Wow 😳😳😳 The numbers speak for themselves: 5 out of 6 correct forecasts with SokoData.
Our latest 1-day forecast tracking shows an 83.3% in-range accuracy with an average error of just 1.66%.
Recent Highlights:
Nov 10 (Bearish): Predicted $74,673 to Actual $73,992 (Correct)
Nov 9 (Bearish): Predicted $74,904 to Actual $73,205 (Correct)
Nov 8 (Bearish): Predicted $75,489 to Actual $75,523 (Correct)
Nov 6 (Bearish): Predicted $75,821 to Actual $75,765 (Correct)
Nov 5 (Bearish): Predicted $80,4...
So December rate hike? Yeah, the market's basically penciled that in as a done deal now — CME options are showing it clear as day.
What's wild though is the double-hike probability. That thing literally doubled overnight. Sitting around 15% now. Not huge, but definitely not noise either.
I've seen these probabilities shift before, and when they move that fast, it usually means *something* spooked the big money. Could be fresh data, could be Fed whispers, could be nothing. But 15% for a double ...