Trump wants to paint the White House.. He calls for quotations......
Chinese guy quoted 3 million. European guy quoted 7 million.. Pakistani 🇵🇰 guy quoted 10 million..
Trump asked Chinese guy.."..how did you quote 3 million..?" Chinese guy replied .. "1 million for paint, 1 million for labour, 1 million profit..
Trump asked European guy.. He replied-".. 3 million for paint, 2 million for labour, 2 million profit.."
Trump asked Pakistani 🇵🇰 guy.. He replied.. .."..4 million for you.. 3 million for me.. .. .. and we will give 3 million to the Chinese guy and ask him to paint..!!" 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
🚀 Don’t miss out! Tap the link below and unlock your special gift instantly. i don’t think most people are fully grasping what changed with $BTC
yes, the 21M supply hasn’t changed.
that part is still true. the protocol still caps it. nothing new is being printed.
but the market around bitcoin is completely different now, and that’s what people are missing.
back in the early days, if you wanted exposure to bitcoin, you had to actually buy bitcoin.
simple. supply was supply.
but now? wall street built layers on top of it.
futures, options, ETFs, swaps. and all of these allow multiple players to take exposure to the same coin at the same time.
so imagine one real bitcoin sitting in custody somewhere. on top of that one coin, there are multiple financial claims.
multiple leveraged bets. longs, shorts, basis trades, ETF shares all referencing the same underlying asset.
no new bitcoin is being mined. but financially, exposure keeps expanding.
that’s the key difference.
on-chain scarcity is fixed. financial exposure is not.
and that changes how price behaves in the short term.
because now price isn’t just moving based on someone buying spot and holding.
it’s moving based on open interest, funding rates, liquidations, leverage getting added and removed.
you’re seeing long wicks because positions are getting forced out, not because the 21m cap changed.
paper exposure expands during euphoria. then it collapses during liquidations. that expansion and contraction makes it feel like supply is flexible.
but here’s the important part.. it’s only flexible in the trading layer.
long term, derivatives don’t create new coins. they create temporary claims. when leverage gets wiped, those claims disappear. the underlying bitcoin is still sitting there.
so yes, short term, paper bitcoin distorts price discovery. it amplifies volatility. it delays clean supply shocks. it creates fake breakouts and fake breakdowns.
🎉 Your reward is ready! Click the link now and claim your exclusive gift before the offer expires! If you burry a kilogram of #Gold in your basement today, a million years from now it will still be a store of value because its independent.
#Bitcoin is not a store of value because it needs electricity ⚡️ .
If there’s no electricity tomorrow, there is no Bitcoin tomorrow. #Alishba_Sozar $BTC $XAU
For the first time in 16 months, I’m trimming my portfolio. Taking profit.
I’m now sitting on 30% cash. Portfolio is still up 75% all-time.
Let that sink in.
Here’s why.
Four things are converging right now that I can’t ignore:
1. Iran.
The geopolitical setup is the most dangerous I’ve seen in years. A regional war doesn’t just spike oil, it pulls liquidity out of risk assets FAST. Markets don’t price this until it’s too late.
But here’s what the data actually shows: Markets historically dip -1% to -10% at war outbreak.
Total drawdowns average -5% to -10%.
Then they recover; fast. Most instances show POSITIVE returns 6-12 months after onset.
The pattern is almost always the same: • Uncertainty hits → markets sell off hard • Scope clarifies → fear fades • Smart money buys the panic → recovery begins.
I’m not betting on collapse. I’m betting on the dip BEFORE the recovery.
The Iran situation isn’t a thesis-killer. It’s a buying opportunity in disguise, IF you have the cash ready when it hits.
2. The Fed isn’t your friend right now.
Warsh wants to shrink the balance sheet. Cuts without QE. The “wall of money” that sends beta stocks to the moon?
It’s not right around the corner. Caution from the Fed is priced in too optimistically.
3. Midterm cycle math is brutal.
Historical data is clear: 70% probability of a meaningful market correction in midterm years with an average intra-year drawdown of ~18%.
(largest in the four-year cycle).
Not a maybe. 70%.
4. DeepSeek V4 rumors.
We saw what happened when DeepSeek dropped V3 and R1. $NVDA lost $600B in market cap in a single day. The entire AI infrastructure trade got nuked overnight.
V4 rumors are already circulating.
And if V4 delivers another efficiency leap, the narrative around “infinite compute demand” gets questioned again.
Doesn’t matter if it’s temporary. The market REACTS first and thinks second.
That alone is enough to trim into strength.
Now here’s what people are missing about
MY portfolio specifically:
I don’t hold $SPY. I hold high-beta stocks.
If the market corrects 10-18%…my portfolio doesn’t correct 10-18%.
It corrects 50-60%.
That’s not fear. That’s math.
So why ‘only’ 30% cash?
Because I’m STILL extremely bullish on the underlying theses. AI infrastructure. Undersea defense. Robotics. Critical materials. None of that changed.
The stocks I trimmed? I want to own them at 20-30% lower prices.
That’s it. That’s the whole game.
Four risks converging at once.
Iran. A cautious Fed. Midterm cycle history. DeepSeek V4.
Any ONE of these is enough to create a violent shakeout in high-beta names.
All FOUR together?
30% cash. Full conviction.
Waiting to buy more $IREN $NBIS $CIFR $ONDS $OSS $RKLB.
Note: This is NOT financial advice. #Alishba_Sozar
Gold in the late 70s. Japan in the 80s. Asia in the 90s. The Internet in 2000. Housing in 2006. China in 2008. Biotech in 2015. ARKK, Bitcoin, and now the Magnificent 7.
