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I’ve been watching the charts for Steem (STEEM) today, and it’s showing some of the first signs of life we’ve seen in a while. After hitting an all-time low of $0.045 just 12 days ago, the price just pulled off a solid 3.2% rally to trade around $0.053.
Here is what I’m seeing on my screen:
🟢 Why I’m Watching (The Technical Rebound) To me, this move is a classic "oversold bounce." STEEM has been underperforming the broader market for weeks, but the technicals are finally turning around. The MACD just did a bullish crossover, and the short-term EMA7 has climbed above the 25 and 99-day averages.
While there isn't a single big news event driving this, the ecosystem is staying active with its "Community Curator" programs and Steemit challenges. It seems like the network is doing a good job of holding its core user base together, even if we aren't seeing massive new capital inflows yet. On the 24-hour chart, the volume spiked to nearly $10 Million, which gives this little rally some actual legs.
🔴 What Worries Me (The Overbought Heat)
But I have to stay realistic, the chart is looking a bit "too hot" for comfort. My RSI indicators are currently in overbought territory (hitting 84). Historically, when STEEM gets this stretched, a sharp "mean reversion" back toward the $0.048 level is usually right around the corner.
I also noticed some large outflows ($46k+) from major holders during this pump. It looks like some of the "Smart Money" is using this 3% jump as an exit door rather than a buying opportunity. The price is also currently trading right at the upper Bollinger Band, which often acts as a ceiling for these short-term relief rallies.
My Plan:
I love the SocialFi narrative, but I am not buying the top of this candle. I’m going to wait for the RSI to cool down and see if the $0.050 level holds as new support. If it consolidates there and the volume stays steady, I might look for a small entry. Otherwise, I’m treating this as a temporary bounce in a broader bearish cycle.
Obserwuję CYBER uważnie dzisiaj i absolutnie rozrywa wykresy. W ciągu ostatnich 24 godzin zanotował ogromny wzrost o 22%, obecnie handlując wokół 0,70 $. Podczas gdy większość rynku tkwi w "ekstremalnym strachu", CYBER wydaje się robić swoje własne rzeczy.
Oto co widzę:
🟢 Dlaczego obserwuję.
Dla mnie CYBER jest jednym z najbardziej interesujących projektów "SocialFi" w 2026 roku. Duża historia tutaj to nie tylko hype detaliczny, ale wsparcie instytucjonalne.
Firma notowana na NYSE jest obecnie w trakcie ogromnego zakupu skarbcowego CYBER o wartości 20 milionów dolarów, który trwa do lipca. Tworzy to ogromną "podłogę zakupową", której większość altcoinów po prostu nie ma. Z technicznego punktu widzenia podwajają swoje wysiłki w zakresie zintegrowanych z AI grafów społecznościowych.
Ostatnio zaproponowali mosty do Solany i Base, co otworzyłoby bramy dla nowej płynności. Ponadto, z niedawną inwestycją Binance Labs, jasne jest, że wielcy gracze uważają, że SocialFi to następna wielka fala na 2026 rok. Na wykresie 1-dniowym właśnie zobaczyliśmy "Złoty Krzyż" i ogromny wyłom powyżej oporu 0,63 $.
🔴 Co mnie niepokoi.
Ale muszę być głosem ostrożności, wykresy stają się "szaleńczo" gorące. Mój wskaźnik RSI właśnie osiągnął 96, co jest jednym z najwyższych odczytów, jakie widziałem w tym roku. Jest głęboko w strefie "ekstremalnie wykupionej".
Zazwyczaj, gdy cena przesuwa się tak daleko powyżej górnej wstęgi Bollingera (0,63 $), "rewersja do średniej" (ostre cofnięcie) jest tuż za rogiem. Zauważyłem również, że pomimo wzrostu ceny, ogólne sentymenty rynkowe nadal są słabe, więc CYBER obecnie walczy z grawitacją całego rynku. Jeśli zamówienie na zakup o wartości 20 milionów dolarów zatrzyma się nawet na jeden dzień, możemy zobaczyć szybkie korekty w kierunku 0,60 $.
Mój plan:
Kocham narrację AI + Social, ale nie zamierzam kupować zielonej świecy o wartości 22% przy RSI równym 96. Poczekam i zobaczę, czy cena może przekształcić poziom 0,65 $ w solidne wsparcie podczas cofnięcia. Jeśli się tam utrzyma, a "Mądre Pieniądze" nadal będą kupować, będę chciał zainwestować w długoterminową pozycję na cykl SocialFi 2026.
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We need more Oracles in the space. One or two is not enough. Need multiple sources. On-chain prediction markets will drive a lot more demand too. So does AI.
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