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CRYPTO MECHANIC
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CRYPTO MECHANIC

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Trading Crypto Since 2016 | X: @cryptomechanicX
2025 Blockchain 100 — Trader
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Nice reaction from $XAU
Nice reaction from $XAU
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$XAU
If this thing wants to bounce, it should be from here.
$XRP Made another 10% move down after taking out all those highs.
$XRP
Made another 10% move down after taking out all those highs.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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$XRP Took all the highs on that move up.
Could just be a big short squeeze unless price starts breaking into those highs again.
$XAU If this thing wants to bounce, it should be from here.
$XAU
If this thing wants to bounce, it should be from here.
Bitcoin’s +20% Move Up: Bottom Forming or Short Squeeze? Going through every information on chart
Bitcoin’s +20% Move Up: Bottom Forming or Short Squeeze? Going through every information on chart
$SOL Should find some support around this zone imo.
$SOL
Should find some support around this zone imo.
$ARB Clean chart. Broke above the highs and holding the breakout. Hold this breakout and i think this could go higher. The Robinhood Chain narrative behind it makes this even more interesting. Robinhood Chain generated $1.92M in revenue over the last 24 hours, up from $963K in gas fees the day before. Why does that matter for ARB? Robinhood Chain owes 10% of its net revenue under Arbitrum’s licensing model, and that revenue will go into the ARB ecosystem. So you have a clean technical setup + a pretty interesting fundamental narrative behind it.
$ARB
Clean chart. Broke above the highs and holding the breakout. Hold this breakout and i think this could go higher.

The Robinhood Chain narrative behind it makes this even more interesting.

Robinhood Chain generated $1.92M in revenue over the last 24 hours, up from $963K in gas fees the day before.

Why does that matter for ARB?

Robinhood Chain owes 10% of its net revenue under Arbitrum’s licensing model, and that revenue will go into the ARB ecosystem.

So you have a clean technical setup + a pretty interesting fundamental narrative behind it.
$ETH $2,000–$2,200 has had a significant impact on ETH’s price for years. Every time price broke below this zone, it gave a clean move down. Every time price reclaimed it, it gave a clean move up. Now that price is above this zone once again, I think the invalidation is quite clean: as long as ETH holds $2,000–$2,200, the chart looks good, and for now, we can assume it’ll going up. Below $2k we will be back to hating Ethereum.
$ETH
$2,000–$2,200 has had a significant impact on ETH’s price for years.
Every time price broke below this zone, it gave a clean move down.
Every time price reclaimed it, it gave a clean move up.

Now that price is above this zone once again, I think the invalidation is quite clean: as long as ETH holds $2,000–$2,200, the chart looks good, and for now, we can assume it’ll going up.

Below $2k we will be back to hating Ethereum.
The crypto market is at a point where it shouldn’t take a major pullback if the move from the lows was truly a bottom-forming move. Historically, whenever Bitcoin has formed a bottom, it hasn’t retraced the entire move. Price usually consolidates after a move and then continues moving higher. A deep pullback would mean the move was more likely driven by news and short liquidations rather than genuine accumulation and a bottom formation. The maximum I could see Bitcoin going is around $70K–$72K and ETH around $2,000–$2,200. It shouldn’t even go that deep, but I’m giving the market some room.
The crypto market is at a point where it shouldn’t take a major pullback if the move from the lows was truly a bottom-forming move.

Historically, whenever Bitcoin has formed a bottom, it hasn’t retraced the entire move. Price usually consolidates after a move and then continues moving higher.

A deep pullback would mean the move was more likely driven by news and short liquidations rather than genuine accumulation and a bottom formation.

The maximum I could see Bitcoin going is around $70K–$72K and ETH around $2,000–$2,200.

It shouldn’t even go that deep, but I’m giving the market some room.
Invalidation for bears, Invalidation for bulls What the market should do and what it should not. I briefly discussed everything about $BTC , $ETH and $SOL on stream. If you missed it, here is the replay 👇
Invalidation for bears, Invalidation for bulls
What the market should do and what it should not.

I briefly discussed everything about $BTC , $ETH and $SOL on stream.

If you missed it, here is the replay 👇
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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[ပြန်ဖွင့်မည်] 🎙️ Big Move On Crypto - Beginning of The Bull Run Or Just A Bounce?
01 နာရီ 08 မိနစ် 03 စက္ကန့် · 1.4k listens
စိစစ်အတည်ပြုထားသည်
Equities, Gold & Bitcoin are all dropping as expectations for a Fed rate hike surge above 66%. Traders are now pricing in a 66%+ chance of a 25 bps rate hike this month.
Equities, Gold & Bitcoin are all dropping as expectations for a Fed rate hike surge above 66%.

