Crypto爱玩币的村长

The public group I just created
Come on
Let's earn some money $BTC
$ETH

Oh wow, I said CPI data would take off! Straight up winning. I bought Ethereum at 2580 and took profit—there’s still Bitcoin left. I’ll hold a bit longer to see. $BTC

The CPI is coming this evening
NY crude oil prices have been rising over the past few months
As crude oil is a major commodity input
the king of commodities
and the mother of commodities
it can still to a certain extent reflect inflation
So the seasonally adjusted CPI month-over-month rate at the end of August should be very unlikely to be lower than the previous value by 0.1
The expectation is 0.4
The August crude oil price won’t be much higher than July
So the seasonally adjusted CPI month-over-month rate at the end of August may be below expectations

The year-over-year CPI at the end of August after seasonal adjustment will cover the entire crude oil price movement from the bottom to the high point, with the previous value at 3.4 and the expectation at 3.4
The expected year-over-year rate is likely to be close to the expected value
Overall, the data trend should be mildly favorable or mildly unfavorable
The data should be close to expectations

Given crude oil’s current price, Trump should also come out to suppress crude oil and push the U.S. stock market down
So after today’s data is released
the market should rise #CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息

The big pancake has become a stirrer. Ethereum has also become unbelievably strong. The big pancake is currently supported around 76,500, and it’s starting to grind there again. The US stock Nasdaq futures are also grinding around the 29,000 level supported by the weekly MA23. Tonight, CPI should mark a turning point. The inflation data tonight is crucial for whether the Fed will raise rates. If inflation rears its head a bit, the Fed chairman will be very hawkish. If tonight’s inflation data rises slightly and the data is relatively moderate, there’s a chance the bearish move will be priced in and then a rebound follows. If the inflation data rises particularly sharply, the adjustment will need to be bigger. $BTC

What a disgusting market. Bitcoin is just grinding around this support area. US stocks are also moving back and forth in small ranges around support. It looks like a breakout is likely soon. The market seems to be waiting for Friday’s CPI data. Right now, the Fed chair keeps talking about rate hikes every day, but whenever he actually speaks, it’s all uncertainty. It feels like he still doesn’t want to raise rates. If they do hike, the US government would really not be able to repay its debt. At the moment, BTC, ETH, and US stocks are all above their support levels. Especially the NASDAQ futures daily MACD fast and slow lines have been hovering around the zero line for a long time. At the bigger timeframe, the trend is still bullish. For the short term, it’s mainly about where the selling will stop. As long as BTC is above 76,500, the bulls are strong; as long as ETH is above 2,350, the bulls are strong $BTC

With the explosion of Ethereum Classic’s imitation coin rally
there will be more and more fake breakouts
back then, how hard the fakes dropped
this time, how strong the rebound will be
many fake coins, judging from the monthly chart, show a typical bearish divergence structure
I don’t need it to make new highs like ETH
but there is still quite some room for the rebound to reach the central range
yesterday I placed a lot of ETH buy orders
pulled it up slightly to the average price of the ETH long position for the BTC trade
BTC opened a bit higher
so I had to sell out; I then added BTC ($BTC )

Today the big pie’s daily line is closing
The MA23 of the daily timeframe has finally come up to the top
This is also support around the MA5 of the 5-day line
You can see
multi-level support has formed a new trendline here
It also forms a new structure
The market’s trending nature far outweighs its reversal potential
Expect a new leg of upward move soon
Break through the resistance around 81500
And the upside room will open up
The probability of a pullback is really not high
The probability of breaking down below here is really not high
The US stock market is also just kind of dragging itself up now
Even though over the past few days the big pie looks a bit weak
This is shaking out people
The truck is too heavy—it has to shake people out
Now it should be shaking out almost enough
The current daily structure is very good
This daily area very likely will form an ascending continuation structure
Very likely it will be a W
After the breakout, it will start the second phase of上涨 $BTC

The view remains the same as yesterday and does not change.
Although today Bitcoin's price is lower than yesterday's big pancake’s price,
but it is still currently within the pattern.
You can look at the 4-hour chart: Bitcoin has once again pulled back to the trendline.
Ethereum is the same.
What’s more obvious with Ethereum is that near the trendline it formed a new small triangle structure.
So overall, the bias is still bullish.
Now let’s look at the U.S. stock market.
This morning, Trump called out oil.
The oil moved down after Trump’s call.
That would definitely be positive for the U.S. stock market.
Today, when the U.S. stocks open,
they should break out of this consolidation zone.
If U.S. stocks rise today,
Bitcoin should retest 82000 again. $BTC

