LINEA BEACOMES A ÚLTIMA VÍTIMA QUANDO ARKHAM CORTA O BASE L2 COM BASE NA 'IMPORTÂNCIA PARA A CRIPTO'
A Arkham Intelligence anunciou que deixará de oferecer suporte à blockchain Linea a partir de 11 de janeiro, após uma revisão periódica da relevância da cadeia e da demanda dos usuários. Linea, desenvolvida pela Consensys como uma camada 2 do Ethereum, está entre várias camadas 2 que serão removidas, juntamente com Manta e Blast.
O movimento sugere que a Arkham está simplificando sua plataforma, eliminando redes com menor atividade. No entanto, grandes camadas 2 do Ethereum, como Arbitrum, Base, Optimism, Mantle e Polygon zkEVM, continuarão sendo suportadas, especialmente porque a atualização Dencun do Ethereum reforçou o papel e a relevância das principais soluções de camada 2.#USNonFarmPayrollReport #CPIWatch #USTradeDeficitShrink #USJobsData #USBitcoinReservesSurge
Saylor triggers fresh bitcoin buy speculation BTC hovers near 90k$
Michael Saylor is once again hinting at an aggressive Bitcoin accumulation by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), showing the firm remains committed to its high-risk BTC treasury strategy despite MSTR stock weakness. This comes as MSCI plans to remove Strategy from its global indices. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is trading near the $90K resistance zone, with strong liquidity clusters and continued institutional demand suggesting BTC remains well supported despite recent volatility.$BTC #WriteToEarnUpgrade #FedOfficialsSpeak #Ripple1BXRPReserve
Os ETFs de XRP brilham enquanto o mercado de criptomoedas enfrenta pressão
Os fundos negociados em bolsa (ETFs) de XRP estão mostrando um forte impulso, registrando entradas positivas por 30 dias de negociação consecutivos. O CEO da Ripple, Brad Garlinghouse, destacou essa conquista, especialmente à medida que os ETFs de Bitcoin e Ethereum continuam a ver fluxos de fundos irregulares e instáveis.
O aumento do interesse começou com o lançamento do primeiro ETF de XRP à vista dos EUA pela Canary Capital, que atraiu quase $250 milhões em volume de negociação no dia da estreia—estabelecendo um novo marco para os ETFs de altcoins que não são Ethereum. Após esse sucesso, grandes gestores de ativos como Franklin Templeton, Bitwise e Grayscale rapidamente introduziram seus próprios produtos de ETF de XRP, aumentando a concorrência e a exposição no mercado.
Ao mesmo tempo, Shiba Inu (SHIB) está enviando sinais mistos. Embora seu preço permaneça sob pressão perto das mínimas locais, dados on-chain mostram uma tendência de alta. Quase 100 bilhões de tokens SHIB foram retirados de exchanges centralizadas em 24 horas, sugerindo uma pressão de venda reduzida e uma crescente confiança dos detentores de longo prazo.
Apesar desses desenvolvimentos positivos em ativos selecionados, o mercado de criptomoedas mais amplo está lutando. A capitalização total do mercado caiu para abaixo de $3 trilhões, em torno de $2,95 trilhões. Cardano (ADA) tem sido um dos ativos mais afetados, com posições longas alavancadas enfrentando liquidações pesadas. Mais de $1,18 milhão em longs de ADA foram eliminados em apenas 24 horas, resultando em um enorme desbalanceamento de liquidação de 1.303%.
No geral, enquanto XRP e SHIB mostram sinais de força sob a superfície, o mercado de criptomoedas mais amplo permanece cauteloso à medida que os investidores reavaliam o risco em direção ao final do ano.$XRP $ADA $SHIB #CPIWatch #TrumpTariffs #FedRateCut25bps
FEDERAL RESERVE OFFICIALLY BACK OFF 2023 BANK CRYPTO RESTRICTIONS PERMANENTLY
The Fed dropped its old 2023 rule and replaced it with a new policy that gives state member banks room to use innovative tools without being stuck under the limits created two years ago.
The Board said the financial system changed enough to make the earlier rule useless. The new move applies to both insured and uninsured banks under the Fed’s watch and brings direct consequences for crypto-linked firms that want stable access to payment rails.
Fed changes federal access for crypto companies in America
“New technologies offer efficiencies to banks and improved products and services to bank customers,” Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said.
“By creating a pathway for responsible, innovative products and services, the Board is helping ensure that the banking sector remains safe and sound while also modern, efficient, and effective.”
