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$ETH witnessed the largest Short liquidation since 2022 — what’s happening?
Data shows that the liquidation volume of ETH Short positions on Binance has just reached the highest level since 2022, reflecting a significant shift in market sentiment after the late-June recovery earlier in July.
🔷 Leverage wiped out after a strong correction phase Since the October 2025 peak, ETH Open Interest has fallen from a record high of $33.9 billion to $11.2 billion, indicating that a large amount of leveraged positions were closed as ETH plunged from around $3,200 to $1,500. The liquidation bubble chart shows: - At the end of June, the Long side faced very heavy liquidation pressure as the price continued to drop. - However, after the early-July rebound—especially on July 2—the Short side became the most heavily liquidated again, with the largest scale in more than 3 years.
🔶 The market is punishing over-leveraged positions The back-and-forth between Long and Short liquidations suggests the market is still lacking a clear direction. With low volatility, many traders use high leverage to seek short-term profits, but even a single unexpected price move is enough to trigger a cascade of liquidations.
💡 Perspective - The fact that Short liquidation hits the highest level since 2022 does not mean ETH has entered a sustainable uptrend. Instead, it’s a sign that the market is removing over-leveraged positions on both sides. - If Open Interest continues to stay low while the price stabilizes or recovers, selling pressure from the derivatives market may gradually ease.
Options trading volume plummets $BTC , is the market waiting for a new breakout?
Data from the options market shows that Bitcoin trading activity continues to cool down. Since BTC peaked in October, the open interest of options has fallen from around $8 billion to $3.5 billion, reflecting a significant contraction in speculative inflows.
🔷 Liquidity and volatility both decline - The chart shows that options open interest has a fairly close correlation with Bitcoin price movements. After the price pulls back from its peak, the amount of open positions in the options market keeps decreasing. - At the same time, implied volatility is in a low range, indicating that investors no longer expect major fluctuations in the short term. This often reduces demand for buying options and drags down liquidity across the entire market.
🔶 The market is in a “wait-and-see” mode - A decline in options trading volume is not necessarily a negative signal. Instead, it reflects cautious sentiment, as most investors are waiting for new catalysts from macroeconomics, Fed policy, or institutional capital flows before opening large positions. - Historically, prolonged periods of low volatility often set the stage for the next wave of strong volatility once a sufficiently large event appears.
💡 The drop in open interest and implied volatility suggests that the Bitcoin options market is entering an accumulation phase, with speculative activity falling significantly.
$BTC is about to enter a period of low volatility? The options market is sending notable signals
New data shows that the implied volatility of 1-week BTC futures could continue to decline during this summer, approaching or even falling below the 30% level—a zone that appeared during the 2023 and 2025 periods.
🔷 Volatility is gradually narrowing According to the chart, IV is currently hovering around 36.4%, significantly lower than during earlier high-volatility periods. If IV continues to drop toward the 30% range, option premiums could fall further by about 30% solely due to the contraction in volatility.
This reflects the market’s expectation that BTC may enter a phase of more stable trading in the near term, instead of seeing large swings.
🔶 Volatility-selling strategies remain highly favored In a low-volatility environment, volatility-selling strategies often have an edge over buying options, because option value tends to decline as IV falls.
However, options markets always move in cycles. If macro events or large inflows cause volatility to rise again, the advantage could quickly shift back toward option buyers.
💡 Perspective A decline in implied volatility does not necessarily mean BTC will rise or fall in price. It simply indicates that the market expects the trading range to narrow over the coming period. This is often an accumulation phase before a larger trend emerges. Therefore, in addition to tracking price, investors should also monitor Implied Volatility to gauge market expectations and prepare for potential changes
Busan Bank completes stablecoin KRW testing on Kaia Chain with a 100% success rate
Busan Bank (BNK Busan Bank) of South Korea has just completed a trial program for the won-backed stablecoin (KRW) on the Kaia Chain, marking another step forward in the digitization of the domestic payments system.
🔷 Notable test results The trial was carried out by the K-STAR Alliance along with partners AhnLab Blockchain Company, Lambda256, and Open Asset, with the results: ✅ 100% transaction success rate ⚡ Processing time under 1 second This shows that the blockchain infrastructure is fully capable of meeting the requirements for speed and stability for KRW-linked digital payments applications.
🔶 Significance for the Kaia ecosystem A traditional bank successfully testing a stablecoin on Kaia Chain is a positive signal indicating that blockchain is gradually being applied to real-world finance. If the trials continue to expand, Kaia could become one of the platforms chosen for deploying payment solutions and digital assets in South Korea.
