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一坨小红花
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一坨小红花

宝子们这里是一坨小红花,8折手续费邀请码:9FATE
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Wash the back breast tissue for me, ahhhhhhhhh! @A lump of small red flowers_(slightly chubby version) $BTC $ETH $BNB 8 cut-off handling fee invitation code: [9FATE](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref)
Wash the back breast tissue for me, ahhhhhhhhh! @A lump of small red flowers_(slightly chubby version) $BTC $ETH $BNB 8 cut-off handling fee invitation code: 9FATE
$BLESS added! The descent speed is very fast—within two days it can drop back to the starting point. The first batch enters aiming for a halving—welcome to join the Air Force! 20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BLESS added! The descent speed is very fast—within two days it can drop back to the starting point. The first batch enters aiming for a halving—welcome to join the Air Force!

20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$LAB I just want to ask—are there still people using this coin in the square? If you still hold it, what’s your mood been like recently? Chat in the comments. 20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$LAB I just want to ask—are there still people using this coin in the square? If you still hold it, what’s your mood been like recently? Chat in the comments.

20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$UAI can short now. The previous two times both dumped within an hour, down 30%. This time it’s also just consolidating—sooner or later it’ll break. Set a stop loss at 58, quickly 🈳 get in! 20% discount trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$UAI can short now. The previous two times both dumped within an hour, down 30%. This time it’s also just consolidating—sooner or later it’ll break. Set a stop loss at 58, quickly 🈳 get in!

20% discount trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
US$1,230 for SNDK—will you dare to catch the falling knife? First, look at the surface: widespread panic among investors; retail traders are collapsing. From the historical high on June 22 of 2354, it has rapidly dropped by nearly 50%, hitting a low around 1000, and is now basing in the 1200–1240 range. The semiconductor sector has been sold off across the board. With concerns about competitive pressure from China, the market is exclaiming: NAND is over, and AI is cold. The daily chart is essentially halved. After RSI reached extreme oversold, there’s only a weak rebound, and a head-and-shoulders top pattern is beginning to form. Point one: You’re watching the stock price being cut in half; institutions are watching the $42B guaranteed minimum revenue. What are people panicking about? Fear that NAND prices have peaked, fear that Chinese manufacturers will take a share, fear the cycle flipping. But look closer—SanDisk has signed multiple multi-year customer contracts, with a minimum revenue commitment of $42B, plus financial guarantees and advance payments. Point two: What the earnings report shows is a “money-printing machine.” Q3 FY2026 earnings: revenue was $5.95B, up 251% year over year; non-GAAP gross margin 78%; and the data center business jumped quarter-over-quarter. Q4 guidance: revenue $7.5B–$8.25B, with even higher gross margin and stronger EPS. A company with a 78% gross margin is still accelerating like crazy on revenue growth. It also has a $6B share buyback plan—the company is basically buying its own stock. Analyst target price: 1500–2500; the current price is only 1240. Market cap: $180B; corresponding to the AI storage space’s only “pure-play” asset. Point three: the August 5 earnings—could be a nuclear-level catalyst. Next Tuesday (Aug 5) after the close, SNDK will release its FY2026 Q4 earnings report. Consensus expects EPS around 34+, and revenue of $8.4B. On Aug 13 investor day, the product roadmap will be revealed. Two key time points—if either exceeds expectations, the stock can directly surge. Earnings beat expectations → violent rebound. Earnings miss expectations → drop another 10–15%, then what? That $42B guaranteed revenue is still there—if it falls, it becomes a golden pit. Key levels. Resistance: 1280–1300 → 1400–1450 → 1500+ Support: 1200 → 1100 → 950–1000 Short-term trading: If it pulls back to 1200–1220 and stabilizes, you can cautiously try a long position with a small size; stop loss 1150; targets 1280–1320. If it breaks below 1200 effectively, you can cautiously try a short with a small size; target 1100–1000; stop loss 1230. Medium-term trading: Around 1200, accumulate in 2–3 batches at lower prices; targets 1500–1800. Stop loss set below 1050. You’re betting on: continued explosive AI storage demand + earnings beating expectations + investor day as a catalyst. At this point, the odds are excellent—down 10–15%, up 50–100%. Long-term believers: Buy in batches every time below 1200—no hesitation. AI storage is one of the most certain sectors for the next 5 years, and SNDK is the only pure-play NAND stock. 20% fee discount invite code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
US$1,230 for SNDK—will you dare to catch the falling knife?