The 2023 policy forced state member banks to follow the same activity rules that other federal regulators used. It also tried to lay out how banks should handle new tools. After it came out, the Board said the financial system shifted and its own understanding grew, so it cleared the rule and replaced it.
The new policy lets banks under the Fed take part in certain innovative activities, which matters for firms like Circle, Paxos, Tether, and BitGo. These companies will now place customer reserves directly at the Fed instead of routing everything through commercial banks. That lowers costs and cuts counterparty risk while giving them more control over flows.
Some companies tried other ways to reach the Fed’s payment system.The big one was specialty banking charters.
One example is Wyoming’s Special Purpose Depository Institution setup, built for crypto companies. Custodia Bank, one of the first to use it, sued the Federal Reserve Board and the Kansas City Fed for what it called “a patently unlawful delay.” A court dismissed the case, and Custodia appealed. That case is still active.$BTC #BinanceAlphaAlert
Liquidity pool in to binance as volatility returns
Fresh data from CryptoQuant shows Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchangetightening its grip on spot and derivatives trading, setting new records. The activity surge comes as on-chain and options metrics suggest investors are repositioning for a more active market environment. The exchange is on track to set new records across spot and derivatives markets in 2025, even as traders continue to price uncertainty in the crypto market. Binance leads, others follow Liquidity pools into Binance as volatilityreturns"> Source: CryptoQuant Crypto inflows into Binance hit $1.17 trillion in 2025, representing a 31% increase year on year. The inflow, which widens the gulf between Binance and other exchanges, coincided with the platform surpassing 300 million registered users. Coinbase comes second after Binance with respect to crypto inflows, seeing $946 billion in 2025, which is a 30% increase from the previous year. Source: CryptoQuant Binance spot trading volume is projected to reach about $7 trillion by year-end, nearly five times that of its closest competitor, Bybit. According to CryptoQuant, “the total number of spot trades reached a new all-time high of 24.1 billion in 2025, up 4% year over year and more than 3x higher than in 2022.” Binance also posted a record high this year in the total number of perpetual futures trades, which reached 49.6 billion, 33% above last year’s record high of 37.3 billion trades. The platform’s perpetual futures volume has already exceeded $24.6 trillion, more than double the volume of ……… Source: CryptoQuant Julio, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, pointed out that this current boost in activity metrics indicates “sustained growth in user activity throughout the current bull cycle.” By June 2025, Binance had captured 41.1% of global spot volume, maintaining a market share of 39.8% among centralized exchanges the following month. Market uncertainty drives hedging activity The renewed focus on liquidity comes as volatility shows signs of returning after a stable six-month period. Glasnode analysis indicates that during a sharp drawdown in the market several weeks ago, risk hedging activity increased substantially, with elevated put demand as Bitcoin prices moved into the low-$80,000 range. Source: Glassnode on X While market conditions have stabilized, and expectations for extreme moves have moderated, “implied volatility remains elevated relative to the exceptionally low-volatility regime observed over the prior six months, suggesting a shift toward a more active volatility environment,” according to Glassnode. Large centralized exchanges tend to benefit when volatility rises, as hedging, arbitrage, and high-frequency strategies all rely on deep and continuous liquidity. Binance’s scale across spot and perpetual futures markets places it at the center of that activity. The concentration of liquidity on Binance highlights a structural feature of crypto markets, which is that liquidity tends to pool where liquidity already exists. Other exchanges continue to play important roles in specific regions or product niches, and institutional activity on regulated venues remains influential for benchmark pricing.
