Viņi saka, ka vēsture ne vienmēr atkārtojas, bet finanšu tirgos tā bieži atskan.
Nesenā ASV Federālo rezervju sistēmas (Fed) amatpersonu dārdoņa ir atdzīvinājusi atmiņas no 2019. gada sākuma, kad bitkoīns pieauga par vairāk nekā 300% uz līdzīga Fed fona.
Kopš 2022. gada sākuma Fed ir paaugstinājusi procentu likmes par 525 bāzes punktiem, lai ierobežotu inflāciju. Tā sauktais likviditātes ierobežošanas cikls ir bijis viens no lielākajiem sāpju avotiem riska aktīviem, tostarp bitcoin.
Šonedēļ Fed politikas veidotāji ir piedāvājuši atelpu. Otrdien Atlantas Fed Bank prezidents Rafaels Bostiks un Mineapolisas Fed prezidents Nīls Kaškari sacīja, ka centrālajai bankai, iespējams, vairs nebūs jāpaaugstina likmes. Dalasas Fed prezidente Lorija Logana un Fed gubernators Kristofers Valers apgalvoja, ka valsts kases ienesīguma kāpums ir paveicis Fed darbu, novēršot jebkādu steidzamu vajadzību pēc vēl viena likmju celšanas, vēsta Reuters.

Kriptokopiena nesen ir rūpīgi pārbaudījusi ASV valdības, iespējams, aizspriedumaino viedokli par dažādiem kriptovalūtu projektiem, kas tiek izmantoti terorisma finansēšanai. Nesenā tviterī XRP entuziasts WEeZiE pauda bažas par ASV Valsts departamenta Ripple pieminēšanu savā paziņojumā par kriptovalūtu un tās iespējamo izmantošanu noziedzniekiem.
Konkrēti, viņš pauda bažas, ka ASV valdība bieži piemin Bitcoin (BTC) un Ethereum (ETH), kad viņi cenšas apspriest jautājumus, kas saistīti ar digitālo aktīvu nozari. Tomēr, saskaņā ar XRP entuziastu, valdība atceras ar XRP saistīto maksājumu firmu Ripple ikreiz, kad tā cenšas kritizēt kriptovalūtu nozari.

Bitcoin cena konsolidējas virs USD 26 550 līmeņa. BTC varētu labot augstāku līmeni, bet augšupejošie rādītāji varētu būt ierobežoti tuvu USD 27 400 un USD 27 500 pretestības līmenim.
Bitcoin cena atbalsta
Bitcoin cena sāka jaunu kritumu no USD 27 500 pretestības. BTC tirgojās zem 27 000 USD līmeņa, lai iekļūtu lāču zonā. Visbeidzot, buļļi parādījās virs 26 500 USD atbalsta.
Cena palika labi solīta tuvu USD 26 550 līmenim. Lāči veica divus mēģinājumus nospiest cenu zem 26 550 USD, taču tie neizdevās. Zemākais līmenis veidojas netālu no USD 26 551, un cena tagad konsolidē zaudējumus zem 23,6% Fib retracement līmeņa lejupslīdei no USD 28 285 svārstību maksimuma līdz USD 26 551 zemākajam līmenim.

Pēc sākotnējā kāpuma gada sākumā lielākā daļa digitālo aktīvu ir zaudējuši impulsu, un Bitcoin pēdējā mēneša laikā ir samazinājies par 3,5% un vairāk nekā 62% līdz šim. Līdzīgi, piemēram, altcoins ir palielinājies gada laikā, bet ievērojami samazinājies pēdējo nedēļu laikā.
Tā kā ASV saskaras ar “parādu nāves spirāli” 33 triljonu dolāru apmērā, Jefferies analītiķi tagad brīdinājuši, ka Federālajai Rezervju sistēmai var nākties atsākt naudas drukāšanu, iespējams, izraisot ASV dolāra kritumu un paaugstinot vadošās kriptovalūtas cenu, kad tā konkurē. ar zeltu.

Ilgtermiņa Bitcoin īpašnieki ir turpinājuši strauji uzkrāt vadošo kriptovalūtu, neskatoties uz pašreizējo sānu tirgu, kurā BTC svārstīgums laika gaitā ir samazinājies, jo tā saglabājas aptuveni USD 27 000 robežās.
Saskaņā ar datiem no blokķēdes analītikas uzņēmuma Glassnode, ilgtermiņa Bitcoin īpašnieki ir uzkrājuši aptuveni 50 000 BTC, kuru vērtība pārsniedz 1,35 miljardus USD, katru mēnesi vismaz 155 dienas.
Skaitļi iegūti no uzņēmuma HODLer neto pozīcijas izmaiņu metrikas. Metrika mēra, cik ātri maki, kas glabā monētas vismaz 155 dienas, palielina savus kriptovalūtas krājumus. Šobrīd ilgtermiņa īpašniekiem pieder vairāk nekā 14,859 miljoni Bitcoin, kas ir 76% no pieejamā BTC piedāvājuma, liecina dati.

