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Bitcoin remains below the key $64,000 level after being rejected from the $65K area earlier this week.
The latest structure shows BTC consolidating around $63,000 after the move lower, but buyers have so far failed to reclaim the previous support/resistance flip.
KEY LEVELS
• Current Price: $63,000 • Key Resistance: $64,000 • Major Resistance: $65,700 • Major Resistance Above: $67,200 • Key Support: $63,000 • Lower Range Support: $61,000
WHAT THE CHART IS SHOWING
BTC has spent several sessions trading below $64,000 following the rejection from the $65K–$65.7K area.
The $64,000 level is now the key short-term battleground.
Repeated attempts to move back above it have failed, while price has continued to form lower highs beneath the level.
At the same time, $63,000 has become the immediate support zone.
As long as BTC holds above $63,000, another attempt at $64,000 remains possible.
A clean break below $63,000 would weaken the structure further and put the recent $62.4K low back in focus, followed by the broader $61,000 support zone.
TACTICAL SETUP
Bullish scenario:
BTC reclaims $64,000 and establishes it as support.
That would improve the short-term structure and bring $65,700 back into focus.
Bearish scenario:
BTC loses $63,000 with follow-through.
That would increase the probability of a retest of the $62.4K area, with $61,000 remaining the major lower-range support.
TAKEAWAY
Bitcoin is consolidating at a critical point after the recent rejection from $65K.
The market is not showing a confirmed bullish reversal yet.
For the structure to improve, buyers need to reclaim $64,000.
Until that happens, $64,000 remains overhead resistance and $63,000 is the key level bulls need to defend.
The next meaningful move is likely to come from a decisive break of this $63K–$64K range.
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1️⃣ Supply In Loss 2️⃣ NUPL 3️⃣ Fund Holdings 4️⃣ Renko Structure 5️⃣ 50D SMA 6️⃣ 4th Halving Anchored VWAP + 2.1σ Bands 7️⃣ ATH Anchored VWAP 8️⃣ 2nd Lower High Anchored VWAP 9️⃣ Current Price 🔟 Open Interest
These 10 Metrics Together Give A Much Clearer Picture Of BTC’s Current Market Structure.
Bitcoin continues to trade inside a key liquidity zone after losing the $63,000 support level.
The latest liquidation heatmaps show liquidity building on both sides of price, with the market currently positioned between major liquidation clusters.
Current price: $63,000
Key liquidity zones:
Downside liquidity: $62,500 – $62,000
This remains the main area to watch below. A clean break under $62,500 could trigger a cascade of long liquidations and open the door toward the larger liquidity pocket around $61,000–$61,800.
Upside liquidity: $63,800 – $64,000
Reclaiming this zone would put pressure on short positions and could create a squeeze higher toward $65,000+.
WHAT THE HEATMAP IS SHOWING:
• The 12-hour heatmap shows heavy liquidity concentrated around $62,500 below price and $63,800–$64,000 above.
• The 24-hour heatmap highlights Bitcoin trading directly between two major liquidity pools, suggesting volatility is likely to increase once either side is targeted.
• The 3-day heatmap shows the broader liquidity range remains concentrated around $61,000 on the downside and $65,000–$66,000 above.
CHR TAKEAWAY:
Bitcoin is currently stuck between two major liquidation zones.
A move below $62,500 would likely accelerate downside momentum as leveraged longs get flushed.
A reclaim of $64,000 would shift attention back toward the upside and increase the probability of a short squeeze.
For now, liquidity remains the roadmap.
The next significant move will likely come from whichever side of the leverage gets cleared first.
Key levels to watch:
$62,500 support $63,000 pivot $64,000 reclaim zone $65,000+ upside liquidity
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After Bitcoin’s rejection at the $64,000 resistance level, the next important question is whether holders are moving BTC onto exchanges to sell.
The data says no.
Exchange netflows remain relatively controlled, with no major spike in BTC deposits suggesting widespread distribution.
This is important because exchange balances represent the amount of Bitcoin immediately available for trading.
When large amounts of BTC move onto exchanges, it can increase potential sell-side pressure.
When BTC leaves exchanges, available liquid supply decreases, often signalling stronger holding behaviour.
Current market structure:
• BTC rejected $64,000 resistance
• Price has pulled back towards the $62K–$63K region
• ETF flows have cooled short term
• Leverage has reset through funding and open interest
• Exchange flows are not showing panic selling
The key takeaway:
This does not look like holders rushing to exit.
The current pullback appears to be driven by short-term positioning, profit-taking and resistance rejection rather than a large-scale distribution event.
For Bitcoin to continue higher, buyers need to reclaim $64,000.
A clean breakout above that level opens the path towards the next resistance zone.
If sellers lose control of the $62K–$63K area, the market will test lower liquidity levels.
For now, exchange data suggests supply pressure remains contained.
Bitcoin derivatives positioning is cooling down, but the important detail is how it is happening.