BITCOIN IS poised to close the year in the red for the fourth time in its history
Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for its fourth annual decline in history. Moreover, this time the decline is not coinciding with a major scandal or a sector-wide collapse, as in previous years. The world's largest cryptocurrencyexperienced a sharp sell-off yesterday, losing as much as 5.2% during the day. Bitcoin is down approximately 7% year-to-date. While this decline is more limited compared to the sharp crashes of the previous three years of losses, it is occurring in a very different environment. Since the last major crypto crash in 2022, institutional adoption has increased, the regulatory framework has matured, and the sector has gained the explicit support of US President Donald Trump. Despite this, Bitcoin has surprised investors with its rapid pullback since its all-time high of over $126,000 in early October. Trading volumes remain low, investors are exiting Bitcoin ETFs, and derivatives markets are showing little appetite for a potential rebound. Even large-scale purchases by Michael Saylor’s company Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) weren’t enough to reverse the weakness in prices. “The lack of a strong follow-up despite so many positive catalysts has surprised many,” commented Pratik Kala, portfolio manager at Apollo Crypto. The current picture also shows Bitcoin decoupling from stocks. While the S&P 500 index hit a record high closing earlier this month, it has risen 16 percent year-to-date. Technology stocks, which often move in tandem with Bitcoin, have performed even more strongly. Each of Bitcoin's three major past declines has been linked to significant events that eroded market confidence. In 2014, the Mt. Gox exchange hack and collapse exposed weaknesses in early crypto infrastructure, causing Bitcoin to lose 58% of its value that year. In 2018, the bursting of the ICO bubbleand regulatory pressures led to a historic 74% drop in Bitcoin. The 2022 crash, meanwhile, resulted in the bankruptcy of several large companies, including FTX, and triggered extensive regulatory pressure in the US. Up until its peak in October, Bitcoin's rise seemed unstoppable. Trump's declaration of cryptocurrencies as a national priority, the US Congress's historic stablecoin law, and billions of dollars inflows into Bitcoin ETFs fueled optimism. However, behind the scenes, vulnerabilities had accumulated, particularly regarding excessive leverage. On October 10th, the liquidation of $19 billion in leveraged positions exposed these vulnerabilities, severely shaking the market. According to Pratik Kala, “Selling by old whaleshas severely suppressed momentum. The sector got everything it wanted on the regulatory side, even ETFs with staking, but the price couldn’t keep up.” This picture suggests that a cautious stance may prevail in the Bitcoin market in the short term. $BTC
A taxa de inflação núcleo observada pelo Fed atingiu 2,8%, dados de setembro atrasados mostram, abaixo do esperado
1. Mecanismo de corte de taxa de juros
A inflação caindo para 2,8% dá ao Fed mais espaço para cortar as taxas de juros. → Quando as taxas de juros caem, os custos de empréstimos diminuem, os empréstimos aumentam e a liquidez (fluxo de dinheiro) na economia aumenta. → O dinheiro tende a fluir para ativos de alto risco, como cripto.
2. Reação de risco
Em períodos em que as taxas de juros caem, os investidores se movem em direção a → ações de tecnologia → bitcoin → altcoins buscando retornos mais altos. Cripto geralmente sobe durante condições de mercado de risco.
3. Fraqueza do dólar e crescimento do Bitcoin
Quando as taxas de juros caem, o Índice do Dólar dos EUA (DXY) tende a declinar. → Quando o dólar se enfraquece, o Bitcoin historicamente mostra uma tendência de alta.
4. Aumento nos influxos de ETF
Quando os dados macroeconômicos parecem positivos, os investidores institucionais têm mais chances de alocar fundos para → ETFs de BTC → ETFs de ETH → fundos de cripto.
Resumo
Uma inflação mais baixa que se alinha com as expectativas do Fed é geralmente otimista para cripto. Os mercados de cripto frequentemente se movem para cima após liberações de dados como essas.
Os mercados de criptomoedas se estabilizaram com as crescentes expectativas de um corte na taxa do Fed em dezembro, o que apoiou o sentimento. O Bitcoin permaneceu próximo de $88.000 nas negociações em Hong Kong, enquanto o Ethereum pairou em torno de $2.945. Analistas da QCP Capital observam uma limpeza de alavancagem longa e uma cobertura equilibrada, com o interesse de compra no final do ano superando as opções de venda - sinais de uma estrutura de mercado mais saudável. Os dados da Glassnode também apontam para condições de sobrevenda, pressão de venda reduzida e os estágios finais de uma correção de mercado, embora os futuros ainda mostrem vendedores agressivos. Se as expectativas de corte na taxa permanecerem intactas quando os mercados dos EUA reabrirem, o BTC provavelmente se estabilizará dentro de sua faixa atual $BTC #BTCRebound90kNext? #WriteToEarnUpgrade #ProjectCrypto
As Chances de Corte da Taxa do Fed Caem com Atraso nos Dados de Emprego
Os traders reduziram drasticamente as chances de um corte na taxa do Fed em dezembro para 33%, após um relatório importante de empregos dos EUA ter sido atrasado. O ponto de dados ausente adiciona incerteza antes da reunião final do Fed em 2025.
Para os mercados de cripto, a atualização sinaliza menor liquidez a curto prazo e apetite de risco reduzido, criando uma leve pressão para baixo sobre o Bitcoin e principais altcoins. No entanto, as expectativas de longo prazo para cortes na taxa em 2025 permanecem inalteradas#AltcoinMarketRecovery #USStocksForecast2026 $BTC