$ARB is trading around $0.24–$0.25 today while two very different forces are affecting the Arbitrum ecosystem.

First, Arbitrum’s underlying network economics have been improving.

The ArbitrumDAO reported $6.19 million in income during the first half of 2026 from transaction fees, Timeboost, treasury income and licensing fees from chains using Arbitrum technology.

Robinhood Chain has become particularly important.

Because Robinhood Chain uses the Arbitrum platform while settling outside Arbitrum One, it returns 10% of its net protocol revenue to the Arbitrum ecosystem. In July alone, these Arbitrum Expansion Program licensing fees represented 35% of ArbitrumDAO income.

At the same time, there is a supply-side event today.

Approximately 139.15 million ARB are scheduled to unlock on September 23.

That equals roughly 1.4% of total ARB supply and is currently worth more than $30 million.

The allocation includes tokens for insiders, private investors and the Foundation.

An unlock does not automatically mean those tokens will be sold, but it increases the amount of supply that can potentially become liquid.

So $ARB currently has two separate dynamics worth monitoring:

Growing real revenue from the Arbitrum ecosystem.

Additional token supply becoming unlocked.

For ARB, useful metrics from here are DAO revenue, Robinhood Chain activity, tokenized-asset usage, circulating supply and whether newly unlocked tokens actually move onto exchanges.

Network growth and token supply can move in opposite directions at the same time.