💡 Perspective The trend of financial institutions getting involved in stablecoin development is happening strongly worldwide. The success of this trial not only strengthens Kaia Chain’s potential, but also reflects the growing demand for blockchain infrastructure capable of processing transactions quickly, stably, and suitable for real-world financial applications.
⚠️ Security Alert: The "Ill Bloom" vulnerability still puts thousands of crypto wallets at risk of having assets stolen
A serious security vulnerability named "Ill Bloom" was recently disclosed by Coinspect Security. Hackers are actively exploiting this flaw to take control of wallets and steal assets, affecting multiple blockchains since 2018 and still appearing in wallets created in recent times.
🔷 Damages have reached millions of USD According to Coinspect: - On May 27, hundreds of accounts were compromised, with around $3 million stolen. - Just within the past few hours, hackers continued withdrawing approximately another $2 million from affected wallets. - There are still thousands of wallets at risk of being attacked.
🔶 The cause is not limited to a single wallet application Coinspect states that this is not an issue with one specific wallet software, but instead relates to the wallet creation process and weak recovery phrases (mnemonics). This means many wallets across different ecosystems can become targets for hackers.
💡 Recommendations for users To reduce risk, users should: - Check whether their wallet is on the affected list using the tool provided by Coinspect Security. - If you suspect your wallet may be at risk, move all assets to a new wallet created using a reliably trustworthy source. - Do not continue using wallets with weak recovery phrases or wallets created with tools from unclear sources. - Always back up your seed phrase safely and never share it with anyone. $BTC $ETH $SOL
Garret Jin increases Short position $ZEC to nearly 15 million USD, still holding onto a loss of over 16 million USD with a Long Bitcoin order
According to on-chain data, Garret Jin — one of the oldest Bitcoin trading wallets — has just increased his Short position in ZEC (2x leverage) to 32,759.57 ZEC, equivalent to about 14.9 million USD.
🔷 The portfolio still heavily bets on Bitcoin Alongside the ZEC Short order, Garret Jin is still maintaining positions: - Long $BTC (5x): Value of about 80.1 million USD - Entry price: 76,117 USD/BTC - Temporary loss: More than 16.38 million USD Meanwhile, the current ZEC Short position shows a loss of about 323,000 USD, but the fund continues to increase its size.
🔶 Notable opposing strategy Holding a large-scale Long BTC position while expanding the Short ZEC position suggests that Garret Jin is betting on a scenario where Bitcoin outperforms other altcoins, rather than expecting the entire market to rise in sync.
💡 Perspective Despite taking a large loss on the Long BTC position, Garret Jin shows no sign of cutting losses and continues to adjust the portfolio by increasing the size of Short ZEC. This could be a hedging strategy or trading based on performance divergence between BTC and altcoins. However, the market’s next developments will determine whether this strategy proves effective or whether the loss pressure continues to grow.
Expensive Lesson: Just One Mistake in a Command Can Cost an Investor Nearly $2 Million
A notable incident has just occurred in the market when a wallet address accidentally swapped 1,126.44 $ETH (about $2.01 million) to receive only 5,776 LIT, worth approximately $14,208.
🔷 One wrong action, paying millions of USD According to on-chain data, this transaction caused the wallet owner losses of nearly $2 million in a single swap. The cause could come from entering incorrect transaction parameters, selecting the wrong token, or encountering liquidity issues and slippage when executing the order.
🔶 A reminder for every investor In the crypto market, blockchain transactions are almost impossible to reverse. Even a small mistake can lead to very large losses. To limit risk, investors should: - Carefully check the token, quantity, and contract address before confirming. - Set an appropriate slippage limit. - For high-value transactions, try a small amount first to ensure all parameters are correct. - Limit trading when the market is highly volatile or liquidity is lacking.
💡 Perspective Crypto offers many opportunities but also requires a very high level of caution. Not every loss comes from price volatility; sometimes, just one accidental click can cause millions of USD to “evaporate.” Risk management is not only about portfolio management, but also about thoroughly checking each transaction before pressing the confirm button.$LIT
A new whale withdraws more than $20.5 million USD $BTC , does the accumulation signal continue to appear?
A newly created wallet has withdrawn 323.72 BTC, worth about $20.59 million USD, from Binance within just the past hour.
🔷 Trade details - Withdrawal amount: 323.72 BTC - Estimated value: $20.59 million USD - Receiving wallet: Newly created wallet When BTC is withdrawn from an exchange and transferred to a new wallet, the market often views it as a sign that the assets may be moved into long-term storage—thereby reducing the supply available for trading on the exchange.
🔶 Perspective A single transaction alone cannot confirm an accumulation trend, but given that recently the market has repeatedly seen large-scale BTC withdrawal orders from whales, this move remains a noteworthy signal.