First, look at the surface: widespread panic among investors; retail traders are collapsing.
From the historical high on June 22 of 2354, it has rapidly dropped by nearly 50%, hitting a low around 1000, and is now basing in the 1200–1240 range. The semiconductor sector has been sold off across the board. With concerns about competitive pressure from China, the market is exclaiming: NAND is over, and AI is cold.
The daily chart is essentially halved. After RSI reached extreme oversold, there’s only a weak rebound, and a head-and-shoulders top pattern is beginning to form.

Point one: You’re watching the stock price being cut in half; institutions are watching the $42B guaranteed minimum revenue.
What are people panicking about? Fear that NAND prices have peaked, fear that Chinese manufacturers will take a share, fear the cycle flipping.
But look closer—SanDisk has signed multiple multi-year customer contracts, with a minimum revenue commitment of $42B, plus financial guarantees and advance payments.

Point two: What the earnings report shows is a “money-printing machine.”
Q3 FY2026 earnings: revenue was $5.95B, up 251% year over year; non-GAAP gross margin 78%; and the data center business jumped quarter-over-quarter.
Q4 guidance: revenue $7.5B–$8.25B, with even higher gross margin and stronger EPS.
A company with a 78% gross margin is still accelerating like crazy on revenue growth.
It also has a $6B share buyback plan—the company is basically buying its own stock.
Analyst target price: 1500–2500; the current price is only 1240.
Market cap: $180B; corresponding to the AI storage space’s only “pure-play” asset.

Point three: the August 5 earnings—could be a nuclear-level catalyst.
Next Tuesday (Aug 5) after the close, SNDK will release its FY2026 Q4 earnings report. Consensus expects EPS around 34+, and revenue of $8.4B. On Aug 13 investor day, the product roadmap will be revealed.
Two key time points—if either exceeds expectations, the stock can directly surge.
Earnings beat expectations → violent rebound.
Earnings miss expectations → drop another 10–15%, then what? That $42B guaranteed revenue is still there—if it falls, it becomes a golden pit.

Key levels.
Resistance: 1280–1300 → 1400–1450 → 1500+
Support: 1200 → 1100 → 950–1000

Short-term trading:
If it pulls back to 1200–1220 and stabilizes, you can cautiously try a long position with a small size; stop loss 1150; targets 1280–1320.
If it breaks below 1200 effectively, you can cautiously try a short with a small size; target 1100–1000; stop loss 1230.

Medium-term trading:
Around 1200, accumulate in 2–3 batches at lower prices; targets 1500–1800. Stop loss set below 1050.
You’re betting on: continued explosive AI storage demand + earnings beating expectations + investor day as a catalyst. At this point, the odds are excellent—down 10–15%, up 50–100%.

Long-term believers:
Buy in batches every time below 1200—no hesitation.
AI storage is one of the most certain sectors for the next 5 years, and SNDK is the only pure-play NAND stock.

20% fee discount invite code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BLESS ⚠️Here comes the method to defeat copycats! Since the endpoint of all copycats is a reset to zero with a 99% drop, then just short the copycats directly! Split the principal into 10 parts; take out one part each time, then open a short with 1x leverage! When opening the position, immediately place the doubled-stop-loss orders and set them! Trade each coin only once—if you get swept out by the stop loss, switch to another coin and continue! Remember: if you lose money, absolutely do not add to the position! Why use 1x leverage? If you use 5x, 10x, or 20x, it’s way too easy to get “pinned” by the scummy market makers and blown out by a sudden spike! Why only play one coin at a time? Because any coin could potentially surge dozens or even hundreds of times! Of course, the timing of entry is crucial. Choose those with extremely high trading volumes for several consecutive days. Go to the market, observe where the smart money is moving—shorting by big players is less likely to get trapped! Hitting stop losses on a few coins in a row is also totally normal. Keep a calm mindset at all times! What do you all think of my strategy? 20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BLESS ⚠️Here comes the method to defeat copycats! Since the endpoint of all copycats is a reset to zero with a 99% drop, then just short the copycats directly! Split the principal into 10 parts; take out one part each time, then open a short with 1x leverage!

When opening the position, immediately place the doubled-stop-loss orders and set them! Trade each coin only once—if you get swept out by the stop loss, switch to another coin and continue!

