Crypto爱玩币的村长

The public group I just created
Come on
Let's earn some money $BTC
$ETH

The market will infinitely amplify your personality weaknesses, and deliver a fatal blow to you at your most vulnerable moment $BTC

Last night, Bitcoin followed the US stock market, jumping up and down
The original flag pattern no longer holds
A new flag pattern has formed
At the moment, Bitcoin is trading around the 5-day MA62 line
And there is also the 6-hour MA62 about to move up, forming a new trendline
Ethereum is the same—it's also forming a new trendline around the 6-hour timeframe
Overall, the market is still moving along with the US stock market's range-bound volatility
The weekly support of the US stock Nasdaq futures is around 28800
It's actually very close
I expect that the adjustment for Bitcoin and Ethereum is pretty much over
Overall, the bias is still bullish
Because Bitcoin’s 5-day MA62 is support on a higher timeframe
It has already broken through and stayed there for a long time
This time is a retest of that support
It will go back up to $BTC

Why do most people lose money even in a bull market?
Only in a bull market
do they dare to add money.
Only in a bull market
do they dare to chase at the peak.
Because at this time
they don't think it's the peak,
and they still believe there's a bigger mountain$BTC

The big pancake weekly/monthly line cycle is finished.
The monthly line is forming very well.
A big bullish candle.
At the monthly level, the MACD fast and slow lines are also near the zero line.
Normally, around the zero line there will be major moves.
So over the next one or two months, there should still be a big行情.
Earlier, we discussed that Big Pancake is currently building structure within an uptrend.
Right now, the MA5 on the 3-day line has already risen.
It lines up perfectly with the trendline structure.
The continuation of the trend is far greater than the possibility of a reversal.
So we still look for a bullish bias here.
As long as the support at the 3-day line hasn’t caught up, there’s only a 12-hour support holding it up.
That’s enough to show the bulls are very strong.
Ethereum is the same: its MA5 on the 3-day line has also risen to the top.
We expect that recently, Big Pancake and Ethereum should break upward.
Many altcoins have also finished their corrections.
Ready to welcome the next wave of the market.
Overall, we are bullish on $BTC

In the past, in the present, and in the future, I will never let brief price swings make me lose my trading principles, nor will I ever allow my decisions to be driven by emotions.

I still believe in the market. I still believe my vision is limited, and my wisdom is insufficient.

I will make mistakes in picking sectors, miss opportunities, and—when I should exit—still be unwilling and cling to a bit of luck.

I accept my greed and my cowardice, and I also accept the outcomes brought by every trade.

But I believe in trading discipline, in position and risk control, and that the market will eventually deliver a fair answer.

Time will prove that blockchain—$BTC

It’s not necessarily true that once rates are raised, the market will inevitably crash.
The question is: how many big hands are fighting each other in the market?
At this moment, U.S. Treasury bonds have already broken through the $40 trillion mark.
In fiscal year 2026, interest expense alone will exceed $1.35 trillion.
That’s more than the entire annual defense budget by over $300 billion.
As the largest debt holder, the Federal Reserve.
Raising rates does put pressure on the price of existing U.S. Treasuries.
But what truly makes it cautious is this:
The more aggressive the rate hikes are, the more the interest expenses keep rolling over and growing.
Meanwhile, the dollar’s purchasing power is actually accelerated in being diluted.
So the Fed’s core concern has always been inflation and the dollar’s purchasing power—not whether U.S. Treasuries themselves might collapse.
This creates a paradox:
Rate hikes suppress U.S. Treasuries,
but they also suppress the dollar’s credit.
Rate cuts release liquidity,
but they may also let inflation flare up again from the ashes.
No matter which path it takes,
capital is searching for value anchors outside the U.S. dollar system.
Bitcoin and gold are the first to benefit.
Historical data speaks volumes.
In 2024, global central banks bought more than 1,000 tons of gold—setting a new record high.
Governments and sovereign institutions continue to adjust their foreign exchange reserve allocations, reducing U.S. Treasuries and increasing holdings of gold and a variety of other assets.
Even when 2024 maintained high interest rates,
Bitcoin still rose from about $45,000 to above $100,000.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs continued to pull in fresh inflows.
To put it plainly:
That $40 trillion mountain of U.S. debt itself is the biggest positive catalyst.
Whether it’s the rate-hike or rate-cut “big pie” as the long-term main theme is for the value to rise $BTC

The morning big pancake is back in line with the US stocks again.
But thankfully it’s still within this flag pattern.
At the same time, this is also the support of the 12-hour MA23.
In Ethereum, it directly poked down and then pierced into the support of the higher-level 3-day moving average.
Overall, it still looks like an adjustment structure within an uptrend.
The higher-level moving averages all have a certain amount of inertia.
So the probability of dropping straight down without going further is not high.
Here, it’s mainly ranging with a bullish tilt.
By the end of today, the monthly candle will be closing.
After this monthly candle closes, it’s expected that the price will definitely break above the moving average on the following day.
So next month should also be up. $BTC

Trading is just like kneeling and begging for food
Find a decent spot
Put the bowl there
Once you’ve gotten it, take it
If you don’t, keep kneeling there
When you get it, that’s when
Leave at $BTC

Brother Sun’s little essay: my orange juice is the greatest traffic controller
Originally, the battle between men and women is already very serious on Douyin and Xiaohongshu
After Brother Sun’s little essay came out
all of Douyin was flooded with this kind of stuff
I can’t even see anything that’s worth watching
When you open it, it’s like: “If I had 8.5 billion, how much would I give to which male celebrity?”
idiotic remarks
So disgusting
Damn—have you ever seen someone love her husband this much?
So this bunch of women without brains
getting violated and tortured is all self-inflicted
I’m really curious—after nine years of compulsory education,
how were they raised into these giant babies?
Back in the days of the teachers
the great women back then were not like this
Women truly can hold up half the sky
Now, some women really can’t be evaluated
they want everything, and that “perfect” contradiction is right there
But then again,
Brother Sun’s little essay is absolutely a great playbook for controlling attention
The traffic exploded
it blasted all these women out into the open
the scale is quite huge
a great operation
it’ll be remembered as a page in the history books
Brother Sun’s little essay, unintentionally, became a declaration of war against this group of brainless, IQ-lowered women $BTC

