Ahmiii-Crypto

$SIGN
Strong **V-shaped recovery** off the **0.0310 support**, following a sharp liquidity sweep. Momentum is rebuilding fast, and volatility is expanding — a classic setup for continuation.

📍 **Buy Zone:** 0.0318 – 0.0323
🎯 **TP1:** 0.0332
🎯 **TP2:** 0.0345
🎯 **TP3:** 0.0360
🛑 **Stop Loss:** 0.0309

Structure remains clean. As long as buyers defend the buy zone, **upside acceleration could be swift** 🚀
Market sentiment and macro catalysts may add fuel to the move.

#SIGN #CryptoTrading #BinanceBlockchainWeek #USJobsData #MarketMomentum

$XRP
XRP has posted a modest **2.3% daily rebound**, but the broader trend remains fragile. The token is still **down nearly 14% over the past month** and **8.5% lower week-over-week**, signaling continued weakness beneath the surface.
What makes this underperformance stand out is the backdrop: **six consecutive weeks of spot XRP ETF inflows**. While that headline sounds bullish, a deeper look at ETF momentum and on-chain data explains why XRP’s price has failed to ignite.

ETF Inflows Continue — But the Fuel Is Running Low
Spot XRP ETFs have now logged **six straight weeks of net inflows**, pushing cumulative totals beyond **$1.01 billion** since mid-November.

Early demand was strong:
Nov 14:** $243.05M inflows
Nov 21:** $179.60M
Nov 28:** $243.95M
Dec 5:** $230.74M

However, momentum has clearly faded since then.
Dec 11:** Inflows dropped sharply to $93.57M
Dec 16:** Just $19.44M was added

While inflows remain positive, the **rate of accumulation is slowing fast**. This deceleration helps explain why XRP has failed to extend gains, even as ETFs continue to attract capital. Simply put, ETF demand is no longer strong enough to drive price expansion on its own.

On-Chain Data Shows Conflicting Signals From Long-Term Holders
On-chain metrics paint a divided picture among XRP holders.
One red flag comes from the **percentage of XRP supply last active over one year ago**, which has climbed from **48.75% on December 2 to 51.00%**, the highest level in roughly a month. When dormant coins begin moving, it often signals **potential sell-side pressure** entering the market.
At the same time, another long-term holder metric tells a slightly more constructive story. The **Hodler Net Position Change** for wallets holding XRP longer than 155 days shows **selling pressure is easing**:

* Net outflows peaked at **216.86M XRP on Dec 11**
* Fell to **154.57M XRP by Dec 16**
* That’s a **29% reduction in net selling**

This split behavior suggests that while some older supply is becoming active (bearish), others are pulling back from aggressive selling. That balance has helped XRP avoid a sharp breakdown so far. However, unless this metric flips into **net accumulation**, any upside moves may be vulnerable to sell-offs.

Key XRP Price Levels That Could Define the Next Move
XRP’s price action reflects this uncertainty. The token is currently trading within a **falling wedge**, stuck between weakening momentum and fragile support.

Bullish Break Scenario
A **daily close above $2.28** would break the wedge
This could unlock a **~19% upside**, shifting momentum back in favor of buyers

Bearish Risk Zone
A breakdown below **$1.74** (0.618 Fibonacci level) exposes XRP to **$1.59**
Further downside could extend toward **$1.41** if broader market weakness persists

Bottom Line
ETF inflows alone are no longer enough to support XRP’s price. With **cooling ETF demand** and **mixed on-chain signals**, XRP remains caught between stabilization and renewed downside risk.
Until long-term holders begin accumulating again and ETF inflows regain momentum, **XRP price action is likely to stay range-bound — with downside risks still in play**.

$BTC
When trading Futures, most traders focus only on **entry price** and **leverage**. However, one of the most critical factors for **account survival during market crashes** is often ignored: **collateral type**.
In derivatives trading, capital flows mainly into two structures:
* **USDT-Margined Futures**
* **Coin-Margined Futures**
Failing to understand the difference can expose traders to **double-layer risk**.
🔹 USDT-Margined Futures (Stable & Predictable)
This is the current industry standard.
* You use **USDT** as collateral to long or short assets like BTC.
* Regardless of market volatility, **1 USDT always equals 1 USD**.
* If price moves against you, losses come **only from position PnL**.
* Risk remains **linear, transparent, and easier to manage**.
This structure is far more forgiving during sudden drops.
🔸 Coin-Margined Futures (High Risk in Downtrends)
This is where many traders lose their accounts.
* You use the **coin itself (e.g., BTC)** as collateral.
* If you **long BTC using BTC collateral** and the price falls:
* Your position goes into loss
* Your collateral value **also decreases simultaneously**
This creates a **double loss effect**.

⚠️ As a result:
* Your liquidation price approaches **much faster than expected**
* Exchanges liquidate earlier because collateral value is collapsing
* When Coin-M open interest is high, liquidations trigger:
* Forced selling of collateral
* Increased market sell pressure
* Further price drops
* Chain-reaction liquidations
This is why Coin-M crashes are often **violent and unforgiving**.
🟢 When Does Coin-M Make Sense?
Coin-M Futures are best used only if:
* You are a **long-term coin holder**
* You are **shorting to hedge** your spot holdings

In this case:
* A price drop earns you **BTC from the short**
* That BTC gain offsets the decline in BTC price
* Your **USD value is preserved**
🔵 When Should You Use USDT-M?
* For **short-term trades**
* For **speculation**
* For better **risk control and mental stability**
Keeping collateral in stablecoins prevents unnecessary compounding losses.

⚠️ Final Warning
Do not chase Coin-M longs in an uptrend hoping for compound gains.
When the trend reverses, **compound profit quickly becomes compound loss**, often wiping out the entire account.

💬 Be honest — have you ever blown a Coin-M account because you didn’t factor in collateral depreciation?

📌 *News and analysis are for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always assess risk carefully before trading.*
#RiskManagement #TradingEducation #CryptoEducation #TraderMindset #LeverageTrading

$EPIC
🇺🇸 According to reports from Politico, the United States has given Ukraine a limited time window—just days before Christmas—to respond to Washington’s proposed security guarantees. These guarantees, similar to NATO-style protections, are being positioned as a key step toward a possible ceasefire or peace framework.
A senior U.S. official stated that the offer is time-sensitive, stressing that the guarantees are available only if an agreement is reached promptly and under specific conditions.
The proposal reportedly includes:
Deployment of a European-led multinational force inside Ukraine
Continued U.S. backing, including airspace and maritime security
Further reinforcement of Ukraine’s military capabilities
Additionally, the United States would take responsibility for monitoring any ceasefire and providing early warning systems in the event of renewed aggression.

🚀 ATTENTION SIGNAL ALERT ✈️🥳
💎 $EPIC 🌟
✅ Market Structure Fully Bottomed
📈 Bullish Momentum Building
📊 LONG POSITION ACTIVE
🎯 Targets:
0.55
0.60
0.70++
🛑 Risk: S5%$

#BreakingNews ws #CryptoNews #CryptoUpdate #WarUpdate #BREAKING