If the trend of withdrawing BTC from exchanges continues in the coming period, near-term selling pressure could be eased, creating more favorable conditions for Bitcoin price movements.
New wallet deposits 2.67 million USDC to open a Long position at $LIT , earning over 340,000 USD after only a short time
A new wallet with the address "0x016" has just been discovered, depositing 2.67 million USDC into $HYPE and quickly opening a Long position (LIT) with 2x leverage.
🔷 Large-scale trades from the very first appearance - Deposited capital: 2.67 million USDC - Long position (LIT): $1.62 million - Leverage: 2x Notably, this position has already recorded temporary profits of more than $340,000, indicating the order was opened at the right time when the LIT price rose.
🔶 Signals worth monitoring from big money flows - When a completely new wallet sets up a position worth millions of dollars right away, it often draws market attention—especially when the trade rapidly generates significant profits. - However, this is still only unrealized profit and will depend on LIT price movements in the coming period.
💡 Perspective The appearance of large positions on HyperLiquid shows that speculative capital is still strongly active in the altcoin group. That said, an initially successful trade does not guarantee the trend will continue, so investors should monitor this wallet’s next actions and LIT’s price movement before making any decisions.
A whale is believed to be linked to Abraxas Capital, continuing to deposit an additional $2 million while still placing heavy bets on the Short side
A wallet thought to be associated with Abraxas Capital—a fund with cumulative profits of over $173.75 million—has just added another $2 million into HYPE, indicating that this entity is still maintaining a large-scale trading strategy.
🔷 98.5% of the portfolio remains tilted toward the Short side The account is currently managing a portfolio worth about $35.92 million, with nearly all positions being Short. The largest positions include: - Short $HYPE (5x): $20.51 million, temporarily down $3.95 million - Short $SOL (10x): $6.76 million, down about $72,000 - Short GOLD$XAU (4x): $5.44 million, up about $184,000 - Short FARTCOIN (5x): $2.04 million, up about $1.06 million
🔶 Positions are currently in the red, but still benefit greatly from Funding Although the positions are recording temporary losses of roughly $2.55 million, this account has collected nearly $9.87 million in funding fees, significantly easing the pressure from price volatility.
💡 Perspective Abraxas Capital continuing to add capital instead of closing positions suggests the fund remains committed to the Short strategy amid a market recovery. However, with the Short allocation as high as 98.5%, if the upward trend continues, this portfolio may face even greater pressure. On the other hand, if the market corrects, Abraxas could be one of the parties benefiting meaningfully from its current position size.
📅 Token Unlock Schedule Next Week: PUMP Leads With $125 Million, HYPE and APT Also Worth Watching
🔷 According to Token Unlocks data, many projects will enter token unlock events next week, with PUMP, HYPE, and APT among the most notable. Key unlocks: - $PUMP : Unlock 82.5 billion tokens on 12/7, equivalent to 29.23% of the circulating supply, worth approximately $125 million. - $HYPE : Unlock 452,000 tokens on 6/7, equivalent to 0.2% of the circulating supply, worth approximately $30.9 million. - $APT : Unlock 11.31 million tokens on 12/7, equivalent to 0.66% of the circulating supply, worth approximately $6.9 million. - RED: Unlock 40.85 million tokens on 7/7.
🔶 Among these, PUMP is the most noteworthy unlock, with the amount of tokens to be unlocked accounting for nearly 30% of the circulating supply. This is a fairly large proportion and could increase market supply if selling/realization pressure appears.
💡 Perspective Unlock events don’t necessarily mean the price will drop, but they often cause strong short-term volatility—especially for projects with a high unlock ratio relative to their circulating supply. Investors should closely monitor the unlock schedule and money-flow movements before making trading decisions.
👉 In your opinion, which token will face the biggest pressure after the upcoming unlock: PUMP, HYPE, or APT?
📈 The Falling Wedge Pattern Is Near Completion: These 5 Altcoins Could Lead the Wave if the Crypto Market Recovers?
After a prolonged correction phase, many altcoins are forming a technical pattern called a Falling Wedge—often watched as a potential reversal signal if it is confirmed by strong trading volume and enough buying pressure.
🔷 5 altcoins that the market is watching According to reports, SUI, SOL, TURBO, PUMP, and RAY are the projects receiving the most attention if the crypto market enters a new bull cycle in 2026. - $SUI : Continue expanding the ecosystem, increasing the number of applications, and boosting on-chain activity. - $SOL : Maintain its position as one of the blockchains with a strong-growing ecosystem, attracting many developers and DeFi capital flows. - RAY: Directly benefit from the growth of the Solana ecosystem as an important DeFi protocol. - $PUMP : Stand to benefit if the token and memecoin issuance wave returns. - TURBO: Continue attracting speculative capital thanks to its large community and its strong spread across social media.
