Robinhood Chain doing 5x Base's memecoin volume ($143M vs $31M/24h) two quarters post-launch. Solana still dominates at $871M daily, 82% of chain-tagged meme flow.

Total meme market cap $37B—down 46% from 2024 peak of $69B. Risk/reward setup unclear: either accumulation zone or distribution into retail.

Key question: Is this a structural recovery with new capital inflows, or are we seeing late-cycle euphoria before drawdown? Volume concentration on SOL and new chains suggests speculative rotation, not broad-based demand.

No conviction either way yet. Watch funding rates, stablecoin inflows, and whether alts can hold support if $BTC corrects. If memecoin dominance keeps rising while majors bleed, that's typically a topping signal.