Traders are now pricing in a 66%+ chance of a 25 bps rate hike this month.
$ENA Consolidating above the highs which is fine after a good move up. Should not pullback too deep ideally it consolidate here and keep moving. $0.12-0.14 is the key support, Above this i think it's bullish.
$ENA Consolidating above the highs which is fine after a good move up.
Should not pullback too deep ideally it consolidate here and keep moving.

$0.12-0.14 is the key support, Above this i think it's bullish.
🎙️ Big Move On Crypto - Beginning of The Bull Run Or Just A Bounce?
cover
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01 နာရီ 08 မိနစ် 03 စက္ကန့်
1.4k
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First green monthly candle on $SOL since September 2025 😬
First green monthly candle on $SOL since September 2025 😬
September
September
Me and saylor are the same. We both buy high and sell low. Sell Low, Buy High He just got more money than me.
Me and saylor are the same.
We both buy high and sell low.
Sell Low, Buy High

He just got more money than me.
$SOL Weekly structure break. One of the best things about the crypto market is that it respects higher-timeframe trends surprisingly well. How you can utilise it we have discussed it multiple times. Use lower timeframe for your entry triggers. Could be: A pullback A sharp dip liquidating late buyers A lower timeframe consolidation breakout A lower timeframe sweep There are multiple ways to trade a bullish chart. You just need to plan it the right way.
$SOL Weekly structure break.
One of the best things about the crypto market is that it respects higher-timeframe trends surprisingly well.

How you can utilise it we have discussed it multiple times.
Use lower timeframe for your entry triggers.

Could be:
A pullback
A sharp dip liquidating late buyers
A lower timeframe consolidation breakout
A lower timeframe sweep

