the hourly level to the daily level, forming a strong and abrupt bullish column on the daily chart. On the four-hour level, the candlestick has significantly broken through the upper Bollinger Band, becoming a signal for market guidance; at the hourly level, the three Bollinger Bands are diverging upward, indicating that the bullish trend is ongoing. The market is currently in a phase of consolidation and accumulation. Based on the morning's movement, it is recommended to pay attention to bullish opportunities after a pullback.
Bitcoin: 109800-109500 bullish towards 111000-111500
Ethereum: 2680-2660 bullish, looking towards 2730-2750
#比特币

Do ponto de vista da estrutura técnica, na tendência de quatro horas, após a abertura do canal de operação, o preço não conseguiu se manter de forma sustentada do lado de fora da banda superior, caindo em um estado de consolidação e, consequentemente, provocando uma queda acentuada. Durante este período, o volume apresentou uma disposição de redução, carecendo de força suficiente para oferecer um suporte eficaz. Ao mesmo tempo, as médias móveis começaram a mostrar sinais de reversão a partir de um estado de adesão, com características de pressão alta bastante evidentes em ciclos curtos. Mesmo que tenha havido um desempenho forte de alta anteriormente, ainda será necessário algum tempo para consolidar uma base, e o espaço de preço abaixo ainda precisa ser explorado mais a fundo.

No gráfico de uma hora, o preço oscila em níveis altos, sempre difícil de estabilizar. Em seguida, o preço caiu rapidamente como se estivesse esvaziando uma represa, aproximando-se da banda inferior do canal. Além disso, o volume de venda se liberou e se organizou em formas de entidade bastante evidentes, fazendo com que as médias móveis se voltassem para baixo. Embora tenha havido uma certa recuperação após a ocorrência de pinos durante o processo de queda, isso não foi mais do que uma ação de recuperação normal após a retração. Do ponto de vista de curto prazo, a necessidade de ajuste é extremamente forte. Portanto, nas próximas estratégias de operação, devemos principalmente adotar uma estratégia de venda em alta.

Para Bitcoin: 86500-86800, mirando 85500-85000-84000

Para Ethereum: 2030-2050, mirando 2000-1970-195
#比特币减半完成

In the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin, the consecutive bearish candles push the price to continue declining, ultimately breaking through the lower Bollinger Band. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Band also further expands downward, indicating strong bearish forces in the market. From the MACD indicator perspective, the histogram remains in the negative territory, with the fast line and slow line continuously presenting a dead cross pattern, extending further below the zero axis, further validating the current bearish dominance in the market.

Additionally, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA20) on the 4-hour chart also exerts significant pressure on the coin price. Although there are signs of a rebound correction in the short term, the strength is very limited, making it difficult to change the overall downward trend. If the price cannot effectively break through the key resistance level of 83500, it is expected that there is still a risk of further decline in the coin price.

The current market trend shows a clear oscillating downward pattern, with previous gains fully retraced. The main resistance levels above should focus on the mid-axis position of 83500 on the 4-hour chart and the mid-axis position of 85000 on the daily chart. As for the support levels below, the 81000 line is particularly critical; if this support level is broken, the next important support level will be the round number of 80000. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to continue operating with a high short and low long approach around the range throughout the day.

For Bitcoin: 83500-84000 range, looking at 82500-82000-81000

For Ethereum: 1940-1960 range, looking at 1910-1880-1850
#比特币走势分析

Do ponto de vista técnico, embora o indicador MACD mostre sinais positivos de aumento de volume e a tendência de fluxo de capital comece a aparecer, é lamentável que esse fator positivo não tenha conseguido impulsionar as velas a romper os altos anteriores. As linhas DIF e DEA ainda permanecem abaixo da linha zero e estão gradualmente se alargando, o que reflete claramente que a atmosfera geral do mercado ainda está fraca, e as forças de alta ainda não dominaram.

Analisando o indicador de Bandas de Bollinger, atualmente ele apresenta uma forma de contração, e a amplitude de flutuação do mercado está gradualmente diminuindo. E ao tentar atacar a resistência do meio da banda em 85000, encontrou uma resistência significativa, e o movimento ascendente parou abruptamente, o que confirma ainda mais a atual falta de força ao tentar romper para cima.

Considerando todos os indicadores técnicos, a tendência geral do mercado neste momento é neutra. Embora haja sinais de entrada de capital e aumento de posições, a força de alta ainda não é forte o suficiente, e o mercado ainda está em fase de consolidação. Em resumo, é aconselhável fazer posicionamentos em alta e baixa em torno da faixa de preço.

Para Bitcoin: 84300-84800, olhando para 83500-83000-82000

Para Ethereum: 1940-1960, olhando para 1910-1880-1850

#比特币走势分析

从日线级别来看，大饼持续受制于中轨的压制，关键压力位再度聚焦于85000一线附近。从4小时级别来分析，昨晚K线刚一触及上轨区域，便迅速遭遇空方的强力打压，出现回落态势，并且直接跌破了中轨支撑位，由此可见，短期内的行情节奏明显偏空。

在短线操作中，重点需关注下轨80500附近的支撑力度。倘若在价格回踩过程中，此位置未被有效跌破，那么大饼依旧存在反弹修正的可能性；而一旦下轨支撑失守，8万整数关口大概率将再度被空头攻陷。

对于大饼：83500-84000区间，看向82500-82000-81000

对于姨太：1910-1930区间，看向1880-1850-1820

#比特币走势分析

Early disclosure, just follow to reap the rewards, the big pancake has earned 1663 points of space, and the mistress has 47 points of space. Mastering the market!

