📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & MARKET SENTIMENT INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATED 19/09/2026
The latest statistical data shows that the correlation between the FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to lean negative, with r ≈ -0.295. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for determining order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to weaken as market sentiment moves into extreme optimism, making FGI more suitable as an early risk-warning signal rather than a signal for expanding profit targets.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across each sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R = 1:1.47 • n=25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 44.7% • R:R = 1:1.24 • n=240
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R = 1:1.21 • n=157
😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R:R = 1:1.12 • n=271
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R = 1:0.91 • n=115
Percentage of days with performance above the overall average of 46.56% by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
🤤 Greed: 35.4%
😐 Neutral: 38.2%
😰 Fear: 55.0%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%
➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
📈 When FGI is high, expected profit targets may need to be increased to maintain a sufficiently large R:R ratio, helping offset the risk associated with a lower win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, expected profit targets can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier.
#TradingInsights $TRUMP $FIL $ZEC
The latest statistical data shows that the correlation between the FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to lean negative, with r ≈ -0.295. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for determining order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to weaken as market sentiment moves into extreme optimism, making FGI more suitable as an early risk-warning signal rather than a signal for expanding profit targets.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across each sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R = 1:1.47 • n=25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 44.7% • R:R = 1:1.24 • n=240
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R = 1:1.21 • n=157
😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R:R = 1:1.12 • n=271
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R = 1:0.91 • n=115
Percentage of days with performance above the overall average of 46.56% by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
🤤 Greed: 35.4%
😐 Neutral: 38.2%
😰 Fear: 55.0%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%
➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
📈 When FGI is high, expected profit targets may need to be increased to maintain a sufficiently large R:R ratio, helping offset the risk associated with a lower win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, expected profit targets can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier.
#TradingInsights $TRUMP $FIL $ZEC