Bitcoin cena pazeminās zem 27 200 USD atbalsta. BTC varētu vēl vairāk samazināties, ja Izraēlas un Hamas karš tuvākajā laikā saasināsies.
Bitcoin cena sāk samazināties
Bitcoin cenai neizdevās palielināties virs 27 800 USD pretestības. BTC reaģēja uz lejupslīdi, pieaugot Izraēlas un Hamas spriedzei. Izraēla jau ziņoja par vairāk nekā 1200 nāves gadījumiem.
Cena pazeminās zem 27 500 ASV dolāru pagrieziena līmeņa. Bija arī lejupslīde zem 76,4% Fib retracement līmeņa augšupvērstā kustībā no USD 27 185 svārstību minimuma līdz USD 28 284 augstākajam līmenim. Vēl svarīgāk ir tas, ka cena tika tirgota zem galvenās USD 27 200 atbalsta zonas.

$BTC layer 2 Lightning Network has seen an estimated 1,212% growth in two years, with around 6.6 million routed transactions in August, a significant jump compared to August 2021’s 503,000 transitions, according to data from the Bitcoin only exchange River.
In an Oct. 10 report, River research analyst Sam Wouters explained the jump in routed transactions — which use more than two nodes to facilitate a transfer — came despite a 44% fall in Bitcoin’s price and considerably less online search interest.
“‘Nobody is using Lightning’ should now be a dead meme,” Wouters said in an Oct. 10 follow-up X (Twitter) post, taking a shot at Lightning critics.

River’s 6.6 million figure for Lightning routed transactions is a lower-bound estimate — the smallest possible value it could assess. The firm also sourced August 2021’s 503,000 figure from a 2021 study by K33, formerly Arcane Research and added it could not assess private Lightning transactions or those between only two participants.

$78.2 million in transaction volume was also processed on Lightning in August 2023, marking a 546% increase from August 2021’s $12.1 million figure sourced by K33. Wouters noted that Lightning is now processing at least 47% of Bitcoin’s on-chain transactions.
“This will be an interesting metric to monitor,” he added. “It is an indicator of Bitcoin becoming more of a medium of exchange.”

In August 2023, the average Lightning transaction size was around 44,700 satoshis or $11.84. River estimated between 279,000 and 1.1 million Lightning users were active in September.
The firm attributed 27% of transaction growth to the gaming, social media tipping and streaming sectors.
River said the Lightning payments success rate was 99.7% on its platform in August 2023 across 308,000 transactions. The main reason for failure occurs when no payment route can be found that has enough liquidity to facilitate the transfer.
River’s data set consisted of 2.5 million transactions. The nodes in River’s data set represent 29% of all the capacity on the network and 10% of payment channels.
#btc #crypto2023 #bitcoin

Stablecoin issuer Circle has announced it has begun minting USD Coin natively on the Ethereum layer-2 scaling protocol Polygon.USDC is accessible to users and developers without bridging the stablecoin from Ethereum to another blockchain. Circle Mint and Circle’s developer application programming interfaces now support Polygon-based USDC, tapping into Polygon’s scaling capabilities.According to the announcement from Circile, businesses and developers will be able to build decentralized applications (DApps) with USDC on Polygon. The new offering is touted to enable near-instant, low fee transactions for a variety of use cases including payments, remittances, trading, borrowing and lending.Before Circle’s announcement of its native Polygon USDC offering, users of the protocol had to make use of bridge USDC (USDC.e) from the Ethereum blockchain. The token is not issued by Circle, as opposed to its new offering that it assures will be redeemable at a 1:1 ratio for US dollars.Circle had previously provided support of deposits and withdrawals for USDC.e on Polygon for Circle Mint and its APIs. The issuer plans to discontinue this service from Nov. 10, warning users that attempt to send bridge USDC.e to Circle Mint accounts that their assets may be unrecoverable after this date.Circle also notes that provision of native Polygon USDC will enable low cost global payments and remittances as well as accessibility to trading, borrowing, and lending on leading DeFi protocols including Aave, Compound, Curve, Uniswap and Quickswap.The USDC issuer also plans to launch cross-chain transfer protocol to Polygon to enable interoperability with other blockchain networks. This is set to unlock Polygon-based USDC transfers to and from the Ethereum blockchain.#usdc #btc #ETH #crypto2023

Bitcoin ground higher on Oct. 10 after the start of legacy market trading saw “de-risking” take over.

Bitcoin price preserves weekly support
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC price stability returning ahead of the Wall Street open.
Bitcoin bulls had lost their footing as the week began, with heading to $27,300 before reversing to trade near $27,700 at the time of writing.
“Overall there's been a lot of market de-risking into $27.4K - $27.3K,” popular trader Skew wrote in part of X analysis at the time.
“Important area now because losing that level would take prices back to 1W demand. More importantly, around here into tomorrow buyers need to establish price control for a move higher.”
Continuing on the day, Skew noted that derivatives traders controlled trajectory for the time being.
“Better to see what spot market wants later,” he advised.

