The Fed announces its rate decision today. Half of the market is trying to guess it. We are not.
A trend-following system does not need a forecast. It needs a rule for what to do after the price has moved:
▪ if the move becomes a trend, the ensemble joins it;
▪ if it is noise, the position stays small or flat;
▪ if volatility jumps, position size shrinks automatically, so the risk stays the same.
Decisions are made before the event, in the code, calmly — not at 9 pm with a racing heart. That matters even more in crypto, where $BTC and $ETH often react to the Fed within minutes.
Forecasting is a great intellectual sport. Following is a business.
#FOMC #macro #trendfollowing
A trend-following system does not need a forecast. It needs a rule for what to do after the price has moved:
▪ if the move becomes a trend, the ensemble joins it;
▪ if it is noise, the position stays small or flat;
▪ if volatility jumps, position size shrinks automatically, so the risk stays the same.
Decisions are made before the event, in the code, calmly — not at 9 pm with a racing heart. That matters even more in crypto, where $BTC and $ETH often react to the Fed within minutes.
Forecasting is a great intellectual sport. Following is a business.
#FOMC #macro #trendfollowing