Remember: if you lose money, absolutely do not add to the position!

Why use 1x leverage? If you use 5x, 10x, or 20x, it’s way too easy to get “pinned” by the scummy market makers and blown out by a sudden spike!

Why only play one coin at a time? Because any coin could potentially surge dozens or even hundreds of times!

Of course, the timing of entry is crucial. Choose those with extremely high trading volumes for several consecutive days. Go to the market, observe where the smart money is moving—shorting by big players is less likely to get trapped!

Hitting stop losses on a few coins in a row is also totally normal. Keep a calm mindset at all times!

What do you all think of my strategy?

20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
A $4.2 BEAT—shorts have completely collapsed. First, look at the surface: unlock the negative news, yet the price doesn’t fall—it rises. On August 1, 21.25 million BEAT were unlocked, accounting for 6.87% of circulating supply, worth $68 million. Market expectation: push through 3.5. Actual move: rallied against the trend, surging more than 16%, briefly spiking into the 4.5–5 zone. The shorts got liquidated—cleaned out. The candlesticks tell you this: strong support at 4.0–4.1 held firm, and the daily chart is sitting above multiple EMA moving averages. First thing: you think the unlock is a sell-off—like the main force is laughing at you for being naive. Unlocking 21.25 million BEAT, worth $68 million—sounds scary? But look at the order book: sell orders were swallowed in one gulp, and the price was pulled from 3.8 straight to 4.5. Before the unlock, the market already slaughtered the price once. On the actual unlock day, the people who should have run already ran. The remaining short positions are just fuel for those dog-managers/market-makers. Second thing: this thing has a “money-printing machine,” not an empty coin. What is Audiera? A Web3 rhythm music and dance platform/game, inheriting the Audition IP, with over 600 million historical users. BEAT isn’t air—it’s a deflationary asset driven by real income: - Platform revenue is almost entirely used to buy back and burn BEAT - Weekly revenue about 800,000 BEAT, with a burn rate of 99.8% - Total burned over 17.8 million BEAT Third thing: a technical signal appears that you must pay attention to. The daily chart has already closed above EMA 20/50/100/200—trend is fully turned bullish. On the 4H timeframe, price is still above the uptrend line, forming a “higher lows” structure. It rallied from 3.x to 4.5–5 before the unlock; now it’s pulling back to 4.2—classic breakout-and-retest confirmation. But the 4.5–4.7 area is the recent high zone. Is it going to punch straight through, or get hammered back down to 3.8 to wash people out? Key levels Resistance overhead: 4.5–4.7 → 4.8–5.0 → 6.0+ Support below: 4.0–4.1 → 3.8–3.9 → 3.2–3.3 Aggressive short-term longs: Enter in the 4.05–4.20 range, stop loss below 3.95. First target: 4.50–4.70. Second target: 4.90–5.20. More bullish outlook: 6+. Risk/reward at least 1:2—don’t get greedy. Conservative medium-term longs: Wait for a pullback to 3.80–4.00, then enter after strong support stabilizes. Stop loss 3.70. Target 5.0+. Or wait for a breakout with volume above 4.70, then chase; move stop loss down to 4.40. Shorting opportunity: If there’s heavy volume and price breaks below 3.95, you can try a small short position. Target 3.50–3.20, stop loss above 4.20. Risk-control iron rule: BEAT’s intraday volatility often exceeds 10–20%. Keep leverage within 5–10x, and position size no more than 10–15% of total capital. Don’t stubbornly hold long positions if the funding rate is too high. If the broader market suddenly weakens, reduce position size immediately. 80% fee discount invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
A $4.2 BEAT—shorts have completely collapsed.

First, look at the surface: unlock the negative news, yet the price doesn’t fall—it rises.
On August 1, 21.25 million BEAT were unlocked, accounting for 6.87% of circulating supply, worth $68 million. Market expectation: push through 3.5. Actual move: rallied against the trend, surging more than 16%, briefly spiking into the 4.5–5 zone. The shorts got liquidated—cleaned out.
The candlesticks tell you this: strong support at 4.0–4.1 held firm, and the daily chart is sitting above multiple EMA moving averages.