The market changes rapidly, and the cryptocurrency world is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the insight to discover opportunities and the ability to seize them!

#比特币走势分析

3.11小结
昨日行情自低位76500附近开始修复盘面震荡反弹，截止早间收线大饼上涨至83000附近。日内继续两多两箜布局，围绕低多高空思路布局大饼斩获6147空间，姨太斩获218空间。

币圈的魅力在于无限可能，而专业是解锁财富密码的钥匙。深入研究市场趋势，了解各类币种特性，制定合理投资计划，在机遇来临时果断出击。

#比特币走势分析

Morning short position takes the lead, the market is too slow to form a pattern, Bitcoin closes at 1049 points, Ethereum closes at 31 points. Silk Road publicly follows to profit. #比特币走势分析

From the current state of the market for Bitcoin, after experiencing a significant downward trend, the short-term market has gradually entered a rebound phase. However, the overall market structure has not undergone any substantial changes, and the downward trend remains quite solid. This rebound is merely a corrective movement following the decline.

It is worth noting that during this rebound process, the price has consistently failed to effectively break through the key resistance level of 85000, and it has also not been able to successfully stabilize at this price level. In the hourly chart, the market shows a fluctuating downward trend. Currently, the Bitcoin price is fluctuating just below the upper Bollinger Band, and the increase has already shown signs of stagnation.

In summary, regarding trading strategies, it is not advisable to blindly chase the rise and go long; it is recommended to maintain a bearish outlook at high levels.

For Bitcoin: 84000-84500 short, targeting 83000-82500-82000

For Ethereum: 1940-1960 short, targeting 1910-1880-1850.

Earlier mentioned to profit from the range around low long high short layout, the long position once again took profit, Bitcoin gained 2263 points, and the altcoin gained 69 points.

The market changes rapidly, and the crypto space is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the vision to discover opportunities and the ability to seize them. Maintain enthusiasm for learning, accumulate experience, and decisively take action at the right moment to increase wealth! #比特币走势分析

This market, a rebound is just an opportunity to short. If it breaks 80k, it will flood like yesterday. Just make money in the range by going short high and long low. The big coin has gained 1132 points again, and the aunt has gained 43 points again! #比特币走势分析

空单在拿捏。大饼斩获858点，姨太斩获40点空间。

在币圈，市场的波动是常态，而非意外。别让短期的涨跌扰乱心智，要像猎手一样，耐心等待时机，精准出击，用知识和策略武装自己，方能在这片战场有所斩获。#比特币走势分析

Rebound grasped accurately, the big pie reads and gains 1894 points, Aunty has 66 points of space. #比特币走势分析

3.10小结

昨日行情自高位84000附近一路下探泄洪，截止早间收线大饼跌至低位76500附近。日内我们也是一路唱箜，实盘方面两多两箜布局，围绕低多高空思路布局大饼斩获6137空间，姨太斩获168空间。

币圈投资，心态至关重要。面对市场的不确定性，保持平和的心态，不焦虑不贪婪。相信自己的判断，也尊重市场的选择，才能在这个充满挑战的领域持续获利。

#比特币走势分析 $BTC

In terms of the current market situation, the morning opening directly plummeted by 3000 points, and the situation is already quite clear, with not much to elaborate. The direction of this wave of market is obviously heading towards the 70000 mark, and I have already emphasized in yesterday's thoughts that as long as any rebound occurs, it is an excellent opportunity to go short.

From a technical structure perspective, the daily chart shows a one-sided downward trend, with the overall market rhythm being extremely weak. The short-term has opened a continuous declining adjustment trend, and the moving average indicators have formed a death cross at a high level and are diverging downwards. In the short cycle, a stepped downward structure is clearly visible, with prices continuously breaking through multiple key support levels, and the current downward trend has not yet stopped. It is expected that the market will further extend its downward trend during the day, and once there is a slight rebound, one can decisively go short.

Considering the situation from various aspects, the market situation today is not optimistic, and attention should be paid to the price's downward breakthrough. At this stage, there is no need for excessive analysis; subsequent operations should just be firmly directed in one direction. The resistance level is around 80000, while the support levels are near 75000 and 73000.

The intra-day trading strategy is actually very simple; after a significant decline in the short term, a rebound trend usually follows, and everyone just needs to grasp this pattern of going short during the rebound.

For Bitcoin: 79300-79800, looking at 78000-77500-77000

For Ethereum: 1850-1870, looking at 1820-1790-1760#比特币走势分析

I mentioned early on that this round can be shorted around the high point. The big pie has gained 3154 points, and the aunt has 90 points! Steady profits are secured!

Long positions have been closed for profit, Bitcoin is now at 1152 points, Ethereum is at 40 points, currently Bitcoin is pulling up to around 84000, continuing to consolidate around the high!
#比特币走势分析
$BTC

De acordo com a situação atual, o mercado, após uma recuperação, não conseguiu realizar um novo avanço e, ao contrário, demonstra uma tendência de estabilização. Acima, existe um nível de resistência chave obtido por meio de uma translação, que sem dúvida é nossa principal área de alvo para vendas a descoberto. Vale a pena notar que sempre que o preço sobe para perto de 82700, há sinais de recuo. Atualmente, o mercado está operando dentro de um intervalo de pequena correção. Portanto, na operação da tarde de hoje, ainda podemos optar por entrar em posições vendidas em níveis altos, mantendo nossa estratégia de venda a descoberto inalterada.