There are multiple ways to trade a bullish chart.
You just need to plan it the right way.
Article
Positional Trading: How To Position For The Next Big MoveCrypto is a trending market, and one of the best ways to trade a trending market is Positional Trading. You position yourself for a directional move, whether it is to the upside or downside. Because when crypto starts moving in a direction, it usually doesn't move for just one day. When crypto starts going up, it can keep going up for weeks or even months. And when it starts going down, it can keep going down for weeks or months. Being positioned for a direction can make you much more money than trying to find a new trade setup every single day. What is Positional Trading? Positional trading is basically taking a position based on the bigger trend and giving that position enough time to play out. Instead of asking: "What can I trade today?" You ask: "What is the market trying to do over the next few weeks or months, and how can I position myself for it?" This is a completely different way of looking at the market. You don't need to catch every move.You don't need to trade every day.You don't need to constantly find new setups. Your job is to identify the bigger direction, position yourself, and then let the market do the work. Of course, this doesn't mean blindly buying because you think crypto will go up. The positioning should come after the market gives you evidence that the trend has actually shifted. Start With The Weekly Chart One of the best things about the crypto market is that it respects higher-timeframe trends surprisingly well. And for positional trading, the weekly chart is extremely important. If the weekly trend is bearish, there is a good chance the market will continue moving lower until the structure changes. And if the weekly trend is bullish, there is a good chance the market will continue higher until that structure breaks. This is why I don't like making a positional decision based only on a few hours or even a single day of price action. The lower timeframes can give you entries. But the weekly chart can give you the direction. Think about it this way: If the weekly structure is bullish, I would rather spend my time looking for opportunities to buy dips than trying to short every small pullback. And if the weekly structure is bearish, I wouldn't want to keep buying every dip just because the price looks "cheap." The bigger trend matters. So How Do You Position Yourself? Let's say the market has been bearish for a while, but now you're starting to see a proper shift in the weekly structure. Bitcoin starts making higher highs and higher lows. Ethereum starts reclaiming important levels. Solana starts showing strength. Or any coin in your watchlist The market is giving you signs that the previous downtrend may be over. This is where positional trading becomes interesting. The first thing I want to do is wait for the weekly trend shift. I don't want to be early just for the sake of being early. Lets have a look at the weekly charts of these three so you get the idea where the market stands. Bitcoin Ethereum Solana Once the market confirms the shift, I can start allocating capital slowly. And this is important: You don't have to deploy your entire capital on day one. In fact, I usually prefer the opposite. Start Allocating Slowly Let's say you have $50,000 that you want to use for a positional BTC, ETH or SOL position or any other Altcoin. You don't necessarily need to put $50,000 into the market immediately. You can start with a smaller allocation and build the position as the trend develops. There are several ways you can do this. 1. Buy a Fixed Amount Every Day This is probably the simplest approach. You decide how much you want to allocate every day and keep buying regardless of short-term price movements. For example, if you want to deploy $30,000 over four months, you can divide that capital into smaller daily or weekly allocations. The biggest advantage is that you don't have to worry about finding the perfect entry. You're simply building your position over time. 2. Add More on Dips Another approach is to keep some capital aside and use bigger pullbacks to increase your position. For example: You establish your initial position. The market continues higher. Then BTC drops 8–10% while the weekly structure remains bullish. Instead of panicking, you can use that pullback to add. This is where having cash available becomes very useful. You don't want to be fully invested before the market gives you a good discount. 3. Keep a Reserve This is probably the part people underestimate the most. If you believe the market is going higher, it doesn't mean it will go straight up. Crypto can give you a very strong bullish trend and still have some nasty pullbacks along the way. So I always like the idea of keeping some capital in reserve. You don't know when the market will give you a 5%, 10%, 15% or even bigger pullback. Having cash available gives you flexibility. Instead of watching a big dip and thinking: "I wish I had money to buy this." You actually have capital available to use. Position Size Matters Positional trading is not about putting everything into one trade. Your position size should depend on your total capital and how much risk you are comfortable taking. For example, if you have $100,000 or $10,000 available, there is no reason you have to deploy $100,000 immediately just because the weekly trend turned bullish. You can start with 20–30%. Then add gradually. You can increase your exposure as the market confirms the trend. And if the market gives you a deeper pullback, you still have capital available. This gives you something very important: Flexibility. Don't Confuse Positioning With Random DCA There is an important difference between positional trading and blindly DCAing. If the market has already shifted into a bullish trend, you can use DCA as a method to build your position. But the bigger decision should still come from the market structure. I don't want to keep buying an asset simply because it has gone down 40-50%. If the weekly trend is still bearish, a 40-50% drop doesn't automatically mean it's a good buy. Sometimes the market can fall another 30–40%. DCA works much better when you have a thesis for why you want to own the asset. The strategy should be: Identify the trend -> wait for confirmation -> start positioning -> add gradually -> keep reserves -> let the trend play out. Not: Price is down -> buy -> price is down again -> buy more -> hope. There is a big difference. You Don't Need To Catch The Exact Bottom This is probably one of the biggest mental shifts you need for positional trading. You don't need to buy the exact bottom. If an Asset bottoms at $100 and you start positioning at $120, that's completely fine if your thesis is that the next major move is higher. Trying to catch the exact bottom often keeps people waiting for a better price while the market starts moving without them. I'd rather enter slightly late with confirmation than enter early without confirmation. Missing the first 10-20% of a move is not a big deal if you can participate in the next 50–100%. When crypto starts to move it moves for months The goal isn't to buy the lowest possible price. The goal is to be positioned for the bigger move. Disclaimer: This article is not financial advice. The goal is simply to educate you about positional trading and how you can approach it. Read it carefully, understand the concept, learn from it, and then decide how you want to apply it to your own trading. Positional trading requires a lot of patience, discipline, and market experience. It is not about finding quick trades or making money every day. Good luck