🔶 Falling Wedge is not a guaranteed signal Although Falling Wedge often appears before past recovery rallies, it is not a guaranteed signal that prices will rise. Trend confirmation still depends on multiple factors, such as: - New capital flowing back into the market. - Improved liquidity. - Bitcoin staying stable or entering an uptrend. - A more favorable macro environment and monetary policies.
📉 Multiple Indicators Are Sending Signs of Weakness, $BTC Is It Still in a Long-Term Downtrend?
🔷 A new report shows that many important Bitcoin data groups are simultaneously reflecting market weakness. Not only price, but on-chain indicators and derivatives market signals are also turning negative.
The Open Interest chart shows that open positions in the derivatives market have been steadily declining since the end of 2025 and have maintained a downward trend throughout the first half of 2026. This reflects speculative capital pulling out of the market and investors’ risk appetite decreasing significantly.
🔶 In addition, indicators related to supply and demand, investor profitability, market demand, and loss-making supply have also weakened in recent months. When many indicators across different aspects confirm the same trend, the likelihood that the market is still in a correction phase is further reinforced.
💡 Perspective The price decline is only part of the picture. What is notable is that on-chain capital flows, holding behavior, and the derivatives market are all reflecting the same trend, suggesting that the downward pressure has not fully ended.
However, in previous cycles, periods when many indicators were simultaneously in negative territory were often also times when the market gradually formed an accumulation zone for a new cycle. Therefore, instead of focusing only on short-term price fluctuations, investors should continue monitoring improvements in capital flows and actual demand to assess the possibility of a reversal.
Is the memecoin hype fading? Altcoin dominance ratio falls to its lowest level in over 2 years
Data shows that the market capitalization share of the memecoin segment across the entire altcoin market has dropped to just 3.7%, the lowest since February 2024. This figure represents a sharp decline from a peak of over 10% in November 2024, reflecting a clear weakening in speculative capital flowing into this niche.
🔷 Memecoins are gradually being "forgotten" by the market The chart shows that after the late-2024 breakout, the memecoin dominance ratio has steadily trended downward and has now returned to the bottom range seen over the past two years. According to analyst Darkfost, the number of memecoin holders is also at its lowest level in nearly 3 years, indicating that investor interest in this asset class has fallen significantly.
🔶 Money may be shifting to other sectors A declining dominance ratio does not necessarily mean the entire altcoin market is weakening; it may instead reflect capital flowing toward areas with stronger fundamentals such as Layer 1, DeFi, AI, RWA, or projects with robust on-chain activity. From a cycle perspective, this is also a sign that speculative sentiment is cooling after memecoins’ hot growth phase.
💡 Viewpoint History shows that memecoins are among the most volatile asset groups when speculative capital returns. At this point, on-chain data indicates that funds have not yet prioritized this segment. If the market enters a new bull cycle, it’s important to watch whether capital continues to focus on projects with real-world utility or returns to memecoins like in previous cycles. $ETH $HYPE $DOGE
🚀 $SOL First Buy Signal After Months, Is a Recovery Cycle Beginning?
🔷 SOL is drawing attention from analysts as the SuperTrend technical indicator on the 3-day timeframe just issued a Buy Signal for the first time since 10/10. This is considered a sign that selling pressure may be weakening and buying momentum could be returning to the market.
🔶 Not only that—on the weekly chart, the RSI indicator has also shown bullish divergence. According to some analysts, this suggests that weakening momentum is gradually running out, and Solana may be nearing the end of the corrective phase following the Elliott Wave A-B-C pattern.
🔷 However, technical signals still need confirmation through price action. The $100 area is seen as a critical threshold. If SOL can reclaim and hold above this level, the probability of forming a sustainable uptrend will improve significantly. Conversely, if it continues to lose recent support zones, the recovery scenario may be delayed.
💡 Perspective The combination of SuperTrend issuing a buy signal and RSI showing bullish divergence is a technically positive signal. That said, this is not yet a definitive confirmation of a new uptrend. Investors should still monitor the ability to hold key support areas and improvements in capital flow before expecting a stronger growth cycle.
👉 In your opinion, has Solana completed its correction phase and is ready to enter a new uptrend, or is this only a technical rebound within the broader trend?
📈 $HBAR Hold Steady the Recovery Momentum—Can HBAR Break Through the $0.08 Mark This Week?