First thing: you think the unlock is a sell-off—like the main force is laughing at you for being naive.
Unlocking 21.25 million BEAT, worth $68 million—sounds scary? But look at the order book: sell orders were swallowed in one gulp, and the price was pulled from 3.8 straight to 4.5.
Before the unlock, the market already slaughtered the price once. On the actual unlock day, the people who should have run already ran. The remaining short positions are just fuel for those dog-managers/market-makers.

Second thing: this thing has a “money-printing machine,” not an empty coin.
What is Audiera? A Web3 rhythm music and dance platform/game, inheriting the Audition IP, with over 600 million historical users.
BEAT isn’t air—it’s a deflationary asset driven by real income:
- Platform revenue is almost entirely used to buy back and burn BEAT
- Weekly revenue about 800,000 BEAT, with a burn rate of 99.8%
- Total burned over 17.8 million BEAT

Third thing: a technical signal appears that you must pay attention to.
The daily chart has already closed above EMA 20/50/100/200—trend is fully turned bullish. On the 4H timeframe, price is still above the uptrend line, forming a “higher lows” structure. It rallied from 3.x to 4.5–5 before the unlock; now it’s pulling back to 4.2—classic breakout-and-retest confirmation.
But the 4.5–4.7 area is the recent high zone. Is it going to punch straight through, or get hammered back down to 3.8 to wash people out?

Key levels
Resistance overhead: 4.5–4.7 → 4.8–5.0 → 6.0+
Support below: 4.0–4.1 → 3.8–3.9 → 3.2–3.3

Aggressive short-term longs:
Enter in the 4.05–4.20 range, stop loss below 3.95. First target: 4.50–4.70. Second target: 4.90–5.20. More bullish outlook: 6+.
Risk/reward at least 1:2—don’t get greedy.
Conservative medium-term longs:
Wait for a pullback to 3.80–4.00, then enter after strong support stabilizes. Stop loss 3.70. Target 5.0+.
Or wait for a breakout with volume above 4.70, then chase; move stop loss down to 4.40.
Shorting opportunity:
If there’s heavy volume and price breaks below 3.95, you can try a small short position. Target 3.50–3.20, stop loss above 4.20.

Risk-control iron rule:
BEAT’s intraday volatility often exceeds 10–20%. Keep leverage within 5–10x, and position size no more than 10–15% of total capital. Don’t stubbornly hold long positions if the funding rate is too high.
If the broader market suddenly weakens, reduce position size immediately.

80% fee discount invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$ETH I’ve been trading crypto for over ten years. I’ve had three debt-withdrawal (leveraged debt) experiences, and three times I managed to turn things around successfully! As the saying goes: nothing happens more than three times! In the past few months, because of RAVE, LAB, and DEXE—these low-cap altcoins—I lost more than 300. Now it’s my fourth time taking on debt! The first time I took on debt was in 2015. Back then, I lost 260 because of stocks + Macau. In 2018, I turned things around and paid off all my debts. I still had 240 left! The second time was in 2019 in the crypto space. I lost 90. In 2021, I turned things around again and paid off all my debts. I had 510 saved! The third time was in 2022. I lost 150, and in 2024, I turned things around and had 400 saved! In these past two months, it’s my fourth time taking on debt—more than 20. I think I’ve been relatively lucky. But in the end, I still lost to greed. Lost to human nature. The most painful thing in life is knowing what’s right, yet still making the wrong decision. Repeating mistakes—maybe that’s human nature. Now I’m getting less and less bold, less and less driven than I used to be. No fighting spirit. Maybe that’s what people call being worn out mentally. Actually, no matter how many times you’ve been liquidated, it doesn’t really help. It’s like everyone back then was definitely pricked by a needle—if you were told to remember what it felt like, you probably wouldn’t be able to. Unless they prick you again! 20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$ETH I’ve been trading crypto for over ten years. I’ve had three debt-withdrawal (leveraged debt) experiences, and three times I managed to turn things around successfully! As the saying goes: nothing happens more than three times! In the past few months, because of RAVE, LAB, and DEXE—these low-cap altcoins—I lost more than 300. Now it’s my fourth time taking on debt!

The first time I took on debt was in 2015. Back then, I lost 260 because of stocks + Macau. In 2018, I turned things around and paid off all my debts. I still had 240 left!

The second time was in 2019 in the crypto space. I lost 90. In 2021, I turned things around again and paid off all my debts. I had 510 saved!

The third time was in 2022. I lost 150, and in 2024, I turned things around and had 400 saved!

In these past two months, it’s my fourth time taking on debt—more than 20.