Every cycle has a story that feels different. Revolutionary. Structural. This time is smarter. This time is permanent.
Price goes vertical. Narratives get louder. Risk management gets quieter.
Then gravity shows up.
The takeaway is not that innovation is fake. It is that parabolic moves rarely sustain without resets. Excess always gets wrung out.
Bubbles are not about bad assets. They are about stretched expectations and crowded positioning.
If you trade long enough, you stop asking “Is this different?”
You start asking, “Where are we in the cycle?” #Alishba_Sozar $BTC $BNB
The U.S. is now spending over $1 TRILLION per year just on interest payments, more than it spends on national defense LMFAO!
Let that sink in. America is borrowing money… to pay interest… on money it already borrowed.
That’s not a theory. That’s the Treasury data.
PONZI piece of ****.
According to Ray Dalio, when debt grows faster than income and productivity, you enter the late-stage debt cycle:
1) Rising deficits 2) Money printing to absorb debt 3) Currency debasement 4) Internal political conflict 5) Declining trust in institutions
Every major reserve currency in history followed this path.
The Dutch guilder. The British pound. Now the U.S. dollar is under pressure.
And nothing will reverse it. Its UNFIXABLE!
Dalio warns the risk isn’t a normal recession.
It’s a debt spiral where the only politically acceptable solution becomes printing and that historically leads to either restructuring or high inflation.
The dollar has already lost over 95% of its purchasing power since 1913.
Therefore:
This isn’t fear. This is arithmetic.
And there is no f**king painless solution to $38 trillion in debt.
Time to understand why scarce, non-sovereign assets like Bitcoin exist.
It pushes the marginal cost of cognitive labor toward zero. Code, legal drafting, design, analysis, customer support, content. Each model improvement lowers the cost of the next unit of output. More goods and services produced with fewer human inputs. That is deflationary pressure.
The modern fiat system is built on persistent inflation. It is debt-based. Governments, corporations, and households borrow long term and repay in nominal currency. Moderate inflation makes that system easier to sustain. Persistent deflation does the opposite. It increases the real burden of debt and stresses highly leveraged balance sheets.
Central banks have spent decades trying to avoid deflation for that reason.
If AI meaningfully lowers the cost structure of large parts of the economy, that creates ongoing deflationary pressure. The policy response will be more intervention and more monetary expansion to counter it.
In a world where productive capacity expands and money supply is actively managed, rational actors look for assets with credible scarcity.
For centuries that was gold.
Today there is a natively digital alternative.
Bitcoin has a fixed terminal supply of 21 million. It is not adjustable by policymakers. More compute does not create more Bitcoin. More intelligence does not change the issuance schedule.
AI makes many things cheaper. It does not make Bitcoin cheaper to produce in aggregate, and it does not change its total supply.
If AI increases abundance while monetary authorities continue expanding supply to manage debt and prevent deflation, scarce, non-dilutable assets become more attractive.
5 years ago, #bitcoin hit 60k. If you bought back then, but not sold a year ago, like tens of millions of people did, you have roughly made 10% until today, or less than 2% per year annualizied... not even beating inflation. Well done.
Lesson: Bitcoin has no utility other than speculation on price. Hence, its value is 0. So, trade it, do not hodl it! $BTC
Crypto is breaking more people than it’s making rich.
This space is brutal. Financially, mentally, emotionally, physically.
The market never sleeps, and neither do we. Even when you are out, your mind races. What’s next, what did I miss. The FOMO is endless.
We romanticize the pumps and the 100x plays, but underneath it’s constant mental warfare. Decision fatigue. Conflicting opinions. A voice that whispers: if you stop, you will fall behind.
And then there is Crypto Twitter. Ego, toxicity, and projection disguised as alpha. One bad call and the pitchforks are out.
The toll is real. Poor sleep. High cortisol. Dopamine addiction. A body trained to stress every time your phone buzzes. Most will not see the burnout until it is too late.
You do not need every move. You do not need to grind 24/7. The ultimate alpha is not a 100x. It is staying clear, grounded, and healthy while everyone else spirals.
Take care of yourself. The market will still be here tomorrow. #Alishba_Sozar $BNB $ETH
> Can't hold cash because the dollar keeps losing value > Can't buy metals because they are topped > Can't buy more crypto because it looks like shit > Can't buy stocks because they're already up > Can't use leverage because everything is manipulated
Can someone smart tell me what we're supposed to do right now? #Alishba_Sozar $BTC $BNB $ETH
I went out alone yesterday, I parked somewhere calm, minding my business, when a security man walked up to me.
He looked at me, then at the car, then back at me again like his brain was trying to process something…
“Small madam, how old are you?” he asked. I laughed. 😂😂 Before I could even answer properly, he added, “This your car?”
I nodded. Yes.
The way his face changed ehn 😭 It wasn’t disrespect. It was shock. The kind of shock that says, “Life is really different for some people.”
He kept looking at the car, then at me, almost like he was expecting an older person to step out from somewhere. I could tell he didn’t mean any harm, he was just genuinely surprised that someone young was behind the wheel of that kind of car.
And in that moment, I didn’t feel the need to prove anything. I didn’t start explaining myself. I didn’t start listing achievements. I just smiled and said my age calmly... “I’m 20 years old Sir”.
He shook his head slowly and said something like, “God is good.”
Yesterday reminded me that you don’t have to argue with your results. You don’t have to convince anyone. Your life will speak. 🗣️