🔷 HBAR is showing positive signals after successfully defending an important support zone at $0.071. At the moment, HBAR is trading around $0.0746, maintaining a recovery trend and performing better than Bitcoin in recent sessions. HBAR’s momentum is not only driven by technical factors, but also supported by a range of positive ecosystem updates.
🔶 One of the highlights is that Hedera has become a technology partner of the America250 project, building a national data storage facility for the United States on blockchain. In addition, Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF also recorded nearly $989,000 in net inflows on July 2—the highest level since mid-May. Furthermore, Fireblocks’ integration with Hedera Token Service may help broaden organizations’ access to the network.
🔷 On the technical side, the 4-hour chart shows that HBAR is still forming higher lows than the previous low, reflecting that the recovery trend has not been broken. The RSI at 52 indicates that upside momentum still has room to grow, while the MACD remains above the signal line, even though the gap between the two lines is narrowing—suggesting that buying strength needs to improve to sustain the uptrend.
👉 In your opinion, are the positive ecosystem signals and institutional capital flows enough to help HBAR surge above $0.08 in the near future?
📈 $XRP Evidence of a Rising Long Wave: Strong Momentum, Breakout Signals Good—But Risk of a Long Squeeze?
🔷 Market data shows that the amount of XRP Long positions has surged after weeks of sideways trading. This is the first time since a prolonged accumulation phase that Long orders have appeared in a "parabolic" form, reflecting sharply growing expectations of an uptrend.
🔶 However, the price chart shows that XRP is still trading around $1.13 and has not yet managed to break through the key resistance zone of $1.18–$1.28. This is an area that previously saw strong selling pressure. If it cannot conquer this zone, profit-taking pressure may continue to build.
🔷 A sharp increase in Long volume often indicates a bullish market sentiment, but it also comes with another risk. When too many investors bet on the same bullish scenario, the market can become unbalanced. If the price corrects sharply, highly leveraged Long positions face the risk of mass liquidation, leading to a Long Squeeze.
💡 Perspective The rapid rise in Long positions is a signal that speculative capital is returning to XRP. However, to confirm a sustained uptrend, the price needs to successfully break above the resistance zones along with an improvement in trading volume.
In the short term, investors should monitor both price movements and Open Interest. If both rise in a healthy manner, the uptrend may be strengthened. Conversely, if Open Interest increases but the price cannot break out, the risk of a Long liquidation event should be taken seriously.
Liquidated more than $165 million in 24 hours, the Short side continues to face heavy pressure
In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency market recorded approximately $164.99 million in liquidated derivatives positions, affecting 56,536 traders.
🔷 The Short side continues to account for the majority of liquidations Total liquidations: $164.99 million 🟢 Long: $76.74 million 🔴 Short: $88.25 million The fact that Short liquidations are higher than Long indicates that the prices of many assets have recovered, forcing highly leveraged short-selling positions to be closed.
🔶 BTC and ETH lead in liquidation volume The two coins with the largest liquidation values in the market are: - $BTC : $58.31 million ETH: $43.42 million - In addition, $SOL also recorded about $11.01 million in liquidations, reflecting that volatility remains concentrated in the large-cap asset group. Notably, the largest single liquidation order occurred on the BTCUSD pair, with a value of around $6 million.
💡 Perspective The fact that the Short side continues to be liquidated more suggests that short-selling pressure is still being absorbed by the market. However, the total liquidation value is currently lower than in previous sessions with strong volatility, indicating that leverage has been released to some extent and the market is gradually becoming more balanced.$ETH
If BTC and ETH continue to hold key support zones, is the risk of additional short squeezes still likely in the short term?
🔷 Data shows that the Bitcoin options market is pricing lower volatility in the period ahead. At the same time, demand for buying put options as a hedge against a downside scenario is also weakening.
The Heatmap chart indicates that the current area features many "Cheap Puts" zones, reflecting that the cost of buying put options has dropped significantly compared to previous months.
🔶 Notably, expectations for Bitcoin’s upward momentum are almost unchanged, but demand for downside risk hedging is cooling off. This suggests that investors’ cautious sentiment in the derivatives market may be gradually improving.
💡 Perspective Options markets often reflect the expectations of professional investors. A decline in expected volatility and puts becoming cheaper could be the first sign that confidence is returning after a period of strong correction.
However, this is not yet a confirmation that Bitcoin is entering a new uptrend. If spot fund inflows and actual buying demand have not improved, the price may continue to fluctuate within a narrow range before a clearer trend forms.
👉 In your opinion, does the improvement in the options market indicate an early sign of a Bitcoin recovery cycle, or is it only a temporary phase before major volatility appears?