I think I’ve been relatively lucky. But in the end, I still lost to greed. Lost to human nature.

The most painful thing in life is knowing what’s right, yet still making the wrong decision. Repeating mistakes—maybe that’s human nature.

Now I’m getting less and less bold, less and less driven than I used to be. No fighting spirit. Maybe that’s what people call being worn out mentally.

Actually, no matter how many times you’ve been liquidated, it doesn’t really help. It’s like everyone back then was definitely pricked by a needle—if you were told to remember what it felt like, you probably wouldn’t be able to. Unless they prick you again!

20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BTC ⚠️Wei strategy is still selling off Bitcoin futures, and Trump is also reducing his Bitcoin holdings! CZ tweeted that hardware wallets have vulnerabilities! $47 million worth of Bitcoin was stolen from a cold wallet! Is this the arrival of a bear market, or is all of this just a smokescreen to lure us into handing over our chips? 20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BTC ⚠️Wei strategy is still selling off Bitcoin futures, and Trump is also reducing his Bitcoin holdings! CZ tweeted that hardware wallets have vulnerabilities! $47 million worth of Bitcoin was stolen from a cold wallet! Is this the arrival of a bear market, or is all of this just a smokescreen to lure us into handing over our chips?

20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$GRVT Holy crap, the new coin has fallen below its issue price! Continue🈳! Now it’s all about the 🐶 whale not defending the market, plus a bunch of bagholders up above. It’s definitely going to be dumped again to shake things out; after more than 90% of new coins go below their offering price, they usually keep sliding downward in a persistent bear move. Next, watch for 0.2—hop on board! Discounted 80% fee referral code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$GRVT Holy crap, the new coin has fallen below its issue price! Continue🈳! Now it’s all about the 🐶 whale not defending the market, plus a bunch of bagholders up above.
It’s definitely going to be dumped again to shake things out; after more than 90% of new coins go below their offering price, they usually keep sliding downward in a persistent bear move. Next, watch for 0.2—hop on board!

Discounted 80% fee referral code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
See translation
$AKE 山寨币最后的狂欢了!CLARITY法案已经进入收尾阶段,灰度催促参议院表决CLARITY法案! 法案落地以后,这些纯空气币,就会遭到美国制裁,操纵币价涉嫌违法!空气币终究会成为时代的眼泪! 8折手续费邀请码:9FATE 链接:https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$AKE 山寨币最后的狂欢了!CLARITY法案已经进入收尾阶段,灰度催促参议院表决CLARITY法案! 法案落地以后,这些纯空气币,就会遭到美国制裁,操纵币价涉嫌违法!空气币终究会成为时代的眼泪!

8折手续费邀请码:9FATE
链接:https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$WLFI Dong Wang is back again dumping! Goods worth 600 million! The wlfi project never went up since it launched. The team gave a bunch of activity rewards, and they’ve also been selling off continuously. They still have 2 billion in hand—just like that, it’s over! 20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$WLFI Dong Wang is back again dumping! Goods worth 600 million! The wlfi project never went up since it launched. The team gave a bunch of activity rewards, and they’ve also been selling off continuously. They still have 2 billion in hand—just like that, it’s over!

20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BEAT rebounded and ended, then plunged! That early-morning spike insertion, combined with over 20 million unlocking. The game (Dance Dance) will definitely drop—this rebound is a great opportunity to add positions. The current price is an excellent entry point—directly 🈳. Welcome to follow the trades! 20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BEAT rebounded and ended, then plunged! That early-morning spike insertion, combined with over 20 million unlocking. The game (Dance Dance) will definitely drop—this rebound is a great opportunity to add positions. The current price is an excellent entry point—directly 🈳. Welcome to follow the trades!

20% off trading fee invitation code: 9FATE
Link: https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
See translation
$BANK 小波总是不是做多了?!喊空还做多是什么骚操作,之前就提醒过bank和lab是一伙的,要连跌一周回0.02的,顺势接着🈳! 8折手续费邀请码:9FATE 链接:https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
$BANK 小波总是不是做多了?!喊空还做多是什么骚操作,之前就提醒过bank和lab是一伙的,要连跌一周回0.02的,顺势接着🈳!