Positional Trading: How To Position For The Next Big Move

Crypto is a trending market, and one of the best ways to trade a trending market is Positional Trading.
You position yourself for a directional move, whether it is to the upside or downside.
Because when crypto starts moving in a direction, it usually doesn't move for just one day.
When crypto starts going up, it can keep going up for weeks or even months.
And when it starts going down, it can keep going down for weeks or months.
Being positioned for a direction can make you much more money than trying to find a new trade setup every single day.
What is Positional Trading?
Positional trading is basically taking a position based on the bigger trend and giving that position enough time to play out.
Instead of asking:
"What can I trade today?"
You ask:
"What is the market trying to do over the next few weeks or months, and how can I position myself for it?"
This is a completely different way of looking at the market.
You don't need to catch every move.You don't need to trade every day.You don't need to constantly find new setups.
Your job is to identify the bigger direction, position yourself, and then let the market do the work.
Of course, this doesn't mean blindly buying because you think crypto will go up.
The positioning should come after the market gives you evidence that the trend has actually shifted.
Start With The Weekly Chart
One of the best things about the crypto market is that it respects higher-timeframe trends surprisingly well.
And for positional trading, the weekly chart is extremely important.
If the weekly trend is bearish, there is a good chance the market will continue moving lower until the structure changes.
And if the weekly trend is bullish, there is a good chance the market will continue higher until that structure breaks.
This is why I don't like making a positional decision based only on a few hours or even a single day of price action.
The lower timeframes can give you entries.
But the weekly chart can give you the direction.
Think about it this way:
If the weekly structure is bullish, I would rather spend my time looking for opportunities to buy dips than trying to short every small pullback.
And if the weekly structure is bearish, I wouldn't want to keep buying every dip just because the price looks "cheap."
The bigger trend matters.
So How Do You Position Yourself?
Let's say the market has been bearish for a while, but now you're starting to see a proper shift in the weekly structure.
Bitcoin starts making higher highs and higher lows.
Ethereum starts reclaiming important levels.
Solana starts showing strength.
Or any coin in your watchlist
The market is giving you signs that the previous downtrend may be over.
This is where positional trading becomes interesting.
The first thing I want to do is wait for the weekly trend shift.
I don't want to be early just for the sake of being early.
Lets have a look at the weekly charts of these three so you get the idea where the market stands.
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Solana
Once the market confirms the shift, I can start allocating capital slowly.
And this is important:
You don't have to deploy your entire capital on day one.
In fact, I usually prefer the opposite.
Start Allocating Slowly
Let's say you have $50,000 that you want to use for a positional BTC, ETH or SOL position or any other Altcoin.
You don't necessarily need to put $50,000 into the market immediately.
You can start with a smaller allocation and build the position as the trend develops.
There are several ways you can do this.
1. Buy a Fixed Amount Every Day
This is probably the simplest approach.
You decide how much you want to allocate every day and keep buying regardless of short-term price movements.
For example, if you want to deploy $30,000 over four months, you can divide that capital into smaller daily or weekly allocations.
The biggest advantage is that you don't have to worry about finding the perfect entry.
You're simply building your position over time.
2. Add More on Dips
Another approach is to keep some capital aside and use bigger pullbacks to increase your position.
For example:
You establish your initial position.
The market continues higher.
Then BTC drops 8–10% while the weekly structure remains bullish.
Instead of panicking, you can use that pullback to add.
This is where having cash available becomes very useful.
You don't want to be fully invested before the market gives you a good discount.
3. Keep a Reserve
This is probably the part people underestimate the most.
If you believe the market is going higher, it doesn't mean it will go straight up.
Crypto can give you a very strong bullish trend and still have some nasty pullbacks along the way.
So I always like the idea of keeping some capital in reserve.
You don't know when the market will give you a 5%, 10%, 15% or even bigger pullback.
Having cash available gives you flexibility.
Instead of watching a big dip and thinking:
"I wish I had money to buy this."
You actually have capital available to use.
Position Size Matters
Positional trading is not about putting everything into one trade.
Your position size should depend on your total capital and how much risk you are comfortable taking.
For example, if you have $100,000 or $10,000 available, there is no reason you have to deploy $100,000 immediately just because the weekly trend turned bullish.
You can start with 20–30%.
Then add gradually.
You can increase your exposure as the market confirms the trend.
And if the market gives you a deeper pullback, you still have capital available.
This gives you something very important:
Flexibility.
Don't Confuse Positioning With Random DCA
There is an important difference between positional trading and blindly DCAing.
If the market has already shifted into a bullish trend, you can use DCA as a method to build your position.
But the bigger decision should still come from the market structure.
I don't want to keep buying an asset simply because it has gone down 40-50%.
If the weekly trend is still bearish, a 40-50% drop doesn't automatically mean it's a good buy.
Sometimes the market can fall another 30–40%.
DCA works much better when you have a thesis for why you want to own the asset.
The strategy should be:
Identify the trend -> wait for confirmation -> start positioning -> add gradually -> keep reserves -> let the trend play out.
Not:
Price is down -> buy -> price is down again -> buy more -> hope.
There is a big difference.
You Don't Need To Catch The Exact Bottom
This is probably one of the biggest mental shifts you need for positional trading.
You don't need to buy the exact bottom.
If an Asset bottoms at $100 and you start positioning at $120, that's completely fine if your thesis is that the next major move is higher.
Trying to catch the exact bottom often keeps people waiting for a better price while the market starts moving without them.
I'd rather enter slightly late with confirmation than enter early without confirmation.
Missing the first 10-20% of a move is not a big deal if you can participate in the next 50–100%.
When crypto starts to move it moves for months
The goal isn't to buy the lowest possible price.
The goal is to be positioned for the bigger move.
Disclaimer: This article is not financial advice. The goal is simply to educate you about positional trading and how you can approach it.
Read it carefully, understand the concept, learn from it, and then decide how you want to apply it to your own trading.
Positional trading requires a lot of patience, discipline, and market experience. It is not about finding quick trades or making money every day.
Good luck
$ETH Decided to puke just before the close. 😂
$ETH Decided to puke just before the close. 😂
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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Interesting weekly closes coming up for $SOL and $ETH .

I’ll share my brief thoughts on this tomorrow, explaining why these closes are interesting.
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