Teoma’s
but it still slipped away on a flag-shaped expansion
Yesterday was hard on Ether all day
Got fooled again
Once you sit with Ether, you get fooled once
Yesterday there was a big cake but it came out empty
Added a bit of Ether
Then it’s gone again
Damn—Ether is so beastly
At present, from Bitcoin’s 5-day line,
it’s still above the MA62
It should form a new flag pattern around this moving average
Overall, the outlook is still bullish
For Bitcoin and Ether at the weekly level
MACD fast line and slow line are still below the zero axis
When it crosses above the zero axis again, it will definitely roar
The market was brought down by the Fed chair
But don’t panic
The issue with U.S. Treasuries is right there in front of us
Everyone will be looking for collateral
The more they hike rates, the bigger the Treasuries problem becomes
So everyone will run in and enter the $BTC

This morning said we’d call back
But we got in a little early
Just now we took profit
Made 1000 points
Small profit
ETH is a bit stubborn/hard
We’ll observe a bit more
For now I’m being conservative
If ETH is so stubborn,
then BTC might still be in the current pennant-shaped consolidation
It probably won’t expand into something bigger
If it expands downward,
there won’t be that much room either
Shorts—once you make money, run
$BTC

Since ancient times, saints and sages have all been lonely and gone
Only drinkers remain their names
In the past, they granted posthumous titles
Now, they grant beverages
Cyber beverages — latest update to the new look
JingTian

Mom
I took my mother to meet my parents
This round I’m standing with Brother Sun

Feels like Brother Sun must have run into some high-end “scam” setup
The entertainment industry’s Jing circle is just like a secret agent system
Back then, when Dou Wei was interviewed, he said
That his marriage with Wang Fei was a conspiracy
Big Bing ran off early this morning
Yesterday it didn’t directly trigger the surge to above 82,000
Today we’ll just see it soften a bit
If, for now, 82,000 can’t be broken through,
then Big Bing’s rising flag pattern will break into an expansion pattern
Meaning this flag pattern will get bigger
And it will also trade in a range around 78,000
Ether shares the same view: $BTC

A Bull Is Coming
Feels like the big pancake is about to go parabolic again
Leopard up
Leopard up
Leopard up $BTC

The current big coin is still in this rising flag pattern. Today’s daily candle close shows that the moving averages of the big coin have formed a “crocodile mouth” with the opening facing upward. This shape suggests a high probability that it will continue to be pulled higher. In addition, the rising flag pattern is also similar for Ethereum. So, right now, the village chief still looks bullish on big coin and Ethereum. Ethereum was stopped out two days ago, then re-entered yesterday. Ethereum is currently up by 50 points. Big coin is still in a losing position. At the moment, Ethereum is moving much more strongly— it directly pushed up to around 2530, above the flag level. After a breakout, Ethereum’s upside room will open up. For big coin, it needs to break above 82,000. If U.S. stocks regain the previous trend and move back above the trendline, it’s expected that U.S. stocks will also rebound. Overall, the outlook remains bullish. The market may continue to move in sync with the external markets’ momentum.

$BTC

Friday
$4 trillion in US Treasury bills is pressing down
Trump doesn’t pretend anymore and directly lays it out
The ultimate move is the US military
But the US Treasury has taken more than $10 billion
to repurchase $40 trillion worth of US Treasuries
It’s like I owe the bank $40 million
and I voluntarily repay $10,000
then demand my credit report
Fully demonstrates my subjective efforts
The market first spent a day mulling it over
On the second day, gold and Bitcoin both surged together
The creditor wasn’t moved either—
they’re already busy looking for collateral $BTC

Texima’s yesterday was supposed to be empty at 80600, but I took it and it didn’t come down after two hours, so I bailed. I thought it would go straight up. I made a quick move and took a small extra step, stopping the loss—freaking idiot Ether. Damn Ether. One lifetime of wisdom, and again it was ruined by Ether. Currently, based on the four-hour level, Big Pie Ether has formed an ascending flag pattern. Right now within this range, it’s still bullish. Above, the flag’s resistance lines up perfectly with the resistance around 82000. After a breakout, the upward space opens up. Of course, if it can’t break through, then you need to think the other way and look for support downward. For now, it’s still inside the flag range, and it’s still bullish

$BTC

Won big, won big! Early birds get food. This morning was already up a lot. I just took profit and exited a moment ago, hahahaha. I told you we should push it up吧$BTC

Yesterday I took profit a few times, then
this morning when I woke up, I directly added more into the community again.
This market lately is basically just picking up money.
If you haven’t made a profit,
you really should reflect on yourself.
At the moment, the big BTC daily timeframe moving averages are still being pushed upward.
Because the indicators are following along,
the price has momentum.
So the price will be pushed upward by the indicators.
Right now, breaking 80000 means you can target around 82000.
Even if 80000 can’t break,
on the 4-hour timeframe, under the daily moving average push,
it could form a rising-flag pattern
and then choose to move upward again.
Overall, being long is still better.
But be a bit stealthy about it.
I don’t recommend shorting.
Because of the indicator push,
it’s not so easy to fall.
At the very least, wait until the indicators start to separate farther away before considering a short.
Or if it keeps failing to break and the indicators become dull and deformed, then consider shorting $BTC