8折手续费邀请码:9FATE
链接:https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
See translation
63200美元的BTC,你还在盼着更低? 先看表面:利空连发,散户惊慌。 今天周末,流动性干涸,价格在62400-63500区间反复震荡。24小时波动不到1000刀,但7天跌了超10%,从68000一路下探。日线在EMA55下方运行,但RSI处于47-52中性区,1小时图RSI一度跌破30超卖,恐慌已宣泄,但方向尚不明朗。 第一件事:ETF在流出,但你清楚流出了多少吗? 7月31日现货ETF净流出2.65亿美金,BlackRock带头抛售。 听着唬人?但你仔细瞧——年初至今,ETF整体净流出已经相当明显了。但价格从12.6万跌到6.3万,跌了50%,你认为这个利空还没消化干净? Coldcard被盗7000万美金,价格都没崩——什么叫利空出尽?这就是。 第二件事:美联储放鹰,但市场已习以为常。 7月29日FOMC,9-3票维持利率不变,3名票委竟然主张加息。10年期美债收益率飙到4.6%-4.7%,强美元压制所有风险资产。 加了整整两年的息,现在利率3.5%-3.75% 市场早就price in了“higher for longer” 6月CPI同比3.5%,不是5%,是3.5% 而且——9月加息概率才50-60%,也就是五五开。 第三件事:技术面出现了一个必须留意的信号 62400守住了。这个位置是近期低点+心理关口+日线需求区三重支撑。K线收出长下影,1小时RSI从29超卖区拉回,MACD出现金叉苗头 但64000-64100是日线EMA55,价格还在下方运行。是反弹确认反转,还是弹一下继续跌? 关键位置 上方阻力:63700-64000→ 64300-65000 下方支撑:62800-62400→ 62000→ 60000 短线选手: 回踩62800-62400企稳(1H收阳+放量),轻仓做多,止损62000,目标63700-64300。有效跌破62800确认,可轻仓追空看62350-61800。 波段选手: 若8月守住60000并看到ETF回流+宏观软化,分批布局现货多单,目标70000+。若跌破60000并放量,等更低位置再接 长线信仰者: 62000以下分批定投。距离12.6万ATH已回撤50%,历史规律:每次回撤超40%,都是黄金坑 8折手续费邀请码:9FATE 链接:https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/referral/bind-ref
63200美元的BTC,你还在盼着更低?

先看表面:利空连发,散户惊慌。
今天周末,流动性干涸,价格在62400-63500区间反复震荡。24小时波动不到1000刀,但7天跌了超10%,从68000一路下探。日线在EMA55下方运行,但RSI处于47-52中性区,1小时图RSI一度跌破30超卖,恐慌已宣泄,但方向尚不明朗。

第一件事:ETF在流出,但你清楚流出了多少吗?
7月31日现货ETF净流出2.65亿美金,BlackRock带头抛售。
听着唬人?但你仔细瞧——年初至今,ETF整体净流出已经相当明显了。但价格从12.6万跌到6.3万,跌了50%,你认为这个利空还没消化干净?
Coldcard被盗7000万美金,价格都没崩——什么叫利空出尽?这就是。

第二件事:美联储放鹰,但市场已习以为常。
7月29日FOMC,9-3票维持利率不变,3名票委竟然主张加息。10年期美债收益率飙到4.6%-4.7%,强美元压制所有风险资产。
加了整整两年的息,现在利率3.5%-3.75%
市场早就price in了“higher for longer”
6月CPI同比3.5%,不是5%,是3.5%
而且——9月加息概率才50-60%,也就是五五开。

第三件事:技术面出现了一个必须留意的信号
62400守住了。这个位置是近期低点+心理关口+日线需求区三重支撑。K线收出长下影,1小时RSI从29超卖区拉回,MACD出现金叉苗头
但64000-64100是日线EMA55,价格还在下方运行。是反弹确认反转,还是弹一下继续跌?

关键位置
上方阻力:63700-64000→ 64300-65000
下方支撑:62800-62400→ 62000→ 60000

短线选手:
回踩62800-62400企稳(1H收阳+放量),轻仓做多,止损62000,目标63700-64300。有效跌破62800确认,可轻仓追空看62350-61800。
波段选手:
若8月守住60000并看到ETF回流+宏观软化,分批布局现货多单,目标70000+。若跌破60000并放量,等更低位置再接
长线信仰者:
62000以下分批定投。距离12.6万ATH已回撤50%,历史规律:每次回撤超40%,都是黄金坑

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