Crepto _FX

📊$BTC padrão de ciclo histórico: 3 anos de mercado em alta seguidos por 1 ano de mercado em baixa.
🔴Agora estamos bem no meio da fase típica de baixa.
🟢Se o padrão se mantiver, a correção atual está chegando às suas etapas finais.
Um padrão histórico de timing nos ciclos do #Bitcoin está voltando a chamar atenção.
• Dec 2017 ATH → ~395 Dias → Fundo de Jan 2019
• Nov 2021 ATH → ~395 Dias → Fundo de Dez 2022
Se a mesma estrutura se repetir:
• Oct 2025 ATH → ~395 Dias → Possível Fundo por volta de Nov 2026

• The updated CLARITY Act closes the "DINO" loophole, targeting crypto platforms claiming to be decentralized but still holding operational control.
• A little-known provision protects self-custodied crypto from being considered abandoned property just because a wallet goes unused.
•The legislation could help firms like Coinbase and Circle by providing more clarity from the federal government on digital assets and stablecoins. The revised Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) does more than establish market structure rules for crypto; it goes after platforms that claim to be decentralized, and for the first time, provides federal legal protections for self-custodied digital assets sitting in inactive wallets.
•The bill closed the "DINO loophole," short for Decentralized In Name Only, that has allowed crypto exchanges, decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms and crypto ATMs to claim decentralization to avoid anti-money laundering rules and sanctions, even when operators had control, Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) said on Saturday.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

•$Bitcoin whales removed nearly $198 million from Kraken, easing immediate exchange selling pressure.
•$BTC still holds ascending channel support while scarcity and miner activity favor stronger supply conditions.
After nearly 3,080 Bitcoin [$BTC ] left Kraken, attention has shifted back to whale accumulation. The two transfers included 1,265 $BTC worth approximately $81.3 million and 1,815 $BTC valued at about $116.6 million, bringing the combined value close to $198 million.
Rather than signaling imminent selling, the movements pointed toward coins leaving an exchange for unknown wallets. Such a pattern often reflects long-term holding instead of immediate distribution. However, the transfers arrived while Bitcoin traded within a well-defined recovery structure, making the timing especially notable.
Investors also viewed the withdrawals alongside broader on-chain indicators instead of treating them as isolated events. As a result, the latest whale activity reinforced the argument that large holders continued reducing readily available exchange supply despite recent market volatility.
Scarcity returns to Bitcoin’s favor
Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow Ratio strengthened considerably and reached 46.5K as of writing, posting a remarkable 350.01% increase over the previous 24 hours. The sharp rise suggested that Bitcoin’s scarcity profile improved after weakening in earlier sessions.
Since the metric compares circulating supply against annual issuance, higher readings generally reflected tighter supply conditions. This shift aligned well with the latest exchange withdrawals because both indicators pointed toward fewer coins remaining available for immediate selling.
However, scarcity alone did not determine future price direction. Market participants still required sustained demand to capitalize on reduced supply. Even so, the improvement suggested that Bitcoin’s long-term supply dynamics remained supportive.
Investors therefore gained another fundamental signal that complemented the growing accumulation narrative driven by large holders.