Long positions are still in place
The weekly close is complete
The weekly indicators are continuing to rise
As I mentioned earlier, Bitcoin is currently being pushed upward by the 2-day moving average
The moving averages are forming an alligator mouth opening upward
At the very least, this pattern can still spike upward
Looking at the 4-hour charts of Bitcoin and Ethereum
Bitcoin is still inside the triangle consolidation pattern
Due to the support from a higher timeframe, after briefly breaking the trendline, it was pulled back by the higher-level support. That is the force of inertia
Ethereum, on the other hand, has already broken out of this pennant
And Ethereum’s exchange rate against Bitcoin is also rising right now
Overall, I still remain bullish
Yesterday I said that as long as the Nasdaq futures closed the week above 29300, the probability of a rise this week would be very high
Today Nasdaq futures closed above 29500
So U.S. stocks are also bullish
Looking at it this way, Bitcoin and Ethereum may resonate with U.S. stocks
So the probability of a breakout is very high
If this wave breaks out, it will surpass the previous rebound high
Market sentiment will improve further
The market will become even hotter
From the current reaction in altcoins, we can also see it
Altcoins are no longer lifeless
A lot of people are looking for a pullback here
They all think that only after returning to around 57000 will the bull market start again
What I want to say is
Don’t try to buy at the very bottom
When everyone thinks that way, it won’t get there
If it pumps straight from here
You won’t even see the taillights
By then, if you want to chase it, it may really already be at the top
This is also why most people lose money
They want to buy at the very bottom
And sell at the very top
Only by settling for something close enough can you make money$BTC

Very good
As expected
The market is slowly moving upward
Next Monday at 8 a.m. the weekly candle will close
U.S. Nasdaq futures are also the same
As long as Nasdaq futures close the weekly candle above 29300
Then U.S. stocks will rise next week
Bitcoin and Ethereum will also follow $BTC

If Bitcoin were going to fall, then the major altcoins would have already been crashing. It’s impossible for Bitcoin and Ethereum to be moving sideways today while the major altcoins are still being pushed up.
$BTC

Yesterday, the crypto and Ethereum markets were pushed down by the non-farm payroll data.
However, it’s not a big problem.
From a technical perspective, the 2-day and 3-day charts are still in a bullish pattern.
And the support is very close.
It’s right around 78,500.
On the macro side, although the probability of an interest rate hike has increased,
U.S. Treasury risk has risen further.
Right now, the macro factors are pulling against each other.
The risk in U.S. Treasuries is far greater than whether rates are hiked or not.
I specifically talked about this earlier.
The market will look for assets.
The best assets are gold and crypto.
Crypto being called digital gold is not just a joke.
Recent data shows that anything that raises the probability of an interest rate hike
also raises U.S. Treasury risk.
So overall, whether looking at the long-term trend or the current short-term move, it is bullish.$BTC

Also
Can you send me 100 BTC?
I was silent for $BTC

The big pancake went straight to the strategy’s take-profit level. Ethereum also broke above 2500. I took profit all through last night. Tonight, we have data—when the big pancake was pulled up to the resistance level, I increased the intensity for everyone again. As shown in the chart: the big pancake has resistance around the Fibonacci level near 72,000, and it also aligns with the MA120 on the 3-day line resistance. For Ethereum, it just broke out of the flag pattern; its resistance is a bit farther away. The big pancake is right on point—it's just at the right level, waiting for everyone to choose long or short positions. If you were the main force, what would you do? If I were the main force, I would follow the trend and blow up the shorts. Right now, it should be operating in a bull-return mode. Any bearish ideas should be discarded. Yesterday, I mentioned that looking at the U.S. stock weekly chart, it seems the correction may have already ended—U.S. stocks that will rise. Trump also called for it: Trump said U.S. stocks will go up, whether you believe it or not. So overall, the market is steady with a positive bias. Also, we’re about to enter the Dingyou month, and the metal’s suppression over water and fire pressure will further weaken. Mother bull is coming.

$BTC

This week’s market movement has been relatively sluggish. I reduced positions this morning, reduced positions again tonight. What’s left is just break-even and stop-loss with whatever happens. $BTC

The view is the same as yesterday.
Yesterday, the big Bitcoin/ETH fluctuations all pulled back again to test the lower trendline.
At the same time, it also coincides with the support from the 5-day moving average MA62.
In terms of the current pattern 👀 it’s nothing more than evolving from one flag pattern to another.
However, the longer it drags out here,
the stronger the breakout upward will be.
The logic is very simple:
slow pullbacks followed by sudden rises;
sudden rises followed by slow pullbacks.
How long the horizontal move is, how high the vertical move will be.
Sudden drops followed by slow rebounds.
Slow rebounds followed by sudden drops.
A fascinating art full of dialectics.
Yesterday, US stock Nasdaq futures also pulled back to test the weekly MA23 support around 28800.
The US market is also adjusting its pattern.
The US market currently can’t drop further.
Also, the conflict between Iran and Israel has very limited impact on the market right now.
The market has already built up immunity.
Look at Russia-Ukraine—no one’s paying attention either.
So, overall:
BTC/ETH flag-pattern consolidation, and the probability of breaking upward is very high $BTC

The market will infinitely amplify your personality weaknesses, and deliver a fatal blow to you at your most vulnerable moment $BTC