JustDoIT 1
85 Publicações
JustDoIT 1
🚀Cryptocurrency ||Blockchain ||Technology advocate 💸 Making profits, changing lives"📈
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Spot $BTC ETFs recorded a record $1.8B in outflows over the past week. Since the beginning of May, total outflows have reached nearly $7.86B, according to SoSoValue... #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#
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🚨 NEW: $HYPE Foundation is providing roughly $10M in grants to help builders offset costs from the USDH sunset as they migrate to $USDC by the end of July.
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The Crypto Fear and Greed index has traded around the "extreme fear" levels for many weeks already during this down trend. Back in the day, you could pretty blindly buy $BTC the moment this hit extreme fear levels and you'd be up within weeks usually. Nowadays, this metric is pretty outdated and is more so lagging price (as do most indicators/metrics). I still like to come back to watch it from time to time... #BTC Price Analysis#
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THE LOG SCALE CHART IS TELLING AN UNCOMFORTABLE TRUTH. From a pure cycle perspective bitcoin does not look close to a bottom. Every single major cycle in history has touched realized price. Without exception. The bottom was never confirmed until that level was reached. Right now we haven't touched it. Two possibilities exist. Either price drops to meet realized price creating the most asymmetric risk reward opportunity of this entire cycle. Or this time is genuinely different. ETFs. Institutions. Corporate treasuries. Sovereign adoption. Maybe the floor has been raised permanently. Maybe. But betting against a pattern that has never failed in Bitcoin's entire history is a bold position to hold. The chart doesn't care about narratives. It just shows what has always happened... $BTC #Macro Insights#
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Bitcoin has reclaimed the $59,000-$59,500 support zone after briefly losing it yesterday. That's a positive start. But I don't think it changes much just yet. The failed reclaim around $61,000 is still the level that matters. As long as Bitcoin stays below that area, I'd be cautious. If buyers can hold $59,000-$59,500, there's still a chance we see another push higher. But if this support fails again, I think the market starts looking lower pretty quickly. For now, $BTC has done the minimum. Now it needs to prove it can build on this reclaim rather than turning it into another failed bounce.. #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#
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🚨BULLISH: NEARLY 80% OF ALL BITCOIN SUPPLY IS NOW WITH LONG-TERM HOLDERS A record 79% of $BTC circulating supply is now held by long-term holders, underscoring persistent accumulation and an increasingly illiquid market.. #Altcoin Season# #BTC Price Analysis#
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$BTC SINCE APRIL 2025: -27% NASDAQ INDEX SINCE APRIL 2025: +70% THE CORRELATION IS DEAD.
BTC-2,76%
QQQETF+1,84%
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Bitcoin may be following Gold’s 1970s playbook almost perfectly. $XAUt exploded after breaking out in 1972. Then crashed nearly 50% before the real parabolic move began. $BTC is printing a very similar structure. What looked like the “end” for Gold was actually the reset before the most explosive phase of the cycle. I do think Bitcoin will drop a little bit lower first... #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#
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🚨JUST IN: KOREA'S TOSS BANK PARTNERS WITH SOLANA TO USE CRYPTO RAILS FOR REMITTANCES Toss Bank, managing 30T won, signed a deal with $SOL to use blockchain for remittances, including stablecoin transfers, for its 15 million customers. Toss is now the first South Korean internet-only bank and the second Korean finance firm to partner with Solana... #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#
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Spot $BTC volume is rising slower than futures, which means futures dominance is taking over the market again. Right now, spot volume sits at just 7.18%. It is nowhere near the 10% I like to see for a healthy market. When it is this low, it tells me there is zero real, long-term demand. Fake demand relies on futures loans, whilst real demand buys the actual asset on spot. Looking at the maker volume data, people are buying, but they are buying directly from a massive player. To me, it looks like someone has been aggressively building up heavy short positions at these exact levels. We are building a giant pile of liquidity here. When this range finally breaks, I believe it will be to the downside, and it will be an explosive move. My bigger concern for this week is that we get an incredibly annoying, straight-line wick in both directions just to wipe everyone out. If that happens, everybody loses. If you look at the price vs volume history chart below, we had a very irregular volume candle on Sunday. The bulk of that volume came in right above where the price currently sits, which points towards a bunch of positions being completely trapped. These long straight lines upwards are just designed to make you panic and close your trade. In my opinion, these big spiky candles are actually super bearish because they just create loss for personal gain. That is exactly how I am reading this.
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BITCOIN SUPERCYCLE IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS EXPECTED. Bear market low: $16K First peak: $126K Mid-cycle low: $60K This isn’t weakness this is a CLASSIC mid-cycle correction. Every cycle had brutal drawdowns: -93% / -85% / -84% / -77% And still new highs followed every time. Current cycle? -50% reset. Right in line. NEXT PHASE: PARABOLIC EXPANSION $250K+ $BTC INCOMING DO YOU UNDERSTAND?