Some market participants were broadly optimistic, among them Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm MN Trading.
In his latest X post, Van de Poppe described altcoins as being “hammered” by sell pressure while Bitcoin held support.
“If Bitcoin is able to break back above $28,000, the thesis to $35,000-40,000 might become real,” he argued.
A previous post predicted that “most likely the path towards $30K is going to start from here,” with an accompanying chart showing relevant resistance levels.

Altcoins bear brunt of crypto cold feet
Against altcoins, the picture remains in Bitcoin’s favor, data meanwhile showed.
Bitcoin’s share of the overall crypto market cap hit 51.35% on Oct. 9, marking its highest levels since mid-July.

“A lot of Altcoins looking like they are breaking major support zones and bringing us some juicy short entries,” popular trader Crypto Tony continued on the topic.
On Bitcoin, Crypto Tony flagged $27,200 as the level to hold to avoid going short BTC.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
#btc #crypto2023 #bitcoin #ethereum #XRP

Bitcoin cena nespēja notīrīt 28 500 USD pretestību un tika koriģēta zemāk. BTC atkārtoti pārbaudīja 27 250 USD atbalstu un pašlaik mēģina jaunu pieaugumu.
Bitcoin cena saskaras ar galvenajiem šķēršļiem
Bitcoin cena sāka pienācīgu pieaugumu virs USD 27 800 pretestības. Tomēr BTC neizdevās palikt pozitīvajā zonā un atkārtoti apmeklēt 28 500 USD pretestības zonu.
Bija pastāvīgs kritums zem 28 000 USD līmeņa. Cena noslīdēja zem 27 500 USD līmeņa, bet buļļi bija aktīvi virs USD 27 250 atbalsta zonas. Zemākais līmenis tika izveidots netālu no USD 27 275, un tagad cena pieaug. Notika pāreja virs $27,500 līmeņa.

As the crypto community’s anticipation heightens for the upcoming Bitcoin halving, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), CEO of Binance, recently elucidated his observations around the historical patterns tied to this quadrennial event. Highlighting the evolving sentiments and speculations, CZ spotlighted the dominant themes before and after the halving events.
CZ observed that the preceding months to the halving are generally characterized by heightened discourse, diverse sentiments, and amplified expectations within the cryptocurrency sphere. “The few months leading up to the Bitcoin halving, there will be more and more chatter, news, anxiety, expectations, hype, hope, etc.,” he stated.
Addressing the commonly held belief that Bitcoin’s price will witness an immediate uptick post-halving, CZ dispelled such notions based on historical patterns. “The day after the halving, the Bitcoin price won’t double overnight. And people will be asking why it didn’t,” he remarked, addressing the immediate aftermath expectations.
While the short-term reactions post-halving may be tempered, CZ shed light on a longer-term trend where Bitcoin often reaches new all-time highs (ATHs) within the year that follows. In reference to the market’s ability to quickly transition from skepticism to marvel, he quipped, “People have short memories.”
However, CZ urged caution, emphasizing that historical patterns should not be construed as definitive indicators for future behaviors, noting, “Not saying there is proven causation. And history does NOT predict the future.”
A More In-Depth Analysis Of Bitcoin Halving
As Bitcoinist reported, renowned crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently published an in-depth analysis of the Bitcoin halving, offering a more granular view of the potential phases surrounding the event which is only 197 days and a few hours away according to Binance’s estimates.
Reflecting on historical patterns, the analyst suggested a possible deeper retrace for Bitcoin in the 140 days leading up to the halving. Drawing historical parallels, Rekt Capital emphasized, “You can debate whether 2023 is more like 2015 or more like 2019… Doesn’t change the fact that BTC retraced -24% in 2015 and -38% in 2019 at this same point in the cycle (i.e. ~200 days before the halving).”

Anticipating market dynamics as the halving nears, Rekt Capital postulated that roughly 60 days before the event, historically a pre-halving rally will likely emerge. This phase, marked by investor enthusiasm and elevated expectations as CZ puts it, is often characterized by buying into the halving anticipation.
But this enthusiastic phase doesn’t last. Around the halving event, the market often shows pullback behavior under the motto “buy the rumor, sell the news”. Highlighting this trend, the analyst cited the -38% dip witnessed in 2016 and the -20% decline in 2020, moments when the market re-evaluated the halving’s short-term implications.
Subsequent to this, Rekt Capital predicts a multi-month re-accumulation phase, often marked by investor fatigue due to stagnation. However, breaking out of this phase typically heralds Bitcoin’s entry into a parabolic uptrend, potentially culminating in new all-time highs.
#btc #crypto2023 #ETH #XRP #binance