Total BTC open interest currently sits around $46.87B, with approximately 740K BTC in active contracts across exchanges
Over last 24 hours, open interest has declined by around 1.25%
At first glance, a drop in open interest may look negative
However, the context matters
Bitcoin has recently moved lower from $65,700 resistance area & failed to reclaim the $64,000 level. As price pulled back, leverage has been removed from the market rather than aggressively adding fuel to the downside
This is exactly what we want to see after a rejection
The market is flushing excess leverage
CME remains strongest area of positioning, holding around $6.98B in open interest, while Binance leads exchange-based positioning with approximately $9.45B.
The key takeaway:
Speculators are reducing risk, but there has not been a major collapse in positioning
This means market is becoming healthier
When open interest falls alongside a pullback, it often signals weak hands being forced out rather than a structural breakdown. The excessive leverage built during the previous push higher is being cleaned up
From a trading perspective, this gives Bitcoin a cleaner setup
BTC is currently consolidating around $63,000-$64,000 range, with market resetting before the next expansion
The levels we are watching:
Resistance: $64,000 — first level Bitcoin needs to reclaim $65,700 — major breakout zone $67,200 — next upside target if momentum returns
Support: $63,000 — immediate support holding current structure $61,000 — major range support & invalidation level
The bigger picture:
Open interest has come down from elevated levels, leverage has been reduced, and the market is giving itself room to move
A cleaner derivatives market creates a better environment for the next trend move
For now, Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase, but the leverage reset is constructive
We are watching for next expansion once price reclaims key resistance levels
BITCOIN FUNDING RATE UPDATE Bitcoin’s derivatives market is showing a very interesting setup. Funding rates have moved back into positive territory, but the key point is that they are not showing signs of excessive leverage yet. BTC OI-weighted funding rate: +0.0095% BTC volume-weighted funding rate: +0.0085% This means longs are currently paying shorts to maintain their positions, showing that traders are leaning bullish. Funding rates are essentially a measure of which side of the market is crowded, positive funding means longs are paying because there is more demand for long exposure. The important part: Funding is positive, but it is still controlled. We are not seeing the type of extreme long positioning that typically appears near major market tops. Instead, traders are showing confidence while leverage remains relatively balanced. Looking across exchanges: • Binance BTC funding: around +0.0091% • OKX BTC funding: around +0.0085% • Bybit BTC funding: around +0.0051% The market is aligned bullish, but not overheated. What this tells us: After Bitcoin failed to reclaim the $64,000 level and pulled back toward the $63,000 area, funding remained positive. This is important. A weak market usually sees funding collapse negative as traders lose confidence and aggressively short the downside. Instead, traders are still maintaining long exposure. This suggests the current move down has been more of a positioning reset rather than a full trend breakdown. The bigger picture Looking at the historical funding chart, the current environment is very different from previous overheated periods. During major tops, funding tends to spike as traders pile into leverage and become too confident. Right now: • Funding is positive • Leverage is returning • But positioning is not yet crowded This gives Bitcoin room to continue higher if spot demand returns. What we are watching next The key combination: Price + Open Interest + Funding. If Bitcoin begins reclaiming $64,000 while funding remains controlled, it confirms buyers are absorbing supply and leverage is building in a healthy way. However, if funding starts rapidly expanding while price struggles below resistance, that would signal longs are becoming too crowded and liquidation risk increases. For now, the derivatives market is giving a constructive signal. Bitcoin traders are leaning bullish, but the market is not showing the excess leverage that usually marks a top. The next major test remains the $64,000 reclaim. A successful break back above that level puts $65,700 back into focus.
Bitcoin is starting the day trading around $63,300 after failing to reclaim the key $64k resistance level
Yesterday, BTC attempted to push higher but buyers were unable to sustain momentum above resistance The rejection from the $64k area shows that sellers are still defending this level
For now, BTC remains inside a tight range, with buyers defending support while sellers continue to cap upside moves
Current structure:
Resistance: $64k $65.7k $67.2k
Support: $63k $61k
The $64k level remains key area to watch
A successful reclaim of $64k would improve short-term momentum and put Bitcoin back in position to challenge the $65.7k resistance zone
What has changed since yesterday?
Price action:
Bitcoin failed to break above $64k and has moved back towards the middle of the current range
This shows that buyers are still lacking strength needed to push BTC into a new upside move
Liquidity:
Liquidation data continues to show liquidity building on both sides of market
Above current price, liquidity remains concentrated around the $64k to $65k region
Below current price, $62,500 to $63,000 area remains an important zone where buyers will need to defend
Derivatives:
Open interest remains elevated, showing traders are still positioned heavily around this range
The next directional move will likely depend on whether leverage is supported by real spot demand or whether traders become overexposed
Spot market:
Spot demand remains the biggest factor to watch
A sustainable move higher requires real buyers stepping in, not just increased leverage
Our current view:
Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase.
The structure is not broken, but bulls need to reclaim $NVDAB to regain momentum
Holding above $63k keeps the current range intact
A move above $64k would open the possibility of another test of $65,700.
A loss of $63k would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a move towards $61k
For now, patience is key
Bitcoin is building pressure inside a tight range, and the next breakout should provide clearer direction