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WPISY I KLUCZOWE WSKAŹNIKI – 10 LUTEGO
🟢 SCENARIUSZ LONG (Obecnie nieważny - wymaga potwierdzenia)
· Wyzwalacz: Coinbase Premium > -0,10%
· Strefa wejścia: $68,200 - $68,500
· Zlecenie Stop Loss: $67,800
· Cele: $69,500 → $70,500 - $71,000
🔴 SCENARIUSZ SHORT (Aktywny - natychmiastowy monitoring)
· Wyzwalacz: 5-min Zamknięcie < $68,200 + Coinbase Premium < -50
· Strefa wejścia: $68,000 - $68,150
· Zlecenie Stop Loss: $68,800
· Cele: $66,500 → $65,000
📊 WSKAŹNIKI DECYZYJNE (Aktualne)
· Coinbase Premium: -77,57 (⬇️ Agresywna sprzedaż instytucjonalna)
· Stawka finansowania: -0,0008 (⬇️ Pozycjonowanie niedźwiedzie)
· RSI (1-min): 68,9 (Ekstremalnie krótkoterminowe wykupienie)
⚠️ ABSOLUTNY WARUNEK: Scenariusz short jest unieważniony, jeśli Coinbase Premium > -20.$BTC
#WhenWillBTCRebound #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #RyzykoAktywaRynekSzok
🟢 SCENARIUSZ LONG (Obecnie nieważny - wymaga potwierdzenia)
· Wyzwalacz: Coinbase Premium > -0,10%
· Strefa wejścia: $68,200 - $68,500
· Zlecenie Stop Loss: $67,800
· Cele: $69,500 → $70,500 - $71,000
🔴 SCENARIUSZ SHORT (Aktywny - natychmiastowy monitoring)
· Wyzwalacz: 5-min Zamknięcie < $68,200 + Coinbase Premium < -50
· Strefa wejścia: $68,000 - $68,150
· Zlecenie Stop Loss: $68,800
· Cele: $66,500 → $65,000
📊 WSKAŹNIKI DECYZYJNE (Aktualne)
· Coinbase Premium: -77,57 (⬇️ Agresywna sprzedaż instytucjonalna)
· Stawka finansowania: -0,0008 (⬇️ Pozycjonowanie niedźwiedzie)
· RSI (1-min): 68,9 (Ekstremalnie krótkoterminowe wykupienie)
⚠️ ABSOLUTNY WARUNEK: Scenariusz short jest unieważniony, jeśli Coinbase Premium > -20.$BTC
#WhenWillBTCRebound #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #RyzykoAktywaRynekSzok
Where is the market heading now?
I am focused on two primary scenarios, with a strong bias towards the first.
🟢 MAIN SCENARIO (70% Probability): Pullback, Then Upside Continuation to $71,000
Thesis: The pivotal improvement in institutional flow is legitimate, but the price has moved too far, too fast (LTF RSI is overbought). Healthy trends require consolidation.
Key Watch Zone: A retracement towards the $68,200 - $68,500 range. This former resistance should now act as support, creating a favorable risk/reward asymmetry.
Execution Plan:
· Entry (Limit Order): $68,300
· Stop-Loss: $67,900. A break below this level invalidates the support thesis.
· Take-Profit 1: $69,500 (Initial resistance test)
· Take-Profit 2: $70,500 - $71,000 (Technical & psychological resistance zone)
· Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3
🔴 COUNTER SCENARIO (30% Probability): Rejection and Retest of $66,000
Trigger: Resumption of aggressive whale distribution (Exchange Whale Ratio > 0.92) coupled with a deterioration in the Coinbase Premium.
My Action: Immediately invalidate the long plan. I will NOT short against such negative funding rates. Instead, I will revert to a NO TRADE stance and await a new, clearer signal.$BTC
I am focused on two primary scenarios, with a strong bias towards the first.
🟢 MAIN SCENARIO (70% Probability): Pullback, Then Upside Continuation to $71,000
Thesis: The pivotal improvement in institutional flow is legitimate, but the price has moved too far, too fast (LTF RSI is overbought). Healthy trends require consolidation.
Key Watch Zone: A retracement towards the $68,200 - $68,500 range. This former resistance should now act as support, creating a favorable risk/reward asymmetry.
Execution Plan:
· Entry (Limit Order): $68,300
· Stop-Loss: $67,900. A break below this level invalidates the support thesis.
· Take-Profit 1: $69,500 (Initial resistance test)
· Take-Profit 2: $70,500 - $71,000 (Technical & psychological resistance zone)
· Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3
🔴 COUNTER SCENARIO (30% Probability): Rejection and Retest of $66,000
Trigger: Resumption of aggressive whale distribution (Exchange Whale Ratio > 0.92) coupled with a deterioration in the Coinbase Premium.
My Action: Immediately invalidate the long plan. I will NOT short against such negative funding rates. Instead, I will revert to a NO TRADE stance and await a new, clearer signal.$BTC
#RamadanGiveaway
🌙✨ Chaque jour du Ramadan est une nouvelle opportunité de grandir et de partager ! Aujourd’hui, j’ai accompli une mission spéciale du calendrier du Ramadan et je suis ravi de voir ma progression. Continuons ensemble sur cette belle lancée ! #RamadanGiveaway
🌙✨ Chaque jour du Ramadan est une nouvelle opportunité de grandir et de partager ! Aujourd’hui, j’ai accompli une mission spéciale du calendrier du Ramadan et je suis ravi de voir ma progression. Continuons ensemble sur cette belle lancée ! #RamadanGiveaway
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