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LTH PROFITS JUST CRASHED TO THE LOWEST LEVEL THIS CYCLE $BTC Cost basis near $48K. Price near $64K. Only 32% profit left down from 350% in December 2024. History says real bottoms need LTH realizing losses, not shrinking gains. That means sub $50K. Not guaranteed. But the pattern is staring right at us.. #BTC Price Analysis#
🚨METADE DE TODO O BITCOIN ESTÁ AGORA NO VERMELHO 10.5 MILHÕES $BTC ou mais de 50% da oferta de Bitcoin, está agora em PERDA, subindo de apenas 30% há um mês. Todos os fundos do mercado em baixa em 2011, 2018 e 2022 chegaram próximo a este nível em SEMANAS, mas somente após uma última queda de 15% a 26%. Enquanto isso, os RETORNOS de um ano após cruzar este limite variaram de 69% a 359%.
Os fluxos do ETF de Bitcoin estão bem ruins até agora. Nem todo mundo reportou ainda, mas os números que temos não são exatamente encorajadores. A BlackRock vendeu mais de 1.000 $BTC ontem. HODL vendeu mais 68 BTC. Os fluxos combinados do ETF estão atualmente em cerca de -1.410 BTC. Eu sei que algumas pessoas estão esperando um bounce aqui, mas eu realmente não vejo um motivo para isso ainda. O Bitcoin passou as últimas 16+ horas rondando o suporte sem fazer muito. O suporte tem se mantido firme. Não houve um bounce. Se os compradores estivessem entrando de forma agressiva, eu esperaria ver isso refletido no preço até agora. Em vez disso, a demanda spot ainda parece fraca e os fluxos do ETF não estão ajudando. Por enquanto, eu acho que uma queda é a direção mais provável.. #Análise de Preço do BTC# #Temporada de Altcoins#
Como isso é possível? Nasdaq está a apenas 1% de um novo ATH. Enquanto isso, $BTC está em queda de -50% em relação ao ATH. Não vejo explicação para isso, exceto pura MANIPULAÇÃO de mercado por insiders.. #Análise de Preço do BTC# #Temporada de Altcoins#
🚨ATIVIDADE DE BALEIAS NA UNISWAP ATINGE O MAIOR NÍVEL EM 7 MESES As baleias estão se jogando na Uniswap após a meta de preço de $100 para $UNI do Standard Chartered. Os endereços ativos dispararam para o maior nível em 4 meses, enquanto as transações de baleias acabaram de alcançar seu pico em sete meses.
Há alguns anos, eu usei a Uniswap para uma troca simples de tokens e nunca pensei muito sobre isso. Como a maioria das pessoas, estava focado nas moedas que estavam sendo negociadas, não na plataforma que tornava tudo isso possível. Recentemente, comecei a olhar para o $UNI de uma forma diferente. Enquanto todos estão comentando sobre o último salto de 25% no preço, a verdadeira história parece ser maior do que um rali de curto prazo. A Uniswap se tornou silenciosamente a espinha dorsal do DeFi, processando mais de $1 trilhão em volume de negociação e provando que finanças descentralizadas não são mais apenas um experimento. O que chamou minha atenção é como o ecossistema continua evoluindo. Os V4 Hooks abrem a porta para mais inovações, enquanto a discussão sobre a troca de taxas poderia criar uma conexão mais forte entre o crescimento do protocolo e o valor do UNI. Isso me lembra que as maiores oportunidades muitas vezes vêm da infraestrutura, não do hype. À medida que o DeFi e os ativos do mundo real continuam se expandindo, os projetos que já estão liderando o espaço podem ter mais a ganhar. Essa é uma das razões pelas quais o UNI permanece no meu radar e por que estou acompanhando a tendência de perto na Bitget... #Insights Macro# #Temporada de Altcoins#
$BTC Divergência entre Spot e Perp Estamos vendo uma divergência consistente (hoje) entre o volume spot e o volume perp. Também estamos observando um aumento nas taxas de funding, sugerindo fraqueza nesta faixa. A menos que vejamos um pico no volume spot (BTC recuperando 66k), o preço deve continuar caindo.. #Análise de Preço BTC# #Temporada de Altcoins#
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BITCOIN IS STUCK IN NO MAN'S LAND Looking at the 1-hour chart, the thing that immediately stands out to me is that Bitcoin isn't really doing anything dramatic right now. We've had a strong move from roughly $63,500 up into the $67,000 region, but since making that high, price has failed to push on and create a new leg higher. Instead, we've spent the last day chopping around between roughly $65,500 and $66,800. That's important because after a move this strong, you would ideally want to see buyers come in and immediately continue the trend. Right now we're not really getting that. What we're getting is indecision. The good news for the bulls is that $BTC is still holding most of the gains from the breakout. We haven't seen any aggressive sell-off back towards the $64,000 region, which suggests there are still buyers underneath the market. The problem is that every push towards the highs is getting sold. So for me, this isn't a chart where I'd be going aggressively long. It's also not a chart where I'd be going aggressively short. It's a chart where I'm waiting for the market to show its hand. If Bitcoin can reclaim the recent highs around $67 ,200 and start holding above them, then I think the next leg higher becomes much more likely. On the other hand, if we lose the recent support zone around $65,500, then I'd expect traders to start targeting the lower liquidity sitting beneath the market. Right now, the market has spent nearly 24 hours moving sideways. That's usually a sign that a bigger move is being prepared. The only question is which direction it breaks.
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